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General Discussion >> Federal Politics >> When in doubt compare Aus to cripples http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1338193424 Message started by Maqqa on May 28th, 2012 at 6:23pm |
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Title: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 28th, 2012 at 6:23pm
http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/national/13800505/swan-lauds-another-upbeat-view-of-economy/
Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan has lauded an analysis of Australia's financial standing by one of the nation's major banks, saying it highlights the economy's "standout performance". A report by Westpac found that Australia is in a much more robust financial position than the rest of the developed world, giving it a greater ability to weather the storms to come. It also says that the strong fiscal position relative to the rest of the world means that Australia's financing will be very limited compared to nations of the north Atlantic, the Mediterranean and Japan. "In an era of deteriorating credit quality, the formidable strength of Australian government securities should see them remain a very attractive investment proposition amongst global investors," Westpac economist Allot Clarke says. "If, as we suspect, the European economy deteriorates further, then this will become all the more relevant." Mr Swan said reports confirming Australia's standout performance are becoming a daily event. "While there are parts of our patchwork economy facing pressures, our fundamentals remain strong, with our economy forecast to grow more strongly than every major advanced economy over the next two years," Mr Swan said. Last week the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) gave Australia an upbeat appraisal, forecasting economic growth over the next two years to be ahead of the 34-member OECD bloc as a whole. Government agency, the Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE), also found committed investment in the mining sector stood at a record $260.8 billion in April. "Despite the Liberals' determination to talk our economy down at every turn and try to undermine confidence, the facts of our standout economic performance speak for themselves," Mr Swan said. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 28th, 2012 at 6:25pm
One of the favorite tricks of a bride is to choose really ugly bridesmaids so she can look good on the day
Looks like Swan is doing the same thing. To make himself look good he compares himself to cripples. If you want to know how well we are doing - the current GDP is still way below what it was when Swan came in. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by cods on May 28th, 2012 at 9:24pm
well I guess we look good until China feels the real pain of the melt down in Europe..
I would imagine the outpouring of cheap goods from China has already started to slow down.. which means their buying power will also slow down.. we are winging it on the mining industry you know the ones??the ones gillard is now wooing.. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by MOTR on May 29th, 2012 at 4:23am Maqqa wrote on May 28th, 2012 at 6:25pm:
What are you talking about Maqqa, Real GDP growth has been positive since 2007. If you live in talkback world you might not think so, but our economy is still growing and growing fast enough to keep unemployment in check. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Dnarever on May 29th, 2012 at 9:30am Maqqa wrote on May 28th, 2012 at 6:25pm:
Quote:
The rest of the developed world - all ugly bridesmaids accoding to Macca. Quote:
Now there is some ugly bridesmaides. Quote:
All Global investors? Quote:
Quote:
This does not fit the bridesmaid example - this is clearly saying better than the best. If you want to know how well we are doing - the current GDP is still way below what it was when Swan came in This may not be the silliest comment you have made. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 9:55am
The rest of the developed world - lets see - is Spain, Greece, Ireland, Portugal
Its an attractive investment because are interest rates are higher than everyone else. The other countries had to lower their rates because they were infected by the bad loans |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by cods on May 29th, 2012 at 10:02am Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 9:55am:
if we are doing SO WELL.. why is our govt in disarray?? they should be sitting on top of the world so to speak.. . I would really like to have an honest answer from a rusted on to be honest.. they keep telling us about these FIGURES.. and reminding us what a great treasurer we have.. so great he has never ONCE been nominated as a PM....huh! at least Costello was always expected to take over..hahahaha.. it doesnt make logical sense to me |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by buzzanddidj on May 29th, 2012 at 10:06am The Abbott camp appear to have ( ... quite sensibly) given up trying to bring down the Government's economic record The main focus is, now, on the more "titillating, tabloid" tales of prostitutes, Craig Thomson - and the Pyne/Ashby ( ... so called) "SlipperGate" Affair buzzanddidj wrote on May 23rd, 2012 at 1:46pm:
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 10:11am
Read the title of this thread buzz
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Dnarever on May 29th, 2012 at 10:26am
When in doubt compare Aus to cripples
Full of brown floaties. Kicking own goals and do not even know it. As usual the story does the exact opposite to supporting either the title or the calim. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 29th, 2012 at 10:28am How would the Howard years compare to China Maqqa? After all that's what you want to use as a benchmark now. Haven't they had double digit growth for a decade or more? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 10:35am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 10:28am:
Compared to China? Are you kidding? The Chinese economy cannot be compared to the Australian economy in terms of growth. This is the whole argument that China presented when it argued against Kyoto. A developing economy grow at a different rate than a developed economy. Developing economy can sustain double digit growth whereas a a country like Australia would soon crash if it grew at anywhere about 5%. With a population of 1.3Billion - growth will continue in double digits for a long time. It's been growing this way for 20 years now and will continue for at least another 20 |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 29th, 2012 at 10:51am Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 10:35am:
So we can't compare our economy to other developed nations because apparently now that their in the toilet it distorts the truth in your eyes. We cant use emerging economies because then it would taint the Howard/Costello legacy. So what do you wish to compare our economy too? Scandinavian Countries, probably best to stay away from them as they have mining taxes + high individual tax rates(socialist bastards) & have done so for decades , yet Tony wishes to scrap ours. Arabic Countries, Theocracies & Kingdoms that hand millions in oil wealth to every individual yearly. Not really a fair comparison for a democracy. So who? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by NBNMyths on May 29th, 2012 at 10:56am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 10:51am:
