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Global warming is real (Read 5469 times)
President Elect, The Mechanic
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #15 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 6:04pm
 
Quote:
Prediction 8. That the new cold era would coincide with record earthquake and volcanic activity.

This prediction was made both in Mr. Casey’s research paper on the subject and a press release at the same time.

The SSRC Research Report 1-2010 (Preliminary) from March 1, 2010 titled “Correlation of Solar Activity Minimums and Large Magnitude Geophysical Events,” is at the RC Theory page of the SSRC web site.

The associated press release SSRC 1-2010 titled “Sun’s Activity Linked to Largest Earthquakes and Volcanoes,” is at the ‘Press Release Archives’ page of the SSRC web site.

This prediction for increased earthquake and volcanic activity has been verified by other researchers, including in a recent paper by Choi, Casey, Maslov and Tsunoda (see at page 7 of the June 2014 edition of the GCSR).

This joint paper is titled “Global increase in seismic and magmatic activities since 1990 and their relation to solar cycles.”

Ongoing verification of the increased geophysical activity predicted in 2010 by Casey is exemplified by the record M9.0 earthquake one year later on March 11, 2011 with the Japanese Tohoku Earthquake that destroyed the Fukushima nuclear power plant and killed over 13,000 people.

This prediction is further validated by the M7.8 and M8.0 earthquakes of northern Chile in 2014.

It should also be noted that the great Indonesian M9.1+ earthquake and tsunami of December 26, 2004 that killed over 230,000 occurred after global oceans began to cool after 2003.

Recent increased volcanic activity has been demonstrated by the Mt. Sangeang Api volcano, Indonesia, the Puyehue volcano , Chile, the Eyjafjallajokull volcano, Iceland, et.al.. As of August 22, 2014 volcano Bardargunga in Iceland is threatening to erupt.

The first three volcanic eruptions shut down air traffic for large areas of the globe in each case.

Combined, these geophysical events demonstrate the existence of an increased level of major earthquake and volcanic activity as predicted by Mr. Casey.

Prediction 9. That the decline in Arctic sea ice had ended and was now a new long term growth trend.

This prediction was made June 10, 2013, paradoxically, the year after NOAA announced that Arctic Sea ice had reached its lowest extent ever recorded and restated its forecast for continued declines.

The prediction by Mr. Casey was widely distributed via SSRC Press Release 4-2013 and was titled,” Arctic Sea Ice to Grow as Global Cooling Era Takes Hold.”

This prediction has since been validated by NOAA data that shows Arctic sea ice declines have stopped their historic decline and now show a dramatic reversal that actually began after 2007 and has been repeated during 2014.

See chart of NOAA data for Arctic sea ice extent on page 44 of the June 10, 2014 edition of the GCSR.

Note: Al Gore, NOAA and UK climate officials have over the years made predictions that the entire Arctic sea ice would be gone by 2008 or other past years. They have since adjusted their predictions out to safer dates like 2030 or 2050.

Prediction 10. That the North Atlantic Ocean temperatures had reached a peak or maximum warming, and these waters would soon begin a long term temperature decline lasting decades.

This prediction was made via SSRC Press Release 1-2013, on February 4, 2013 titled, “Climate Change to Next Cold Era Accelerates with Colder North Atlantic.

The time frame for evaluation of this relatively recent prediction is still open.

However, the largest ocean heat content decline ever recorded for the North Atlantic has been recorded and reinforces that this prediction will also transpire as described.

Prediction 11. That the world’s sea levels would soon begin to decline (between 2014 and 2020) and reach the level they were in the early 1800’s predicted by the late 2020’s and 2030’s.

This recent August 21, 2013 prediction will be evaluated when the time frame indicated has been entered for a few years.

The prediction was documented at a news conference held near Miami Florida and was recorded in the SSRC Press Release 7-2013 (August 21, 2014) which is posted at the SSRC web site.

Validation of this prediction, though in abeyance, is receiving support from the fact that sea levels on the US west coast have already begun to drop as a consequence of the Pacific Ocean cooling The Atlantic Ocean starts its predicted drop in sea levels soon.

