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Member Run Boards >> Environment >> 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1576717984 Message started by The Mechanic on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:13am |
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Title: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by The Mechanic on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:13am
It is false for the BOM and their activist friends to say the current heat wave is a record or unprecedented...
Quote:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4221366/amp/Heatwave-January-1896-hit-49-degrees-killed-437-people.html?__twitter_impression=true&fbclid=IwAR2YeRavC2zAb3Q1UULy1g0hoZuSYmeD6NIoos-llcQr9dHAcGg4T-et8wo |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Bobby. on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:35am
Australia will always be a sunburnt country.
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Pho Huc on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:38am
The difference between the 1896 one and the current heat wave is that the 1896 one wasn't uniformly hot. It was cooler in SA, VIC and TAS during that heatwave, not nationwide like the current one. That's why even though the 1896 wave was probably hotter in the mid east coast, nationally it was cooler.
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by chimera on Dec 19th, 2019 at 12:02pm
2018. , the bureau of meteorology forecast a scorching 49C in the Pilbara WA – only 2 degrees below the highest temperature ever recorded in Australia, which is 50.7C at South Australia’s Oodnadatta airport in 1960. This reverses the global warming of 2 degrees and radiators are the gift for the season.
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 19th, 2019 at 1:46pm Pho Huc wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:38am:
Perhaps you have the data. BoM doesn't have it Adelaide - "THE HEAT WAVE. TERRIBLE WEATHER IN TOWN AND COUNTRY. SHADE TEMPERATURE IN ADELAIDE 111°. OTHER HIGH RECORDS. THE DEATH ROLL. STILL INCREASING." January 1896 https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/53680112/4095285 Victoria - "THE HEAT WAVE. Effects in Victoria. [BY TELEGRAPH.] MELBOURNE, Friday." Jan 1896 https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/44168314?zoomLevel-6 And Feb 1896 https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/79763474?zoomLevel=6 It looks like Tasmania may have been spared. ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by PZ547 on Dec 19th, 2019 at 2:23pm President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:13am:
how did that inconvenient information escape the library purges and book burnings shut it down! |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Ajax on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:05pm
My Country - Poem by Dorothea Mackeller
The love of field and coppice Of green and shaded lanes, Of ordered woods and gardens Is running in your veins. Strong love of grey-blue distance, Brown streams and soft, dim skies I know, but cannot share it, My love is otherwise. I love a sunburnt country, A land of sweeping plains, Of ragged mountain ranges, Of droughts and flooding rains. I love her far horizons, I love her jewel-sea, Her beauty and her terror The wide brown land for me! The stark white ring-barked forests, All tragic to the moon, The sapphire-misted mountains, The hot gold hush of noon, Green tangle of the brushes Where lithe lianas coil, And orchids deck the tree-tops, And ferns the warm dark soil. Core of my heart, my country! Her pitiless blue sky, When, sick at heart, around us We see the cattle die But then the grey clouds gather, And we can bless again The drumming of an army, The steady soaking rain. Core of my heart, my country! Land of the rainbow gold, For flood and fire and famine She pays us back threefold. Over the thirsty paddocks, Watch, after many days, The filmy veil of greenness That thickens as we gaze ... An opal-hearted country, A wilful, lavish land All you who have not loved her, You will not understand though Earth holds many splendours, Wherever I may die, I know to what brown country My homing thoughts will fly. https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/slippery-when-wet-tim-flannerys-climate-warnings-questioned-after-recent-flooding/news-story/032676cb0c4bd1ba0e1e99bda904bca2?sv=b88b53b3a64b900159375cfe7ddb486b |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by chimera on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:36pm lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 1:46pm:
= 43.888888889 F. hot for pommies and penguins. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:50pm chimera wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:36pm:
That was before climate change. It is now - "Three or more days of high maximum and minimum temperatures that are unusual for that location. " http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/heatwave/about.shtml So a heatwave in Sydney is not the same as a heatwave in Marble Bar. ;) More info -http://media.bom.gov.au/social/blog/891/how-will-i-know-if-a-heatwave-is-coming/ |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by chimera on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:59pm
umm..
