Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print
Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense (Read 243 times)
Unforgiven
Gold Member
*****
Offline


I have sinned

Posts: 8879
Gender: male
Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense
Feb 22nd, 2017 at 8:56pm
 
Australian population increased by 379,000 in 2016. With 64% participation rate that means ~ 240,000 extra jobs would be required.

For 2016, the government says 129,800 part-time jobs were created and 40,100 full-time jobs were lost. That's a net job gain of 89,300 jobs (=129,800 - 40,100).

In January 2016 unemployment was 5.7%, and currently, in February 2017, it is 5.7%. However, there were 240,000 extra workers and jobs only increased by 89,300.

It appears that unemployment information published by the government is incredible nonsense.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02-16/unemployment-jobs-abs-data-january/8276040

Quote:
Unemployment rate falls, but full-time jobs slump in January: ABS

Australia's unemployment rate has fallen slightly to 5.7 per cent, as a surge in part-time jobs offset a slump in full-time work.

The Bureau of Statistics seasonally adjusted data show the jobless rate fell from 5.8 to 5.7 per cent last month.

However, the figures show an estimated 13,500 increase in jobs was entirely driven by part-time work, with 44,800 full-time jobs lost in January.

The last few months of 2016 had seen a rise in full-time work, but January's numbers cast some doubt on whether this short-term trend will continue.

"We are still seeing strong growth in part-time employment in January 2017 and, in recent months, increasing growth in full-time employment," noted Bruce Hockman, the bureau's general manager of macroeconomic statistics.

"There are now around 129,800 more people working part-time than there were a year ago, and around 40,100 fewer people working full-time."
AMP Capital's chief economist Shane Oliver said the data are likely to be neutral for policymakers, such as the Reserve Bank, because the relatively steady jobless rate is being achieved mainly through rising part-time employment.

"Yet again, we've got that ongoing problem of a fall in fulltime jobs … and the quality of employment growth is still lacking in Australia," he told ABC NewsRadio.

Monthly jobs ups and downs just 'noise'

The participation rate - the proportion of the adult population in work or looking for it - also declined slightly from 64.7 to 64.6 per cent.

Despite the surge in part-time work, the bureau's estimate of monthly hours worked rose by 0.6 per cent in January.

Jobs data explained


ABC business reporter Michael Janda explains how the jobs data are calculated and what to look for in the figures.
The more stable trend figures - smoothed over several months to reduce volatility - put unemployment at 5.7 per cent for the ninth straight month, painting what is probably an accurate picture of a reasonably stagnant labour market.

Deutsche Bank economist Adam Boyton said the figures taken as a whole show the jobs market is continuing to head sideways, with little improvement or decline.

"Stepping back from the month-to-month noise in these data, we note that the broad trend in the unemployment rate appears to be moving sideways," he wrote in a note on the data.

"Indeed, we expect the unemployment rate to trend sideways (of course with the usual noise one sees in these data) for some time."
Back to top
 

“I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours” Bob Dylan
 
IP Logged
 
Gordon
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 20230
Gordon
Gender: male
Re: Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense
Reply #1 - Feb 22nd, 2017 at 9:02pm
 
STOP THE PLANES
Back to top
 

IBI
 
IP Logged
 
Unforgiven
Gold Member
*****
Offline


I have sinned

Posts: 8879
Gender: male
Re: Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense
Reply #2 - Feb 22nd, 2017 at 9:05pm
 
Gordon wrote on Feb 22nd, 2017 at 9:02pm:
STOP THE PLANES


Stop the kettle bells from dumbing people into meat-heads.
Back to top
 

“I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours” Bob Dylan
 
IP Logged
 
whiteknight
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 7641
melbourne
Gender: male
Re: Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense
Reply #3 - Feb 23rd, 2017 at 5:41am
 
Whats the real unemployment number?.   Sad
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Unforgiven
Gold Member
*****
Offline


I have sinned

Posts: 8879
Gender: male
Re: Unemployment: Government publishes nonsense
Reply #4 - Feb 23rd, 2017 at 10:40am
 
whiteknight wrote on Feb 23rd, 2017 at 5:41am:
Whats the real unemployment number?.   Sad


Probably around 7%.

That's why the budget is blown. Tax revenue from wages and GST is down.
Back to top
 

“I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours” Bob Dylan
 
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print