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The Myth of the 97% consensus claim (Read 39674 times)
ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #540 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:49pm
 
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« Last Edit: Sep 12th, 2015 at 8:01pm by ImSpartacus2 »  
 
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #541 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:49pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:16pm:
lee wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:05pm:
I've been quite open about my sources. Live with it.



As have I. But Lee, you are right about him rejecting even direct quotes from NASA, MET etc if they are inconvenient. He still beleives that there has been no hiatus is warming despite showing him a Nature Magazine link to that effect.

it is amusing being called a denialist when actually it is people like him that are clearly deniers of any information not to his liking.
That's funny.  All you ever do when your caught out is simply invent "facts".  No reputable climate scientist accepts your denialist generated furphy of a hiatus and no reputable climate scientist doubts the fundamental accuracy of the Hockey stick.  Your BS has no currency here Longy and changing your name and sex has simply reinforced what everyone has always known about your propensity to lie.
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lee
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #542 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:56pm
 
Hilarious. I invent facts that are listed on NOOA/NASA, IPCC etc websites.

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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #543 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 8:24pm
 
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #544 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 8:24pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:05pm:
Hilarious. I invent facts that are listed on NOOA/NASA, IPCC etc websites.
No, you take your arguments distorting the science and the facts from denialist sites and then with your riding instructions come here and regurgitate the BS as if you came up with "problems" you found in the NOOA/NASA and IPCC claims and materials. Admit it, you get this sh!t from denialist sites. But that's OK, just be ready to say whose sites you get it from and what research you have done to ensure that your not getting distortions of the science from compromised sites.  For a non scientist its easy to get misled by all the complexities involved and i would have thought any rational HONEST person interested in ascertaining the truth of the matter would have made sure to make those enquires without any hesitation. So answer the question!!!!!
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lee
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #545 - Sep 12th, 2015 at 8:34pm
 
Bye Bye Troll. You double poster you.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #546 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 9:02am
 
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:40pm:
lee wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:05pm:
I've been quite open about my sources. Live with it.


That's not true. Answer the questions I've asked instead of being evasive. There is only one explanation for your evasiveness and that's that you're a lying sock. Here, I'll give you yet another chance and make it easy for you by quoting below the question I asked you days ago and repeatedly asked you since and you have repeatedly refused to answer. Answer the question!

ImSpartacus2 wrote on Sep 9th, 2015 at 12:59pm:


What research have you done regarding the allegations that the denialist sites you take your arguments from and do your cutting and pasting from are not compromised by their receipt of funding from the fossil fuel industry. Any person who is not a sock and who is genuinely interested in the science instead of the idiological implications of AGW would comprehensively research that matter and share their research and conclusions with us.  Are you going to answer the question. Yes or no sock???



1) we quote from multiple sources, many the actual warmist sites you love to quote
2) you need to prove that funding sources affect outcomes. What about government funding which very obviously comes with a pro-AGW bias?
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #547 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 9:04am
 
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:49pm:
mariacostel wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:16pm:
lee wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:05pm:
I've been quite open about my sources. Live with it.



As have I. But Lee, you are right about him rejecting even direct quotes from NASA, MET etc if they are inconvenient. He still beleives that there has been no hiatus is warming despite showing him a Nature Magazine link to that effect.

it is amusing being called a denialist when actually it is people like him that are clearly deniers of any information not to his liking.
That's funny.  All you ever do when your caught out is simply invent "facts".  No reputable climate scientist accepts your denialist generated furphy of a hiatus and no reputable climate scientist doubts the fundamental accuracy of the Hockey stick.  Your BS has no currency here Longy and changing your name and sex has simply reinforced what everyone has always known about your propensity to lie. 


Actually, they ALL do and I quoted you (verbatim) about 6 such eminent scientists including some on your side of the debate who reject the Hockey Stick. IPCC rejects it too.

Your refusal to reject the hockey stick when all scientists have done the same is evidence of your ignorance and supreme bias.
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #548 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 10:26am
 
mariacostel wrote on Sep 13th, 2015 at 9:02am:
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 7:40pm:
lee wrote on Sep 12th, 2015 at 6:05pm:
I've been quite open about my sources. Live with it.


That's not true. Answer the questions I've asked instead of being evasive. There is only one explanation for your evasiveness and that's that you're a lying sock. Here, I'll give you yet another chance and make it easy for you by quoting below the question I asked you days ago and repeatedly asked you since and you have repeatedly refused to answer. Answer the question!