Added validation comes from the setting of all time records for the combined amount of sea ice for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

Most importantly, the ongoing decline in global ocean temperatures since 2003 underscores this prediction by Mr. Casey that a long term global ocean cooling is to be followed by historic drops in sea levels.

The colder oceans will of course result in lower sea levels just as past ocean warming contributed to rising sea levels.


sorry to blow you out of the water aggy..
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Bobby.
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #16 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 6:19pm
 
Great posts Mechanic - keep up the good work.
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Agnes
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #17 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:19pm
 
President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 6:04pm:
[quote]Prediction 8. That the new cold era would coincide with record earthquake and volcanic activity.

This prediction was made both in Mr. Casey’s research paper on the subject and a press release at the same time.

The SSRC Research Report 1-2010 (Preliminary) from March 1, 2010 titled “Correlation of Solar Activity Minimums and Large Magnitude Geophysical Events,” is at the RC Theory page of the SSRC web site.

The associated press release SSRC 1-2010 titled “Sun’s Activity Linked to Largest Earthquakes and Volcanoes,” is at the ‘Press Release Archives’ page of the SSRC web site.

This prediction for increased earthquake and volcanic activity has been verified by other researchers, including in a recent paper by Choi, Casey, Maslov and Tsunoda (see at page 7 of the June 2014 edition of the GCSR).

This joint paper is titled “Global increase in seismic and magmatic activities since 1990 and their relation to solar cycles.”

Ongoing verification of the increased geophysical activity predicted in 2010 by Casey is exemplified by the record M9.0 earthquake one year later on March 11, 2011 with the Japanese Tohoku Earthquake that destroyed the Fukushima nuclear power plant and killed over 13,000 people.

This prediction is further validated by the M7.8 and M8.0 earthquakes of northern Chile in 2014.

It should also be noted that the great Indonesian M9.1+ earthquake and tsunami of December 26, 2004 that killed over 230,000 occurred after global oceans began to cool after 2003.

Recent increased volcanic activity has been demonstrated by the Mt. Sangeang Api volcano, Indonesia, the Puyehue volcano , Chile, the Eyjafjallajokull volcano, Iceland, et.al.. As of August 22, 2014 volcano Bardargunga in Iceland is threatening to erupt.

The first three volcanic eruptions shut down air traffic for large areas of the globe in each case.

Combined, these geophysical events demonstrate the existence of an increased level of major earthquake and volcanic activity as predicted by Mr. Casey.

Prediction 9. That the decline in Arctic sea ice had ended and was now a new long term growth trend.

This prediction was made June 10, 2013, paradoxically, the year after NOAA announced that Arctic Sea ice had reached its lowest extent ever recorded and restated its forecast for continued declines.

The prediction by Mr. Casey was widely distributed via SSRC Press Release 4-2013 and was titled,” Arctic Sea Ice to Grow as Global Cooling Era Takes Hold.”

This prediction has since been validated by NOAA data that shows Arctic sea ice declines have stopped their historic decline and now show a dramatic reversal that actually began after 2007 and has been repeated during 2014.

See chart of NOAA data for Arctic sea ice extent on page 44 of the June 10, 2014 edition of the GCSR.

Note: Al Gore, NOAA and UK climate officials have over the years made predictions that the entire Arctic sea ice would be gone by 2008 or other past years. They have since adjusted their predictions out to safer dates like 2030 or 2050.

Prediction 10. That the North Atlantic Ocean temperatures had reached a peak or maximum warming, and these waters would soon begin a long term temperature decline lasting decades.

This prediction was made via SSRC Press Release 1-2013, on February 4, 2013 titled, “Climate Change to Next Cold Era Accelerates with Colder North Atlantic.

The time frame for evaluation of this relatively recent prediction is still open.

However, the largest ocean heat content decline ever recorded for the North Atlantic has been recorded and reinforces that this prediction will also transpire as described.

Prediction 11. That the world’s sea levels would soon begin to decline (between 2014 and 2020) and reach the level they were in the early 1800’s predicted by the late 2020’s and 2030’s.

This recent August 21, 2013 prediction will be evaluated when the time frame indicated has been entered for a few years.

The prediction was documented at a news conference held near Miami Florida and was recorded in the SSRC Press Release 7-2013 (August 21, 2014) which is posted at the SSRC web site.

