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Member Run Boards >> Environment >> Arctic Ice continues to shrink
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Message started by Oh_Yeah on Sep 17th, 2011 at 11:49am

Title: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Sep 17th, 2011 at 11:49am

Quote:
Arctic sea ice appears to have reached its lowest extent for the year. The minimum ice extent was the second lowest in the satellite record, after 2007, and continues the decadal trend of rapidly decreasing summer sea ice.

Please note that this is a preliminary announcement. Changing winds could still push ice flows together, reducing ice extent further.

The last five years (2007 to 2011) have been the five lowest extents in the continuous satellite record, which extends back to 1979. While the record low year of 2007 was marked by a combination of weather conditions that favored ice loss (including clearer skies, favorable wind patterns, and warm temperatures), this year has shown more typical weather patterns but continued warmth over the Arctic. This supports the idea that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to thin.

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/


The denialists will continue to cherry pick and distort statistics, make personal attacks on scientists and pay the shock jocks to promote denial.

Meanwhile the worlds glaciers and ice caps continue to melt.......

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Gimme Gimme on Sep 18th, 2011 at 10:21pm
Spot on man!

Who ever thought that australians would be applauding Alan bloody Jones as a climate change expert.

Jezus christ. :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 18th, 2011 at 10:26pm
Vote 1, QUARRY!!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 17th, 2011 at 11:49am:

Quote:
Arctic sea ice appears to have reached its lowest extent for the year. The minimum ice extent was the second lowest in the satellite record, after 2007, and continues the decadal trend of rapidly decreasing summer sea ice.

Please note that this is a preliminary announcement. Changing winds could still push ice flows together, reducing ice extent further.

The last five years (2007 to 2011) have been the five lowest extents in the continuous satellite record, which extends back to 1979. While the record low year of 2007 was marked by a combination of weather conditions that favored ice loss (including clearer skies, favorable wind patterns, and warm temperatures), this year has shown more typical weather patterns but continued warmth over the Arctic. This supports the idea that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to thin.

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/


The denialists will continue to cherry pick and distort statistics, make personal attacks on scientists and pay the shock jocks to promote denial.

Meanwhile the worlds glaciers and ice caps continue to melt.......


Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 20th, 2011 at 12:27am
Vote 1, QUARRY!  :D :D :D :D ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 22nd, 2011 at 1:34am
NON-LINEARITIES SUCK!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  


And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:09am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  


And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.


And here we have a denialist resorting to guessing historical data to justify his views.

;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:42am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:09am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  


And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.


And here we have a denialist resorting to guessing historical data to justify his views.

;D


Yes, I can see how the thought of this happening before in history would prove uncomfortable to the alarmists.
And given the age of the planet, do you honestly think this sort of thing hasn't happened before at any other time.
I'm not the one guessing historical data, I'll leave that to the global warming soothsayers and their dodgy computer models.
I am only suggesting on the balance of probabilities this has happened before.
Do let me know if a computer model says different though.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 5:19pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:42am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:09am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  


And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.


And here we have a denialist resorting to guessing historical data to justify his views.

;D


Yes, I can see how the thought of this happening before in history would prove uncomfortable to the alarmists.
And given the age of the planet, do you honestly think this sort of thing hasn't happened before at any other time.
I'm not the one guessing historical data, I'll leave that to the global warming soothsayers and their dodgy computer models.
I am only suggesting on the balance of probabilities this has happened before.
Do let me know if a computer model says different though.

scientific method is?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Sep 24th, 2011 at 11:37pm

Quote:
Yes, I can see how the thought of this happening before in history would prove uncomfortable to the alarmists.
And given the age of the planet, do you honestly think this sort of thing hasn't happened before at any other time.


You are right.  Ice sheets grow and shrink many times over the course of the Earth's history due to natural temperature decreases and increases.  It's what causes Ice Ages and also the end of Ice Ages.

The last major Ice age that the Earth experience ended 10,000 years ago.  In the northern hemisphere the ice sheet which is now confined to Greenland covered almost the whole of northern Europe.  The whole of Great Britain, except the most southerly reaches of England, was covered in an ice sheet miles thick.  Sea levels were so low that Britain was not an island but was actually joined to France (thank God it's not like that now).  

Then, about 10,000 years ago, the Earth warmed up and, of course, the ice sheets melted and retreated to their current position in Greenland.

Now, what caused that period of Global Warming that ended the last ice age?  I doubt that it was human activity and pollution considering that the earth's human population at the time numbered in just thousands, or maybe 1 or 2 million at the most.  

It must have been NATURAL global warming which caused the ice sheets to retreat 10,000 years ago and there is every reason to assume that the current retreat in ice sheets, should it actually be happening, is also as a result of natural warming and not human activity.

When you mention the end of ice ages, and the entirely natural retreat of ice sheets, to the Global Warmists they find it a bit of An Inconvenient Truth (excuse the pun).

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Sep 25th, 2011 at 9:15pm

Cofgod wrote on Sep 24th, 2011 at 11:37pm:
It must have been NATURAL global warming which caused the ice sheets to retreat 10,000 years ago and there is every reason to assume that the current retreat in ice sheets, should it actually be happening, is also as a result of natural warming and not human activity.

When you mention the end of ice ages, and the entirely natural retreat of ice sheets, to the Global Warmists they find it a bit of An Inconvenient Truth (excuse the pun).


