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Perpetual Growth means.... (Read 6565 times)
perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #30 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 7:35pm
 
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 6:17pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:43pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:14pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:13pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:00pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:49pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:44pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:25pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:09pm:
Solutions?

It does mean solutions will have to be found to the predicaments we have put ourselves in, yes!

But, then, that is evolution so....  Grin  Wink Wink


Well, it might be trendy and cool to 'rally against the system, man,' but pragmatic solutions are required when problems are identified.

gO FOR IT THEN!  Wink Wink


The only solution (that I can come up with at this stage) is to encourage recycling further, and hope in the future technology can help firms to manufacture products from recyclable material. Because, the way business and money operates, it cannot but 'grow.' Growth is rooted in the very fundamentals of business.


That has been the way it has been presented, BUT IT IS AN IMPOSSIBILITY, IN REALITY, OVER TIME, as we are now finding out!



How can you operate a business without having 'growth'?


Before we get into that question, watch Albert Bartlett's Exponential Function video's 1-8, then come back and you may find the question has changed to -
How can we continue to operate business Globally AND have exponential 'growth'?


I am not watching 80 minutes of video. Just sum it up for me in a few paragraphs.

If I am getting the context of that question right, all you're doing is putting the cart before the horse. It's not a question of 'how can we continue to have growth because of ... (insert horror story here),' it's more of 'how do you operate a business that works with no growth?' In other words, how do you change the fundamentals of business and still make sure everyone is fed, clothed, sheltered, and  have the extras they want?


Now that's funny!

Those video's were put together by a very, very smart professor and what he needed to say took about 80 minutes.
And, you think I should be able to do it in a couple of paragraphs. 

Let me put it this way, watch the first 3 & you should start to get the idea. Then, if you are starting to get the idea, you will want to look at it all, too get the full picture!

If you don't get a reasonable picture after watching the first 3, then you wasted 30 minutes of your life.
So what, all of us do that & more, much more.

Of course, if your mind is already made up, then no amount of information will convince you of anything!   



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Postmodern Trendoid III
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #31 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 7:50pm
 
If you know it so well then a few paragraphs should be no problem. Did you do a Bachelor degree at all? If you did, one of the main skills you should have learnt is to summarize large amounts of information in a few paragraphs.

I know the dangers associated with over use of resources, I am just not convinced of any proposed solution thus far. In fact, for all the critiques of growth and capitalism out there, I've never heard of any workable solution. It might be 'cool' and 'hip' to criticize capitalism, but it's pointless if you have no alternative.
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perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #32 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 7:59pm
 
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 6:22pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:46pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:14pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:13pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:00pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:49pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:44pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:25pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:09pm:
Solutions?

It does mean solutions will have to be found to the predicaments we have put ourselves in, yes!

But, then, that is evolution so....  Grin  Wink Wink


Well, it might be trendy and cool to 'rally against the system, man,' but pragmatic solutions are required when problems are identified.

gO FOR IT THEN!  Wink Wink


The only solution (that I can come up with at this stage) is to encourage recycling further, and hope in the future technology can help firms to manufacture products from recyclable material. Because, the way business and money operates, it cannot but 'grow.' Growth is rooted in the very fundamentals of business.


That has been the way it has been presented, BUT IT IS AN IMPOSSIBILITY, IN REALITY, OVER TIME, as we are now finding out!



How can you operate a business without having 'growth'?


why must you have growth? If the banks make $3 billion profit a year, why is that not enough? why must they screw everything and everyone to try and make that 3 become 6 become 16 ......


Regardless of the profit margins of banks or any company for that matter, businesses must make a profit from their sales. They must receive more money from their sales than they spend on their expenditures. Otherwise, they'll eventually go bankrupt and there won't be anything to sell. That means drastically reduced supplies of all necessary (and desired) commodities. Which then means death for millions.


Let me say, there are competing interests here!

For starters, individual businesses need more income than expenditure, in order to make a Profit & therefore stay in business. However, that does not mean & nor are there any guarantees that all businesses &/or countries will continue & not go bankrupt.

If you &/or anyone else takes the time to review the information in Professor Bartlett's video's, you would conclude that many of the desired (in fact essential) commodities (particularly in Energy) are now facing drastic reductions to the Supply lines, over the next 2-3 decades. And, the more we try to retain the Population Growth Status Quo, the quicker these commodities will Deplete.

