This is a paper I recently came across. It was published by a company called Electric Power Consulting that looked at six different scenarios of electrical generation mixes. Links to the paper and the webpage containing a more detailed summary of how each scenario was developed are listed below:

https://epc.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/ReliableAffordableElectricPowerGen
eration_Booklet.pdf

https://epc.com.au/index.php/nem-model/

The six scenarios they developed are as follows:

Scenario 1: Approximation of the existing NEM
Scenario 2: Replace brown coal generators with nuclear
Scenario 3: Replace all coal generators with nuclear
Scenario 4: Approximation of an AEMO scenario for 2040, containing a mixture of both carbon based and renewable generators
Scenario 5: Replace all coal generators with Combine Cycle Gas Turbines
Scenario 6: 100% renewables consisting mostly of wind and supported by hydro

The following are the total LCOE for each scenario per MWh, including generation and distribution. Note that the report doesn't model expected Spot Prices for electricity in each scenario

Scenario 1: $211.12/MWh
Scenario 2: $214.73/MWh
Scenario 3: $232.48/MWh
Scenario 4: $389.69/MWh
Scenario 5: $238.97/MWh
Scenario 6: $557.75/MWh

The follow are the tonnes of CO2 per MWh expected to be emitted in each scenario:

Scenario 1: 0.83T/MWh
Scenario 2: 0.64T/MWh
Scenario 3: 0.06T/MWh
Scenario 4: 0.33T/MWh
Scenario 5: 0.36T/MWh
Scenario 6: 0.02T/MWh

The simple decision to make is, Do you want any industry in Australia or not? 

The mad as cut snakes minority Extremist Greenies want to see ALL industry in Australia closed down.


As solar sleeps at night and wind gets tired and rests for while it will obviously have blackouts.

Storage is a sick Greeny make believe joke as the capacity is so small it is irrelevant.


Industry needs a constant reliable power supply 24/7.

Gas is already in short supply so how can it be used as a major supply to generate electricity ?

Coal is in enormous supply and generates CHEAP electricity 24/7 as it has for the last 100 years or so.


Now the next question is, do YOU believe the Global Warming HOAX or not ?

It is clearly a UN fabricated SCAM to try to transfer wealth from rich countries to poorer countries as just a part of the UN One World Govt SCAM as described in the UN Agenda 2030 bulldust rubbish that the Greenies are trying to follow.


The sick Extremist Greenies want to reduce Australia to a trashy 4th world mess such as exists in Africa now full of  multicultural ghettos where it is unsafe for whities to go - you know just like the Black African Terrorist Ghettos in parts of Melbourne supported by the imposter Vic Labor "Govt".

Aha! the lunar Village Idiot Tweedledee with the malformed brain malfunctioning due to overheating by Global Warming and over exposure to dangerous poisonous carbon dioxide crawls out from under the floor boards to parade her gross ignorance of all things Great and Small.

This awful creature is clearly a bit simple and not the full quid and it is not at all surprising such a mentally unabled wretch cannot see thru the very obvious Global Warming HOAX.

Then the lying Greeny Extremists would not exist were it not for such mentally impoverished creatures.

The childish simplicity of these reject creatures means they are UNABLE to even begin to understand how electricity is generated and so these awful rejects from the human race just vomit the lying rubbish they see on the lying Greeny trash sites.

To get these yucky creatures to expose their gross ignorance then get them to explain how renewable rubbish can supply the Tomago aluminium smelter.

But then the Greeny Extremists want to CLOSE DOWN the Tomago Aluminium Smelter.

And of course the Village Idiot Tweedledee just copes my very correct post and then dribbles some nauseatingly ridiculous rubbish. Tweedledee is definitely a bit simple and not quite the full quid and unfit to post anything in a technical section.

Robot wrote on Dec 12^th, 2018 at 12:25pm:



Can you show me where I did say I trusted it?

You know about models?

Some have utility, some don't.

Engineering models have utility. They design planes with known metrics with them, bridges too.

The difficulty is where they parametrise the unknowns - forcings in climate models and  bedrock depths.

"With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk."  John von Neumann

SA is already moving towards a HYDROGEN economy.



Hydrogen-fuelled power plant planned at Port Lincoln
By political reporter Nick Harmsen Updated 12 Feb 2018, 2:15pm

RELATED STORY: CSIRO breakthrough could turn renewable hydrogen into export boom
RELATED STORY: Why all the fuss about hydrogen cars?
RELATED STORY: Quick bids demanded for SA's big battery venture

A plan for a small hydrogen-fuelled power plant at Port Lincoln is getting funding from South Australia's renewable technology fund.

Key points:
The project will use renewable energy and split water into hydrogen and oxygen
Hydrogen can then be stored as a gas or liquid, or converted into ammonia
The project includes two new power generation facilities — a 10MW gas turbine to burn hydrogen in air and a 5MW hydrogen fuel cell
Infrastructure company Hydrogen Utility (H2U) is proposing a $117.5 million facility with a 15-megawatt electrolyser plant to convert renewable power into hydrogen and an ammonia production facility for fertiliser production.

It said there would also be a 10-megawatt hydrogen-fuelled turbine and a 5-megawatt hydrogen fuel cell, both to supply electricity to the grid, with water their only by-product.

The company is getting a $4.7 million grant and a $7.5 million loan from the state renewables fund.

Hydrogen Utility chief executive Attilio Pigneri said the project would demonstrate the possibilities from hydrogen production.

"It will provide balancing services to the national transmission grid [and] fast frequency response support to new solar plants under development on the Eyre Peninsula," he said.

He said fertiliser and chemical production would help the farming and aquaculture sectors.

Dr Pigneri also hoped hydrogen could be exported to the Asia-Pacific region.

South Korean car makers have been investing in development of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

By the 2020 Olympics, Japan is aiming to have 40,000 hydrogen fuel cell cars and 1.4 million hydrogen fuel cells.

The South Australian Government said it was planning to capitalise on the state's high penetration of renewable energy, and to have ports capable of exporting hydrogen either as liquid or stored as ammonia.

Energy Minister Tom Koutsantonis said domestic storage and consumption was also being planned.

"South Australia is at the global forefront of a broad range of storage technologies, from big batteries to virtual power plants to pumped hydro," he said.

"Now we will also be home to one of the largest hydrogen production facilities in the world as well."

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-02-12/hydrogen-power-plant-port-lincoln/9422022

lee wrote on Dec 12^th, 2018 at 12:49pm:


"I only distrust computer models when they don't support my beliefs."

Lee you know these uninformed Greeny Types cannot argue their way out of a wet paper bag.

Lee and Jules, its like they r the same person their thinking is so alike