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NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS (Read 1701 times)
Black Orchid
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #15 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 2:57pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jan 11th, 2018 at 10:31pm:
... I'll just ignore your nasty trolling posts.


Excellent idea Bobby    Wink
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Dnarever
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #16 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:13pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 11th, 2018 at 10:08pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 11th, 2018 at 9:30pm:
You do know that these guys are funded by Exxon Mobil ?



Is that the same Exxon-Mobil that published their research into climate change? over 50 papers.

http://cdn.exxonmobil.com/~/media/global/files/energy-and-environment/climate_pe...

Did you see the latest?

"Exxon Mobil launched a legal counterattack Monday against seven cities in California that want state courts to force the oil company to pay for infrastructure improvements to help them adapt to climate change.

The oil giant argued that it and other Texas-based energy firms have become the target of a “conspiracy” among liberal state attorneys general and other officials seeking to blame it for driving up emissions that are causing the earth’s temperature to rise.

“ExxonMobil finds itself directly in that conspiracy’s crosshairs,” the company’s attorneys explained in legal documents filed in a Texas state district court Monday night.

“Even though it has long acknowledged the risks presented by climate change, supported the Paris climate accords, and backed a revenue-neutral carbon tax, ExxonMobil has nevertheless been targeted by state and local governments for pretextual investigations and litigation intended to cleanse the public square of alternative viewpoints,” Exxon argued."

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/exxon-launches-counterattack-against-californi...

This follows some of the Democrat Attorney's General starting so-called RICO investigations into Exxon-Mobil, supported by Greenpeace et al. The Attorney's Generals backtracked fast when Exxon-Mobil fought back.

Is it that same Exxon-Mobile? Perhaps you have some evidence you want to provide?


And they fund people who publish anti climate change articles which is the point.
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lee
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #17 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:20pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:13pm:
And they fund people who publish anti climate change articles which is the point.



So if true,  it is ok to pay for articles that promote climate change but not the other way around?

That really is hypocritical isn't it? Wink

" We have the same concerns as people everywhere – and that is how to provide the world with the energy it needs while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The risk of climate change is clear and the risk warrants action. Increasing carbon emissions in the atmosphere are having a warming effect. There is a broad scientific and policy consensus that action must be taken to further quantify and assess the risks.

ExxonMobil is taking action by reducing greenhouse gas emissions in its operations, helping consumers reduce their emissions, supporting research that leads to technology breakthroughs and participating in constructive dialogue on policy options.

Addressing climate change, providing economic opportunity and lifting billions out of poverty are complex and interrelated issues requiring complex solutions. There is a consensus that comprehensive strategies are needed to respond to these risks."

http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/en/current-issues/climate-policy/climate-perspec...
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Dnarever
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #18 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:27pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:20pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:13pm:
And they fund people who publish anti climate change articles which is the point.



So if true,  it is ok to pay for articles that promote climate change but not the other way around?

That really is hypocritical isn't it? Wink

" We have the same concerns as people everywhere – and that is how to provide the world with the energy it needs while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The risk of climate change is clear and the risk warrants action. Increasing carbon emissions in the atmosphere are having a warming effect. There is a broad scientific and policy consensus that action must be taken to further quantify and assess the risks.

ExxonMobil is taking action by reducing greenhouse gas emissions in its operations, helping consumers reduce their emissions, supporting research that leads to technology breakthroughs and participating in constructive dialogue on policy options.

Addressing climate change, providing economic opportunity and lifting billions out of poverty are complex and interrelated issues requiring complex solutions. There is a consensus that comprehensive strategies are needed to respond to these risks."

http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/en/current-issues/climate-policy/climate-perspec...


Not like they don't have a vested interest is it ?

Same as the smoking industry were very successful at doing ?


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lee
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #19 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:34pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:27pm:
Not like they don't have a vested interest is it ?



Didn't answer the question HYPOCRITE. Grin Grin Grin

Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:27pm:
Same as the smoking industry were very successful at doing ?



There is far more evidence for smoking causing cancer than there is for AGW.

Show us the evidence; not climate models but evidence.
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #20 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:57pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:20pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:13pm:
And they fund people who publish anti climate change articles which is the point.



