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General Discussion >> Thinking Globally >> Iran still wants to build nukes http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1750892444 Message started by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 9:00am |
Title: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 9:00am
https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-war-nuclear-06-23-2025-63d873b977642a40986d1f1dee5c4b37
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by MeisterEckhart on Jun 26th, 2025 at 9:22am
Well, no surprises there.
The regime is driven by a deeply held religious ideology that transcends the individual and eclipses all fear of death. Of course the Iranian regime will not abandon its nuclear program... Why would it? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:55am
If only someone hadn't torn up the deal and reimposed sanctions, pushing Iran from compliance to defiance, from dismantling their nuclear capabilities to ramping them up, from engaging at the negotiating table to electing a hardline government that no longer trusts the West to honour its word...
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:58am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:55am:
Do you think if we kept negotiating for a few more decades Iran would have stopped developing nukes? Are you suggesting Trump caused Iran to spend the last few decades developing nukes? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by MeisterEckhart on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:11pm ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:55am:
A deal that allowed the regime to maintain its stance on developing its nuclear arms program... In other words, you can do it... just don't get caught. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Bobby. on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:31pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:58am:
Iran just wanted a seat at the table with the big boys who all have nukes - it wanted respect. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:34pm Bobby. wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:31pm:
It wants to kill the Jews. It does not care whether you respect it. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Belgarion on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:35pm
I continue to be amazed at how some of the wokeist tragics here are so blinded by their ideology that they fail to see what very bad idea it would be to permit Iran to develop nuclear weapons. ::)
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:10pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:58am:
No, that's not what I'm suggesting at all. I'm saying that both the IAEA and US intelligence both assessed that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program back in 2003. What the JCPOA did was put strict, verifiable limits on Iran's nuclear activities to ensure they stayed peaceful, with the IAEA regularly confirming Iran's compliance up until Trump unilaterally pulled the US out in 2018. What Trump's withdrawal actually did was remove the deal's enforcement and verification mechanisms, which allowed Iran to resume activities that the JCPOA had successfully capped. So, no, Trump didn't cause Iran to spend decades developing nukes. He caused Iran to walk away from the restraints that were working. If anything, he took a bad situation that was under control and tore up the controls. That's not the same thing as saying he caused the original weapons program. It's saying he recklessly dismantled the guardrails that were keeping it from restarting. Given the pretext for the latest war was their uranium enrichment, I don't see why Trump should be rewarded for playing a part in cleaning up the mess he created. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Frank on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:12pm ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:10pm:
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:15pm Quote:
Iran never complied with it's obligations. Not in 2003. Not in 2013. Not in 2023. It gave the IAEA the runaround the whole time. The IAEA was not confirming compliance on Iran's part. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:27pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:15pm:
That's not what the IAEA reports on their website. From 2013 to 2015, Iran engaged in negotiations leading to the JCPOA and once it was signed and in effect from 2015 until 2018 when Trump scrapped it, they were in full compliance. In May 2018, Trump unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA and reinstated sanctions on Iran. In response, Iran began to incrementally reduce its compliance with the deal's provisions. By February 2021, Iran had ceased implementing the Additional Protocol, which allowed for more intrusive inspections and limited IAEA access to its nuclear facilities. The IAEA reported increasing difficulties in verifying Iran's nuclear activities during this time. If someone hadn't torn up the deal, Iran likely would have remained compliant, wouldn't have elected a hardline, anti-West government that refuses further negotiations, and the sanctions that reignited hostilities wouldn't have been re-applied. Instead, we were left relying on Mr "Art of the Deal" to craft some new, better arrangement. not only did he fail spectacularly to deliver that, but he also obliterated whatever shred of good faith the West had managed to build in this arena. But sure, we can't believe a word the IAEA say, unless it's of course to tell us Iran isn't complying to give Israel the excuse to strike Iran... |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:41pm Quote:
