lee wrote on May 23
rd, 2018 at 3:22pm:
[quote author=DonDeeHippy link=1526530211/27#27 date=1527047642]What is the difference between historical simulations and Historical methods.
What do you regard as Historical? Climate models going back to 1880? Poor land data and even worse ocean data.
DonDeeHippy wrote on May 23
rd, 2018 at 1:54pm:
They don't mention the time used but isn't TCR over a twenty year period and the formula for doubling CO2 is set in formula, are they saying it changes with location ?
Oh good. You are starting to ask questions.
"For instance, the sensitivity only including the fast feedbacks (e.g. ignoring land ice and vegetation), or the sensitivity of a particular class of climate model (e.g. the ‘Charney sensitivity’), or the sensitivity of the whole system except the carbon cycle (the Earth System Sensitivity), or the transient sensitivity tied to a specific date or period of time (i.e. the Transient Climate Response (TCR) to 1% increasing CO2 after 70 years). As you might expect, these are all different and care needs to be taken to define terms before comparing things (there is a good discussion of the various definitions and their scope in the Palaeosens paper).
Each of these numbers is an ’emergent’ property of the climate system – i.e. something that is affected by many different processes and interactions, and isn’t simply derived just based on knowledge of a small-scale process. It is generally assumed that these are well-defined and single-valued properties of the system (and in current GCMs they clearly are), and while the paleo-climate record (for instance the glacial cycles) is supportive of this, it is not absolutely guaranteed. "
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2013/01/on-sensitivity-part-i/It is any period you want, basically.
And of course you have to know all "that is affected by (the) many different processes and interactions"