So if true,  it is ok to pay for articles that promote climate change but not the other way around?

That really is hypocritical isn't it? Wink

" We have the same concerns as people everywhere – and that is how to provide the world with the energy it needs while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The risk of climate change is clear and the risk warrants action. Increasing carbon emissions in the atmosphere are having a warming effect. There is a broad scientific and policy consensus that action must be taken to further quantify and assess the risks.

ExxonMobil is taking action by reducing greenhouse gas emissions in its operations, helping consumers reduce their emissions, supporting research that leads to technology breakthroughs and participating in constructive dialogue on policy options.

Addressing climate change, providing economic opportunity and lifting billions out of poverty are complex and interrelated issues requiring complex solutions. There is a consensus that comprehensive strategies are needed to respond to these risks."

http://corporate.exxonmobil.com/en/current-issues/climate-policy/climate-perspec...


So if true,  it is ok to pay for articles that promote climate change but not the other way around?

Who with a vested interest is paying to produce supportive climate change articles ?

Anyone doing this for either side is wrong. It isn't science when you have decided on the outcome and are only making the data fit your pre determined result.

Like this report on the NOAA article where they find a different outcome to that of the report by only considering a small part of the report and interpreting it creatively.

NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS

The truth is that this is not correct.
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lee
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #21 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 9:27pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:57pm:
Who with a vested interest is paying to produce supportive climate change articles ?



Try googling Rockefeller funding climate science or similar.
Try googling Rockefeller funding for Greenpeace.

Just a couple of hits.
https://theartofthehierophant.wordpress.com/2016/06/08/rockefeller-part-1-controlling-the-game/comment-page-1/
https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2014/08/big-green-hypocrites/

Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:57pm:
Like this report on the NOAA article where they find a different outcome to that of the report by only considering a small part of the report and interpreting it creatively.

NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS

The truth is that this is not correct.



The truth is you haven't read the report so you don't know.

You can read it at this link -
http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.p...
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Dnarever
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #22 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 10:00pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 9:27pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:57pm:
Who with a vested interest is paying to produce supportive climate change articles ?



Try googling Rockefeller funding climate science or similar.
Try googling Rockefeller funding for Greenpeace.

Just a couple of hits.
https://theartofthehierophant.wordpress.com/2016/06/08/rockefeller-part-1-controlling-the-game/comment-page-1/
https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2014/08/big-green-hypocrites/

Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:57pm:
Like this report on the NOAA article where they find a different outcome to that of the report by only considering a small part of the report and interpreting it creatively.

NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS

The truth is that this is not correct.



The truth is you haven't read the report so you don't know.

You can read it at this link -
http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.p...


Have a look at post 6, why would I recommend for people read the report if I hadn't done so myself.
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lee
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #23 - Jan 12th, 2018 at 11:08pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 10:00pm:
Have a look at post 6, why would I recommend for people read the report if I hadn't done so myself.



Big noting yourself? I don't know.

So let's have a look at that Abstract.

"The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat waves assessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes. "

Maybe natural variability played the whole role? Wink

Heat waves - "The Australian summer of 2012/13 was the warmest since records began in 1910 (Bureau of Meteorology 2013a). "

Actually records go back further than 1880. Back then, like now, there were large areas of the continent with no weather stations. So much for measuring heatwaves in Australia.

California Droughts - "The  2013  event  in  historical  context.  The 12-month precipitation and GPH anomalies are both unprecedented in the observational record (Fig. 2.1a,e). "

Figure 2.1c only goes back to about 1900. California has longer records than that.

Then of course we have "BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago, what is now California baked in two droughts, the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years. Each was much more intense than the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time, new studies of past climates show. The findings suggest, in fact, that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that mega-droughts are likely to recur."

www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-californ...

Published 1994.

Heavy rain events - "Nonetheless, the 2013 heavy rainfall event was large in spatial scale. Weather predictability of the event per se is not addressed herein (see Hamill 2014), but rather how climate change may have affected the relative likelihood of heavy precipitation in this large region. For this purpose, the modeled statistics of  heavy  five-day  rainfall  of  the recent 30-year period (1983–2012) are compared to that of the last 30 years of the 19th century."

