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Falling from 76% to 36% (Read 1806 times)
Its time
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Falling from 76% to 36%
Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am
 
In an otherwise largely static poll, which has Labor maintaining an election-winning lead, the gap between Turnbull and the Labor leader, Bill Shorten, as preferred prime minister narrowed substantially, with the margin now two points, with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%. Labor inched forward to improve its lead on the two-party-preferred vote, leading the Coalition by 55% to 45% compared with 54% to 46% in the last poll

Not looking good rtards  Smiley
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Redmond Neck
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #1 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:31am
 
Where is Juliar!

Having a heart attack?  Grin Grin Grin
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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
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cods
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #2 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:33am
 
I thought this was  a Kevin thread....

hes the only mr 76% I know.... Sad Sad Sad
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juliar
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #3 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:36am
 
LW what is the point of this ? Having a giggle ? U no the polls are rigged to keep the failing Bull S. there.

The failing Labor collapsed in Vic and beaten by the dead in  the water Greenies!!!!
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #4 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am
 
...
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #5 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.
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Redmond Neck
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #6 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:41am
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.


Looking worse for Ju-Liar she will soon be out of a job!    Grin Grin
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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #7 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:42am
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.


Bill has come from 20% where as Mal has fallen from 76% , kirribilly will romp it in
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juliar
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #8 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:44am
 
Now to deflate paw LW sitting on his armchair waving his arms about and having a giggle.


Contradictory polls in Queensland, while the Greens storm Northcote in Victoria
Adrian Beaumont Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne November 20, 2017 11.47am AEDT

The Queensland election will be held in five days, on November 25. There has been no statewide polling from either Galaxy or Newspoll since an early November Galaxy. These two pollsters have given Labor higher primary votes than ReachTEL, and assume One Nation preferences will not favour the LNP as strongly as ReachTEL, which uses respondent-allocated preferences. As a result, Labor has led by about 52-48 in Galaxy and Newspoll, while they have been behind 52-48 in ReachTEL.

A Queensland ReachTEL poll for the parent advocacy group The Parenthood, which was conducted on November 13 from a sample of 1,130, gave the LNP a 52-48 lead by respondent preferences. This is unchanged from a late September media-commissioned ReachTEL. Primary votes were 32.7% Labor (down 2.1), 32.2% LNP (down 1.0), 17.7% One Nation (down 1.9) and 9.5% Greens (up 1.4).

A second ReachTEL poll, for the left-wing Australia Institute, which was also conducted on November 13 from a sample of almost 2,200, gave the LNP a 52-48 lead from primary votes of 34.0% Labor, 32.3% LNP, 17.9% One Nation and 8.3% Greens.

These two polls show One Nation in decline since the September ReachTEL, but this decline has gone to “Others” instead of the major parties.

Despite being a little behind Labor on primary votes, the LNP leads by 52-48 in both polls. Respondent preferences from non-major party voters flowed to the LNP over Labor at a 56-59% rate. If Greens preferences are going to Labor at a 75% rate, preferences of One Nation and Other voters are favouring the LNP at a near 70% rate.

At the March Western Australian election, One Nation preferences flowed to the Liberals at a 60% rate, according to the ABC’s Antony Green. In that case, there was a preference deal between One Nation and the Liberals, whereas in Queensland One Nation is putting most sitting members second last ahead of the Greens, irrespective of party.

If ReachTEL’s strong preferences from One Nation to the LNP occur at the Queensland election, it would be bad news not just for state Labor, but also federal Labor. Most federal polls assume One Nation preferences split evenly, as they did in 2016.

In an additional poll question released November 18, presumably from the early November Galaxy, voters opposed the proposed A$1 billion Commonwealth loan for Adani by a 55-28 margin.

Seat polling

Newspoll conducted six seat polls on November 15-16 from samples of 500-700 per seat. The seats surveyed were Mansfield, Whitsunday, Gaven, Ipswich West, Bundaberg and Thuringowa. There was a large swing against Labor in Thuringowa, with One Nation leading 54-46. In Bundaberg, the LNP led by 53-47, after Labor won by 0.5% in 2015.

In the other seats, Labor’s vote was holding up better, with small swings to Labor in Whitsunday, Mansfield and Gaven. A ReachTEL poll in Maiwar for GetUp! had a 50-50 tie, a three-point swing to Labor.

According to Kevin Bonham, the average of 11 Galaxy/Newspoll seat polls in Labor vs LNP contests is a 0.9 point swing to the LNP. However, seat polling has not been accurate in past elections.

Where the election will be won or lost

After being reduced to just seven seats at the 2012 election, Labor won 44 of the 89 seats at the 2015 election, forming government with the support of independent Peter Wellington. For most of the last term, Labor relied on the support of Labor defector Billy Gordon, who had won Cook. Labor’s Cairns MP Rob Pyne also defected in 2016.

