longweekend58 wrote on Mar 26
th, 2013 at 8:49am:
Today's Newspoll gives the nation's view on the ALP and its interminable leadership crisis and it is a massive thumbs down.
In a result which would eclipse Gough Whitlam's massive defeat in 1975, Julia Gillard is taking her fractured and demoralised party to an annihilation that would see 30 of Labors 72 seats go to the popular Coalition. It is a maxim in politics that 'disunity is death' but even labor strategists are shocked by the severity of the hit they have taken. The Coalition have reached 50% of the primary vote while Labor has plunged four points to just 30% and a two-party preferred figure of 58/42. But what Labor fears even more is that the worst is yet to come.
The labor vote is on a solid trajectory down hill and the indications are that nobody is listening to Gillard or indeed, anyone else from labor. Kevin Rudd has shown himself to be a coward and consequently, voters who had a hope that he would rise and 'save' Labor have had their hopes dashed. Gillards actions in sacking and forcing pro-Rudd front benchers out just underlines her divisive rule. Suddenly, there is not just one Rudd on the back bench sniping and leaking information. There are ten of them. And to underline all that misery comes the news that Tonny Abbott is preferred Prime Minister by his biggest margin yet.
If there was ever any hope of a miracle win, it evaporated with this poll. A PM with the strategic and oratorical skills of a Paul Keating couldnt save this turkey. Gillard's political strategy skills are appalling and apart from when she is embarrassing herself by playing the gender card, her oratorical skills match Kath and Kim and even with the accent.
But the ALP are stuck with her now. There is literally no one else left to take on the job and possibly salvage some warm bodies from the wreckage. Like any one of a hundred dictators before her, she has 'executed' her opponents.
By Sept 14 we could be looking at a 40+ seat loss and an ALP doomed to the opposition benches for a decade or more.
I agree, Labor will lose & lose badly, in the upcoming election, as the Public look for someone to blame!
That said, the Liberals will be a "one term" government, as the GFC returns & the Libs go for their standard DNA fix of AUS-terity, which will only exacerbate issues & rush the OZ Economy further into the downward spiral!
So, you can guess what's coming next, as the Public look for someone to blame, which this time will be the Liberals & yes, they will become a term government, as will Labor, who will in trun lose the following election, as a pattern sets in!
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