Right climate models again.

Storms - " While these anomalies were significantly less than those associated with other blizzards in the region, they were comparable to 24 major snowstorms in Grumm and Hart (2001). These moderately strong anomalies suggest the storm system was intense, regardless of season, but not unprecedented in terms of 500-hPa heights."

Oh, NOT unprecedented.

Perhaps you did read it, just didn't understand it. Wink
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« Last Edit: Jan 12th, 2018 at 11:15pm by lee »  
 
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Re: NOAA report causes excitement among AGW deniers
Reply #24 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 8:49am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 8:50am:
Abstract:

Quote:
Attribution of extreme events is a challenging science and one that is currently undergoing considerable evolution.

In this paper, 20 different research groups explored the causes of 16 different events that occurred in 2013. The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat wavesassessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes.

Multiple groups chose to look at both the Australian heat waves and the California drought, providing an opportunity to compare and contrast the strengths and weaknesses of various methodologies. There was considerable agreement about the role anthropogenic climate change played in the events between the different assessments.

This year three analyses were of severe storms and none found an anthropogenic signal. However, attribution assessments of these types of events pose unique challenges due to the often limited observational record. When human-influence for an event is not identified with the scientific tools available to us today, this means that if there is a human contribution, it cannot be distinguished from natural climate.


http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.p...

The date of this paper is Sep 2014, the science has moved on from then! Event attribution to AGW is a fast growing area in climate research. For example read:

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060069847

In any case, the science was clear that anthropogenic causes (our reckless emission of greenhouse gases) led to extreme heat events.

That anthropogenic causes lie behind more and more extreme precipitation causing floods is easy to see in general: as the seas and the atmosphere warm up there is more evaporation followed in due course by more precipitation, e.g. Hurricane Harvey dumping 52" of rain on Houston in just one week. But attributing AGW to particular storms presented difficulties in 2014.



dear Monk,
I thought you weren't going to post here?
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #25 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:14pm
 
Quote:
NOAA Report Destroys Global Warming Link To Extreme Weather

Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have demolished claims by global warming activists that global warming caused or worsened many extreme weather events last year.(2013)


I agree with the NOAA on this one.
No one single weather event can either prove or disprove global warming.
Global warming is about long term trends and probabilities that can only be seen over decades. This isn't "sexy" enough for the media though.
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #26 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:35pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 11:08pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 10:00pm:
Have a look at post 6, why would I recommend for people read the report if I hadn't done so myself.



Big noting yourself? I don't know.

So let's have a look at that Abstract.

"The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat waves assessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes. "

Maybe natural variability played the whole role? Wink

Heat waves - "The Australian summer of 2012/13 was the warmest since records began in 1910 (Bureau of Meteorology 2013a). "

Actually records go back further than 1880. Back then, like now, there were large areas of the continent with no weather stations. So much for measuring heatwaves in Australia.

California Droughts - "The  2013  event  in  historical  context.  The 12-month precipitation and GPH anomalies are both unprecedented in the observational record (Fig. 2.1a,e). "

Figure 2.1c only goes back to about 1900. California has longer records than that.

Then of course we have "BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago, what is now California baked in two droughts, the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years. Each was much more intense than the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time, new studies of past climates show. The findings suggest, in fact, that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that mega-droughts are likely to recur."

www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-californ...

Published 1994.

Heavy rain events - "Nonetheless, the 2013 heavy rainfall event was large in spatial scale. Weather predictability of the event per se is not addressed herein (see Hamill 2014), but rather how climate change may have affected the relative likelihood of heavy precipitation in this large region. For this purpose, the modeled statistics of  heavy  five-day  rainfall  of  the recent 30-year period (1983–2012) are compared to that of the last 30 years of the 19th century."

Right climate models again.

Storms - " While these anomalies were significantly less than those associated with other blizzards in the region, they were comparable to 24 major snowstorms in Grumm and Hart (2001). These moderately strong anomalies suggest the storm system was intense, regardless of season, but not unprecedented in terms of 500-hPa heights."

Oh, NOT unprecedented.

Perhaps you did read it, just didn't understand it. Wink


Quote:
Big noting yourself?