Couldn't have said it better myself. Come on Maqqa, which economies should we be comparing ourselves to? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by PoliticalPuppet on May 29th, 2012 at 10:57am NBNMyths wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 10:56am:
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 10:51am:
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by buzzanddidj on May 29th, 2012 at 11:08am Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 9:55am:
You seem to have forgotten ... The United States of America The United Kingdom Japan Canada Germany France ... and the REST of the EURO i |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 11:52am
I have already posted the comparison for the rest of the world buzz so your example is moot as per usual
Just in case you wonder here it is again http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ If Swan wants to go on growth numbers alone then Mongolia, Rwanda and Bangladesh are doing better than Australia |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by buzzanddidj on May 29th, 2012 at 3:56pm Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:52am:
And AGAIN ... You seem to have CONVENIENLY forgotten ... The United States of America The United Kingdom Japan Canada Germany France ... and the REST of the EURO Just FACE it ... Australia is the LEADER and the ROLE MODEL that economies - WORLD-WIDE - aspire to |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Kat on May 29th, 2012 at 4:31pm Not forgotten, Buzz. Ignored. Because the facts don't suit the Coalition's agenda. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 29th, 2012 at 4:38pm Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am:
And yet our banks continue to bemoan the cost of money. Are you saying they are lying? It's true thanks to Costello & APRA they were not exposed to as much junk stock but the cost of lending is global so they were and still are exposed to those forces. Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am:
Yet you claim we cannot compare established with established. When we(well Swan) compares our economy to UK/USA, you have said we should look to economies like China/India. So when I say then we should use those economies to re-acess the past performance of your favoured party suddenly we cant. Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am:
You just cannot cut out the GFC as you would like, I agree with your acessment of only periferial damage to us but we are still effected. You cannot compare key economic indicators from good times to indictors of bad or recovering. Apples & oranges my friend. Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am:
On this we find common ground Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 11:02am:
There's that ground again :) |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by longweekend58 on May 29th, 2012 at 5:28pm MOTR wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 4:23am:
actually there was one quarter of negative growth and you write it as if there was endless recession prior to labors belevolent reign. actually it was 12 years of recession free boom times. THAT is the point. BOOM times. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 6:53pm Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 4:38pm:
FFS dsmithy I'll explain the GFC to you again. It started out as US banks re-selling their mortgages books to other banks. The banks that purchased the mortgages in turn sells it to other banks both in the US and overseas and so on and so on. It got to a point when the loans are called and they found there was not enough liquidity and/or collateral to cover the loans Hence the write offs of bank assets. Which triggers the GFC - Global Financial Crisis. Its a name given the the fall out of the events I have described. Therefore I am not cutting out the GFC. I am stating the GFC If you say - we can not compare key indicator from each of the times then why are you accepting Swan's comparison? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 6:56pm Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 4:38pm:
Because the funds are coming from overseas banks and not the Aust government Overseas banks hold Aust cash, so do fund managers and they demand a certain return for their money. It's got nothing to to with APRA |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 29th, 2012 at 7:11pm Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 6:53pm:
Thanks for that but I do know the reasons for the GFC. Swan is at least comparing current figures with traditional comparative economies, which you now assert is misleading. Whatever why you want to cut it our economy is strong. 2 speed yes but if it was a liberal government you would be claiming the current indicators were the result of strong economic management. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 7:18pm Dsmithy70 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 7:11pm:
But some of these economies are impacted directly from the GFC (US, UK) and some aren't (Aust) There are some that are further impact by their own government mismanagement eg Greece and Ireland So lets compare economies that are indirectly impacted Rwanda v Australia - Rwanda grew faster than Australia therefore Swan is worse than Rwanda? Of course not. This is why I said we also need to include key economic indicators as well as taking into account the impact of the GFC. Swan simply pick and choose the economies that makes him look good despite knowing that these are apples, pears and oranges |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 29th, 2012 at 7:36pm Maqqa wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 7:18pm:
Swan can do what he wants. I'm basing my opinion on the fact that according to the ABS unemployment is low, inflation is well within the RBA's 2 to 3%pa and interest rates are low. As I said indictors you would be spruking as good economic management if a Liberal government. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by MOTR on May 29th, 2012 at 9:04pm longweekend58 wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 5:28pm:
I didn't say anything of the kind, Longy. All I said is that we have had positive growth since 2007. If you want to point to one quarter of negative growth in the midst of the worst global recession in 75 years, go ahead. The fact is that year on year we have enjoyed economic growth for the last five years. Maqqa's claim that the economy is smaller today than in 2007 is absolute bollocks. Unfortunately, Maqqa's economic illiteracy probably reflects a fair chunk of the talk back audience. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 10:57pm MOTR wrote on May 29th, 2012 at 9:04pm:
http://www.google.com.au/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_cd&idim=country:AUS&dl=en&hl=en&q=australian+gdp+statistics |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 11:07pm
Here's a heads up about the GDP measures.