Those Supply Declines will be permanent and resulting from that & the retirement, then death of 2 Billion Baby Boomers, the Global Economy will change forever, as the Globally supportable Population Declines to around 2-3 Billion, by 2050. 

I don't care, which Political Party anyone supports, these future facts mean that Business, Economics & Politics must change & change quickly, IF our future generations are to have any chance at a reasonable life! 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #33 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 8:03pm
 
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 7:50pm:
If you know it so well then a few paragraphs should be no problem. Did you do a Bachelor degree at all? If you did, one of the main skills you should have learnt is to summarize large amounts of information in a few paragraphs.

I know the dangers associated with over use of resources, I am just not convinced of any proposed solution thus far. In fact, for all the critiques of growth and capitalism out there, I've never heard of any workable solution. It might be 'cool' and 'hip' to criticize capitalism, but it's pointless if you have no alternative.


In fact Capitalism is still the best Economic model, so far generated, but it will have to be refined, some of the excesses removed & the same will have to happen with Politics & Democracy! 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #34 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 9:40pm
 
The First Law of Sustainability


Population Growth &/or
Growth in the rates of Consumption of Resources
CAN NOT BE SUSTAINED!


Per Professor Albert Bartlett
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Shane B
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #35 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm
 
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Julia Gillard - twice selected, never elected.

We're still paying for the Whitlam Government.
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #36 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:52pm
 
Shane B wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm:
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


Try keeping up Shane & try watching the Professors video's, they would help.

To put it as simply as possible, there are limits to Growth & we are now living thru those times!
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Prevailing
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #37 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:18pm
 
Shane B wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm:
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Its insanity to pursue an ideology that can only end in catastrophe - especially the way we are doing by accelerating growth with mass immigration - if we do not reign the stupidity of the major parties, corporations and unions in fast the country is in deep shite. Cool Cool
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I condemn Male Violence Against Women
The Government Supports Gynocide
There Is Something Dreadfully Wrong With Men
 
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #38 - Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:56pm
 
Prevailing wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:18pm:
Shane B wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm:
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Its insanity to pursue an ideology that can only end in catastrophe - especially the way we are doing by accelerating growth with mass immigration - if we do not reign the stupidity of the major parties, corporations and unions in fast the country is in deep shite. Cool Cool



What will the pursuit of your ideology end in?
What is your progressive ideology about? What are we progressing to? How and when will we know we are there?



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perceptions_now
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #39 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:06am
 
Soren wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:56pm:
Prevailing wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:18pm:
Shane B wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm:
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Its insanity to pursue an ideology that can only end in catastrophe - especially the way we are doing by accelerating growth with mass immigration - if we do not reign the stupidity of the major parties, corporations and unions in fast the country is in deep shite. Cool Cool



What will the pursuit of your ideology end in?
What is your progressive ideology about? What are we progressing to? How and when will we know we are there?


If you plan on living another 10-20 years, you'll live thru it, with the rest of us!
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Prevailing
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #40 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:06am
 
Soren wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:56pm:
Prevailing wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:18pm:
Shane B wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 10:00pm:
Paul Ehrlich, The Limits to Growth (1972).

Still hasn't happened.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Its insanity to pursue an ideology that can only end in catastrophe - especially the way we are doing by accelerating growth with mass immigration - if we do not reign the stupidity of the major parties, corporations and unions in fast the country is in deep shite. Cool Cool



What will the pursuit of your ideology end in?
What is your progressive ideology about? What are we progressing to? How and when will we know we are there?




The pursuit of the spirit our freedom and law is founded in by which we can never truly be slaves is our constitution and law founded in the Great magna Carta & Bill of Rights 1689.  Our prosperity, our freedom, our security. our rights are all declared there in statutes. Cool Cool Cool

Bill of Rights 1689
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_of_Rights_1689
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I condemn Male Violence Against Women
The Government Supports Gynocide
There Is Something Dreadfully Wrong With Men
 
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Big Donger
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #41 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:41am
 
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 6:22pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:46pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:14pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:13pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 5:00pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:49pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:44pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:25pm:
Postmodern Trendoid III wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 4:09pm:
Solutions?

It does mean solutions will have to be found to the predicaments we have put ourselves in, yes!