Your logic is fatally flawed. Just because the Earths climate has changed without human intervention in the past you can't just assume that this is proof that the same is happening now. That is like saying JFK must have died of natural causes just because in the past US presidents died of natural causes.

Humans are burning fossil fuels and emitting extra CO2 into the atmosphere (than is naturally emitted as part of the carbon cycle).

The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing.

The evidence clearly shows that the current warming of the earth is not due to natural causes  

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 26th, 2011 at 1:33pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 5:19pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:42am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:09am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 21st, 2011 at 7:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 19th, 2011 at 11:34am:
Fancy that, ice melting in summer.
Who would have thought.
And the global warming alarmists will continue to try to make something from nothing.
Get your red crash helmet on kiddies.


Maybe you have misunderstood the scientific study.

At around this time each year the Arctic ice shrinks to its minimum extent. Comparing this year to past years has shown a decadal trend of rapidly decreasing sea ice.

The summer sea ice over 2007 - 2011 has been the lowest summer sea ice recorded.  


And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.


And here we have a denialist resorting to guessing historical data to justify his views.

;D


Yes, I can see how the thought of this happening before in history would prove uncomfortable to the alarmists.
And given the age of the planet, do you honestly think this sort of thing hasn't happened before at any other time.
I'm not the one guessing historical data, I'll leave that to the global warming soothsayers and their dodgy computer models.
I am only suggesting on the balance of probabilities this has happened before.
Do let me know if a computer model says different though.

scientific method is?


Balance of probabilities.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 26th, 2011 at 1:38pm

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 25th, 2011 at 9:15pm:

Cofgod wrote on Sep 24th, 2011 at 11:37pm:
It must have been NATURAL global warming which caused the ice sheets to retreat 10,000 years ago and there is every reason to assume that the current retreat in ice sheets, should it actually be happening, is also as a result of natural warming and not human activity.

When you mention the end of ice ages, and the entirely natural retreat of ice sheets, to the Global Warmists they find it a bit of An Inconvenient Truth (excuse the pun).


Your logic is fatally flawed. Just because the Earths climate has changed without human intervention in the past you can't just assume that this is proof that the same is happening now. That is like saying JFK must have died of natural causes just because in the past US presidents died of natural causes.

Humans are burning fossil fuels and emitting extra CO2 into the atmosphere (than is naturally emitted as part of the carbon cycle).

The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing.

The evidence clearly shows that the current warming of the earth is not due to natural causes  


But we can just assume instead that some 'climate scientists' computer models giving extrapolations based on a best guess is correct though eh?
Humans are emitting carbon into the atmosphere, but carbon as a whole still only makes up 3% of the total, with human caused emissions being a fraction of that 3%.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Sep 26th, 2011 at 9:25pm
[quote author=Oh_Yeah link=1316224166/0#12 date=1316949328The evidence clearly shows that the current warming of the earth is not due to natural causes  
[/quote]

I don't believe it does.  The Global Warming Brigade are just being taken on a ride.  Governments and "Global Warming scientists" are secretly laughing behind their backs at how gullible the Global Warming believers are.  They just cannot believe how easily you have been duped into their lies.  

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by muso on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:04pm

Cofgod wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 9:25pm:
[quote author=Oh_Yeah link=1316224166/0#12 date=1316949328The evidence clearly shows that the current warming of the earth is not due to natural causes  


I don't believe it does.  The Global Warming Brigade are just being taken on a ride.  Governments and "Global Warming scientists" are secretly laughing behind their backs at how gullible the Global Warming believers are.  They just cannot believe how easily you have been duped into their lies.  [/quote]

It's sad that so many people in Australia think like that.  Australia's chief scientist Professor Ian Chubb made a good comment that all scientists (not just Climate scientists) should spread the message that Global Warming is for real, and it's caused by fossil fuel combustion etc. (cement manufacture, clearing of tropical rainforest ....)  

He's right. There is absolutely no case against it. Exactly how you cut through the political crap and explain it to people, is a different matter. How you deal with the death threats is another.



N_stdev_timeseries.png (78 KB | 59 )

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:54pm

muso wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:04pm:

Cofgod wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 9:25pm:

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 25th, 2011 at 9:15pm:

muso wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:04pm:

Cofgod wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 9:25pm:
[quote author=Oh_Yeah link=1316224166/0#12 date=1316949328The evidence clearly shows that the current warming of the earth is not due to natural causes  


I don't believe it does.  The Global Warming Brigade are just being taken on a ride.  Governments and "Global Warming scientists" are secretly laughing behind their backs at how gullible the Global Warming believers are.  They just cannot believe how easily you have been duped into their lies.  


It's sad that so many people in Australia think like that.  Australia's chief scientist Professor Ian Chubb made a good comment that all scientists (not just Climate scientists) should spread the message that Global Warming is for real, and it's caused by fossil fuel combustion etc. (cement manufacture, clearing of tropical rainforest ....)  

He's right. There is absolutely no case against it. Exactly how you cut through the political crap and explain it to people, is a different matter. How you deal with the death threats is another.


Man-made Global Warming is non-existent.  If you want to continue to believe in it then that's fine.  You believe what you want.  What I don't agree with is my government, and other governments, also going along with it.  The sooner people realise that man-made Global Warming is not happening the better life will be.  

