Surely it was obvious that, on any reasonable examination, Donald Trump was by far the better candidate in the 2016 election and thus, would probably win.
Or that Brexit was by far the better option and would also probably prevail.
Or that the Keating-Turnbull republic would have been a constitutional disaster, (as several constitutional experts admitted in a leading law journal after the defeat) and that it too would obviously be defeated.
Or that even if the worst IPCC predictions were to take place, stopping all Australian CO2 emissions would have no discernible effect whatsoever on the world’s temperature.
Surely today it is obvious that a return of Tony Abbott to the Liberal leadership, with his current popular but not populist agenda — one which passes the ‘pub test’ with flying colours— would be the very best option for the nation? And that if the voters were given the choice, Abbott would be likely to prevail?