Pollbludger has posted a pendulum for the next Federal election assuming the provisional boundaries are adopted as the final boundaries.

The seat counts are 72 Labor, 74 Coalition, 2 Labor-leaning seats (Melbourne, Denison>Clark) and 3 Coalition-leaning seats (Indi, Kennedy, Mayo). Two Liberal-held seats become notionally Labor on the new boundaries (Corangamite>Cox, Dunkley).

Coalition seats under 1%: 3
Coalition seats under 2%: 8
Coalition seats under 3%: 12
Coalition seats under 4%: 18
Coalition seats under 5%: 20

Labor seats under 1%: 4
Labor seats under 2%: 9
Labor seats under 3%: 12
Labor seats under 4%: 13
Labor seats under 5%: 19