Here is some suggested watching and reading which will make you learn that "man-made Global Warming" is a sham:

FILM

The Great Global Warming Swindle

Everything you’ve ever been told about Global Warming is probably untrue. This film blows the whistle on the biggest swindle in modern history. We are told that ‘Man Made Global Warming’ is the biggest ever threat to mankind. There is no room for scientific doubt. Well, watch this film and make up your own mind

BOOKS

CO2 and Temperature

The ice-core data is frequently cited as principal evidence to argue that CO2 is the earth’s main climate driver. It is, in a way, the jewel in the crown of the theory of man made global warming. But the ice-core data does not show that CO2 drives climate. It shows, very clearly, that variations in temperature precede rises in atmospheric CO2 – not the other way round. The two phenomena are divided by a time lag of several hundred years.

There is no evidence that CO2 has ever ‘driven’ the climate in the past, nor is there any compelling evidence that it is doing so now.

According to global warming theory, if an enhanced greenhouse effect (from increased levels of CO2 or indeed any other greenhouse gas) is responsible for warming the earth, then the rate of temperature rise should be greatest in that part of the earth’s atmosphere known as the troposphere, specifically in the tropics. And yet the observations, from weather balloons and satellites have consistently shown that not to be the case. I urge readers to look at the Christy et al papers below. The latest one was recently published in the Journal of Geophysical Research (2007). This may seem like a rather technical issue, but it strikes at the very heart of the theory of man made global warming.

The Myth of Dangerous Human-Caused Climate Change

Tropospheric temperature change since 1979 from tropical radiosonde and satellite measurements” – John R. Chirsty, William B.Norris, Roy W. Spencer, Justin J. Hnilo Journal of Geophysical Research, VOL. 112, D06102
---------------------

Melting Sea Ice and Sea Levels

R. J. Braithwaite, “Glacier Mass Balance: The First 50 Years of International Monitoring,” Progress in Physical Geography 26 (2002): 76-95

R. J. Braithwaite and Y. Zhang, “Relationships between Interannual Variability of Glacier Mass Balance and Climate,” Journal of Glaciology 45 (2000): 456-62

C. J. Caseldine, “The Extent of some Glaciers in Northern Iceland during the Little Ice Age and the Nature of Recent Deglaciation,” The Geographical Journal 151(1985): 215-27

A. N. Mackintosh et al., “Holocene Climate Changes in Iceland: Evidence from Modeling Glacier Length Fluctuation at Solheimajokull,” Quaternary International 91 (1997): 39-52


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:59pm
IPCC & Consensus

One of the biggest barriers to a rational discussion about climatology, is the persistent and sinister use of the ‘consensus’ argument. The idea that there is a consensus between ‘the world’s top scientists’ is used to brow beat politicians, to forestall media criticism of the global warming orthodoxy and to marginalise and ridicule those scientists who dare to speak out against the theory of man made global warming.

Until now, few people have explored the nature of this ‘consensus’. Who are these ‘top scientists’ and who says they all agree? As readers will see, from the few introductory links below, the ‘consensus’ is not all it seems. We urge readers to look at Professor Reiter’s testimony, for example, to the House of Lords

There are indeed many scientists, journalists and others who have built careers and staked their reputations on man made global warming. We should not accept their protestations that ‘the debate is over’, and ‘there is no more room for doubt’.

The implications on public policy of the global warming alarm (for all of us, in the developed world and even more the developing world) are enormous. We are being asked to turn the world upside down, to stifle industrial progress, in order to address this alleged problem. This is too big an issue for us to rubber-stamp the declarations of a semi-political body such as the IPCC.

Orthodox views have been proved wrong time and again. We were assured, you may remember, by a consensus of scientists in Britain, during the BSE ‘Mad Cow Disease’ alarm that, by now, as much as a third of the British population would be dead from eating contaminated hamburgers. The mad cow apocalypse singularly failed to materialise.

Sadly, we have no option, but to be grown up, to examine the question ourselves, and make up our own minds. Is this global warming alarm built on solid evidence?

On the wider political and economic implications of the global warming alarm we would recommend two excellent books:

“Adapt or Die” - ed. Kendra Okonski

“Sustainable Development” – ed. Julian Morris
**************************

And here are some quotes that the Global Warmists might want to take not of:


Apocalypse Then

The continued rapid cooling of the earth since WWII is in accord with the increase in global air pollution associated with industrialization, mechanization, urbanization and exploding population.

-- Reid Bryson, "Global Ecology; Readings towards a rational strategy for Man", (1971)
------------------------

The battle to feed humanity is over. In the 1970s, the world will undergo famines. Hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. Population control is the only answer

-- Paul Ehrlich - The Population Bomb (1968)
------------------

I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000

-- Paul Ehrlich in (1969)
---------------

In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish.

-- Paul Ehrlich, Earth Day (1970)
-----------------

Before 1985, mankind will enter a genuine age of scarcity . . in which the accessible supplies of many key minerals will be facing depletion

-- Paul Ehrlich in (1976)
---------------

This [cooling] trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century

-- Peter Gwynne, Newsweek 1976
--------------

There are ominous signs that the earth's weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production - with serious political implications for just about every nation on earth. The drop in food production could begin quite soon... The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologist are hard-pressed to keep up with it.