The Australia $ was higher than the USD in the last 12-18 months and GDP is measured in USD |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 29th, 2012 at 11:17pm |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by MOTR on May 30th, 2012 at 1:15am
You can measure the GDP of a country in any currency you like, Maqqa. Here's a heads up, we're Australian we tend to measure our national accounts, including GDP, in AUD. Only an idiot would argue that the Australian economy today is smaller than what it was in 2007.
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 30th, 2012 at 10:01am
Recent economic indicators:
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010(a) 2011(b) GDP (US$bn) (current prices): 785.8 954.5 1,060.7 987.1 1,238.0 1,507.4 GDP PPP (US$bn) (c): 736.1 792.1 830.6 850.9 883.8 919.0 GDP per capita (US$): 37,644 44,891 48,813 44,602 55,150 66,984 GDP per capita PPP (US$) (c): 35,267 37,253 38,224 38,763 39,764 40,836 Real GDP growth (% change yoy):2.5 4.7 2.4 1.5 2.5 1.8 Current account balance (US$m):-41,503 -59,214 -47,442 -42,031 -33,027 -32,801 Current account balance (% GDP):-5.3 -6.2 -4.5 -4.3 -2.7 -2.2 Goods & services exports (% GDP):20.0 19.1 22.3 20.0 21.2 21.1 Inflation (% change yoy): 3.3 3.0 3.7 2.1 2.7 3.5 Seeing everything that should go up has & everything that should come down also has travelled in the right direction, a .7% slowing probably was on the cards, I'm assuming you wish us to only focus on that line. The top line is the most telling our GDP has all but doubled since we booted Howard out. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 30th, 2012 at 10:02am MOTR wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 1:15am:
So show me the AUD equivalent! |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 30th, 2012 at 10:04am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:01am:
Look at the numbers again and in reference to the exchange rates |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 30th, 2012 at 10:22am Maqqa wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:04am:
So now you wish to blame exchange rates, geez we really must have been in the sh!tter during Howard's tenure when the AUD hit its all time low of .4775 & hovered around its historical average of .75. Stop digging mate ;) |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 30th, 2012 at 10:25am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:22am:
Where did I blame the exchange rate for how bad the economy is going? I am simply pointing out that at the time of measuring you need to take into account all factors. As for the 0.45 - are we measuring it in accordance to that time or are wee looking at the economy in 2007 and comparing it to the economy of last 12 months? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 30th, 2012 at 10:35am Maqqa wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:25am:
Find me one independent qualified person who thinks economy is going bad. Accountant Economist Lecturer hell even financial reporter Just one to back your claim of a bad economy. The only idiots who say that are Abbott,Hockey & their lackey's. Are you a lackey? |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 30th, 2012 at 11:02am Dsmithy70 wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:35am:
In what context? We were discussing the GDP - which is only one of the many indicators |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by dsmithy70 on May 30th, 2012 at 11:21am Maqqa wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 11:02am:
We've discussed quite a few things throughout the thread. Unfortunately for you, no matter how you spin it Australia's economy is strong & only getting stronger. You have almost a bottomless pit of things to kick Labor with(most they deserve) but the economy is not one. |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by Maqqa on May 30th, 2012 at 1:08pm Dsmithy70 wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 11:21am:
Actually I posted the links to these figures in response to accusations about GDP |
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Title: Re: When in doubt compare Aus to cripples Post by MOTR on May 31st, 2012 at 6:09am Maqqa wrote on May 30th, 2012 at 10:02am:
Maqqa, I don't need to. Our national accounts are measured in AUD, just check the ABS. Since 2007 we have not experienced a single year of negative year on year economic growth. Think about it, Maqqa, if something is growing for 4/5 consecutive years how can it be smaller. Further, if the economy had been stagnating, or as you implied shrinking, since 2007, we'd know about it. Our unemployment rate would be well past double figures for a start. |
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