So why do some of the noncompliances reported this year date all the way back to 2003 and earlier? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:43pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:41pm:
Because the JCPOA was only signed in 2015. Were you dropped on your head as a child? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:45pm ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:43pm:
The IAEA did not say it was noncompliant in 2003, it said some of the current non-compliances date back to things Iran did over 20 years ago, for which it has been non-compliant ever since. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:49pm
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/iaea-board-declares-iran-breach-non-proliferation-duties-diplomats-say-2025-06-12/
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Bobby. on Jun 26th, 2025 at 5:49pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 12:34pm:
Are you saying that the principal of MAD - mutually assured destruction - would not apply to the Mullahs? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 26th, 2025 at 6:54pm Bobby. wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 5:49pm:
It does not work on people who, in their own words, welcome death. Just look at Gaza. They assure their own destruction every time they attack Israel, but it is not a deterrent. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Bobby. on Jun 26th, 2025 at 7:33pm freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 6:54pm:
All the death rhetoric is something they tell Islamic halfwits to do to help in their fight against Israel - just like the Japs and their Kamikaze pilots - I would say that the Iranian leaders want to live like any normal human being. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 27th, 2025 at 6:49am Bobby. wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 7:33pm:
The Iranian leaders are Islamic extremists who regularly announce to the world their desire to wipe out the Jews, and who also recently announced their intention to continue their nuclear program, despite the high likelihood they will be killed. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Bobby. on Jun 27th, 2025 at 8:58am freediver wrote on Jun 27th, 2025 at 6:49am:
It depends on what you want to believe. It's strange how intelligent scientists are only too glad to help them out to make nuclear weapons. Many of them were bumped off by Israel - all the top ones. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 27th, 2025 at 9:57am freediver wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:45pm:
Full compliance was reported during the active period of the JCPOA. It only ended after Trump withdrew and reapplied sanctions. Are you trying to deny this? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:05am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 27th, 2025 at 9:57am:
We could have gone on burying our head in the sand and "reporting" full compliance right up till they nuked Israel. But once they nuked Israel, we would be pretty much forced to change the reports to reflect reality. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/iaea-board-declares-iran-breach-non-proliferation-duties-diplomats-say-2025-06-12/ Quote:
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:16am
So we can only trust the IAEA when they tell us what we want to believe?
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Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:24am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:16am:
I don't think anyone actually wants to believe Iran is going to nuke Israel. But there is only so long you can stay in denial. Even the best case scenario from the JCPOA was not expected to prevent Iran nuking Israel. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action Quote:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/iran-nuclear-deal-trump-united-states/story?id=123020009 Quote:
That's not very long, even if it did work. Just Iran giving the anti proliferation authorities more of the runaround. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Frank on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:37am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 27th, 2025 at 10:16am:
"There will be either peace or there will be tragedy for Iran far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days. "Will be peace or will be bad proper one." |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Captain Nemo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 12:28am |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Baronvonrort on Jun 28th, 2025 at 1:01am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 1:27pm:
FD is right , sadskip is a bullshitter with TDS. If Sadskip took the time to read what the IAEA says he would find Iran hasn't complied with the NPT during the rule of any US President. https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/iran/iaea-and-iran-iaea-resolutions |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:18am Baronvonrort wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 1:01am:
