4 Labor, 4 Liberal and NXT:
Julia Banks, (Chisholm, Vic) - 1.24%
Jason Falinski, (Mackellar, NSW) - 15.74%
David Feeney, (Batman, Vic) - 1.03% vs Greens
Alex Hawke, (Mitchell, NSW) - 17.82%
Justine Keay, (Braddon, Tas) - 2.20%
Susan Lamb, (Longman, Qld) - 0.79%
Nola Marino, (Forrest, WA) - 12.56%
Rebekha Sharkie, (Mayo, SA) - 4.97% vs Liberal
Josh Wilson, (Fremantle, WA) - 7.52%

The percentages are the margins in their seats at the last election.

The ones who would have most difficulty holding their seats:
* Banks (Lib, Chisholm) - 1.24%. Any swing to Labor in Victoria (which is likely) would be a real problem for Banks.
* Feeney (ALP, Batman) - 1.03% vs Greens. The Greens have recently won the Northcote state by-election in this same area and would be very likely to take this seat off Labor.
* Lamb (ALP, Longman) - 0.79%. A swing to the government is unlikely, but by-elections can produced surprising results. The small margin leaves little room for error.

MPs that may have some difficulty:
* Keay (ALP, Braddon) - 2.20%
* Sharkie (NXT, Mayo) - 4.97% - The Liberals would work hard to reclaim this seat.
* Marino (Lib, Forrest) - 12.56% - The margin would ordinarily be considered safe, but the Liberals' support in WA has fallen sharply since the last Federal election. Marino should hold, but with a much-reduced margin.

If these by-elections were to take place, I expect Banks would lose Chisholm to Labor, Feeney would lose Batman to the Greens.

Gordon wrote on Dec 6^th, 2017 at 3:31pm:

I'm going on the list that I have seen on the ABC website. It is possible the list is incomplete.

Interesting developments right now. All of the Mps in doubt could end up being referred to the High Court. Feeney and Sharkie have already announced that they support this.

Haven't we got any aussies in government? I can see why they do s hit we hate.

I think that there is a typo or just flat error in the op. It says that there are some Labor MPs. Labor's vetting process is foolproof and rolled old, so that can't be the case.

matty wrote on Dec 6^th, 2017 at 3:54pm:

I think you are trolling.

Gordon wrote on Dec 6^th, 2017 at 3:45pm:

Links, please.

Bam wrote on Dec 6^th, 2017 at 3:59pm:


But what I said was completely factual.

Its time wrote on Dec 7^th, 2017 at 8:51am:

The Libs are sht scared of losing their majority. That's possible, but they should still be able to govern if they were capable. Oh wait...

What the Libs should do: refer all nine to the High Court for determination. Prorogue Parliament until this is done and any by-elections are completed. That requires courage and leadership, something Turnbull lacks.

What the Libs will actually do: allow this to drag on well into 2018 and make them look worse and worse as time goes on.

Both may result in the Liberals losing one seat. Only one allows them to do so without looking foolish. Naturally, the Liberals have chosen the worst option.