-- Newsweek, April 28, (1975)
--------------

This cooling has already killed hundreds of thousands of people. If it continues and no strong action is taken, it will cause world famine, world chaos and world war, and this could all come about before the year 2000.

-- Lowell Ponte "The Cooling", 1976
---------------

If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder by the year 2000...This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age.

-- Kenneth E.F. Watt on air pollution and global cooling, Earth Day (1970)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Sep 26th, 2011 at 11:06pm

Cofgod wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:59pm:
IPCC & Consensus

One of the biggest barriers to a rational discussion about climatology, is the persistent and sinister use of the ‘consensus’ argument. ....

Orthodox views have been proved wrong time and again. We were assured, you may remember, by a consensus of scientists in Britain, during the BSE ‘Mad Cow Disease’ alarm that, by now, as much as a third of the British population would be dead from eating contaminated hamburgers.


That is a bare face lie. There was no consensus of scientists (or medics) saying 20 million poms would die of mad cow.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 27th, 2011 at 5:16am
BOTTLENECKS ARE COMING FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY!

JUST SAYING!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by muso on Sep 27th, 2011 at 6:50am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 11:06pm:

Cofgod wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 10:59pm:
IPCC & Consensus

One of the biggest barriers to a rational discussion about climatology, is the persistent and sinister use of the ‘consensus’ argument. ....

Orthodox views have been proved wrong time and again. We were assured, you may remember, by a consensus of scientists in Britain, during the BSE ‘Mad Cow Disease’ alarm that, by now, as much as a third of the British population would be dead from eating contaminated hamburgers.


That is a bare face lie. There was no consensus of scientists (or medics) saying 20 million poms would die of mad cow.


- and bringing up the Great Global Warming Swindle again is like flogging an eohippus. The horse is not only dead, but fossilised. Don't let the truth get in the way of a good story though  ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by astro_surf on Sep 27th, 2011 at 8:27pm
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRc_9nNTZg0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GzKgLVidLG4

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Sep 30th, 2011 at 7:23am
I checked, it's still there today. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Swagman on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Oct 4th, 2011 at 1:00am

Gimme Gimme wrote on Sep 18th, 2011 at 10:21pm:
Spot on man!

Who ever thought that australians would be applauding Alan bloody Jones as a climate change expert.

Jezus christ. :D

THEY TALKED ABOUT PSYCHOPATHY AS A BUSINESS MODEL ON Q&A TONIGHT: don't tell me ya missed it!
Lol, they went off about American Health care and Greg Sheridan didn't say shite for backpressure regarding that!!!

Yeh, it was a good one for a change! I'd almost given up but I watched it anyway: what a glorious surprise it was!!!

 ;) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 5th, 2011 at 7:41am
I checked again today, it's still there. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 6th, 2011 at 11:56am

Swagman wrote on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm:
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D


I actually did suggest something like that on page one Swagman, however the doomsday squad seemed to think differently.
Get your crash helmet on kiddies, the skies gonna fall on us. ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Oct 10th, 2011 at 1:08am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 6th, 2011 at 11:56am:

Swagman wrote on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm:
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D


I actually did suggest something like that on page one Swagman, however the doomsday squad seemed to think differently.
Get your crash helmet on kiddies, the skies gonna fall on us. ;D

Don't ya know any scientists mate?  ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 10th, 2011 at 2:49pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 1:08am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 6th, 2011 at 11:56am:

Swagman wrote on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm:
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D


I actually did suggest something like that on page one Swagman, however the doomsday squad seemed to think differently.
Get your crash helmet on kiddies, the skies gonna fall on us. ;D

Don't ya know any scientists mate?  ;D


Yes, unfortunately they are not left wing approved.
Oh, by the way.
The Arctic ice is still there. ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Oct 10th, 2011 at 5:05pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 2:49pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 1:08am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 6th, 2011 at 11:56am:

Swagman wrote on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm:
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D


I actually did suggest something like that on page one Swagman, however the doomsday squad seemed to think differently.
Get your crash helmet on kiddies, the skies gonna fall on us. ;D

Don't ya know any scientists mate?  ;D


Yes, unfortunately they are not left wing approved.
Oh, by the way.
The Arctic ice is still there. ;)

momentum, lol!

 ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 12th, 2011 at 2:02pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 5:05pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 2:49pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Oct 10th, 2011 at 1:08am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 6th, 2011 at 11:56am:

Swagman wrote on Oct 3rd, 2011 at 11:03pm:
Doh........It's the Northern Summer.  Winter is on its way.  The ice will stop shrinking Chicken Licken.... :D


I actually did suggest something like that on page one Swagman, however the doomsday squad seemed to think differently.
Get your crash helmet on kiddies, the skies gonna fall on us. ;D

Don't ya know any scientists mate?  ;D


Yes, unfortunately they are not left wing approved.
Oh, by the way.
The Arctic ice is still there. ;)

momentum, lol!

