I'll take a moment to discuss the minor parties.

At the last election:
* KAP 2
* Independents 1

Current holdings of minor parties:
* KAP 3
* Independents 4

PUP was founded since the last election. PUP have strong levels of support around the Gold Coast, but less support elsewhere. They may get one or two members elected, but that's all. PUP will also bleed votes from the LNP - perhaps harvesting a substantial protest vote - and it is likely that these PUP protest votes will be exhausted and not find their way back to the LNP. If this happens, I do not see it making a difference to the overall election result, but it may change the result in one or two seats.

PUP has overshadowed KAP in the last year and KAP has low levels of support. I do not think KAP will hold all their seats. They may get one or two returned. Ray Hopper left the LNP to join KAP (and is therefore at the most risk of losing his seat), whereas Rob Katter (son of Bob Katter) and Shane Knuth were elected as KAP members at the last election and should have better chances.

Three of the four independents were former members of the LNP who left the party after the last election: Alex Douglas and Carl Judge (both of whom also joined and left PUP) and Scott Driscoll. These members may struggle to hold their seats against endorsed LNP candidates.

Liz Cunningham is a long-serving independent who has held her seat of Gladstone since 1995. She should be returned easily.

Cunningham is not running ~ retiring.  Gladstone is a big industrial area.  Should be Labor.


They're cashed up bogans Aussie so I'm not sure, unless there's a good independent to replace Cunningham, I'd say it will go to the libs.

Housekeeping only:

Link.

Quote:


(Contains commentary on likely replacement for Newmann if LNP win and he goes down.)

Life_goes_on wrote on Jan 7^th, 2015 at 4:26pm:


Yes he can.....but he has said he won't.  He said yesterday something along the lines of "If I go down, the Team goes down," when asked who his replacement would be if he loses and the LNP get up.

hey aussie what happened to Anna Palmer>>didnt she win pre selection??    someone must have found out she didnt have a clue about anything..

palmer said he had 50 waiting to send Newman into history.. so far I have only counted 12....

Speaking locally, I sincerely hope (expect) Mr M Pucci, Member for Logan, to lose for the LNP. A former US Marine at high levels in their logistics arena ( )  he is openly contemptuous of his constituents who query him on the Newman govt performance in Logan.

Arrogant and unwilling to talk to all constituents, he typifies this govt. ..I hope his fellows  ( Campbell's TEAM)  lose.

Logan WAS a Labor seat until the last fiasco of an election.  Labor will come back in Logan.

I despise the fortune the Newman government has been spending on media propaganda... its been going on for the last yr..! 
The LNP, (I heard it from MR PUCCI himself) boldly declare, and keep on declaring, that QLD is leading the nation in most , if not all economic factors. 
That is a bald faced lie... but the amount of money they are spending on full page ads, to that effect, in all newspapers and TV is obviously worth it in their eyes. Qld'ers, being as insular as we are.. may well believe the garbage. Shame.
The cost to the people of QLD must be staggering... the pap has been constant and that makes me mad, when they claim they're nearly broke...(bit like the Federal Govt in that respect eh?)

PLUS the ads are SO manipulative..  are we idiots or WHAT?

Guess we'll find out at the election.

Always possible Aussie. Shaping up to be an interesting yr.

Well.. re the hero thing? 
I think Anna Bligh did a fantastic job dealing with those flood yrs and cyclones... IT didn't make HER a hero tho did it?.