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General Discussion >> Federal Politics >> Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1502344910 Message started by ___ on Aug 10th, 2017 at 4:01pm |
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Title: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by ___ on Aug 10th, 2017 at 4:01pm
Rally over? Australian dollar in broad-based retreat
http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/currencies/rally-over-australian-dollar-in-broadbased-retreat-20170810-gxtfuq.html A weaker dollar means businesses will sell more, more tourists, more tax income for government ... this extra cash can be passed on as higher wages and finally an increase to the unemployment benefits. Don't you love trickle down economics. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:17pm ____ wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 4:01pm:
It doesn't quite work that way. Never has, never will. Wages growth is a factor of total productivity growth. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Leftwinger on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:44pm crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:17pm:
And how does the employee fix that ? |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:57pm
Trickle down - a visit to a fictitious past.
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:00pm ____ wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 4:01pm:
A weaker dollar means businesses will sell more A weaker Dollar means that imported goods will cost more which is passed on to the consumer in higher prices meaning that business will sell less ???? Over the last few decades we have seen that increased profit does not necessarily lead to wage increases. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:07pm Its time wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:44pm:
Re-skilling with technology growth or promotion opportunities. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:13pm Dnarever wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:00pm:
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by juliar on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:43pm
They are talking about the AUD/USD which is a relation between the 2 currencies.
At the moment the USD is rallying due to Pres Trump's success with increasing jobs while the AUD is fairly steady based on confidence in Mal's financial genius. Also Trump's strong stand against Nth Korea is reassuring the world. No doubt the Croc will be quick to pluck some graphs from the ether. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:52pm crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:13pm:
Exports volumes would increase though. Yes Australian product would be cheaper in other countries while our market is depressed. Increased profits always lead to growth in real wages as long as total factor productivity grows as well. Wages do not grow without productivity. Not so much when government policy is to depress wages and to fight for poor wage outcomes while strongly encouraging employers to keep wage increases in check. Reality V economic theory |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by ___ on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:57pm juliar wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:43pm:
Down across multiple currencies. Not just the US$. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:17pm Dnarever wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:52pm:
Horseshit. If firms want to invest in their businesses and grow productivity there is sweet fukk all any gummint policy can do about it. Reality is that productivity is well down, especially on the capital side. That is the reason why wages growth is subdued. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Ye Grappler on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:56pm
**falls about laughing at the headline**
juliar couldn't do any better than that..... |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Ye Grappler on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:59pm crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:17pm:
So the only productivity that will grow and trickle-up will be the incomes of the fat cats who run the show? And one day their coffers will overflow and money will cascade down like Niagara Falls to the desperate peasants dying of thirst below? Don't make me laugh..... if theory economics was so successful, we would all have been in clover 5000 hockey sticks ago.... |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 10:21pm juliar wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 8:43pm:
At the moment the USD is rallying due to Pres Trump's success with increasing jobs while the AUD is fairly steady based on confidence in Mal's financial genius. Actually the USD is down and this fact has more to do with the US market results than anything that Trump has done according to US economists. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 10:29pm crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:17pm:
What rubbish - it the government are saying to company management that it is ok and even expected that they will keep all those lovely $$$$$ instead of giving it to those miserable employees (which they are) Quote:
Nobody said any different, the difference is in the outcome where this magically results in higher wages even when wage increases are strongly discouraged. The fact is that government helping business to justify keeping more money for themselves as they have been is difficult to resist. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 10:48pm Quote:
In its crudest form trickle down means putting all the money in at the top end with the expectation that the over flow will find its way down to the bottom or that those at the top will throw some crumbs down to those lower. The reality is that no business is going to give away any of their money if they don't have to. The interesting reality is that there was a period where to some extent it did seem to work. The problem is that it was poorly identified. The thing is that when unions and workers were strong enough they could demand their share. The union employer strength was the primary driver of trickle down. It worked because it was never a matter of the employer being generous, it was that the employer had no other option. Successive Liberal governments mainly the Howard disgrace hobbled Unions in the workplace which effectively removed the main driver of the trickle. Today there is no trickle, the drivers for it are gone. Expecting business men to give away money out of generosity is not going to happen. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by ___ on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:05pm
Yep. We are now heading towards being a country full of serfs. Working for next to nothing and all rights removed.
