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General Discussion >> General Board >> Weather is Set to Improve BoM http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1577826170 Message started by PZ547 on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:02am |
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Title: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by PZ547 on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:02am
Climate Patterns behind Australia's bushfires, heat and drought set to improve says Bureau of Meteorology
Twoclimate patterns that have been influencing Australias ongoing drought, deadly bushfire weather and record-breaking heat have shifted towards neutral, according to the Bureau of Meteorology it certainly does not mean the end of the drought that will take some time; many months, especially for those rivers to rise again and for the soils to even reach average wetness. The Guardian BoM has squandered its former place as a respected institution with its manipulation of records and data and there will be floods before BoM regains a fraction of the trust it's lost nevertheless, good news re the weather is welcomed, even though blind Bill could have told us the weather will eventually improve now let's see councils behave responsibly by conducting burn-offs regularly and let the punishment for individuals and companies begin concerning the arson for which they are responsible, which in turn is responsible for 90% or more of the bushfires |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:08am
it does seem cooler this morning although we are smoked in we live in a very resilient country tough as teak....I have a lot of faith and rain will come bloody hell I am not doing all this praying for nothing...
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by random on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:11am cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:08am:
You are wasting your time praying, no one is listening. But that won't stop you claiming a great victory when it does rain. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Sir Spot of Borg on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:12am
Slightly cooler in the morning but thats canberra. Its gunna be just as hot as yesterday for 2 days apparently then get hotter.
Spot |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by PZ547 on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16am cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:08am:
Good on you, Cods Yes, as predicted, it's quite a bit cooler and a smattering of rain (mere perspiration at .4mm) is predicted for tomorrow So much of this was avoidable, as we know, but that will be of negligible comfort to those who've lost everything |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:23am PZ547 wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:16am:
we wont know the full facts till its over.. the Sth coast is devastated and no sign of a let up...I can only guess at the animals that have been lost....poor buggers...the Coast has always been beautifully green now its black....my friend in Surf Beach has been allowed back home but is on standby... so thats something but then again it may mean everything that can burn has been burned... |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by PZ547 on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:33am cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:23am:
The native and domestic animals are always foremost in my mind and it's enough to send a person half mad if I were the PM, I'd be declaring that a life sentence will be imposed on proven arsonists and that includes management of companies which are directly or indirectly responsible for starting fires. For repeat offenders, it should be execution, no appeals if a survey were to be taken of those directly affected by the fires, I'm sure they would say the same thing, to say nothing of those whose loved ones died in the fires and a big FU to the corrupt UN if it dared to poke its nose in |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Ye Grappler on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:42pm
I doubt anything could improve the BoM...... just saying....
I agree with tougher sentences for lighting fires that cause harm... minimum ten years and proportion to the damage and pain caused, to humans and animals.. Even being stupid enough to light a barbie fire in the open and start a fire during a ban should cop a $5000 fine... people do it, on holidays or back-packing and zero sense ... |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:47pm PZ547 wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:33am:
I wish I had the answer to these firebugs... some of them are mature men... its incredible maybe they can be tasked with working on rebuilding for free... every spare minute of their time until its done.. I dunno....some are repeat offenders...grrrrrrrrrrrrr |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by UnSubRocky on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:51pm
There seems to be a bit of a shift in weather in the last few months. We went through a fairly cold and average winter period. Into a hot and dry spring. Summer has been very lousy with no considerable rainfall. If the bureau is claiming an end to the positive Indian Ocean Dipole, then this should be the start of the normalisation of weather patterns.
The bureau of meteorology is a good guide to figuring out weather patterns 2 weeks in advance. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:57pm
we have to learn to deal with this kind of thing unsub...
its a sunburnt country remember?....fire is normal... we have to do better its that simple more people are living here mainly on the coast more building in the bush settings.. ::) ::) ::)yet we still send one man out there with one hose.to deal with it all.. crazy!.... even the trucks are in danger.. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by UnSubRocky on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:58pm
I don't see what that has to do with my post, cods.
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:13pm UnSubRocky wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:58pm:
well you seem to think the weather[reporting] would have made some difference to this outcome.... we have been told for a long time about drought but they have concentrated on the farming areas forgetting it affects everywhere....our bush is meant to BURN its what keeps it going.... I wasnt in particular picking on your post unsub....just giving another explanation......to me so much is commonsense yet somehow that never seems to be taken into consideration... |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by John Smith on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:23pm
after refusing to listen to the BoM for years, i just love how the denialists are suddenly using the BoM to push their agenda ;D ;D ;D
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Gordon on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:28pm John Smith wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:23pm:
You're a dead set mongoloid. Actually a mongoloid would find you an intellectual lightweight. The subject of the OP is a short term weather forecast. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Ye Grappler on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:29pm UnSubRocky wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:51pm:
I check the radar loops and work it out for myself - been doing that for years. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Ye Grappler on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:32pm cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 3:57pm:
Yes - it's always been a nation of extremes - drought and flood.. hot and cold. This is no worse than the twelve years of drought we put up with down south on the property - now I'm working on getting relief supplies down that way - many people I know are in the path of fires, and I can't get down there to help. Come on, Hughie - some cash and some rain.... and I'll head off to sort out supplies as they come in etc, sleep in the car... but can't leave the caree... buggar.. she can't sleep in a car, either. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by John Smith on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:47pm Gordon wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:28pm:
Most people with at least half a brain wouldn't need the following section from the OP highlighted ... I should have realised that you, being as dumb as dogsheat, need it highlighted. My apologies for not doing so earlier. Quote:
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:54pm Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:32pm:
you sound like you are doing your bit grap.....your duty is at home......I wish I could do more but no one tells us what is needed to be done.....from a distance..... people with no homes... what can we do?... can we provide tents for at least some shelter.. we must be able to do something... |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by John Smith on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:57pm cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:54pm:
if you want to help, here's some ideas. Otherwise just send some bottled water https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/dec/21/how-you-can-donate-and-help-the-volunteer-firefighters-in-australias-bushfire-crisis |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Setanta on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:58pm random wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 7:11am:
A pair of hands at work will accomplish more than a million pairs at prayer.(someone) |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:02pm Setanta wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:58pm:
ahhh so what are you doing with your hands set??>>. will they prevent more fires??....or help put out the ones we have already? one pair of hands you say???..mmmmmmm |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:04pm John Smith wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:57pm:
I always give money not much but what I can afford....but I do have a lot of blankets and stuff thats never used....I tried a while ago to get the Salvos to pick up some things....and they said they dont pick up anymore....I cant do the lifting like I used too...I will find a way though dont worry yourself. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Setanta on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:06pm cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:02pm:
I'm saying whatever hands are at work are doing more than all the prayers in history. You think praying helps? Seriously? If your argument is you are praying and I'm doing nothing, then your praying has no benefit over my doing nothing. If I'm doing nothing, that is. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:11pm Setanta wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:06pm:
I have never mentioned you or anyone else... you assume far too much...can I not tell anyone what I AM DOING without the usual insults?....apparently not.. have you noticed how insular all the men on here are they only see their own little tiny world and it means everything to them... you are the one who mentioned a pair of hands... not I.. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Setanta on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:19pm cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:11pm:
You might have to tell me what I'm assuming about you. All I have said is praying is pointless. It's not doing something, it's doing nothing hoping something good happens because you did nothing. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:24pm Setanta wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:19pm:
Quote:
I took that to mean you think thats what I am saying... I wouldnt dream of saying anyone is doing NOTHING.. or even suggesting it.... what people do in times of crisis is up to them....I dont know much about praying I am not particularly religious... I just thought it was worth a try thats all.. terrible thing to suggest I know but if you read the thread you will see I didnt include non believers but the thread soon got turned into its usual warped zzzzzzzz..... any way I am fed up so will leave it with you.... ignore me from now on.. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Setanta on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:28pm cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:24pm:
There's no need to get butt hurt cods. Doing and praying are on opposite ends of the circle of getting things done and they meet in the same place. Praying is doing nothing. Doing nothing is as good as praying. Neither has the moral advantage. They are both meaningless to solving problems. When people say they are praying for something, all they are doing is comforting themselves, making themselves feel better for not doing anything.. It's an empty gesture. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by cods on Jan 1st, 2020 at 8:34pm Setanta wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 6:28pm:
well ... I then...am full of empty gestures sorry if that offends you.....you and js sure have a good opinion... I will keep my mouth shut from now on...I am not butt hurt as you claim its just the judgement that pings me off..... you obviously do judge me claiming if I pray for rain its as good as doing NOTHING..... thanks for that JUDGEMENT.. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Sir Spot of Borg on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:37am cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 8:34pm:
This issnt the first time i have seen cods try to exclude ppl from conversations based on their belief or lack of belief. The default position is in the conversation on a message board. You dont have to be invited to a thread based on your religion. Spot |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Gnads on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:57am
I was watching news footage of southern areas in NSW & VIC yesterday ......
where there was major loss of homes/property and by majority all were built in amongst trees... I understand peoples desires for the "tree change" but the reality is if you're going to live among the gum trees .... without any plum trees(TY John Williamson ;D) .... I should say without substantial buffer zones ..... when you get conditions like we have currently & because of the lack of forest management ...... houses are going to burn down. You can't live in among the bush/trees without substantially higher risk. I can't understand how people haven't figured that out yet ..... year after year from one decade to the next. ::) |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Sir Spot of Borg on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:59am Gnads wrote on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:57am:
Well i have to agree there however these fires are unprecedented. Ppl may have to rethink how they live now but in the past the risk wasnt as great. Spot |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by Gnads on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 5:11am Sir Spot of Borg wrote on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 4:59am:
The risk has always been there ...that's why you find most farm houses in the clear in the middle of the property.... and if they have trees around the house ...they aren't natives they're usually imported evergreens ..... these aren't Sarah Hanson Young "Climate Fires" ::).... they're just fires that have a much larger fuel load to burn with more intensity .... which has been caused by Govt policy & mismanagement. And with an increasing population we have more people living in rural bush settings. Oh yeah & it seems that also brings an increase in the number of firebug arseholes that deliberately light these fires. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by UnSubRocky on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 5:51am cods wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 4:13pm:
You don't know what I think, cods. Because I have not said that weather reporting would make a difference to people learning to deal with weather change. I have not been given any idea that Australians are concerned about the drought other than to symbolically raise money in "parma for farmer" fundraisers, or add an extra 10c/L to milk prices. The bureau made a claim that the Indian Ocean Dipole has ended the positive index. Therefore, we Australians should see an increase in shower and storm activity in the northwest of the Australian continent. Rainfall charts have shown that only northwestern Qld has escaped drought conditions. Some places have even shown well above average rainfall for the year. I won't be happy unless we see 1200mm of rainfall for my town for the year 2020. Forecasts have indicated a likely La Nina conditions by winter and springtime above average rainfall. |
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Title: Re: Weather is Set to Improve BoM Post by UnSubRocky on Jan 2nd, 2020 at 5:55am Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jan 1st, 2020 at 5:29pm:
You are looking at the next 12 hours of possible shower activity in your area. I look at weather charts and figure out the likelihood of rainfall up to 3 days away. Some websites use forecast models to show an accurate likelihood of cyclones developing when and where. They are very interesting. |
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