ImSpartacus2 wrote on Sep 9th, 2015 at 12:59pm:


What research have you done regarding the allegations that the denialist sites you take your arguments from and do your cutting and pasting from are not compromised by their receipt of funding from the fossil fuel industry. Any person who is not a sock and who is genuinely interested in the science instead of the idiological implications of AGW would comprehensively research that matter and share their research and conclusions with us.  Are you going to answer the question. Yes or no sock???



1) we quote from multiple sources, many the actual warmist sites you love to quote.
Cr@p! You get your riding instructions from the denialist sites and then come and regurgitate them here as though they're your creation and in keeping with how the denilaist site tells you to play it you pretend you discovered your findings when surfing the IPCC site etc.  What a joke. A climate scientist illiterate like you. 

2) you need to prove that funding sources affect outcomes.
How could doubt that you're Longy with a stupid and I mean stupid proposition like that.  It's ipso facto true mate so take your BS somewhere else. 
 

What about government funding which very obviously comes with a pro-AGW bias?

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ImSpartacus2
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #549 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 10:26am
 
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #550 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 12:40pm
 
“Claims based on the ‘Mann hockey-stick curve’ are by now totally discredited.”


PROFESSOR PETER STILBS, PHD Professor of Physical Chemistry at the Royal Institute of Technology in Stockholm. Fellow of the Royal Society of Chemistry, member of the American Chemical Society and the American Physical Society, and Docent of Physical Chemistry at Uppsala University and Åbo University. Member of the International Advisory Board for the RSC journal Chemistry World.

In September 2006 Professor Stilbs and the Royal Institute of Technology hosted 120 participants from 11 countries representing a wide spectrum of views at a conference on “Global Warming - Scientific Controversies in Climate Variability”. At the conclusion of the meeting, he wrote342: By the final panel discussion stage of the conference, there appeared to be wide agreement that: 1) It is likely that there has been a climate trend towards global warming underway since 1850… 2) There are many uncertainties in climate modeling… 3) Natural variations in climate are considerable and well-documented… 4) There is no reliable evidence to support that the 20th century was the warmest in the last thousand years. Previous claims based on the “Mann hockey-stick curve” are by now totally discredited.

Steyn, Mark (2015-09-01). "A Disgrace to the Profession" (Kindle Locations 3929-3943). Stockade Books. Kindle Edition.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #551 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 12:42pm
 
“Today most scientists dismiss the hockey stick.”


DR MADHAV KHANDEKAR, PHD Meteorologist and climatologist. Research Scientist with Environment Canada for 25 years. Editorial board member of The Journal of Natural Hazards, and former editor of Climate Research. Member of the American Geophysical Union, the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, and the American Meteorological Society. Former World Meteorological Organization lecturer in meteorology. MSc in Statistics from Pune University, PhD in Meteorology from Florida State University.

Before the hockey stick, climate science was a complicated business: a vast Amazonian river (as Professor Kiminori Itoh of Yokohama National University characterized it25) with many tributaries - from aerosols and volcanoes to solar variations and land surface modifications. What if all that complexity could be simplified? Really simplified - into “a nice tidy story” (in Professor Keith Briffa’s words) about “unprecedented warming in a thousand years” 26. In 2009 Dr Khandekar was interviewed by Canada’s Frontier Centre for Public Policy. Asked whether Michael E Mann’s hockey stick was “a smoking gun that proves the alarmists right”, he replied27: The hockey stick was a graph constructed by some scientists about ten years ago. What it was meant to show was that the earth’s temperature from about 1080 till about 1850 remained essentially constant and then it started to shoot up. Lots of problems have been found out in the graph. The most glaring error in the hockey stick was that it did not show the Little Ice Age, which was significant. It did not show the Medieval Warm Period from the 8th to 12th century, which was also significant. There were errors in the use of the tree-ring data and also other errors. So today, most scientists dismiss the hockey stick. They do not consider the hockey stick graph to be a correct representation of the global mean temperature.


Steyn, Mark (2015-09-01). "A Disgrace to the Profession" (Kindle Locations 396-423). Stockade Books. Kindle Edition.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #552 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 12:43pm
 
“The work of Mann and his colleagues was initially accepted uncritically, even though it contradicted the results of more than 100 previous studies.”


DR DAVID DEMING, PHD Geologist, geophysicist and associate professor at the University of Oklahoma. Associate Editor of Petroleum Geoscience and Ground Water. Author of peer-reviewed papers published by Science and other journals, and of “Global warming, the politicization of science, and Michael Crichton’s State of Fear”, published in The Journal of Scientific Exploration.