 ;)


I checked again death, guess what?
It's still there. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 17th, 2011 at 2:11pm
Oddly enough, it's still there. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:04pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am:
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)


But there is just a lot less of it.  :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 26th, 2011 at 7:49am

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:04pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am:
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)


But there is just a lot less of it.  :)


It seems there always is in summer for some reason. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Oct 26th, 2011 at 6:50pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 26th, 2011 at 7:49am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:04pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am:
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)


But there is just a lot less of it.  :)


It seems there always is in summer for some reason. :)


Yes it's the same reason that there is less ice in recent northern summers than there was in past northern summers. Its getting warmer.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Oct 27th, 2011 at 8:12am

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 26th, 2011 at 6:50pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 26th, 2011 at 7:49am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:04pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am:
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)


But there is just a lot less of it.  :)


It seems there always is in summer for some reason. :)


Yes it's the same reason that there is less ice in recent northern summers than there was in past northern summers. Its getting warmer.


Mmmmm, and down the track it will then get cooler.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Nov 10th, 2011 at 10:11am
I checked again, it's still there.
This disappearing process seems to be taking it's time.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Nov 10th, 2011 at 6:54pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 10:11am:
I checked again, it's still there.
This disappearing process seems to be taking it's time.


lol,
you make regular trips to the arctic to check the ice do you?
Must be a little difficult at the moment with 24 hrs of dark.
:D

I'm assuming that you do understand the concept of seasons.......

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Nov 10th, 2011 at 11:16pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 27th, 2011 at 8:12am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 26th, 2011 at 6:50pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 26th, 2011 at 7:49am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:04pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Oct 25th, 2011 at 8:53am:
Shock horror. :o
It's still there. :)


But there is just a lot less of it.  :)


It seems there always is in summer for some reason. :)


Yes it's the same reason that there is less ice in recent northern summers than there was in past northern summers. Its getting warmer.


Mmmmm, and down the track it will then get cooler.


Correct.  The Earth has gone through many entirely natural warming and cooling phases throughout its 4 billion years of existence.

Ice Ages end through the Earth warming up, of course.

It's also a fact that, when the Romans were in Britain between 43AD and 410AD its climate was warmer than it is now.  That's why the Romans were able to plant vineyards over wide ranges of their province of Britannia.

Then, from the medieval times to the early 19th Century, Britain was in a period we now call the Little Ice Age, when winters were much colder than they are now.  In fact, during the Little Ice Age winters were so cold in Britain that the River Thames froze over almost every year allowing magnificent Frost Fairs to be held on the London section of the frozen river, the last of which was held in 1814.

But the Little Ice Age came to an end due to the natural warming of the Earth.

The Earth just goes through natural warming and cooling phases and has been doing so since long before humans came onto the scene.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Nov 10th, 2011 at 11:19pm

The_Barnacle wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 6:54pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 10:11am:
I checked again, it's still there.
This disappearing process seems to be taking it's time.


lol,
you make regular trips to the arctic to check the ice do you?
Must be a little difficult at the moment with 24 hrs of dark.
:D

I'm assuming that you do understand the concept of seasons.......


There is still plenty of ice at the Arctic and Antarctic.

I know this because I've been watching David Attenborough's new BBC documentary series "Frozen Planet."  It's an amazing series showing the lives of penguins, polar bears, seals and other animals of the polar regions surrounded by vast areas of ice stretching as far as the eye can see.  And these animals are living on ice sheets which are several miles thick.  You don't need to go there to see all the ice.  Just watch Frozen Planet.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Cofgod on Nov 10th, 2011 at 11:27pm
And here are some stats about Antarctica which the Global Warming Brigade wouldn't want to hear:

The temperature record for Antarctica goes back to the 1950s. The record consists of data from a sparse network. Four comprehensive studies were conducted in recent years, collecting temperature data over Antarctica for the period since the 1950s until the 2000s. All of these studies have found slight warming in the earliest portion of the record (circa 1957–1965). Since the mid-1960s, all major studies have reported cooling over most of Antarctica. The only place that exhibits strong warming for the entire record is the Antarctic Peninsula, which amounts to 0.5% of the land mass of Antarctica.

In a paper published in the journal Nature in 2002, Doran et al. reported overall cooling over Antarctica. This study concludes there has been "a net cooling on the Antarctic continent between 1966 and 2000, particularly during summer and autumn.

Chapman and Walsh, (2007) in the paper published by Journal of Climate collected temperature in and around Antarctica from 460 locations including 19 manned surface observation stations located on the continent, 73 automated weather stations, and the 2° latitude by 2° longitude gridded sea surface temperature time series. They found little change in temperature over Antarctica in last 50 years (apart from the Peninsula). From the beginning of record until about 1965 they find slight warming, since 1965 slight cooling: "Trends computed using these analyses show considerable sensitivity to start and end dates with starting dates before 1965 producing overall warming and starting dates from 1966 to 1982 producing net cooling rates over the region."

Monaghan et al. (2008) in the paper published by Journal of Geophysical Research, similarly finds that "prior to 1965 the continent-wide annual trends (through 2002) are slightly positive, but after 1965 they are mainly negative (despite warming over the Antarctic Peninsula)."

Steig et al. 2009 in the paper published by Nature, unlike all other major works, find significant warming trend over Antarctica 1957–2006, of 0.1 C per decade, although Steig's reconstruction agree to greater extent with other studies in showing little temperature change since late 1960s

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Nov 11th, 2011 at 8:35pm

Cofgod wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 11:19pm:

The_Barnacle wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 6:54pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 10th, 2011 at 10:11am:
I checked again, it's still there.
This disappearing process seems to be taking it's time.


lol,
you make regular trips to the arctic to check the ice do you?
Must be a little difficult at the moment with 24 hrs of dark.
:D

I'm assuming that you do understand the concept of seasons.......


