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Member Run Boards >> Environment >> Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1516094907 Message started by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:28pm |
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Title: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:28pm Quote:
https://news.sky.com/story/scientists-predict-mini-ice-age-could-hit-uk-by-2030-11186098 skynews-museum-of-london-river-thames_4192664.jpg (181 KB | 35
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:38pm
I think the mini ice age has already hit hard.
We won't have to wait till 2030. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:45pm Bobby. wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:38pm:
thats right... as usual.. watch the "Scientist" try to be smart after the horse has already Bolted... Quote:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-weather-energy/bomb-cyclone-hits-u-s-east-coast-energy-power-supply-idUSKBN1ET1GS |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:48pm
The evidence piles up.
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 7:49pm
if power stations shut down because of the cold and pricing surges to high so that you can't use it when it is going..
then whats going to happen?? people will freeze to death... |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Damn OzPol on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:27pm
What garbage!
Already in an ice age—2017 was the second hottest year! The sun since the 1980s has slightly decreased the TSI we get yet still the world warmed. At some stage the sun will increase TSI and temperatures will jump up. A GSM would reduce temperatures by 0.3°C just like the Maunder Minimum did. That hardly winds back any of the temperature increase from AGW. Only those of low IQ would even read garbage like that! |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:45pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:27pm:
According to who? NOAA hasn't reported yet. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Dnarever on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:54pm lee wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:45pm:
I think it was their half yearly projection. It was in one of the doc's that I think you may have posted. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:57pm Dnarever wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 8:54pm:
Yeah, JM is getting old. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Dnarever on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:01pm
Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by
How do they know that it will only hit the UK ? OK for the rest of us ? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Damn OzPol on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:02pm Looks clear to me. Lees said the later half of the year would be really cold and decrease the average temp. Yeah right. 2018 will likely be a little cooler due to a weak La Nino developing in the Pacific. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:02pm
You forgot the rest of the article mechanic (I guess that's why you normally don't post a link)
Quote:
Professor Zharkova also said this However, Zharkova ends with a word of warning: not about the cold but about humanity's attitude toward the environment during the minimum. We must not ignore the effects of global warming and assume that it isn't happening. “The Sun buys us time to stop these carbon emissions,” Zharkova says. The next minimum might give the Earth a chance to reduce adverse effects from global warming. https://news.sky.com/story/scientists-predict-mini-ice-age-could-hit-uk-by-2030-11186098 |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:18pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:02pm:
in other words.. although we admit that the Earth is going into an "ICEAGE" .. don't forget Global Warming!!!!! :D :D :D ridiculous... ::) tens of thousands of people are going to die because of these chicken little halfwits... !! |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:19pm
So you only believe her when it suits you
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:21pm Dnarever wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:01pm:
you need to look at the historical charts posted by myself and bobby to see which parts of the earth will Freeze during the Solar Minimum (ice age) some parts of Alaska actually warm during these times according to "historical" charts.. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:23pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:19pm:
im not sure what you are alluding to... GW is a load of bullshit.. does that make it clear? after the ice age (or mini ice age) it will warm again naturally... (nothing to do with GW) Tony Abbott was 100% right.. more people will die because of the "COLD" |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:38pm President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:23pm:
You have started this thread because Professor Zharkova says there will be a short lived ice age. You are quite happy to believe that Professor Zharkova also says that long term global warming will not be affected You reject this because it doesn't suit your agenda. You really arn't very bright are you ::) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:51pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:38pm:
if you have been paying attention both myself and bobby have been laying down the scientific information for the past 12 months now in regards to the world cooling... but now.. BUT NOW THE (so called) CLIMATE SCIENTISTS are now admitting that there is indeed an Ice age coming... this goes against every lie that they've been spewing for the last 20 years!! my position has not changed.. the climate Pedler's position is now starting to change.. (and about time.. dur :D ) but they want to keep the Fake Climate Funds coming in by adding... AFTER THE MINI ICE AGE DON'T FORGET GLOBAL WARMING ****off.... what we are seeing are historical cycles... there's warming years and then there's cooler years... its that simple... only a halfwit could not see that... ::) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 16th, 2018 at 11:19pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:02pm:
Really. Where did I say that? Direct quote not assertions. Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:02pm:
oh yes. Global temperatures all the way back to 1880, guaranteed to be accurate to 2 decimal places. I really did not think you were that gullible. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The Mechanic on Jan 17th, 2018 at 8:39am Quote:
HOTTEST YEAR EVER... :D :D :D |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Bojack Horseman on Jan 17th, 2018 at 8:48am President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Jan 17th, 2018 at 8:39am:
Again you are aware weather and climate are two different things right. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 17th, 2018 at 10:48am Prime Minister for Canyons wrote on Jan 17th, 2018 at 8:48am:
Only if you are a sceptic. Otherwise Professor Michael E. Mann and his AlGorithm partner think the recent cold in the US is climate. ;) And Michael E Mann is allegedly a CLIMATE scientist. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 19th, 2018 at 7:09am
So what is your position on the "mini ice age" lee?
