longweekend58 wrote on May 25
th, 2012 at 9:23am:
NBNMyths wrote on May 25
th, 2012 at 12:00am:
Some interesting info coming out of Senate Estimates tonight. NBN Co have revealed the percentages of customers on each speed tier of the fibre network:
12/1: 18%
25/5 or 25/10: 35%
50/20: 10%
100/40: 37%
These numbers are far in excess of the forecast in the NBN Business case. eg The takeup of 100/40 was forecast to be 8% of connections, and 12/1 was forecast to be 52%. While it was expected that "early adopters" would lift high speeds initially, it was also revealed that the percentage taking the top speed is actually increasing as time goes on, with 50% of April connections choosing 100/40.
Overall, the percentages mean that 82% of NBN customers so far have chosen speeds in excess of the speeds provided by the Coalition alternative policy (which is officially 12Mbps to 97%).
an as usual, the interpretation of this statistic is flawed by inherent assumption. with take-up rates for the NBN being wel below expectation and frankly, an embararssment, of course the few that take it up are opting for higher speeds. The only people that can be bothered taking the NBN are doing so because it offers them something - speed. what would be a far better assessment would be including those who didnt take it up at all preferring to use the existign network. suddenly the take up of high speed is rather poor.
I'm not sure where you get that from? The overall takeup of the NBN is far, far above expectations.
It's above the predictions in the corporate plan after this period.
It's about 20x the takeup of ADSL after a similar time period.
It's well ahead of the takeup of similar services overseas after a similar time period.
And this is despite the current barriers to connection (Such as no traditional phone service, many of the biggest/cheapest ISPs not offering services yet (eg TPG, DoDo), no multicast and no business-grade products.)
The takeup rate in Kiama is now 34% after just 6 months. That's gobsmacking. Even in Tasmania (with the lowest takeup of about 20% after 18 months), it's reached half the ADSL rate (which is just 44% after 11 years across Tasmania).
NBN Co would be absolutely chuffed at the takeup rate, and particularly at the breakup of that rate by connection speed.
And, as I mentioned before, the trend from the most recent connections is an even greater choice of the highest speeds.