umm.. have you switched sides |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:04pm chimera wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:59pm:
??? What part of heatwave 1896 didn't you understand? or perhaps it is the new definition of heatwave that has you bamboozled. ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by chimera on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:47pm lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
= 43.888888889 C. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:48pm chimera wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:59pm:
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:51pm lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 3:50pm:
Hey, Lee old mate, are you quoting the same people you claimed have been fudging the figures? |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 19th, 2019 at 7:41pm random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:51pm:
You mean I should lie and pretend they haven't said that? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D It doesn't have anything to do with their ACORN-2 "data". ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 19th, 2019 at 8:03pm lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 7:41pm:
Oh I get it, you are faarkin good. If you say "ACORN-2 "data" then it makes you sound like you know what you are talking about, when you don't. Brilliant! But for others who just accept the science that the BOM and CSIRO publishes, they might be phased, you know casuse they don't know what ACORN-2 "data" is. That sows seeds of doubt into their heads and they might vote differently next time! See I get it mate, I can do this, put me in contact with 'your people' :exclamation |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 19th, 2019 at 10:11pm random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 8:03pm:
Poor petal. ACORN-2 is the new update from ACORN-1 adjustments. In it they adjusted something like "Reason for adjustment Maximum temperature Minimum temperature Statistical 209 244 Site moves (all) 176 170 Screen change or condition 79 77 Site condition (without move) 9 5 Observation time change 2 24 Total 450 491 Table 7 ACORN-SAT version 2 adjustments by cause. Totals do not add as some adjustments have multiple causes. " http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/acorn-sat/documents/BRR-032.pdf BTW - Screen changes Stephenson Screens have been made smaller. It has been shown that smaller screens add about 0.6C to the temperatures daily. Edit: Once data is adjusted it is no longer data, which is why I called it "data". ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 20th, 2019 at 7:00am
Tough decision to make ...
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 20th, 2019 at 11:27am random wrote on Dec 20th, 2019 at 7:00am:
yeah Ii know. Tough to tell whether BoM is telling the truth. But it is from their website. Perhaps they are not like Myers and don't stand behind everything they sell. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Pho Huc on Dec 20th, 2019 at 3:19pm random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:51pm:
You should know by now that's all Lee can do! Fudge, cherry pick and dissemble. Problem is he really wants to use science and historic records to prove his case, but the majority of them demonstrate he is talking poop. As stated, I feel sorry for the retard.. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 20th, 2019 at 3:33pm Pho Huc wrote on Dec 20th, 2019 at 3:19pm:
So tell me how using BoM's official guide to ACORN-2 is fudging, cherry picking or dissembling? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D Pho Huc wrote on Dec 20th, 2019 at 3:19pm:
Perhaps you can show the ones where I talk Sh!t. And give us all a breakdown of why? ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by The_Barnacle on Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:06am President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:13am:
No Mechanic as usual, you, the daily mail and Jo Nova are wrong. Methods of recording temperature were not standardised until the early 1900s. A Stevenson screen was not installed in Bourke until August 1908 The Bureau of Meteorology noted in a 2017 report the 1896 data "cannot be easily compared with modern recordings". "Detailed study has shown that extreme temperatures recorded at Bourke during the 1896 heatwave were likely suspect due to non-standard exposure, and likely around two degrees warmer than temperatures recorded with standard instrumentation." And the death toll of 437 people? There was no airconditioning, poorer medical knowledge about dehydration, and heat stroke, no OHS laws and poorer forecasting. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 11:47am The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:06am:
What type of screen did they have before that. Studies showed similar screens had a difference of about 0.2C. The new smaller Stevenson Screens add about 0.6C. ;) The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:06am:
Of course not they used mercury thermometers, now they use digital. The new digital ones are supposed to be average over 5 minutes(well it what is used in the States) to try to emulate the mercury ones. Here they are apparently "purpose built" with a lag to emulate mercury ones. However there are no design specs available or even calibration data to see if they meet design specs. The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:06am:
No but they knew the principals of a Coolgardie Safe. And people did know to drink water. Just how evolved did you think they were? ;) It is also why people built houses with high ceilings. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by The_Barnacle on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:01pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 11:35am:
Thanks you inadvertently proving my point once again ;D ;D ;D I was replying to the Mechanic, but you had to respond instead. You just can't help yourself (or you are paid by the word) ;) lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 11:47am:
You do realize that in 1896 we were just a collection of British colonies. The British are notorious for not drinking water. They also still dressed the same for their cold British climate. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm
435 people died in an 1896 heatwave — but scientists say the extreme heat events of today are still hotter
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-12-21/1896-heatwave-killed-435-climate-scientists-cant-compare-today/11809998 |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:10pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 11:47am:
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:15pm
poor random chimera still doesn't know whether to believe BoM's adjustment theory for ACORN-2. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:27pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:15pm:
I do know that. I also know what you are doing. You have a shill job to hose down any postings cotrary to the riding instructions you have. You don't have to worry about reputation, just as long as any postings made about climate change or left wing issues are countered with fear and doubt or made fun of. But I'm still keen to get in on the gig mate. So I'm ready to sell out just like you. Sorry for calling you names and shite, a jobs a job mate and I'm ready to go. PM me please. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:29pm The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:01pm:
As I said on the other thread I will continue to comment on your posts as I see fit. ;) The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:01pm:
Yes and a lot of the country actually had Stevenson Screens, ;) The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:01pm:
By the late 19th century we weren't all British. And even then British explorers had survived in hot climates in many places. They even were topees. ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:30pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:29pm:
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:32pm random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:27pm:
You know what petal? That you can't adjust temperatures in the distant past by statistical means? So perhaps as you claim to be really sciencey you can explain to poor me how changing long past data statistically works. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:00pm random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm:
Population of Australia in 1896 was about 3,540,000. 435 death represent ..0097 of 1% of the population. Today's population is about 22,110,000. .0097% of 22,110,000 = 2144 people. Just to put things in perspective. ;) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Sir Spot of Borg on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:36pm
Did this happen in 1896?
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:48pm Sir Spot of Borg wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:36pm:
from the satellite back then a definitive maybe. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by Sir Spot of Borg on Dec 21st, 2019 at 4:41pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:48pm:
Back then with more bush and less technology they wouldn't be able to control them anywhere near now so Sydney would have burned and Brisbane etc and we would know about it Spot |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:40pm
So tell me about the overseas fires.
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:00pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:00pm:
So you are good with numbers? Yeah? https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/wmdata.nsf/activeotherresource/ABS_Logo_333/$File/ABS_Logo_333.svg On 21 December 2019 at 06:58:32 PM (Canberra time), the resident population of Australia is projected to be: 25,544,585 This projection is based on the estimated resident population at 30 June 2019 and assumes growth since then of: one birth every 1 minute and 44 seconds, one death every 3 minutes and 17 seconds, one person arriving to live in Australia every 59 seconds, one Australian resident leaving Australia to live overseas every 1 minute and 46 seconds, leading to an overall total population increase of one person every 1 minute and 23 seconds. These assumptions are consistent with figures released in Australian Demographic Statistics, March Quarter 2019 (cat. no. 3101.0). |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by John Smith on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:16pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 11:47am:
Of course not they used mercury thermometers, now they use digital. /quote] it's not just about mercury v's digital.. last week the digital thermometer in my car said 45 ... BoM said 39. Both were digital readouts. try again ::) |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by .JaSin. on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:37pm Bobby. wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 11:35am:
Only for the idiots who 'get burnt'. Yo'all complain about the Boongs being dried up and burnt out into 'primitive' existence. Maybe yo'all should learn by it then. That's why I dive. It's much better 'down there' and I'm not stealing someone else's land. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:44pm John Smith wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:16pm:
You car was hotter than the outside shade temperature? Colour me surprised. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by .JaSin. on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:06pm lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 6:44pm:
;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:33pm
Well we didn't get the forecast 50C. That must have disappointed many. /sarc
In 1939, after the introduction of Stevenson Screens, Windsor NSW, recorded 122F. That was 50C. ;) https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/95475076?searchTerm=many%20collapse%20from%20heat&searchLimits= |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:37pm lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:33pm:
Your so good with numbers Lee. Tell us all how many people there are in Australia? |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:02pm random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:37pm:
about 25 million Already answered are you really that obtuse? ;D ;D ;D ;D But remind us "8 year olds can read science, 16 year olds can read science". But you can't? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by random on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:05pm lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:02pm:
So where did the 22 million you said yesterday come from? "Today's population is about 22,110,000." Greta gets the science of Climate Change, while you are denying it. One of you is educated, I think it's the girl. |
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Title: Re: 24 Day Heatwave in 1896 saw 437 people die. Post by lee on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:19pm random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:05pm:
As I said yesterday "I stuffed up". You really have trouble remembering stuff don't you? random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:05pm:
So Greta gets it and you don't so you rely on a 16 years old girl because you don't do science. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:05pm:
I am glad you didn't include yourself. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D And you can actually think? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D You couldn't even get your random/chimera posts right. ;) |
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