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Keith Strong@drkstrong·6h A SOLAR TSUNAMI: We are expecting wave after wave of coronal mass ejections to striking the Earth on 11th and 12th May. Solar wind speeds of about 800 km/s are possible. Strong and extended geomagnetic storms likely with aurora visible at lower-than-normal latitudes. Stay tuned.

The sun seems to be working up to the maximum of this current cycle.  Even bigger flares possible.

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SpaceWeatherLive@_SpaceWeather_ For the first time since the Halloween Solar Storms of 2003 we have now officially reached the Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm threshold at 22:54 UTC. With an observed Dst at -348 this is now one of the all-time strongest geomagnetic storms of the modern era only rivaled by the Halloween Solar Storms of 2003 and the 1989 storm that knocked out power grids in Quebec. You are witnessing space weather history today... and it isn't over yet. Sky watchers in the USA, this is your ultimate chance to see aurora from states like California and Texas. Do not miss out on this opportunity!

Since 2003. Current cycle is clearly NOT a weak cycle.

That means there is no Grand Solar Minimum now.

Dubyne was wrong, probably knew he was wrong. Got lots of money from idiots like our Goober. Dubyne has moved on, still preaching disaster and “buy my emergency food.”

With all this so clearly and definitely exposed as lies the only decent thing Goober can do is quit as Mod of Environment. He won’t, of course.

A few weeks ago I was on the Great Southern Ocean road.
The Aurora Australis may be visible from there.
I was getting notifications of the likelihood.
Am now in Canberra, it will not be visible from here - cloudy

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Jim Hughes windweather sun and stratosphere@JimWindweather Surprised? No. Region 3664 just produced an X5.8 #SolarFlare. Too early for the particulars, or what accompanied it. Like another CME. More later.  #XClass #SolarCycle25 #Natgas #LaNina #Climatechange      #Spaceweather

X5.8 flare!

That, I am pretty sure, is the strongest flare this cycle.

LOL!

The idiot on Twitter who was given some of my info Goober had given to Dubyne was panicking.

Denied there was a X5.8 flare today, that the sun was not in a GSM, that the globe was warming etc. He will have a tough time to keep believing all the lies he was told by various conman talking of “the” GSM causing an ice age as the sun keeps working up to SC25 max and the world keeps warming.

The Aurora may be visible tonight.
If the skies around you are clear

High hills and thick grey clouds meant I could not see the aurora.

More info: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/

Jovial Monk wrote on May 11^th, 2024 at 10:21pm:

High hills and thick grey clouds meant I could not see the aurora.

Drat, stick to it, if the clouds clear. The Aurora may be there for a few days.

I was in The Great Southern Ocean road 10 days ago and was getting notifications on the likelihood of an Aurora event.
Now I am in Canberra and headed north on Monday. Have been an amateur astrologist for decades, saw Haleys comet.

Stuff happens

Another X flare, X1.5. Not sure yet of any associated CME.

All from one active sunspot, that will rotate away from our view soon enough.

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[QUOTE] Keith Strong@drkstrong 1h Geomagnetic Storm subsides after nearly 40 hours. It looks like the most intense geomagnetic storm in 21 years has started to moderate with the Kp index dropping to 4.

[/quote]


9H

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ANOTHER HALO CME: SOHO/LASCO HALO CME May 11, 2024 at 01:24 UT. The CME was asymmetric and associated with this morning's X5 flare. Average through both (C2/C3) fields:  1565 km/s and decelerating at about -57m/s2. The halo CME propagates outwards with bulk portion to the west.

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Rare 'polar rain' aurora seen from Earth for the first time An eerie green glow formed during Christmas 2022, and now scientists know why. A remarkably smooth and puzzling Christmas Day aurora observed over the Arctic in 2022 was the result of a 'rainstorm' of electrons direct from the sun, says Japanese and US-based researchers. It is the first time that a rare aurora of this kind has been seen from the ground, and it came at a time when the gusts of the solar wind had almost completely dropped off, leaving a region of calm around the Earth. Normally the aurora displays, like the ones seen around the world in May, move and pulsate, with clearly discernible shapes in the sky. These auroral displays are powered by electrons from the solar wind — a stream of charged particles that flow from the sun — that become trapped in an extension of Earth's magnetic field called the magnetotail. When space weather becomes extreme, such as when a coronal mass ejection (CME) — a large ejection of plasma and magnetic field from the sun— is released, the magnetotail can be pinched off (don't worry, it regrows). The electrons trapped there flow down Earth's magnetic field lines to the poles. As they do so, they encounter molecules in Earth's atmosphere, colliding with them and prompting them to glow in the colors of the aurora (blue for nitrogen emission, green or red for oxygen depending on its altitude). However, the smooth aurora of 25–26 December 2022 was very different. Imaged by an All-Sky Electron Multiplying Charge-Coupled Device (EMCCD) camera in Longyearbyen in Norway, the aurora was a faint, featureless glow that spanned 2,485 miles (4,000 kilometers) in extent. It had no structure, no pulsing or varying brightness. No type of aurora like it had ever been seen from Earth before. . . . The satellites saw the aurora from above, finding that it had all the hallmarks of a rare type of aurora called polar rain aurora, which had only ever been seen from space before. The regular solar wind travels about 250 miles (400 km) per second. However, the sun's hot corona is full of holes, particularly at higher solar latitudes from which an exceptionally 'fast' solar wind moving up to 500 miles (800 km) per second streams out. Sometimes these coronal holes can appear at lower latitudes, and that is what happened over Christmas of 2022 while coinciding with a cessation of the regular solar wind.

So—why coronal holes?


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At the location of coronal holes, the sun's magnetic field lines are open — they don't loop back onto the sun's surface, the photosphere. As the open magnetic field lines extend out into space the coronal hole forms the base of a magnetic funnel out of which stream high-energy electrons.

https://www.space.com/rare-smooth-aurora-north-pole-explained

Worth reading in full.