There is still plenty of ice at the Arctic and Antarctic.

I know this because I've been watching David Attenborough's new BBC documentary series "Frozen Planet."  It's an amazing series showing the lives of penguins, polar bears, seals and other animals of the polar regions surrounded by vast areas of ice stretching as far as the eye can see.  And these animals are living on ice sheets which are several miles thick.  You don't need to go there to see all the ice.  Just watch Frozen Planet.

So you saw the first episode i suppose!

INTERESTING EPISODE THAT FIRST ONE....  :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Nov 16th, 2011 at 4:01pm
Frozen Planet was filmed over four years and is thought to have cost over 16 million pounds to produce.  I love watching the show and was interested to know what conclusions David Attenborough had come to during that time about global warming and our contribution to it.  Today I discover that America won’t see the last episode where Attenborough says he thinks we are responsible for the warming of the planet, they pulled it in case it hurt the sale of the series.  Not sure if the same applies to Oz.  Up to this point, he was a dedicated GW sceptic and what this respected icon thinks matters.

I'm not allowed to include the link but it's in The UK Telegraph and interesting reading.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Nov 16th, 2011 at 7:09pm

toots wrote on Nov 16th, 2011 at 4:01pm:
Frozen Planet was filmed over four years and is thought to have cost over 16 million pounds to produce.  I love watching the show and was interested to know what conclusions David Attenborough had come to during that time about global warming and our contribution to it.  Today I discover that America won’t see the last episode where Attenborough says he thinks we are responsible for the warming of the planet, they pulled it in case it hurt the sale of the series.  Not sure if the same applies to Oz.  Up to this point, he was a dedicated GW sceptic and what this respected icon thinks matters.

I'm not allowed to include the link but it's in The UK Telegraph and interesting reading.

WHAT DO YOU MEAN you're not allowed to include the link?

  :-?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Nov 16th, 2011 at 7:39pm
When I tried to post with the link it said I wasn't allowed to until I had made 100 posts.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 16th, 2011 at 8:20pm

toots wrote on Nov 16th, 2011 at 4:01pm:
Frozen Planet was filmed over four years and is thought to have cost over 16 million pounds to produce.  I love watching the show and was interested to know what conclusions David Attenborough had come to during that time about global warming and our contribution to it.  Today I discover that America won’t see the last episode where Attenborough says he thinks we are responsible for the warming of the planet, they pulled it in case it hurt the sale of the series.  Not sure if the same applies to Oz.  Up to this point, he was a dedicated GW sceptic and what this respected icon thinks matters.

I'm not allowed to include the link but it's in The UK Telegraph and interesting reading.


I imagine it's one of these...
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/geoffreylean/100117249/attenborough-sets-out-to-convince-the-world-that-the-frozen-planet-is-melting/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2061663/Frozen-Planet-Climate-change-episode-wont-shown-US.html

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Nov 16th, 2011 at 8:33pm
Yes that's the one, he's made me rethink my opinion, being a GW sceptic myself.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 16th, 2011 at 8:39pm

toots wrote on Nov 16th, 2011 at 8:33pm:
Yes that's the one, he's made me rethink my opinion, being a GW sceptic myself.


Hmmm slightly maybe....but the fact that the melt rate is higher than previously observed can also be explained by natural causes.....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Nov 16th, 2011 at 9:19pm
Just did a quick check on Geoffrey Lean who wrote the article, he's a dedicated GW supporter, so maybe......

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by GoddyofOz on Nov 17th, 2011 at 1:36am

The Conservative idiots in Greater West Sydney won't get flooded, so they need not care.

Here in Queensland, we've already witnessed what we're up against.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 17th, 2011 at 6:46am

GoddyofOz wrote on Nov 17th, 2011 at 1:36am:
The Conservative idiots in Greater West Sydney won't get flooded, so they need not care.

Here in Queensland, we've already witnessed what we're up against.



That's possibly because here in Australia we tend to build our cities and towns on flood plains.....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Nov 29th, 2011 at 10:18am
Just got back.
Guess what???
Yup, you guessed it.
The arctic ice is still there.
Hmmm, funny that. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:03am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 10:18am:
Just got back.
Guess what???
Yup, you guessed it.
The arctic ice is still there.
Hmmm, funny that. :)


Primary school students would give a more intelligent contribution to the debate.

::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:29am

The_Barnacle wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:03am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 10:18am:
Just got back.
Guess what???
Yup, you guessed it.
The arctic ice is still there.
Hmmm, funny that. :)


Primary school students would give a more intelligent contribution to the debate.

::)


Is that all you have to say?
Now is that your sole contribution to the debate then.
Great, well done, keep up the good work.
You forget that primary school students only parrot what their left wing hippie teacher told them to say in the first place.
And now all the little kiddies are coming home from primary school crying and terrified because they now believe the skies going to fall in and the planets going to melt away from underneath them.
Personally speaking, if I want the opinions of eight year olds, I'll give it to them. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Nov 29th, 2011 at 1:12pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


Only 310,000 square kilometers above the average gizmo. :-?
Doesn't seem to be much shrinkage in there does it. :o

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 29th, 2011 at 2:10pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 1:12pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


Only 310,000 square kilometers above the average gizmo. :-?
Doesn't seem to be much shrinkage in there does it. :o


Nope, and that was my reason for posting it....