After a redistribution, there will be 93 seats at this election. From the ABC’s pendulum, Labor would win 47 seats on 2015 results, the LNP 41, the Katter party 2 and there would be three defectors – two from Labor and one LNP. If the defectors are assigned to the party that would win the seat on 2015 results, Labor has 48 seats and the LNP 43. Labor can afford to lose one net seat without losing its majority.

At this election, One Nation’s vote is likely to be in the high teens, and they will do better in regional Queensland than in south-east Queensland. Galaxy seat polling indicates that regional Queensland is swinging against Labor, but polls of Glass House and Bonney, both in southeast Queensland, recorded small swings to Labor.

Read the rest of Labor's election losing here

https://theconversation.com/contradictory-polls-in-queensland-while-the-greens-s...
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Its time
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #9 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am
 
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #10 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am
 
Redmond Neck wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:41am:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.


Looking worse for Ju-Liar she will soon be out of a job!    Grin Grin


Should get plenty of extra shifts over the holiday period.


...
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juliar
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #11 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:52am
 
LW is in denial mode and looks the other way as the real actual factual stuff rolls in. All looks real bad for Socialist Labor.

and the gecko troll is attention seeking again with more droll troll stuff.
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #12 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:55am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am:
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy


...
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #13 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:07am
 
Gosh that boring gecko troll is desperate for attention.

But back to deflating LW as unpopular unelectable Bull S. is BANNED from Qld by Mrs Anny Pally to stop Bull S. putting the kiss of death on her.

Mrs Anny Pally nose Bull S. is electoral poison.




Bill Shorten to miss Queensland Labor launch
By Darren Cartwright18 November 2017 - 06:43pm

Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk says she's great mates with federal Labor leader Bill Shorten and there is nothing sinister behind him missing the ALP's campaign launch on the Gold Coast.

Mr Shorten has thrown his support behind former NSW premier Kristina Keneally, who he recruited for the Bennelong by-election in Sydney.

...
The unpopular unelectable Bill Shorten in his crumpled daggy baggy blue soot.

Ms Palaszczuk said Mr Shorten has already made his presence felt during the Queensland election campaign, but "we're yet to see (Prime Minister) Malcolm Turnbull with (Opposition Leader) Tim Nicholls" ahead of the November 25 election.

The Premier spent her last Saturday before next weekend's election announcing a $30 million pledge towards improving boating infrastructure if re-elected.

Ms Palaszczuk said the ALP had already spent a similar amount on the state's waterways over the past two years to improve experiences for the owners of 260,000 registered vessels.

"We have to ensure our infrastructure keeps up with demand," she said.

About the same time Ms Palaszczuk was making the announcement her rival Tim Nicholls made a similar pledge at his press conference at Victoria Point.

Ms Palaszczuk finished her morning by strolling through the Jan Power's Markets at Manly, which is in the safe Labor seat of Lytton, where she bought a jar of honey and chatted to locals.

https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland-election-2017/bill-shorten-to-miss-q...
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #14 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:10am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am:
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy


I hope he knows the difference between a Big Mac and a Quarter Pounder.

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aquascoot
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #15 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:12am
 
Bill will win.

what a disaster for fat steve and fat janeen.

its the equivalent of them going on holidays to their grandma's and being fed lots of sugary drinks and chocolate.

they think they are winning because their "leader' is "pleasuring them" but, in fact, they are just being cheered off the cliff.

labor con the poor that they care about them but they dont care at all. labor just hate the rich and successful and use the poor by giving them more of what the poor want .  but what the poor want and what would benefit the poor are 2 entirely different things
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #16 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:32am
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:10am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am:
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy


I hope he knows the difference between a Big Mac and a Quarter Pounder.



He will have decades to learn
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #17 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:33am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:32am:
greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:10am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am:
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy


I hope he knows the difference between a Big Mac and a Quarter Pounder.



He will have decades to learn


Grin
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #18 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:36am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:46am:
Our sharp as a balloon juLiar seems to be confused between federal and state politics  Cheesy


Amazing how polls reflect voter intentions both state and federally when they favour Labor. Wink
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #19 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:39am
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:42am:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.


Bill has come from 20% where as Mal has fallen from 76% , kirribilly will romp it in


So Bill has only risen 16% on a fall of 40% by Malcolm? And that's "good"?
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Its time
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #20 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:58am
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:39am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:42am:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:37am:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:28am:
with the Liberal leader ahead 36% to Shorten’s 34%.



Only 2% above BS? That's is certainly not looking good for Bill.


Bill has come from 20% where as Mal has fallen from 76% , kirribilly will romp it in


So Bill has only risen 16% on a fall of 40% by Malcolm? And that's "good"?


Bill will be your PM before end of next year  Smiley
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #21 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:00pm
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:58am:
Bill will be your PM before end of next year 



perhaps.
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John Smith
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #22 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:01pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:00pm:
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:58am:
Bill will be your PM before end of next year 



perhaps.


no perhaps about it ... unless he has a heart attack he'll romp it in.