The Medieval Warm Period - when Greenland got its name and was extensively farmed, and vineyards flourished in much of England - was a matter of uncontroversial historical record. But, once you’ve decided to “repeal” it, it’s amazing how easy it is. On December 6th 2006 Dr Deming testified before the United States Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works52: I had another interesting experience around the time my paper in Science was published. I received an astonishing email from a major researcher in the area of climate change. He said, “We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period. 53” The Medieval Warm Period (MWP) was a time of unusually warm weather that began around 1000 AD and persisted until a cold period known as the Little Ice Age took hold in the 14th century. Warmer climate brought a remarkable flowering of prosperity, knowledge, and art to Europe during the High Middle Ages. The existence of the MWP had been recognized in the scientific literature for decades. But now it was a major embarrassment to those maintaining that the 20th century warming was truly anomalous. It had to be “gotten rid of.” In 1769, Joseph Priestley warned that scientists overly attached to a favorite hypothesis would not hesitate to “warp the whole course of nature.” In 1999, Michael Mann and his colleagues published a reconstruction of past temperature in which the MWP simply vanished. This unique estimate became known as the “hockey stick,” because of the shape of the temperature graph.

Normally in science, when you have a novel result that appears to overturn previous work, you have to demonstrate why the earlier work was wrong. But the work of Mann and his colleagues was initially accepted uncritically, even though it contradicted the results of more than 100 previous studies. Other researchers have since reaffirmed that the Medieval Warm Period was both warm and global in its extent.

Steyn, Mark (2015-09-01). "A Disgrace to the Profession" (Kindle Locations 746-768). Stockade Books. Kindle Edition.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #553 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 12:44pm
 
How's it going Spartacus?  Do these peer-reviewed, eminent scientists all work for big oil?
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #554 - Sep 13th, 2015 at 12:47pm
 
“Very few paleoclimatologists agreed to the shape of the (hockey stick) curve.”


PROFESSOR PER HOLMLUND, PHD Professor of Glaciology at Stockholm University. Member of the national committee of geophysics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, and if the International Meteorological Institute. Former Director of Tarfala Research Station, and member of many expeditions to the Arctic and Antarctic. Swedish member of the World Glacier Monitoring Service, the International Arctic Science Committee, the Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research, etc.

Eventually, Mann was forced to issue corrections to the two MBH papers in successive months in June 2004 (in Geophysical Research Letters) and in July 2004 (in Nature). If the correction does “not contradict the original publication”, Nature’s policy is to publish it as an “addendum”. But, “if the scientific accuracy or reproducibility of the original paper is compromised”, only a “corrigendum” can be published. Both of the above were “corrigenda” - yet Mann refused to accept the plain meaning of that word. In 2005 Professor Marcel Leroux wrote319: After describing their errors, they still considered (2004) that “none of these errors affect our previously published results”! …The corrigenda issued by Mann et al are “a clear admission that the disclosure of data and methods… was materially inaccurate.” At the IPCC there would not be even a corrigendum. Many serious paleoclimatologists were astonished by Mann’s hockey stick, and then appalled at its adoption by the IPCC for the Third Assessment Report. For the Fourth Assessment Report, they attempted to restore some sanity. Reviewing the Second Order Draft, Professor Holmlund wrote320: This remark concerns the handling of the Mann “hockey stick”… When Mann et al presented their hockey stick six-to-seven years ago they formatted paleodata in such a way that climate modellers could use it. But very few paleo climatologists agreed to the shape of the curve and nowadays we have much better data to use. It is therefore natural to describe the Mann curve in a history of science perspective, but not as a valid data set. A good example of a good modern curve is the one presented by Moberg et al… It has at least the variation seen in almost all paleo climate records for the past millennia. In the present IPCC text the view described is that we have the hockey stick and then later some scientists have raised critical voices. The basic meaning is that the hockey stick is still the number one description of the past millenia. This is not flattering and it certainly mis-credit [sic] the report. I believe that it is rather easy to go through the five pages and update the spirit of the text and perhaps make some adjustments in the figure captions. But Mann’s Hockey Team were still running the show and any suggestion that the IPCC acknowledge valid criticisms of the stick met with rejection. Professor Holmlund received the following response: Rejected – the Mann et al curve is included for consistency and to maintain a historical context for the current state of the art.

Steyn, Mark (2015-09-01). "A Disgrace to the Profession" (Kindle Locations 3647-3648). Stockade Books. Kindle Edition.

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