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Member Run Boards >> Finance and Economics >> Stock Market Crash http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1661549415 Message started by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 7:30am |
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Title: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 7:30am
Started on January 4th on the S&P500 and had a dead cat and...
Last night started the next and biggest leg down The Crash is on - its a good buy market - goodbye house, goodbye car, goodbye job. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Aug 27th, 2022 at 7:43am
About time.
100 years ago - Great Pandemic/Great Depression/WW1 Now - Great Pandemic/Great Inflation/WW3 |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bobby. on Aug 27th, 2022 at 8:13am
Wall street crashed overnight:
Markets DOW 32,283.40 -1008.38 -3.03% S&P 500 4,057.66 -141.46 -3.37% NASDAQ 12,141.71 -497.56 -3.94% https://edition.cnn.com/business |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 8:46am
Boris are you going to start one of these threads every few days in the hope that one day you will be right?
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bobby. on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:07am
https://edition.cnn.com/business/live-news/stock-market-today-jackson-hole#h_c439d56513b6861a2243b67f53e3e98d
2 hr 49 min ago Dow plunges more than 1,000 points following Fed comments US stocks plummeted on Friday following a warning from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that the central bank will not end its fight against rapid inflation anytime soon. Powell’s comments weighed on investors, who grappled with what more aggressive interest rate hikes might mean for the health of the economy. The Dow closed down 1008 points, or 3%. The S&P 500 fell by 3.4%. The Nasdaq Composite closed 3.9% lower. For the week, the Dow fell by 4.2%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were down 4% and 4.4%, respectively. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:16am
Just the beginning
I have been expecting this The markets will lose 90% from peak That's what Bubbles do |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:21am freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 8:46am:
he is right ! |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:26am Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:21am:
So is a stopped clock. Twice a day. That's more often than Boris. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bobby. on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:26am Boris wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:16am:
Many people have their Superannuation gambled on the stock market. They should expect large losses. Some would have been better off in a casino. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:29am freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:26am:
You going to bet your life savings on a stopped clock only being right twice a day. Good luck with that :D LOL |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:33am Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:29am:
How often do you think a stopped clock has the right time? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bobby. on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:34am Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:29am:
Hi sir Nail, sell, no buy, no SELL. :o |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:44am freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:33am:
You don't have to convince me mate. I and many others went through the dot com crash back in 2000's. At first everyone is in denial but the smart players have already got out months or years ago whilst you hang onto hope and think that you can out think the markets. When the posty comes into your shop and starts giving you stock tips then you better to run for your life and get out ;) Been there and done that :( |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:55am
Keep watching
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 10:17am Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:44am:
So we should take you seriously because you got it wrong 20 years ago? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 11:54am
Wall Street Futures are down heavily
The NASDAQ is down almost 5% https://edition.cnn.com/business/markets/premarkets |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Lols on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:00pm Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:44am:
Sorry to hear that sir nail. We all could tell either boom or bust stories with either stock market or real estate. 20 years ago gold was about $350 an ounce on the market… now it’s over $1700 and I had seen info from a keen investor say to go with gold. Also with blue chip. But I never did. I wasn’t certain about all those figures of $$$ on just the paper it’s written on. I decided real estate… now some was very good and some very disappointing. But overall we were ahead so no big losses. There are some regrets and there are some successes. You shouldn’t let the scare of a loss stop you from going in for another try… Like I said… I’ve got some stories I could tell since the 90s recession-we-had-to-have era. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:43pm freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 10:17am:
No not at all. History repeats itself time and time again in the markets. It's all about mass crowd psychology. People are like sheep and usually follow the herd. They like to latch onto gurus or some kind of authority but you know what they say about free financial advice is worth exactly what you pay for it. And even the payed stuff is never guaranteed either. At the end of the day it's your call but the warning signs have been there for a long time. ;) |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:47pm
bubbles burst
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:51pm Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:43pm:
Are you predicting a stock market crash some time in the next decade, or next week? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by lee on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:56pm
I see the ASX has gone up 4% over the course of the month. It is down for 2022.