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #23 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:03pm
 
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:01pm:
no perhaps about it ... unless he has a heart attack he'll romp it in.



That's only one way he could be replaced.
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John Smith
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #24 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:03pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:01pm:
no perhaps about it ... unless he has a heart attack he'll romp it in.



That's only one way he could be replaced.



Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now, even if someone was looking to challenge him, which they aren't. If you think someone's going to challenge you're even more deluded than turnbul.
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #25 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:12pm
 
aquascoot wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:12am:
Bill will win.



Correct
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #26 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:17pm
 
Its time wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:12pm:
aquascoot wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 11:12am:
Bill will win.



Correct


x 2

And this guy will be making a special appearance on that joyous day:


...
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Mr Hammer
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #27 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:20pm
 
Considering PMs get voted out and not in there's no other choice but Shorten. He'll have a hard time governing because the big winners will be the independents. Shorten better learn to lick Pauline's asshole.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #28 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:25pm
 
Mr Hammer wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:20pm:
Considering PMs get voted out and not in there's no other choice but Shorten. He'll have a hard time governing because the big winners will be the independents. Shorten better learn to lick Pauline's asshole.


...
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lee
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #29 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:56pm
 
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm:
Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now,



Oh, only almost.
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Bam
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #30 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 1:32pm
 
Mr Hammer wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:20pm:
Considering PMs get voted out and not in there's no other choice but Shorten. He'll have a hard time governing because the big winners will be the independents. Shorten better learn to lick Pauline's asshole.

You haven't though this through.

Three of One Nation's Senators are up for re-election at the next half-Senate election, and they won't keep all of them. Any that do get returned are much more likely to do so at the expense of a Coalition senator. For One Nation to be a problem for Shorten, they would have to beat a Labor or Greens candidate and leave Labor and the Greens short of the numbers. I don't see it happening.

Other minor parties are also represented. NXT are a good chance to return a Senator in SA at the next election. The Greens should retain most of their seats. Labor may return three Senators in WA for the first time in decades. Lambie may return.

The real losers will be the Coalition. They are likely to lose enough Senators to shift the balance of power. Labor are likely to gain Senate seats in NSW and SA where they only have one Senator up for re-election.
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #31 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 2:05pm
 
Looks like Blackout Bill has had quite a few Quarter Pounders in that photo of him...
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #32 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 2:15pm
 
Malcolm Turnbull said it himself on National TV ~ he's neither of the Right or the Left but somewhere in between.

Mister In-Between, hoping to be all things to all men and failing miserably to be anything other than a dud from all perspectives.

He hasn't a hope of surviving the next election, but will end up Australia's ambassador to Ireland or some such thing.
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #33 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:17pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:56pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm:
Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now,



Oh, only almost.


almost is good enough to secure shortens tenure
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #34 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:19pm
 
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:17pm:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:56pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm:
Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now,



Oh, only almost.


almost is good enough to secure shortens tenure


If Labor comes in they'll do what they always do ~ run up a huge national debt before the Libs are then voted in by Labor voters to sort out the mess. That's been the pattern for decades now.
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #35 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:20pm
 
Lord Herbert wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:19pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:17pm:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:56pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm:
Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now,



Oh, only almost.


almost is good enough to secure shortens tenure


If Labor comes in they'll do what they always do ~ run up a huge national debt before the Libs are then voted in by Labor voters to sort out the mess. That's been the pattern for decades now.



debt has
DOUBLED
under the libs Herb


stop drinking the cool aid
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Its time
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #36 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:23pm
 
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:20pm:
Lord Herbert wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:19pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:17pm:
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:56pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 12:06pm:
Rudd changes have made it almost impossible to ditch shorten now,



Oh, only almost.


almost is good enough to secure shortens tenure


If Labor comes in they'll do what they always do ~ run up a huge national debt before the Libs are then voted in by Labor voters to sort out the mess. That's been the pattern for decades now.



debt has
DOUBLED
under the libs Herb


stop drinking the cool aid


Doubled in half the time
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #37 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:32pm
 
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:20pm:
debt has
DOUBLED
under the libs Herb


That's better than QUADRUPLED under the Labs.


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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #38 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 6:35pm
 
Lord Herbert wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:32pm:
John Smith wrote on Nov 21st, 2017 at 4:20pm:
debt has
DOUBLED
under the libs Herb


That's better than QUADRUPLED under the Labs.




only in your imagination herbie ... Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #39 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 7:43pm
 
Gosh I hope the Lefties won't be too disappointed when their fantasies collapse around their ears.

how to survive without welfare - fruit picking ? Drive for Uber ?
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Re: Falling from 76% to 36%
Reply #40 - Nov 21st, 2017 at 10:23pm
 
Will they go to a third different PM now kirribilly has wrecked two , or will they imitate labor , and reinstate the first one ? Jesus rtards , we know your mindset languishes a few generations behind , at least try and be original  Roll Eyes
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