But wasn't it supposed to be a shoo in? 56 seats? What happened?

Its time wrote on Dec 1^st, 2017 at 10:03am:

Queensland election: ABC election computer shows Labor has 47 seats, but no result yet
By Josh Bavas and staff
Updated 3 minutes ago

Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk and Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls speaking and looking serious in composite photo.
PHOTO: Labor secures the 47 seats it needs for a majority, with the LNP shoring up 38. (AAP: Darren England)
RELATED STORY: Here's what happens if Labor falls short in the Queensland electionRELATED STORY: Was the Queensland election result good or bad for One Nation?
MAP: Brisbane 4000
It could be next week before an official state election result is declared, the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) has said, as the ABC's election computer shows Labor has secured the 47 seats it needs for a majority, with the LNP shoring up 38.

There are still four seats in doubt — two of which are expected to go to the LNP.

ECQ spokesman Dermot Tiernan said it still had not received all of the votes for counting.

"As of yesterday we had 100,000 postal votes still in the hands of Australia Post," he said.
All you need to know


Take a closer look at the electorates, candidates and key seats.
"They will come — they've got until close of business next Tuesday to arrive — and then they can be assessed for whether they've been properly filled out and then scrutinised and then added to the count."

ABC election analyst Antony Green said it was unlikely Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk would officially claim victory until the ECQ finished the count.

"What happened today was basically some extra results came in for Gaven, which put Gaven beyond doubt as a Labor victory," he said.

"Of the 47 seats, the only seat there that there might be any doubt ... still — is Macalister where [independent candidate] Hetty Johnston is 980 votes behind the LNP candidate in third place.

"But at this stage she still has to close that gap and we won't know if that closes until next week — personally I think it's unlikely."
Labor's pledge to only govern with majority

During the election campaign, Ms Palaszczuk made repeated promises she would only govern with a majority.

Ms Palaszczuk even went so far as professing she would go into Opposition rather than rely on the crossbench.

47 is a majority, but only by one seat. In practice, Labor will want confidence and supply from the crossbenches to improve stability.

Labor can still get to 48 seats. Maiwar is the seat in doubt here, with Labor and the Greens very close together. Whoever pulls ahead will overtake the LNP on preferences. The Greens are ahead by 12 votes on the primary votes, and the preferences distributed from 800 votes for an independent candidate will be decisive.

I expect this seat will take the longest to decide.

Other seats:

The LNP are ahead of Labor in Burdekin with 50.6% 2PP.

Hinchinbrook has the KAP ahead of the LNP with 54.7% of the 2PP vote. This seat is similar to Maiwar, with KAP and ONP in a close contest to come second to the LNP so they can pull ahead in the final count on preferences. The KAP margin over ONP is over 200 votes on the primary votes, but a lot more preferences are in play from Labor, the Greens and an independent.

Townsville has the LNP ahead of Labor by about 200 votes after preferences, or about 50.3% to 49.7%.

lee wrote on Dec 1^st, 2017 at 12:04pm:

So what happened to the Liberals at the last WA election?

Most of the imposter Laborites failed to get 50% primary vote they are so detested.

It was ONLY prefs to keep 1 Nation out that got them there.

Now watch LW chuck a mental and do a foot change.

I'll be waiting for the official results thanks...  not the ABC computer modelling... its wrong as often as it is right during the night... 
Oh dear they've given the seat to Labor...
Oh no now its just in doubt
Now its LNP
Oh no back to Labor...

Sorry...  Official figures are what counts not Antony's guesses.

juliar wrote on Dec 1^st, 2017 at 5:17pm:


The imposter candidates, the LNP, lost.

Bam wrote on Dec 1^st, 2017 at 4:41pm:



Liberals lost.

And now we have Labor.

Backflipped on police pay.
The on /off/on again/off again gold tax.
And Barry Urban can't remember whether he has diplomas from English Universities, wears medals to which he is not entitled, seems he perhaps was not an investigator in Bosnia and doesn't have a Diploma in Local Government. But Labor has a comprehensive audit policy on prospective MP's.

Oh, and sold off parts of the electricity grid, despite promising not to do so.