Validation of this prediction, though in abeyance, is receiving support from the fact that sea levels on the US west coast have already begun to drop as a consequence of the Pacific Ocean cooling The Atlantic Ocean starts its predicted drop in sea levels soon.

Added validation comes from the setting of all time records for the combined amount of sea ice for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

Most importantly, the ongoing decline in global ocean temperatures since 2003 underscores this prediction by Mr. Casey that a long term global ocean cooling is to be followed by historic drops in sea levels.

The colder oceans will of course result in lower sea levels just as past ocean warming contributed to rising sea levels.


Quote:
sorry to blow you out of the water aggy..


I stand by my assertions- and as Bobby said the jury is still out but will it ever be in- by the time it is-  it will be too late- I would rather  be advocating for a Global Cooling because well what better than this horrible heat- but if it is heating we have to be ready to tackle it- there is no other planet there is only this one- and I happen to love it- nothing wrong with being prepared
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« Last Edit: Mar 8th, 2018 at 9:20pm by Agnes »  

x=^..^= x <o((((>< ~~~ x=^..^=x~~~x=^..^=x<o((((><~~~x=^..^=x


farewell to days of wild abandon and freedom in the adriatic
 
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #18 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:30pm
 
So, whenever it rains, that is an irrefutable piece of evidence that global warming is real? Which means that it never rained when mankind were all hunter gatherers?

A simulation was conducted where 100 nuclear missiles were detonated undersea in the Indian Ocean. The water boiled. The water evaporated. The country of Australia was inundated with heavy rainfall for weeks. The Northern Hemisphere, however, received record cold, as the environmental equilibrium kicked in to keep the average temperature stable.

During an Australian heatwave, there is a cold snap somewhere in the northern hemisphere. And vice versa. Showing photos of people getting rained on is no indication that the average Earth temperature is going up.
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lee
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #19 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:32pm
 
2017 was the second warmest year behind 2016?

Let's look at NOAA's record.

1997
Quote:
The global average temperature of 62.45 degrees Fahrenheit for 1997 was the warmest year on record


https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/199713

2016
Quote:
The average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas for 2016 was 0.94°C (1.69°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)

[url]https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201613
2016[/url]

1.69°F + 57.0°F = 58.69°F

2017
Quote:
The 2017 average global temperature across land and ocean surface areas was 0.84°C (1.51°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F)

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201713

1.51°F+57.0°F= 58.51°F

Both temperatures, 2016,2017, are below NOAA's own records for 1997.
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Bobby.
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #20 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:40pm
 
Thanks Lee,
and the David DuByne videos have often shown that in past history
global warming preceded high CO2 levels -
not the other way around as Al Gore made out.

People like Monk and Barnacle follow Al Gore
as some kind of climate God
when he's actually totally discredited with all his predictions.
So much for Nobel Prizes.
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #21 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 9:30pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:40pm:
Thanks Lee,
and the David DuByne videos have often shown that in past history
global warming preceded high CO2 levels -
not the other way around as Al Gore made out.

People like Monk and Barnacle follow Al Gore
as some kind of climate God
when he's actually totally discredited with all his predictions.
So much for Nobel Prizes.


I see.  You reckon some snake oil salesman dick head who posts YouTube videos to scrape a living and has zero scientific qualifications is more credible than Nobel Prize winners.

Yay!  Says it all, Bobby.  You know better than those who decide one of the most prestigious and well known International Awards.

Are you getting some sort of backhander from de Buyne for promoting his crap here?
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lee
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #22 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 9:57pm
 
Aussie wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 9:30pm:
You reckon some snake oil salesman dick head who posts YouTube videos to scrape a living and has zero scientific qualifications is more credible than Nobel Prize winners.



You mean Al Gore who got a Nobel PEACE prize? For basically his "film" "An Inconvenient Truth"?
"Al Gore's Oscar-winning documentary on global warming, An Inconvenient Truth, was yesterday criticised by a high court judge who highlighted what he said were "nine scientific errors" in the film."

The same Al Gore that Skeptical Science says is a politician NOT a climate scientist?

That Al Gore?