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Aug 27th, 2022 at 1:26pm freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 12:51pm:
We've been in a gradual crash since 2009, the fundamentals have never been strong since then, but the wealthy have got wealthier, so it's the 90% that are suffering, and will suffer for a long time yet There's one thing I've never seen before, and that's empty shelves in supermarkets, it's a wake-up call, Covid has been mishandled and we are paying for it now Toll fees are going up, so are Council rates, fuel costs are rising, flood insurance premiums have risen about 300%, power costs have risen 50%, food prices have risen. Even business in $2 reject shops has slackened off Wages have gone up ... errr, how much? ... you won't see them go up much in the foreseeable future either ... but debt is high and must be paid off Expect more gradual crashing |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:01pm Quote:
What fundamentals? The ASX 200 is now more than double what it was in 2009. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:26pm
I hope it all comes crashing down. :)
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by lee on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:40pm Jasin wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:26pm:
So you don't have any super at all in shares? That's sad looking at interest rates, |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:41pm
I had a great time during Lockdown too. ;)
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:47pm freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:01pm:
Our Dollar is 67c, housing is in short supply, income is low, national debt is high, productivity is not as high as it should be, and services are becoming very expensive The ASX and the All Ordinaries will drop in the next week, following the trend of the Dow, bringing them back down to about 2019 level |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:50pm
In 2019 it was nearly as high as it is right now.
What does the exchange rate tell you? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Aug 27th, 2022 at 3:13pm freediver wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:50pm:
The exchange rate tells me we must keep buying cheap inferior imported goods that break down and fall apart, so that we can keep consumerism going, the economy is all about consuming cheap Chinese products Our exports are cheaper for other nations, but what exports do we have? - not nearly enough |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 28th, 2022 at 8:50am
How does it tell you that? Is it like reading tea leaves?
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Aug 28th, 2022 at 9:07am
Perceptions_Now PM'd me to ask why this
Topic is not in Economics Board (moved)? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 29th, 2022 at 7:12am
Its not economic - its happening now and it is a global disaster
This is the biggest crash in world history and will start the worst world war in history What today |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:10am
Have you got your tinfoil hat ready?
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:13am
We have just had the biggest bubble in history - the Everything Bubble
We have the greatest Debt Bubble in history Now - right now starting January 4th we have the greatest Stock Market and Housing Market Crash in all history Now too we have the worst Depression in history Soon we will have the worst Global War in all History |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:15am
Perhaps a 20L bucket of coolaid.
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:17am
Just watch and enjoy
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Marla on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:37am Boris wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 9:55am:
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:43am
Goldman Sachs is About to Sell $147 BILLION in Global Equities
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 29th, 2022 at 9:17am Boris wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:43am:
According to a random youtuber. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 29th, 2022 at 10:26am Boris wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 8:17am:
The ASX 200 opened within 2% of it's Friday close, and is still above it's midweek lows from last week. Would you say it is time to crack each other's heads open and feast on the goo inside? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Aug 29th, 2022 at 12:02pm Bias_2012 wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:47pm:
The All Ordinaries is down 150 points already |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 31st, 2022 at 6:48am
The market went up again yesterday. When is this crash going to happen Boris? Is it like a biblical prediction? The end is always nigh, but never near?
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Boris on Aug 31st, 2022 at 8:07am
Its happening as we speak
The S&P500 52-wk high 4,818.62 now at close 3,986.16 Yesterday was just a Dead Cat |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:31pm
It is well above the 52 week low.
So, what is your point? Is it a stock market crash if it reaches a 30 day low? Do you ever stop the chicken little routine? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Captain Nemo on Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:06am
It's quite a dilemma.
Need to be cashed up to buy shares during the crash but to store up cash now you would need to sell off shares now and / or pull money out of Super, meaning a loss of gains until the crash. :( If only we knew exactly when the crash will hit. :-/ |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:22pm Captain Nemo wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:06am:
My prediction that the All Ordinaries would drop to 2019 levels has come true (There you go freediver) ... 6,959.30 today, closely compared to 6,948.00 25 Nov 2019 |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:42pm Bias_2012 wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:22pm:
According to the google results, in 2019 the ASX200 ranged from 5619 to 6846. So yeah, that's like predicting it will rain in the next month. You might be right, but not as often as a stopped clock. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Sep 7th, 2022 at 7:38pm freediver wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:42pm:
There's not a lot of confidence around FD, you'll be lucky if the All Ords doesn't drop to 2018 levels in the coming weeks. Only over-priced stocks and false optimistic government promises will keep it out of the danger zone, for a while |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 7th, 2022 at 8:48pm
Are you making a prediction?