But, then, that is evolution so....  Grin  Wink Wink


Well, it might be trendy and cool to 'rally against the system, man,' but pragmatic solutions are required when problems are identified.

gO FOR IT THEN!  Wink Wink


The only solution (that I can come up with at this stage) is to encourage recycling further, and hope in the future technology can help firms to manufacture products from recyclable material. Because, the way business and money operates, it cannot but 'grow.' Growth is rooted in the very fundamentals of business.


That has been the way it has been presented, BUT IT IS AN IMPOSSIBILITY, IN REALITY, OVER TIME, as we are now finding out!



How can you operate a business without having 'growth'?


why must you have growth? If the banks make $3 billion profit a year, why is that not enough? why must they screw everything and everyone to try and make that 3 become 6 become 16 ......


Regardless of the profit margins of banks or any company for that matter, businesses must make a profit from their sales. They must receive more money from their sales than they spend on their expenditures. Otherwise, they'll eventually go bankrupt and there won't be anything to sell.


Sure, but why do they need growth?

Businesses existed before capitalism - back when lending money with interest (or ursury) carried a penalty, in some places, of death.

Only the financial sector needs growth - without compound interest, the incentive to loan money disappears.

This is why earlier economic thinkers placed their focus on the state as central lender/planner, but as you've pointed out, this is inefficient as well. Or just plain corrupt.

Without capital, the markets would be stuffed. But without checks and balances, capital will be stuffed. This is why the post-war institutions of the IMF, World Bank, etc, were created: to protect money. If you protect money, you protect states and their debt. If a state's interest bill goes sky-high, everyone is stuffed - even, as we've seen in Ireland and Greece, the system as a whole.

And that's when you get revolutions and wars.

The solution has to involve the global financial system. The Friedmanite Washington Consensus of the past 40 years - the focus on supply (free trade and market rule) - has been a dangerous experiment, but clearly, it's not over yet.

Prevailing's solution of protectionism can't work in the current economic setting. Protectionism worked in the post-war era because the global financial system used a gold standard for currency. This placed limits on the borrowing and spending of states. Also, for what it was, there was a General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT). As a multilateral framework, GATT was ineffective, but countries did negotiate tariffs bilaterally.

That was the point. On their own, tariffs do nothing except tax imports. With agreements in place, states produce what they're good at. They sell what they've got a surplus of and buy what they need.

This did leave the developing, cash crop economies at a loss, and that was the problem with the old model. Developing states borrowed money from developed (and oil rich) states to develop. This led to the loans crisis of the early 1980s, and the system came crashing down - again, a problem of capital.

In a global economy, only very powerful states can determine their own economies. Mind you, this always involves their satelite states and dependants. US economic policy has always relied heavily on Latin America, Europe, and now, China.

Therefore, the solution can only be transnational. The problem is, capitalism is steered by hegemonic states who will always resist - with force - anyone else grabbing their market share. The Dutch did it, Britain did it, Amerika does it, and China will do it before long. It's called gunship diplomacy, and ultimately, this is where all growth leads - to the systemic imbalances that lead to war.

This is why any attempt at a solution - even if you could get all the world's leaders sitting down at a table - is doomed to failure. If even minute taxes on transnational financial speculation are scoffed at, we're doomed.

Remember how Bob Brown was howled down for suggesting some form of international decision-making body?

We're buggered.
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« Last Edit: Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:57am by Big Donger »  
 
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Shane B
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #42 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:47pm
 
...

Good ol Malthus is still getting a red hot run around here.  Grin  Grin  Grin

I see professor Bartlett is a physicist, not an economist.
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Julia Gillard - twice selected, never elected.

We're still paying for the Whitlam Government.
 
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Soren
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #43 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 1:55pm
 
Yeah, we can stop growth. These guys should be content with what they have. It could worse, it could be a shoe box.
...
Cheesy
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Doctor Jolly
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Re: Perpetual Growth means....
Reply #44 - Jul 26th, 2012 at 2:02pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jul 25th, 2012 at 9:40pm:
The First Law of Sustainability


Population Growth &/or
Growth in the rates of Consumption of Resources
CAN NOT BE SUSTAINED!


Per Professor Albert Bartlett



You can have growth without population growth, or more consumption of resources.

Technological growth and wealth growth can occur without comsuming more resources, and deliver higher and higher quality of life.
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