I thought that showing that I had read the report was a reasonable response to your post advising me to read the report ? But you left that bit out ?


lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 9:27pm:
The truth is you haven't read the report so you don't know.

You can read it at this link -
http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.p...


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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #27 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:50pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 11:08pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jan 12th, 2018 at 10:00pm:
Have a look at post 6, why would I recommend for people read the report if I hadn't done so myself.



Big noting yourself? I don't know.

So let's have a look at that Abstract.

"The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat waves assessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes. "

Maybe natural variability played the whole role? Wink

Heat waves - "The Australian summer of 2012/13 was the warmest since records began in 1910 (Bureau of Meteorology 2013a). "

Actually records go back further than 1880. Back then, like now, there were large areas of the continent with no weather stations. So much for measuring heatwaves in Australia.

California Droughts - "The  2013  event  in  historical  context.  The 12-month precipitation and GPH anomalies are both unprecedented in the observational record (Fig. 2.1a,e). "

Figure 2.1c only goes back to about 1900. California has longer records than that.

Then of course we have "BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago, what is now California baked in two droughts, the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years. Each was much more intense than the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time, new studies of past climates show. The findings suggest, in fact, that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that mega-droughts are likely to recur."

www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-californ...

Published 1994.

Heavy rain events - "Nonetheless, the 2013 heavy rainfall event was large in spatial scale. Weather predictability of the event per se is not addressed herein (see Hamill 2014), but rather how climate change may have affected the relative likelihood of heavy precipitation in this large region. For this purpose, the modeled statistics of  heavy  five-day  rainfall  of  the recent 30-year period (1983–2012) are compared to that of the last 30 years of the 19th century."

Right climate models again.

Storms - " While these anomalies were significantly less than those associated with other blizzards in the region, they were comparable to 24 major snowstorms in Grumm and Hart (2001). These moderately strong anomalies suggest the storm system was intense, regardless of season, but not unprecedented in terms of 500-hPa heights."

Oh, NOT unprecedented.

Perhaps you did read it, just didn't understand it. Wink


Quote:
"The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat waves assessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes. "

Maybe natural variability played the whole role?


How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear

Less clear, not proven wrong.

indicating that natural variability
likely
played a much larger role
in these extremes


Or maybe the natural variations were impacted by climate change and maybe it had a substantial impact. Where they talk about water currents there is no indication of how much is normal and what percentage may be influenced by change for instance, we know the water is warmer.

Also where they talk about  extreme ridging events which block storms moving into the California region from the sea. At one point they point out that the recent events have been unusually prolonged and much higher than in the past. In a separate section they associate that hight with the duration and also the hight is associated with reduced sea ice. That is that reduced sea ice in the north is thought to drive a higher ridge which lasts longer.

This is natural variability ? But the amount of sea ICE is linked to global warming so maybe not as natural as first thought.

Not sure why the report didn't link those two assessments made in the same report ?
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« Last Edit: Jan 13th, 2018 at 1:01pm by Dnarever »  
 
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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #28 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 1:16pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:50pm:
How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear

Less clear, not proven wrong.



And not proven right. Wink

Dnarever wrote on Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:50pm:
Or maybe the natural variations were impacted by climate change and maybe it had a substantial impact. Where they talk about water currents there is no indication of how much is normal and what percentage may be influenced by change for instance.



Yes. So how can they show it is AGW?

Dnarever wrote on Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:50pm:
At one point they point out that the recent events have been unusually prolonged and much higher than in the past.



So the 2013/14 drought was unusually more prolonged than the 6 year droughts, let alone the 140 year and 220 year droughts? Grin Grin Grin

Dnarever wrote on Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:50pm:
But the amount of sea ICE is linked to global warming so maybe not as natural as first thought.


Linked? Can you show the definitive link?


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Re: NOAA report destroys climate change idiots BS
Reply #29 - Jan 13th, 2018 at 1:20pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jan 13th, 2018 at 12:35pm:
I thought that showing that I had read the report was a reasonable response to your post advising me to read the report ? But you left that bit out ?



Saying people should read the report is NOT the same as having read the report.

You could of course have given a link to the report. That would show at least you knew where it was. it still wouldn't have shown you had read the report.
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