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Sep 7th, 2022 at 9:36pm freediver wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 8:48pm:
It's your turn to make a prediction, let's see what you can come up with |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 8th, 2022 at 7:55am
I'm not the one pulling the Nostradamus routine. But here goes:
The market will either go down or up. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by John_Taverner on Sep 8th, 2022 at 9:02am
The Australian market is a little bit more shielded than the US Market or the UK Market, but it's useful to look at the Dow and the NASDAQ because of the sheer size of the market. Apart from that, the AUD will fall because of the global uncertainty. It always does. So some of our exports will become more competitive. I agree that Australian Shares will do better in the medium term. It's possibly as good a place as any to weather the storm, if such a place even exists. I wouldn't have said that even two years ago.
Inflation is predicted to hit 7.75% by the end of the year. Contrast that with the UK or the US, where it's already 9.1% and predicted to hit 19%. Not good for house prices. It will be third quarter 2023 before the volatility settles down. The Russian/ Ukrainian issue is likely to run out of steam, and the pandemic is already starting to ease, although long Covid will have a continued effect on the workforce. Already we have 4 million people in Australia absent at any time due to the symptoms of long Covid. It has been affecting supply chains for most of the year. I predict another disaster (probably floods) this coming summer. I think it's a highly credible risk anyway. |
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Title: Market Crash Post by Boris on Sep 14th, 2022 at 7:30am
It started 4th January
Fell out of bed last night on Wall Street It's gunna be rough now. Brace for impact. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 14th, 2022 at 7:37am
The last 1 Posts were moved here from Finance and Economics by freediver.
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Title: Re: Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 14th, 2022 at 7:38am Boris wrote on Sep 14th, 2022 at 7:30am:
So what's with the regular chicken little routine Boris? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Lisa Jones on Sep 14th, 2022 at 9:13am freediver wrote on Sep 8th, 2022 at 7:55am:
Ha! The question remains : will it go MORE up or MORE down? And which parts of the share market is more vulnerable to such fluctuations. International? National? Which types of commodities are affected? Note: I personally don't like stocks and shares. It's all too illusory IMO. The real estate market isn't. Interestingly enough... the real estate investment market itself kinda sorta functions like the stock market in that IF the market goes down one immediately examines exactly where. Regional? Urban? Residential? Commercial? Land? If urban then which urban area? Sydney? Melbourne? Perth? Even at that level of scrutiny one needs to take a closer look at specific LGA regions. IMO....you'll do better investing in real estate. Just be careful WHERE/HOW you invest ie carefully consider what type of property you buy, where it's located and what type of mortgage you take out. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by random on Sep 14th, 2022 at 9:38am freediver wrote on Sep 8th, 2022 at 7:55am:
The stock market is a machine to extract money from people who have no idea, by those who do. But you want proof? OK. If you do have high quality information about what is going to happen, act on it, you can be put in prison. Knowing what will happen is against the rules. Imagine knowingly taking part in that! That means that you are required to throw large sums of money at something that you have no idea about. Your money can be taken away from you by as little as a bullshit article in today's paper. Not for me. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Lisa Jones on Sep 14th, 2022 at 10:16am random wrote on Sep 14th, 2022 at 9:38am:
👆 pretty much nails it (for me anyway). |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bias_2012 on Sep 14th, 2022 at 10:38am freediver wrote on Sep 8th, 2022 at 7:55am:
Bit of a crash this morning FD ... you were half right for today at least |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by random on Sep 14th, 2022 at 12:08pm
https://youtu.be/-DT7bX-B1Mg
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Sep 14th, 2022 at 6:11pm
Watch it all 'crash' as the money gets drained away to support the American War Chest Fund.