My claim was that Iran was compliant during the JCPOA until Trump withdrew and reimposed sanctions. Your link proves that if you bothered to read the reports it links to... Stop misrepresenting what I've said to something you think you can counter, you liar. Even if you ended up stepping on a rake that hit you in the face, there's still no need to lie... From your link, if you read the reports, you'll find that it says: Early 2000s - Non-Compliance Identified In 2003, the IAEA reported that Iran had conducted undeclared nuclear activities, including uranium enrichment and plutonium separation, which were not reported to the agency as required under its safeguards agreement. This led the IAEA Board of Governors to find Iran in non-compliance with its safeguards obligations. 2015-2018 - Compliance During JCPOA Implementation Following the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015, the IAEA consistently verified that Iran was adhering to its nuclear-related commitments under the agreement. Reports during this period indicated that Iran was in compliance with the JCPOA terms. Post-2018 - Renewed Concerns and Non-Compliance After the US withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018, Iran began reducing its compliance with the agreement's provisions. By 2025, the IAEA reported that Iran had conducted covert nuclear activities involving undeclared nuclear materials at several sites, leading to findings of non-compliance with its safeguards obligations. My first contribution to this thread was, ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:55am:
And yes, it's still correct, proven by the very link you posted. Thanks for inadvertently supporting exactly what I said. You really should try reading beyond the headlines and the garbage your private MAGA Facebook or Telegram groups are feeding you, you absolute dumb dumb. The issue here is simple: because I'm critical of Trump, because I hold him accountable for his own decisions, decisions he made freely, you've lazily tried to paint me as being pro-Iran. I'm not. Iran aren't the good guys, nobody is pretending they are. But that doesn't mean we should just ignore Trump's central role in the chain of events we've all just witnessed. Iran's resumed weapons research and uranium enrichment, the very things now being waved around as a pretext for war, are a direct consequence of Trump withdrawing from the JCPOA and slapping sanctions back on them. Before that, Iran was compliant. That was widely reported by the IAEA. That's not spin. That's not opinion. That's documented fact. It's an inconvenient truth for MAGA, sure, but honestly, who cares? Facts aren't interested in your feelings. No amount of bad faith, reality-denying arguments will change that. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:45am Quote:
Were they "actually compliant" or "reported" as being compliant? Seeing as you are a bit slow on the uptake on this one, I'll give you a hint. I am asking if you can distinguish truth from box ticking. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:48am freediver wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:45am:
You can't pick and choose when you want to believe the IAEA. Your problem is that Iran being compliant doesn't suit your narrative. Too bad. Stop demanding the facts bend to your beliefs. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by MeisterEckhart on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:55am
Iran still wants to build nukes.
Of course it does. What possible reason would it have to abandon its nuclear weapons program? For public consumption, the regime has survived a joint Israeli-US attack, which is currently working in he mullahs' favour. A nuclear weapon would ensure that Iran could project power and influence without serious provocation, as it continues with its long-term ideological goals of establishing a Middle Eastern Shia crescent and the destruction of Israel. Publicly abandoning its nuclear weapons program would end any hope of being perceived as the most powerful state in the region, surrendering that to its regional, Arab enemy - Saudi Arabia. What's in it for the mullahs' Iran to dismantle the program? Cui bono? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:03am MeisterEckhart wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:55am:
Exactly. But back to my original point, if only someone hadn't torn up the agreement that had Iran going in the opposite direction, as confirmed by the IAEA, who repeatedly verified Iran's compliance with the reductions in uranium enrichment and the dismantling of that capability during the period that the agreement was active. Instead, thanks to that someone, we watched the deal shredded, sanctions slammed back into place, Iran resume its weapons research and enrichment, and diplomacy collapse entirely as the US demonstrated to the world that it could not be trusted and that its word counted for nothing tying the hands of even the next administrations as they tried to find a diplomatic solution. And now, here we are, on the doorstep of yet another war, one that could have been so easily avoided, if only... But that's an inconvenient truth to many whose red hats have clearly cut off the blood supply to their brains, so I suppose the argument will continue, and the misinformation will keep flowing to help soothe their cognitive dissonance. As those same people loudly call for Nobel Peace Prizes, I'm left wondering, why exactly should we be rewarding someone who proudly claims they put out a fire that, as it turns out, they lit themselves and may have left still smouldering? |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by MeisterEckhart on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:12am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:03am:
And Iran immediately returned to enriching Uranium, thereby confirming that it always intended to advance its nuclear weapons program whenever it could, which the original deal allowed it to publicly maintain. In the meantime, billions in wealth were repatriated to Iran, much of which it used to fund Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis and, likely, sleeper cells throughout the world. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:17am MeisterEckhart wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:12am:
Right, so we can find a diplomatic solution to the problem, which we had, or it could be cancelled by someone who claimed they'd get a better deal, miserabley fail at that despite having the reputation as a deal maker, then set the conditions for war, then choose war as the solution despite being praised as a President of Peace and being anti-war. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Leroy on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:24am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:17am:
Thats your problem, TDS. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:35am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 8:48am:
The IAEA is not God. It can be wrong. If I am picking and choosing when to believe the IAEA, then so is the IAEA. Quote:
My problem is that it does not suit the latest IAEA report. I knew this one would confuse you. Let's try again. Were they "actually compliant" or "reported" as being compliant? Seeing as you are a bit slow on the uptake on this one, I'll give you a hint. I am asking if you can distinguish truth from box ticking. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by Leroy on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:42am freediver wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:35am:
My problem is that it does not suit the latest IAEA report. I knew this one would confuse you. Let's try again. Were they "actually compliant" or "reported" as being compliant? Seeing as you are a bit slow on the uptake on this one, I'll give you a hint. I am asking if you can distinguish truth from box ticking.[/quote] The only way you will get Proudroo to say they were wrong is by saying that Trump was wronger. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by MeisterEckhart on Jun 28th, 2025 at 10:09am ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:17am:
There is no diplomatic solution possible that will convince the Islamic Republic to abandon its ideological goals in the region, nor the nuclear weapons necessary to ensure that they are largely unchallenged... What can be achieved diplomatically is the charade of nuclear weapons program abandonment. No external agency has complete oversight over a state's acknowledged government's actions to determine with certainty anything within that state. That Iran could immediately start enriching Uranium meant that it had not dismantled its enrichment capability, and that its will to continue enrichment persisted. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by ProudKangaroo on Jun 28th, 2025 at 12:16pm freediver wrote on Jun 28th, 2025 at 9:35am:
My problem is that it does not suit the latest IAEA report. I knew this one would confuse you. Let's try again. Were they "actually compliant" or "reported" as being compliant? Seeing as you are a bit slow on the uptake on this one, I'll give you a hint. I am asking if you can distinguish truth from box ticking.[/quote] Is that what they're "reporting" or did that "actually happen"? Stupidity aside, I don't know if we're even having the same conversation at this point. I am not saying Iran is compliant now, because they're not. They were compliant when the JCPOA was active. That is not an opinion, that is what the IAEA investigated and confirmed. The only reason the JCPOA collapsed is because the United States unilaterally withdrew in 2018 and reimposed sanctions. That withdrawal triggered the chain of events that led Iran to progressively walk away from their commitments and resume uranium enrichment well beyond civilian levels. Hence: ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 26th, 2025 at 11:55am:
Under the JCPOA, Iran agreed to: - Daily access for IAEA inspectors to key nuclear facilities. - 24/7 surveillance via cameras and real-time monitoring. - The most intrusive verification regime ever negotiated, including tracking Iran's entire nuclear supply chain from uranium mining to enrichment. This is not speculation. This is what Iran agreed to. This is what they were doing, until the United States broke the deal. The IAEA itself said this about the verification measures: Quote:
For compliance records, you can review the actual IAEA board reports here: https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/focus/iran/iaea-and-iran-iaea-board-reports If you want to verify compliance during the time the JCPOA was in effect, look specifically between January 16, 2016, and May 8, 2018, though, to be fair, Iran actually remained compliant for some time even after the US pulled out. If you're going to continue to push the claim that Iran wasn't compliant, you'll need to post actual evidence. Not gut feelings. Not misread headlines. Not semantic games. Show your work. |
Title: Re: Iran still wants to build nukes Post by freediver on Jun 28th, 2025 at 12:19pm Quote:
Does this confirm it? https://www.reuters.com/world/china/iaea-board-declares-iran-breach-non-proliferation-duties-diplomats-say-2025-06-12/ Quote:
Are you still struggling to tell the difference between the truth and which box is ticked? |
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