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Member Run Boards >> Environment >> New from Your ABC http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1774163537 Message started by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:12pm |
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Title: New from Your ABC Post by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:12pm
"Scientists are warning this summer's sharp swings from record heat to torrential rain illustrate how climate change is becoming a dominant driving force in our weather.
Over the past few months, multiple parts of the country have lurched from extreme heat to flooding — sometimes in a matter of weeks — in a summer that has been described as one of "breakneck climate whiplash" by the Climate Council. Making it more unusual, according to meteorologist and climate councillor Andrew Watkins, is that many of the extreme heat records have occurred despite the presence of a weak La Niña — which typically brings cooler, wetter conditions to large parts of Australia. He said it points to a new reality where once reliable drivers of weather are now being overpowered by human influence. "Climate change clearly is overtaking some of the other drivers at times," Dr Watkins, an adjunct professor at Monash University said. "We are seeing records occur when we wouldn't really expect to see them." Climate whiplash affected every state In a new report by the Climate Council, which catalogues the summer's extreme events and their toll, examples of weather flipping from one extreme to another can be seen in nearly every state and territory. One of the most stark examples of climate whiplash over recent months was in south-eastern Australia, where communities went from extreme heat and catastrophic fire warnings to flash flooding and back again in the space of just one month. This timeline shows how that played out for Victoria's Otway Ranges in the state's south-west. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-17/summer-weather-whiplash-points-to-driving-force-climate-change/106459530 And this "Climate whiplash" has resulted in new grain records in WA, and in the north and NSW. Lower in Victoria. Weather varies, who knew? |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by tallowood on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:21pm
All that and now days becoming shorter and nights longer as well.
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Ai_Took_Our_Jobs on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:23pm
The phenomenon is driven by a warmer atmosphere that holds more moisture, intensifying both droughts and downpours. As climate scientist Linden Ashcroft notes, “We’ve got more energy in our earth system than at any other time in human history,” making weather more erratic and destructive. While some farmers benefit temporarily, the long-term risks—unpredictable growing seasons, soil degradation, and infrastructure strain—are growing. The claim that good harvests disprove climate whiplash overlooks the fact that such extremes are now part of a new, unstable normal.
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:48pm Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:23pm:
Wrong. The Clausius-Clapeyron equation says that a warmer atmosphere may hold more moisture. Not that it must hold more moisture. Ah, intensifies both droughts and downpours? The good old no null hypothesis CO2 theory. CO2 can do all things. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Ai_Took_Our_Jobs on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:57pm
The Clausius–Clapeyron equation sets a baseline for moisture capacity, but real-world conditions determine whether that capacity is fully realised.
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:01pm Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 5:57pm:
So then you should be able to give the equation and timing of when it was fully realised. Please cite the study that shows that. ;) |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Ai_Took_Our_Jobs on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:26pm
The Clausius–Clapeyron equation is expressed as:
where $P_1$ and $P_2$ are vapor pressures at temperatures $T_1$ and $T_2$ (in Kelvin), $\Delta H_{\text{vap}}$ is the enthalpy of vaporization, and $R$ is the universal gas constant. This equation, derived in the 1850s by Rudolf Clausius and based on earlier work by Benoît Paul Émile Clapeyron, provides a thermodynamic baseline for how saturation vapor pressure increases with temperature—approximately 7% per 1°C warming in Earth’s lower atmosphere. While the equation sets the theoretical maximum moisture capacity, real-world conditions like atmospheric circulation, vertical motion, and storm dynamics determine whether this potential is realized. Observational studies confirm that atmospheric moisture increases align closely with the Clausius–Clapeyron scaling. A key study supporting this is the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (2021), which states there is high confidence that global atmospheric water vapor has increased since the 1970s in line with the Clausius–Clapeyron expectation. This is further supported by NOAA’s 2024 “State of the Climate” report and independent analyses from the University of Colorado Boulder, which show observed specific humidity trends closely matching the theoretical 7% per degree Celsius scaling. Thus, while the equation was fully formulated in the 19th century, its real-world validation and widespread acceptance in climate science solidified in the 21st century, particularly through observational data confirming its predictive power for extreme precipitation and atmospheric moisture trends. Screenshot_2026-03-22_at_6_56_15__8239_pm.png (16 KB | 2
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Gordon on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:38pm
March is actually one of Sydney's **wetter months** — it sits in the back end of Sydney's wetter season (summer/autumn).Yes, March is one of Sydney's rainier months historically — it's late summer/early autumn, which is when Sydney tends to get its heaviest rainfall, often from east coast lows and lingering humid air masses. Average rainfall in March is around 130mm, making it one of the top 3 wettest months of the year alongside February and June.
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:58pm Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:26pm:
You do know the IPCC doesn't "do" studies. It merely reports. So you have to do much better than that. NCEI 2024 shows 7%, but it is a "re-analysis". It means they couldn't find it in the past. But a model did. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 6:26pm:
Yes. re-analysis from models. Now back to the null hypothesis - What was the question asked for it and how did it find two completely different outputs. ::) Sydney rainfall since 1900 - I don't see a 7% increase. It was wetter in about 1962. I would call that a fail. Perhaps you have other data? ;) |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by lee on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 7:35pm
Global Relative humidity-
The relative humidity is a direct function of rainfall. |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Bobby. on Mar 22nd, 2026 at 7:42pm Aunty ABC is trusted by the people. |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Jasin on Mar 23rd, 2026 at 1:05pm
Sky News rated higher than the BBC last year.
The ABC didn't even make the list of 100 ;D |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by aquascoot on Mar 24th, 2026 at 5:33pm
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FB_IMG_1774251517636.jpg (40 KB | 3
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by greggerypeccary on Mar 24th, 2026 at 6:20pm Jasin wrote on Mar 23rd, 2026 at 1:05pm:
ABC News 7pm nightly news remains a top-tier performer in Australia, often drawing around 900k–1 million+ national viewers for its primary weekday broadcast. It is highly competitive in total audience reach and dominates the digital space, frequently ranking as Australia's #1 digital news provider with over 13 million monthly unique visitors. |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Jasin on Mar 24th, 2026 at 6:43pm
Yes. And Melbourne is the most exciting city in the world too ;D
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Frank on Mar 25th, 2026 at 8:06pm
The ABC has been on strike all day.
Did anyone notice? No. ;D ;D Where's bovine Bwiyawn? Carked it, I expect. Fourth stroke. Or was it the fifth? |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Jasin on Mar 25th, 2026 at 9:01pm
10% payrises, plus $1000 bonus, but no they want more and go on strike for drinks down the pub as photographed.
If you divide the number of ABC employees by the yearly budget - each one gets 40% above the average wage of about $139,000pa each for starters. SCAMMERS. Then they have the hide to complain about cost of living, a few travelling from Newcastle and Goulburn... but not blaming their Lefty ALP for that. Must be tough on them for drinks down the pub. ::) |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Bobby. on Mar 25th, 2026 at 9:04pm Jasin wrote on Mar 25th, 2026 at 9:01pm:
They should all get a 50% pay cut. |
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Title: Re: New from Your ABC Post by Jasin on Mar 25th, 2026 at 9:24pm
Never happen under the ALP.
It's a cash grab no different to petrol price gouging. |
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