Yes, the amount of ice is down from 1979 (when they started checking) but UP from 2007....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by muso on Nov 29th, 2011 at 4:21pm
Pretty normal for a strong La Nina year. The other factor that you have to consider is the thickness.

You could say it was the La Nina from hell.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Nov 29th, 2011 at 5:08pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 2:10pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 1:12pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


Only 310,000 square kilometers above the average gizmo. :-?
Doesn't seem to be much shrinkage in there does it. :o


Nope, and that was my reason for posting it....

Yes, the amount of ice is down from 1979 (when they started checking) but UP from 2007....

Go dodgy LPMA's!!!! yeh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Nov 30th, 2011 at 3:55pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


You must have missed this bit in my opening post


Quote:
The last five years (2007 to 2011) have been the five lowest extents in the continuous satellite record, which extends back to 1979. While the record low year of 2007 was marked by a combination of weather conditions that favored ice loss (including clearer skies, favorable wind patterns, and warm temperatures), this year has shown more typical weather patterns but continued warmth over the Arctic. This supports the idea that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to thin.


Don't you just love how global warming skeptics love to cherry pick their data to try and disprove it.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 30th, 2011 at 5:25pm

The_Barnacle wrote on Nov 30th, 2011 at 3:55pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


You must have missed this bit in my opening post


Quote:
The last five years (2007 to 2011) have been the five lowest extents in the continuous satellite record, which extends back to 1979. While the record low year of 2007 was marked by a combination of weather conditions that favored ice loss (including clearer skies, favorable wind patterns, and warm temperatures), this year has shown more typical weather patterns but continued warmth over the Arctic. This supports the idea that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to thin.


Don't you just love how global warming skeptics love to cherry pick their data to try and disprove it.


Don't you just love how global warming proponents love to panic over short term data and try to blame man for nature.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Nov 30th, 2011 at 5:26pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 5:08pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 2:10pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 1:12pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


Only 310,000 square kilometers above the average gizmo. :-?
Doesn't seem to be much shrinkage in there does it. :o


Nope, and that was my reason for posting it....

Yes, the amount of ice is down from 1979 (when they started checking) but UP from 2007....

Go dodgy LPMA's!!!! yeh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Oh by the way.....what's LPMA stand for???....( I don't really speak teenage druggie anymore)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Nov 30th, 2011 at 5:53pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 30th, 2011 at 5:26pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 5:08pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 2:10pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 1:12pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


Only 310,000 square kilometers above the average gizmo. :-?
Doesn't seem to be much shrinkage in there does it. :o


Nope, and that was my reason for posting it....

Yes, the amount of ice is down from 1979 (when they started checking) but UP from 2007....

Go dodgy LPMA's!!!! yeh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Oh by the way.....what's LPMA stand for???....( I don't really speak teenage druggie anymore)

Moving Averages!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 1st, 2011 at 7:22am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 30th, 2011 at 5:25pm:

The_Barnacle wrote on Nov 30th, 2011 at 3:55pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Nov 29th, 2011 at 11:50am:
"Overview of conditions
Average ice extent for September 2011 was 4.61 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles), 2.43 million square kilometers (938,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average. This was 310,000 square kilometers (120,000 square miles) above the average for September 2007, the lowest monthly extent in the satellite record. Ice extent was below the 1979 to 2000 average everywhere except in the East Greenland Sea, where conditions were near average. "

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2011/100411.html


You must have missed this bit in my opening post


Quote:
The last five years (2007 to 2011) have been the five lowest extents in the continuous satellite record, which extends back to 1979. While the record low year of 2007 was marked by a combination of weather conditions that favored ice loss (including clearer skies, favorable wind patterns, and warm temperatures), this year has shown more typical weather patterns but continued warmth over the Arctic. This supports the idea that the Arctic sea ice cover is continuing to thin.


Don't you just love how global warming skeptics love to cherry pick their data to try and disprove it.


Don't you just love how global warming proponents love to panic over short term data and try to blame man for nature.


Not at all.
To me they are a lot of hysterical scare mongerers who make school children cry, and make me laugh at them.
They need to take some pills.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Dec 1st, 2011 at 7:41am
According to a new report from the Climate Institute called A Climate of Suffering, severe weather events will cause more depression, post-traumatic stress and other forms of mental illness.  Professor Hickie also says that 1 in 10 primary children had post-traumatic stress after cyclone Larry.  Haven't we been getting cyclones here in Oz since Adam was a boy?   I think this is an irresponsible scare tactic.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:12am

toots wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 7:41am:
According to a new report from the Climate Institute called A Climate of Suffering, severe weather events will cause more depression, post-traumatic stress and other forms of mental illness.  Professor Hickie also says that 1 in 10 primary children had post-traumatic stress after cyclone Larry.  Haven't we been getting cyclones here in Oz since Adam was a boy?   I think this is an irresponsible scare tactic.


Isn't that the mainstay of AGW???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:15am

toots wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 7:41am:
According to a new report from the Climate Institute called A Climate of Suffering, severe weather events will cause more depression, post-traumatic stress and other forms of mental illness.  Professor Hickie also says that 1 in 10 primary children had post-traumatic stress after cyclone Larry.  Haven't we been getting cyclones here in Oz since Adam was a boy?   I think this is an irresponsible scare tactic.


