Yadda wrote on Sep 13
th, 2018 at 10:54pm:
Interesting item on The 7.30 Report tonight, on prospects for GFC v2.0
It was a little scary.
http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/ten-years-on-from-the-gfc-are-heading-for-another/10244740
I was once on the bandwagon where the Peter Schiffs and Marc Fabers of the world predicted an economic crisis worse than the Great Depression. It never happened.
That's not to say it won't happened. I just can't see any financially unstable situation that I can say with any degree of certainty will trigger the next crisis, whether its the Chinese Banking Sector, Italian Banking Sector or even the Australian Banking Sector. Currently, I'm thinking that it will be an American Stock bubble, given how far the various indices have risen over the last 10 years and the fact that it has been a while since we've had a downturn in the stock market.
Another indicator would be to follow where American Banks invest their money:
Mexican Peso Crisis, 1994American Banks: Ummm, we screwed up, we're too big to fail, can you bail us out?
Government: Sure, but don't let it happen again
American Banks: Oh, we won't!
(No one of any significance was convicted.)
Asian Financial Crisis, 1997American Banks: Ummm, we screwed up, we're too big to fail, can you bail us out?
Government: Sure, but don't let it happen again
American Banks: Oh, we won't!
(No one of any significance was convicted.)
American Subprime Mortgage Crisis, 2007American Banks: Ummm, we really screwed up and we're waaay too big to fail. If you don't bail us out it will be a giant clusterf!@k!
Government: FFS, here, have $700 billion. And don't do it again!
American Banks: Ummm, yeaaah.....
(No one of any significance was convicted.)