It's gotta go somewhere. ;) |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Sep 14th, 2022 at 6:19pm Lisa Jones wrote on Sep 14th, 2022 at 9:13am:
I think most people with a mind to invest are already overinvested in real estate through their own home. It has several key advantages - low interest rates on the loan compared to a business loan, no capital gains tax, and the 'income' (money saved on rent) is also not taxed. Plus I think they will let you leverage more heavily there than anywhere else. random wrote on Sep 14th, 2022 at 9:38am:
There is a difference between doing your research and insider trading. But I think you are right about most small time investors losing money on shares, presumably to "those that do". But there are plenty of options suitable for those people - eg managed funds. But even there doing your research makes a huge difference. |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by perceptions_now on Sep 16th, 2022 at 11:25am
As I said, "I am Cashed Up & that will remain the case!"
There are to many "unusual/unheard of things" going on! |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Xavier on Sep 16th, 2022 at 8:04pm perceptions_now wrote on Sep 16th, 2022 at 11:25am:
Can I borrow $10 PN? :) |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Captain Nemo on Sep 23rd, 2022 at 12:21am
Should be a shocker on our market today (Friday).
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Title: Economic Disaster Post by Boris on Oct 21st, 2022 at 8:00am
A global economic disaster is hitting the world right now.
All economies in all countries are collapsing like a house of cards Welcome to the Greatest Depression There is no point in pointing fingers - all Governments of whatever stripe or from whatever quarter have let this happen by pandering to squeaky hinges. Good luck everyone The Golden Age has died along with the Late Elizabeth the Great |
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Frank on Oct 21st, 2022 at 8:51am Boris wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 8:00am:
https://youtu.be/xVlRompc1yE |
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Bobby. on Oct 21st, 2022 at 9:04am Boris wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 8:00am:
It's all about modern monetary theory - MMT - used all around the world. Govts. print Govt. bonds and the Reserve bank buys them by printing money. It's funny money that is created out of nothing. It causes inflation and even hyperinflation - it robs people of their life savings and puts the Govt. into debt they can never pay off - they just print more Govt. bonds to cover the debt - and it spirals in to total collapse of the financial system. Unfortunately the last 10 years of Libbo Govt here created $1 trillion of such debt as they went on a spending spree like drunken sailors with money they didn't have. I am very worried about it. |
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Boris on Oct 21st, 2022 at 12:26pm
It is all about Kondratieff
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by The Grappler on Oct 21st, 2022 at 12:56pm
Is just around the corner - only the impending WW III will wake the West from it's Snow White sleep with a kiss of gunfire...
You see the microcosm being played out in Ukraine.... Russia has burned through its best and trained personnel and is now turning to conscripts and reservists, who are being sent to the fray with a couple of weeks training or re-training (if they are retreads). The same will happen with both sides of the impending war... the best and most trained will suffer until others come in to hold the line after being trained... The West, of course, has learned from watching the Russian bear blunder.... and the moment the first whiff of gunsmoke is in the air, they will begin training the back-ups. They'll need to move quickly in this day and age ...... |
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Frank on Oct 21st, 2022 at 2:55pm
BREAKING: Biden's economic sanctions on the U.S. to be partially lifted prior to November election
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Bobby. on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 12:45pm |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 12:48pm
The last 7 Posts were moved here from Finance and Economics by freediver.
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by freediver on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 12:49pm Boris wrote on Oct 21st, 2022 at 8:00am:
Boris why do you keep doing this chicken little dance for us, then running away? |
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Title: Re: Economic Disaster Post by Bobby. on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 1:13pm Bobby. wrote on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 12:45pm: People ask about what government services we'd cut or stop altogether without MMT? Education, health, law and order, funds to states, environment, energy, foreign affairs, trade, welfare, pensions, quarantine, tax administration? The fact is that the interest paid on the loans could have gone towards those important services. That causes more money printing and a death spiral. Let's use some round figures to make it easy to understand. Let's say someone has $1 million is savings which is all in the bank via their own deposits or superannuation. Let's say the inflation rate is now 8%. That person effectively loses $80,000 in one year by inflation. It's the same as if they were sent an invoice from the tax Dept. for $80,000. Is that fair on that person? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by Bobby. on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 1:20pm
I wonder that no matter how highly the Govt. taxes us it is still never enough
to pay for all the things they "need" to pay out for? MMT is used to print money to cover day to day expenses - not as part of any emergency. Are we living way beyond our means? |
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Title: Re: Stock Market Crash Post by freediver on Oct 23rd, 2022 at 4:25pm Quote:
Not in Australia, or any other place not run by fools. |
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