So why should we give him ANY credence? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #23 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:16pm
 
Al Gore/Nobel Judges -v- a You Tube video snake oil salesman with zero scientific qualifications.  Gawd, even his videos are anecdotal trash.

Such a tough choice to make.
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #24 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:31pm
 
Aussie wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:16pm:
Al Gore/Nobel Judges


You do realise the Nobel Peace Prize is given by Norway?
The Nobel Science prizes by Sweden?

Two completely different sets of judges?

Sorry, was there a point about which "snake oils salesman" you believe? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Starting from a very low base in that case.

Even the IPCC doesn't have a Science Prize. Although that's reasonable; they don't do science. Wink
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #25 - Mar 9th, 2018 at 12:06am
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 8:30pm:
So, whenever it rains, that is an irrefutable piece of evidence that global warming is real? Which means that it never rained when mankind were all hunter gatherers?

A simulation was conducted where 100 nuclear missiles were detonated undersea in the Indian Ocean. The water boiled. The water evaporated. The country of Australia was inundated with heavy rainfall for weeks. The Northern Hemisphere, however, received record cold, as the environmental equilibrium kicked in to keep the average temperature stable.

During an Australian heatwave, there is a cold snap somewhere in the northern hemisphere. And vice versa. Showing photos of people getting rained on is no indication that the average Earth temperature is going up.


The correlation between rainfall and global warming is quite low. Rather look towards Antarctica and the rising seas levels, melting icecaps and the abnormal weather patterns world wide. Unfortunately global warming is now based on empirical and factual data and refutability is something quite difficult.
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #26 - Mar 9th, 2018 at 4:51am
 
lee wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:31pm:
Aussie wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:16pm:
Al Gore/Nobel Judges


You do realise the Nobel Peace Prize is given by Norway?
The Nobel Science prizes by Sweden?

Two completely different sets of judges?

Sorry, was there a point about which "snake oils salesman" you believe? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Starting from a very low base in that case.

Even the IPCC doesn't have a Science Prize. Although that's reasonable; they don't do science. Wink



And Aussie & his mate Monk are supporting a discredited
politician who tried to make out that he was a climate scientist.
Al Gore is a fraud - a snake oil salesman.
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President Elect, The Mechanic
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #27 - Mar 9th, 2018 at 5:45am
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 9th, 2018 at 4:51am:
lee wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:31pm:
Aussie wrote on Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:16pm:
Al Gore/Nobel Judges


You do realise the Nobel Peace Prize is given by Norway?
The Nobel Science prizes by Sweden?

Two completely different sets of judges?

Sorry, was there a point about which "snake oils salesman" you believe? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Starting from a very low base in that case.

Even the IPCC doesn't have a Science Prize. Although that's reasonable; they don't do science. Wink



And Aussie & his mate Monk are supporting a discredited
politician who tried to make out that he was a climate scientist.
Al Gore is a fraud - a snake oil salesman.


Nailed It...

They also gave Obama a Nobel Peace prize as soon as he was made President? why?

because of the colour of his skin...

he's gone on to be the biggest warmongering President in the history of the US... at War for every single day of his Presidency and also arming and paying Terrorists...

Nobel... what a joke..  Roll Eyes
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #28 - Mar 9th, 2018 at 5:54am
 
Quote:
Tim Flannery is the guru who gets it wrong


February 26, 2014 8:00pm


PROVING Tim Flannery wrong on global warming is too easy.

Explaining why he’s still a guru is the hard one.

This week the University of Canberra honoured our former Chief Climate Change Commissioner by letting him give its annual Krebs Lecture.  Roll Eyes

Strange. Shouldn’t warmists distance themselves from a man whose astonishing record of dud predictions has so hurt their cause?

After all, Flannery once claimed the Arctic ice could melt completely away by, er, last year.

He claimed Sydney, Adelaide and Brisbane could be all out of water by, oops, a couple of years ago now.

Yet no matter how many dud predictions Flannery makes, almost no scientist ever corrects him.  Undecided

It’s as if they don’t care how wrong he is in the warming cause.

Same story with Flannery’s lecture on Monday. Again, not one academic called out “rubbish!”.

See, Flannery’s most infamous prediction was made in 2007, when warmists were exploiting our long drought.

