Quote:Morgan's seat polls were very messy: they consisted of compiled electorate sampling over a long period, and lacked any 2PP figures. A high proportion of them focused on non-classic seats (or seats that looked like they might be non-classic seats), which made assessing their accuracy even harder.
Sloppy, messy, unreliable just as they have been in NZ.
As for more on their individual seat polling...
Quote:Overall, Morgan seems to have surprisingly published the least skewed seat polls, but their polls were also the most erratic. Indeed when I converted their polls to 2PP I found that nine of them were correct within a point, but there were also massive howlers like an 18 point error in Wentworth. Morgan had the highest proportion of correct seat polls, but this is meaningless because the seats they tackled were, on average, much easier than those tackled by the other pollsters. They're also not allowed to crow about it, because they didn't publish seat 2PPs.
Quote:Galaxy is best on error, second-best on skew and second-best on relative correctness, but the average age of its included data was 10 days compared to 17 for Newspoll, 20 for ReachTEL and goodness knows what for Morgan.