You've made lots of contributions to this thread but strangely you haven't yet stated your own opinion. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 19th, 2018 at 5:43pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 19th, 2018 at 7:09am:
Opinion on what? A prediction for the future? Like CAGW? I leave it to others. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Grendel on Jan 19th, 2018 at 5:44pm
Careful folks... it's CLIMATE DISRUPTION
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 7:13am
Oh dear, Mechanic, you should have looked for the source:
Quote:
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014ApJ...795...46S Ice age not mentioned—that was done by the popular press. Not only that, a GSM, Dalton or Maunder etc did not cause the Little Ice Age now, did it? The LIA was already going when they happened. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 8:14am Dnarever wrote on Jan 16th, 2018 at 9:01pm:
There are negative feedback loops in the climate. Put simply - if you try to heat up the Earth it will react by getting colder. One example of such a loop is the melting of fresh water from Greenland which would cause the Gulf stream to stop and plunge not only England but the whole of Europe into an Ice Age. Remember London is 51 degrees North & so is the middle of Canada. Without the effect of the Gulf stream, Europe would have a climate just like Canada - extreme winter cold. But there is more - there are many other feedback loops & they can not only be negative feedback - there are positive ones too. A good example of a positive loop is the albedo affect - caused by ice reflecting sunlight & heat back into space. The more ice you get - the colder it gets. And where the ice has melted, dark ocean water is exposed. These changes decrease the albedo. With a lower albedo more solar energy is absorbed and less is reflected. This causes more ice to melt, which in turn lowers the albedo, causes more energy to be absorbed and more warming to occur. Positive feedback is known as an under damped system and can oscillate wildly about a mean temperature. Are every one of these feedback systems in the climate models? I doubt that all the possible systems are well understood or even known about. Also - climate scientists get their money from proving that there is AGW. If they came up with opposite results their funding would be cut off. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 20th, 2018 at 10:02am lee wrote on Jan 19th, 2018 at 5:43pm:
lee's suddenly become coy and evasive. Who would have imagined that? He's spent thousands of posts trying to discredit AGW but when some loony scientist claims we are in for a mini ice age he does silent. Nom De Plume sums up lee very well Nom de Plume wrote on Jan 15th, 2018 at 5:37pm:
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 10:12am Bobby. wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 8:14am:
Except the melting of Greenland ice, about 280Gtons every year, if it were to stop the Gulf Stream is cause and effect, not a loop. The albedo effect is a loop and is why the poles are melting 2-3 times as fast as the rest of the planet—look at the map included in the “2017 second hottest year” post. With all the 46% extra CO2 in the air just how cold will the UK get? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 12:04pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 10:02am:
Yeah. 1. So you have proof of the amount AGW? 2. Where have I tried to discredit AGW. Man has warmed the earth through land use changes. Think UHI. What I have tried to discredit is CAGW. 3. I still don't believe you can model a chaotic system and impute the future. ;) You can't even get your facts right. Isn't Nom de Plume the same bloke who said the glacier retreat could be traced back to the start of the Industrial Revolution? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by The_Barnacle on Jan 20th, 2018 at 12:28pm lee wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 12:04pm:
What a load of disingenuous garbage. Yet another backflip from you. This is why i don't waste my time debating you anymore |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 12:36pm The_Barnacle wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 12:28pm:
First you would have to quote me if you think my position has changed. Assertions just don't do it for me. You don't enter into debate. I critique a piec you write and then you run away. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 2:39pm
Look at what they were saying in 2007:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/7139797.stm Arctic summers ice-free 'by 2013' By Jonathan Amos Science reporter, BBC News, San Francisco Arctic summer melting in 2007 set new records More details Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea ice. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years. Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss. Summer melting this year reduced the ice cover to 4.13 million sq km, the smallest ever extent in modern times. Remarkably, this stunning low point was not even incorporated into the model runs of Professor Maslowski and his team, which used data sets from 1979 to 2004 to constrain their future projections. In the end, it will just melt away quite suddenly Professor Peter Wadhams "Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007," the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC. "So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative." Former US Vice President Al Gore cited Professor Maslowski's analysis on Monday in his acceptance speech at the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony in Oslo. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:04pm
A million square kilometres of Arctic Ocean were ice free last NH summer. Even Dubyne agreed to that, Bobby.