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:48pm Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:59pm:
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:51pm ____ wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:05pm:
A direct result of declining productivity. I've been sending this message on this board for years that this is what we face if it is not turned around. The ol' Croc was right all along. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Dnarever on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:53pm crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:48pm:
. It's not the result generous bosses having moments of benevolence. But this has been almost the whole story of the Liberal party's economic strategy for the last 30 years ? How could it possibly be wrong ????? |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:17am Dnarever wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 11:53pm:
They wouldn't know if their arses were on fire. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Ye Grappler on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:26am
"Profits are reinvested which grows productivity."
No - they are not..... only in a very limited sense, and only after the real profits have been removed offshore or into other safe havens (such as ongoing tax concessions) for the benefit of the (primarily) major shareholders, who always constitute a tiny percentage of the overall shareholders. The only 're-investment' of profit is where there is a clear avenue for further profit, and thus that is not a genuine investment in this nation or its resources procurement or anything else - but is only an investment in gaining profit. NO organisation re-invests its profits unless it can see a clear path to further profit. The facts are there on the table with the tax recoupment from major corporations that offshore their profits. Once that is all gone offshore, the begging bowls come out for more 'investment' that procures next to nothing for the nation as a whole, but only for those who are on 'the inside' with major shareholdings. The 'mums and pops' get a pittance but imagine they are big wheels in business... (sighs).... while 80% of the shares are held by ten people...... and thus 80% of the profit goes to those ten people.... The only 'productivity' you are discussing is the productivity of shareholder gains.... and unless some major changes are made to 'investment' in this nation, it will continue to slide downhill at a rapid rate, since such current investment does not produce any lasting effect HERE and NOW, or in the foreseeable future. WHERE is the productivity in any other sphere than in shareholding? Yeah - I studied Economics years ago.... doesn't mean I accept all the rubbish that is trotted out as economic orthodoxy. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 11th, 2017 at 9:37am Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:26am:
What a load of hot cock. If corporations aren't reinvesting how do you explain the unhindered decades long growth in labour productivity. Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:26am:
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:26am:
Productivity has fukk all to do with shareholder returns. It is outputs divided by labour and capital inputs. Wages do in fact track productivity very closely. There is some deviation during the stagflation era of the late '70s in favour of labour. It is tailing off in recent times due to the extremely poor performance of capital productivity dragging down multifactor. Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:26am:
I'd suggest you use that top 2% of IQ and blow the dust off your old text books. You're a bit muddled. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Bam on Aug 11th, 2017 at 10:57am crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:17pm:
The increase in productivity without pay rises in the past five years is a strong argument against this. Company profits have soared and these have not been passed on to the ones whose hard work has delivered these profits: the workers. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:30am Its time wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 7:44pm:
He loses his job to the chinese and then has no spending power which results in an epidemic of empty shops and malls just like in the US !! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdfAzSia8wo&t=2s |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:31am Bam wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 10:57am:
That's why it is wrongly labelled and should be called "The trickle up effect". |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Bam on Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:59am crocodile wrote on Aug 10th, 2017 at 9:17pm:
Not for CEOs, executives and board members of large companies. Their salaries have grown much faster than those of the general population and not by being much more productive. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:01pm Bam wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 10:57am:
Sorry to break the bad news to you but total factor productivity has been in free fall for the last five years. It may have increased in Kickatinalong but not here in Aussie. More bad news for you. As of 3rd Qtr 2015 corporate profits were back at 2004 levels. And that's not even inflation or GDP adjusted. There were two good quarters this year. As if that makes up for 11 years of zip. It's already been explained. Wages follow MF productivity, not profits. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 11th, 2017 at 12:03pm Bam wrote on Aug 11th, 2017 at 11:59am:
Do you have any data on that or their relative productivity performance. The relativism argument is not much use. |
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by Leftwinger on Aug 13th, 2017 at 8:14pm
I predict the wage rises will come around 2019 , coincidentally when a change of government occurs
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Title: Re: Trickle Down Economics = Wage Rises For Everyone Post by crocodile on Aug 13th, 2017 at 9:11pm Its time wrote on Aug 13th, 2017 at 8:14pm:
On what basis do you make this prediction LW. So far, Bill has not divulged anything that remotely addresses the two decades long fall in total factor productivity. No matter what, sustained wages growth cannot occur under declining productivity performance without affecting employment. |
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