Flannery claimed the rainfall decline was “clearly an impact of climate change” and because “the soil is warmer” there was an even bigger decline in run-off.


“So even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and our river systems.”

In fact, the floods did return and the dams of Sydney and Brisbane filled to overflowingGrin

So what does Flannery do? Well, on Monday he claimed global warming was giving us more of the floods that he once said global warming wouldn’t. (oh dear god! who believes this moron?  Cheesy )

“We have seen a real change in Australia, along with heatwaves, in terms of rainfall and flooding,” he said.

“We’re going into that area now of record-breaking events.”

Showing a picture of the 2010 Brisbane flood, he added: “I still remember paying my flood levy. It should be known as the first climate change tax that we paid in this country.”

Flannery’s claim that the flood levy was “the first climate change tax” clearly suggests the 2010 flood was caused by man-made warming.

Yet the Climate Commission Flannery once headed has already admitted such a claim is false.

As its The Critical Decade report said: “The floods across eastern Australia in 2010 and early 2011 were the consequence of a very strong La Nina event and not the result of climate change.”

So why is Flannery suggesting the opposite of what his own Climate Commission found?

And why on earth do our academics believe him?


why would anyone believe this snake oil salesman??

why are our scientists too scared to call him out for being 100% wrong and a liar to fill his pockets with cash?

not one prediction right and still the grovellers of the Climate Church kiss the ground he has walked on..

how insane is that?  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Global warming is real
Reply #29 - Mar 9th, 2018 at 6:02am
 
meanwhile... in 2017 Flannery is still a DUD snake oil salesman..

Quote:
TIM FLANNERY'S LATEST PREDICTION BLOWN AWAY


September 18, 2017 7:19am


Professional climate alarmist Tim Flannery  first became famous for his dud predictions after predicting cities such as Brisbane and Sydney were likely to run out of water very quickly because of man-made global warming.

For instance, in 2007 he predicted:

So even the rain that falls isn't actually going to fill our dams and our river systems...

YOUTUBE

But it was another dud Flannery prediction. Back came the flooding rains, filling dams - some to overflowing.

Now a new dud Flannery prediction has emerged.

Two years ago Flannery could not resist trying to exploit another weather event to preach his warmist faith -and once again did it on the ABC, no doubt knowing it would not question him on his dodgy record:

Vanuatu has a long road of recovery ahead after the category-five [Cyclone Pan] struck the country on Friday night, killing 11 people and displacing thousands...

Chief Councillor Professor Tim Flannery tells ABC NewsRadio's Laura Tchilinguirian that the number of severe cyclones is predicted to increase as the warming affects the ocean surface.

"Elements of the damage wreaked by that cyclone [in Vanuatu] are being influenced quite strongly by climate change," he says.

"Sadly we're more likely to see them more frequently in the future."

This was already a ludicrous claim, given the fall in number of cyclones here and overseas over the past few decades.

But over the very next year something astonishing happened. We actually got not one strong cyclone in Australia for first time in many decades:  Grin

Another Flannery
With thanks to Liberal MP Craig Kelly, who notes:

The BOM report, that for first time since regular satellite images became available, that the 2015/16 cyclone season (the first cyclone season after Tim Flannery predicted the number of severe cyclones would increase) was only season not to record even a single severe tropical cyclone (minimum central pressure less than 970 hPa) in the Australian region.  Grin

This compares to 31 years ago, when 11 severe tropical cyclones were recorded in just one season.

Yes, he's done it again !  Grin

UPDATE

Chris Mitchell:

This paper’s environment editor, Graham Lloyd,... pointed out [this month's Hurricane] Irma had formed in a part of the Atlantic with unusually cool ocean surface temperature averaging 26.5C, about two degrees less than usual for such an intense storm.

He also skewered the latest bulletin from the Climate Council, led by palaeontologist climate ­activist Tim Flannery, titled:

“Fingerprints of climate change all over Tropical Storm Harvey”. Climate Council chief executive Amanda McKenzie had claimed “climate change is now supercharging extreme weather events”.

Lloyd cited the latest scientific paper from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that concluded it was premature to suggest human activities had ­already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity.

Accept the science is the cry from green extremists, but they don’t really.


Fair Dinkum... who believes these liars...  Roll Eyes
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