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Message started by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am

Title: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by progressiveslol on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am

progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  ::) ::)

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by progressiveslol on Apr 27th, 2015 at 6:58am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am:

progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  ::) ::)

Didn't think you would, because that little graphy of yours is complete BS

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Chimp_Logic on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:16am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907


But Sir Booby has assured everyone in here that the ice age has only just commenced in 2014

Are you aware of Sir Booby's findings and excellent research analysis and references to back up every claim?

Nobody can argue with Dr Sircus - an acupuncturist who can cure cancer sufferers by administering Baking soda and magnesium, and who is also an expert climate scientist apparently in his spare time.

Poor Jethro - trapped in his own web of lies and self delusional fossil fuel and banking cartel spin

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by lee on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"


Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by progressiveslol on Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:41am

lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am:
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"

Thanks for sharing. I knew deadhorse wouldn't.

Pretty funny using a graph that is "more unlikely than likely" and then try to use it as truth, but that's what we get from the AGW side of pseudo science.

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:33pm

Chimp_Logic wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:16am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907


But Sir Booby has assured everyone in here that the ice age has only just commenced in 2014

Are you aware of Sir Booby's findings and excellent research analysis and references to back up every claim?

Nobody can argue with Dr Sircus - an acupuncturist who can cure cancer sufferers by administering Baking soda and magnesium, and who is also an expert climate scientist apparently in his spare time.

Poor Jethro - trapped in his own web of lies and self delusional fossil fuel and banking cartel spin

He's got a facebook page and all  :D :D

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:35pm

progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:41am:

lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am:
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"

Thanks for sharing. I knew deadhorse wouldn't.

Pretty funny using a graph that is "more unlikely than likely" and then try to use it as truth, but that's what we get from the AGW side of pseudo science.

Something tells me you still don't understand my first post  :o :o

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Copper-toned-stunt on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:36pm

progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 6:58am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am:

progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  ::) ::)

Didn't think you would, because that little graphy of yours is complete BS

You still don't read too well...  ::)

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Rider on Apr 27th, 2015 at 3:46pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  :D :D

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907


Ahhhhh  NOAA....corrupting data for decades. Meaningless dross sucking in the weak minded fools in society. Certainly captures the usual 'consensus' brainwashed mental delinquents.

Title: Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Post by Chimp_Logic on Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:56pm
There is an ice age coming, Dr Sircus said so

Thats why Abbott is handing out 2.5 billion dollars to the Fossil fuel power generators and polluters to reduce their emissions.

There is an ICE AGE COMING - BUY YOUR WINTER WARE NOW

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