The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 15
th, 2019 at 1:01pm:
Show me where it shows that
Poor petal. Can't even think for himself
RCP8.5 is the highest scenario.
It seems in Climate Science
TM that as opposed to other disciplines which give low, business as usual, and high scenarios, gives ultra low, low and business as usual scenarios.
"Based on this analysis, we find that supply constraints on total fossil fuels production are likely to provide an upper-bound to climate change over the time horizon considered in this paper (out to the end of 2100). Specifically, based on the SD-PCU
emissions scenario, the median atmospheric CO2 concentration, and global-mean surface temperature increase, are likely to reach about 610 ppm and 2.63 C respectively by 2100, even when the rapid growth in the production of the nonconventional fossil fuels (specifically, oil and gas) is considered. Note that these results are significantly lower than those rojected by the IPCC under its earlier high-emission scenarios, such as SRESA1FI, or in its later high-concentration pathway of RCP8.5. Therefore, we conclude that the IPCC is likely to be overestimating the upper-bound of possible climate change over this time horizon; where this conclusion is supported by most of the ‘peak fossil fuel production’ studies published after
the year 2000 that we examined."
http://sci-hub.tw/10.1016/j.futures.2016.04.007RCP8.5 is crap.