Rhonda Avasalu      CDP      2,005      2.4            +0.5            
John McNamara      LIB      33,287      40.2            -2.0            
Craig Thomson      ALP      38,268      46.3            -0.1            
Gavin Brett      FFP      2,033      2.5            +0.8            
Scott Rickard      GRN      7,121      8.6            +3.2            


http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/dobe.htm


Is this the future of the Thomson saga?

Thomson goes, Labor puts up a star candidate and we have a by-election.

The real election is only a year away, Labor will hang on to Thompson until then, but he wont seek re-election.

Enter new candidate.

'Bugger the numbers' says angry Oakeshott on Thomson saga

Pivotal independent MP Rob Oakeshott has warned he will not baulk at action against controversial MP Craig Thomson, even if it costs the Gillard government a crucial vote in Parliament.

http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/bugger-the-numbers-says-angry-oakeshott-on-thomson-saga-20120510-1ye14.html

____ wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 10:30am:

'Bugger the numbers' says angry Oakeshott on Thomson saga Pivotal independent MP Rob Oakeshott has warned he will not baulk at action against controversial MP Craig Thomson, even if it costs the Gillard government a crucial vote in Parliament. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/bugger-the-numbers-says-angry-oakeshott-on-thomson-saga-20120510-1ye14.html

Well lets see it Oakshott

progressiveslol wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 10:33am:

____ wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:30am: 'Bugger the numbers' says angry Oakeshott on Thomson saga Pivotal independent MP Rob Oakeshott has warned he will not baulk at action against controversial MP Craig Thomson, even if it costs the Gillard government a crucial vote in Parliament. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/bugger-the-numbers-says-angry-oakeshott-on-thomson-saga-20120510-1ye14.html Well lets see it Oakshott

the indies are hanging on for dear life..if he goes so do they.and about time too

if anymore sleazy comes out of this govt..

we will be alongside.. the likes of Mugabe and Idi Amin,..

if we are not there already.


this will have to go down as the most historically corrupt govt we have ever had.

the level they have stooped to,to hold on to power.. is disgusting.

cods wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 10:39am:

progressiveslol wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:33am: ____ wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:30am: 'Bugger the numbers' says angry Oakeshott on Thomson saga Pivotal independent MP Rob Oakeshott has warned he will not baulk at action against controversial MP Craig Thomson, even if it costs the Gillard government a crucial vote in Parliament. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/bugger-the-numbers-says-angry-oakeshott-on-thomson-saga-20120510-1ye14.html Well lets see it Oakshott the indies are hanging on for dear life..if he goes so do they.and about time too if anymore sleazy comes out of this govt.. we will be alongside.. the likes of Mugabe and Idi Amin,.. if we are not there already. this will have to go down as the most historically corrupt govt we have ever had. the level they have stooped to,to hold on to power.. is disgusting.

They know it are are giving away everything and the bathroom sink to buy votes just before it happens.

If Thomson quits, the seat will go to Libs in a landslide. therfore, Gillard will also be gone.

progressiveslol wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 10:41am:

cods wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:39am: progressiveslol wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:33am: ____ wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 10:30am: 'Bugger the numbers' says angry Oakeshott on Thomson saga Pivotal independent MP Rob Oakeshott has warned he will not baulk at action against controversial MP Craig Thomson, even if it costs the Gillard government a crucial vote in Parliament. http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/bugger-the-numbers-says-angry-oakeshott-on-thomson-saga-20120510-1ye14.html Well lets see it Oakshott the indies are hanging on for dear life..if he goes so do they.and about time too if anymore sleazy comes out of this govt.. we will be alongside.. the likes of Mugabe and Idi Amin,.. if we are not there already. this will have to go down as the most historically corrupt govt we have ever had. the level they have stooped to,to hold on to power.. is disgusting. They know it are are giving away everything and the bathroom sink to buy votes just before it happens.

I am now waiting for

GUTLESS GILLARD TO COME OUT IN FAVOR OF'

GAY MARRIAGE'




anyone taking bets?

If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor.

TheGreenLight wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 12:28pm:

If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor.

Yeh I wouldn't vote greens if I were normally a greens voter either lol
;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

progressiveslol wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 12:46pm:

TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:28pm: If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor. Yeh I wouldn't vote greens if I were normally a greens voter either lol ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

The Greens have no chance of winning the seat, so it's best to just vote Labor and retain the seat, avoiding a full general election.

TheGreenLight wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 12:48pm:

progressiveslol wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:46pm: TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:28pm: If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor. Yeh I wouldn't vote greens if I were normally a greens voter either lol ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D The Greens have no chance of winning the seat, so it's best to just vote Labor and retain the seat, avoiding a full general election.

Rubbish


Vote Liberal and vote for slashing the tax free threshold from $18K to $6K.
All that extra tax people will be paying
Vote Liberals and vote a dipstick who cant negotiate.
Vote Liberal and you will be paying for all that carbon pollution, rather than the polluters.
Vote for the Liberals and you vote for economic mismanagement. $11 Billion whole in the last election and currently $70,000,000,000 plus.