You can try to file and hammer facts but they just do not fit an ice age theory, Bobby, sorry. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:07pm |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:09pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:04pm:
And the significance of that? Only since 1978. Another world record. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D Remember they sailed the Arctic long ago. Did you think they used ice breakers then? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:11pm lee wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:07pm:
Good example - ice fee by the year 2000. ;D You wouldn't have wanted to place a bet on it would you? Good job that Monk is not a betting man. How about Al Gore getting a Nobel prize for false predictions? Of course Monk is on Al Gore's side - all the way! |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:14pm
What was the fee for ice, Bobby?
:) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:16pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:14pm:
Oh dear the great JM forced to ridicule finger errors. ;) How low do you want to set the bar? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:19pm
But keep hammering square pegs into round holes, Bobby.
2017 was the second or third hottest year (see my OP “2017 second hottest year”) and it was not an El Nino year. 2017 not an El Nino year and it was nearly as hot as 2016 which was an El Nino year. That is something to think about. The OP to this thread is wrong as I have shown by posting the abstract of the paper. Ice ages are a long way off. The Maunder Minimum cooled parts of the NH by about 0.3–0.4°C. The Earth has warmed 1.2°C since 1850. The effect of any GSM now will be miniscule. Bobby knows this: he very carefully did not date the MM after we had agreed on when the LIA started. So why is he posting about a major ice age???? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:22pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:19pm:
Oh for an accurate prediction. They seem to fail so often from thr alarmist camp. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:31pm lee wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:22pm:
Hi lee, correct me if I'm wrong - didn't we just see the ice go all the way from the North pole down to Florida in the USA? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:33pm
I think you mean snow, Bobby.
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:55pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:33pm:
Then why do you follow that snake oil salesman called Al Gore? He is now so discredited. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:05pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 3:33pm:
Is that like Viner's "children won't know what snow is" - prediction 2000. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:09pm
You have tried that lie before, Bobby. Also that I push the Mann hockey stick.
Why do you lie so much? Trying to make square pegs go in round holes? You know the LIA happened some hundreds of years before the Maunder Minimum came in so you know a GSM does not cause an ice age! So why the lies? Why keep trying to hammer square pegs into round holes? If you are not honest how can anyone believe your promises of “fair and impartial?” I have posted here on this board for long enough to know you lie and are the opposite of fair and impartial. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:13pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:09pm:
Pot meet kettle. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:17pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:09pm:
Then why do you follow that snake oil salesman called Al Gore? He is now so discredited. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:20pm
Where the hell have I EVER said ANYTHING about supporting Gore? Lie after lie from the would–be “fair and impartial” Mod.
I post science, not fairy tales. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:35pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:20pm:
Not even SKS fairy tales? ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:36pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:20pm:
Monk, you've been pumping out Al Gore's AGW ideas for years now. Have a fresh look and see that there are 2 sides to every argument - is that too much to ask? |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:43pm
There is science and there is bullshit.
The bullshit ice age stuff isn’t supported by any facts that is why you are always quickly reduced to evasion or insults. |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Sir Bobby on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:51pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:43pm:
Monk backed a donkey to win called Al Gore: |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by lee on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:51pm Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:43pm:
And you know a lot about the latter. ;) |
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Title: Re: Scientists predict 'mini ice age' could hit UK by Post by Jovial Monk on Jan 20th, 2018 at 9:33pm Bobby. wrote on Jan 20th, 2018 at 4:51pm:
See, you keep on going with lies. You are anything but fair and impartial. You are driven to promote a fairy tale about an ice age with religious zeal yet you clearly know it is rubbish. |
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