Vote Labor and you just encourage them more.

Best option, Vote Progressive, Vote Greens and then preference one of the old parties, depending which is the lesser disaster. 

____ wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 2:06pm:

TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:48pm: progressiveslol wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:46pm: TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:28pm: If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor. Yeh I wouldn't vote greens if I were normally a greens voter either lol ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D The Greens have no chance of winning the seat, so it's best to just vote Labor and retain the seat, avoiding a full general election. Rubbish Vote Liberal and vote for slashing the tax free threshold from $18K to $6K. All that extra tax people will be paying Vote Liberals and vote a dipstick who cant negotiate. Vote Liberal and you will be paying for all that carbon pollution, rather than the polluters. Vote for the Liberals and you vote for economic mismanagement. $11 Billion whole in the last election and currently $70,000,000,000 plus. Vote Labor and you just encourage them more. Best option, Vote Progressive, Vote Greens and then preference one of the old parties, depending which is the lesser disaster.

That is true, but I just want to make sure that Labor gets the seat. I support the Greens AND Labor.

TheGreenLight wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 2:31pm:

____ wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 2:06pm: TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:48pm: progressiveslol wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:46pm: TheGreenLight wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 12:28pm: If Thomson does quit, which looks fairly probable, then the people of Dobell need to think long and hard about what they want: the continuation of a good, stable and progressive Labor/Green alliance, caring for our future generations, and fighting against climate change, or regressing back to Workchoices and not caring about our future generations and climate change. The choice is clear. Vote Labor. Yeh I wouldn't vote greens if I were normally a greens voter either lol ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D The Greens have no chance of winning the seat, so it's best to just vote Labor and retain the seat, avoiding a full general election. Rubbish Vote Liberal and vote for slashing the tax free threshold from $18K to $6K. All that extra tax people will be paying Vote Liberals and vote a dipstick who cant negotiate. Vote Liberal and you will be paying for all that carbon pollution, rather than the polluters. Vote for the Liberals and you vote for economic mismanagement. $11 Billion whole in the last election and currently $70,000,000,000 plus. Vote Labor and you just encourage them more. Best option, Vote Progressive, Vote Greens and then preference one of the old parties, depending which is the lesser disaster.  That is true, but I just want to make sure that Labor gets the seat. I support the Greens AND Labor.

Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20%

longweekend58 wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 7:38pm:

Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20%

You're been busy poking your fingers up your bum again I see. Why bother to stop at 20%? If you're going to make stuff up, why not go the whole hog?

Gist wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 8:14pm:

longweekend58 wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 7:38pm: Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20% You're been busy poking your fingers up your bum again I see. Why bother to stop at 20%? If you're going to make stuff up, why not go the whole hog?

I think it will be 100% and Abbott will be our overlord until he dies of old age and hands his power on to his first born  ;D

Gist wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 8:14pm:

longweekend58 wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 7:38pm: Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20% You're been busy poking your fingers up your bum again I see. Why bother to stop at 20%? If you're going to make stuff up, why not go the whole hog?

the current anti-labor swing is close to 10%. do you not think there is a possibility that there might be a local anti-thomson vote there as well?????


or did you forget the state election in SA where there were a number of 20%+ swings against labor. and then of course there were the NSW and QLD elections where there were many 20% wings.

Id be happy to tip that teh anti labor swing in a Dobell by-election would be in the are of 15-20%

longweekend58 wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 8:25pm:

Gist wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 8:14pm: longweekend58 wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 7:38pm: Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20% You're been busy poking your fingers up your bum again I see. Why bother to stop at 20%? If you're going to make stuff up, why not go the whole hog? the current anti-labor swing is close to 10%. do you not think there is a possibility that there might be a local anti-thomson vote there as well????? or did you forget the state election in SA where there were a number of 20%+ swings against labor. and then of course there were the NSW and QLD elections where there were many 20% wings. Id be happy to tip that teh anti labor swing in a Dobell by-election would be in the are of 15-20%

In other words, you're making it up, as I said. You have no more idea than I do.

But I'm not presenting my BS as fact THAT'S the difference.  :D

Gist wrote on May 10^th, 2012 at 8:41pm:

longweekend58 wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 8:25pm: Gist wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 8:14pm: longweekend58 wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 7:38pm: Labor has no hope in a dobell by-election. it needs a small swing in an environment where the swing could be 20% You're been busy poking your fingers up your bum again I see. Why bother to stop at 20%? If you're going to make stuff up, why not go the whole hog? the current anti-labor swing is close to 10%. do you not think there is a possibility that there might be a local anti-thomson vote there as well????? or did you forget the state election in SA where there were a number of 20%+ swings against labor. and then of course there were the NSW and QLD elections where there were many 20% wings. Id be happy to tip that teh anti labor swing in a Dobell by-election would be in the are of 15-20% In other words, you're making it up, as I said. You have no more idea than I do. But I'm not presenting my BS as fact THAT'S the difference.  :D

No, you're in denial.