A irresponsible scare tactic is exactly what it is. >:(
I distinctly remember just over two years ago, an 'expert' called ABC radio and claimed that a thousand years ago, cyclones in northern Australia were small and infrequent, so clearly the category 4's & 5's were have been seeing in the Asiatic region is clear proof of climate change.
What he did not explain is how he obtained information like this from the 10th century, long before white man came to the region and 700 years before this countries discovery.
It was pure unadultered irresponsible alarmist crap designed to scare the gullable and the young.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:19am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:15am:

toots wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 7:41am:
According to a new report from the Climate Institute called A Climate of Suffering, severe weather events will cause more depression, post-traumatic stress and other forms of mental illness.  Professor Hickie also says that 1 in 10 primary children had post-traumatic stress after cyclone Larry.  Haven't we been getting cyclones here in Oz since Adam was a boy?   I think this is an irresponsible scare tactic.


A irresponsible scare tactic is exactly what it is. >:(
I distinctly remember just over two years ago, an 'expert' called ABC radio and claimed that a thousand years ago, cyclones in northern Australia were small and infrequent, so clearly the category 4's & 5's were have been seeing in the Asiatic region is clear proof of climate change.
What he did not explain is how he obtained information like this from the 10th century, long before white man came to the region and 700 years before this countries discovery.
It was pure unadultered irrsponsible alarmist crap designed to scare the gullable and the young.


But if you can't get the sheep to panic, how can you make them stampede in the right direction???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:14am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:19am:
But if you can't get the sheep to panic, how can you make them stampede in the right direction???


And right on cue the old conspiracy theories are brought out.
And of course the old chestnut "the media are reporting alarming predictions which I don't believe - therefore the whole science of global warming must be wrong"

Let me give you an example. Last year I saw a headline in a tabloid which read

"(The star) Betelgeuse may go super nova next year"

I was astonished that such a prediction could be made so I read the article. What the scientist actually said was that Betelgeuse could go supernova at any time, maybe in a thousand years or maybe next year.

But of course using the logic of the climate skeptics, if Betelgeuse doesn't go supernova next year then this proves that the whole science of Astronomy is a fraud.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:25am

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:14am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:19am:
But if you can't get the sheep to panic, how can you make them stampede in the right direction???


And right on cue the old conspiracy theories are brought out.
And of course the old chestnut "the media are reporting alarming predictions which I don't believe - therefore the whole science of global warming must be wrong"


Well I didn't say media...but basically correct otherwise...

Or are you going to sit there and tell me that the environmentalist segment of society doesn't use 'shock and awe' tactics to influence public opinion???

(And I'll bring it up before you do.....) Much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate.
YES smoking is bad for you, but the risks are NOT as severe as the cancer council ads make out.....The latest tv ads are a perfect example...

"Every cigarette brings cancer closer"....Now that is out and out loaded propaganda, there is no absolute one-to-one correlation between smoking and cancer, or heart disease or anything else........

It's an increase of risk, but not a certainty...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:34am

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:14am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 8:19am:
But if you can't get the sheep to panic, how can you make them stampede in the right direction???


And right on cue the old conspiracy theories are brought out.
And of course the old chestnut "the media are reporting alarming predictions which I don't believe - therefore the whole science of global warming must be wrong"

Let me give you an example. Last year I saw a headline in a tabloid which read

"(The star) Betelgeuse may go super nova next year"

I was astonished that such a prediction could be made so I read the article. What the scientist actually said was that Betelgeuse could go supernova at any time, maybe in a thousand years or maybe next year.

But of course using the logic of the climate skeptics, if Betelgeuse doesn't go supernova next year then this proves that the whole science of Astronomy is a fraud.


You missed a step or two in your theory.
You missed the part where the government decide to implement another tax to mitigate the obvious probable effects on Betelgeuse going supernova.
And where school teachers frighten little children that the earth could be vaporised next year and sends them home crying.
As for conspiracy theories, the only people actually peddling conspiracy theories are the alarmists themselves.
Because quite frankly, the rest of us are simply waiting for the arctic ice to disappear, the seas to rise, the islands to sink and the cat 5 cyclones to be coming by the dozen to blow us away along with all of Flannery's predictions that have come and gone over the years.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:52am

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread

Yes, it is actually diversion!

They(the richies) are simply giving their fellow established richies the maximum time to adapt their business plans and retool so to speak!

They know the science is in and they simply have to adapt to a phase change! YOU CAN'T STOP PROGRESS BUT YOU CAN HARMONISE WITH IT!

It's all quite natural!!

Naturally it's going to take time to explain the facts: how economically illiterate are we for instance! GEORGE MEGALOGENIS WROTE AN ARTICLE THE OTHER DAY ON EXACTLY THAT TOPIC!

Muddy the waters a bit and sow a few seeds of doubt and whoah!,... behold!... you've got perfect science: skepticism is an absolute lynchpin for the scientific process to work correctly and you may say this aint skepticism it's propaganda  but then we are dealing with a world that lets it's media self regulate for buggerys sake so what do we expect!??!

"IT'S ALL GOOD IN THE END: IF IT'S NOT GOOD IT'S NOT THE END!"

For more pithy quotes just ask!!  :D

CONSPICUOUS CONSUMPTION IS CONSPICUOUS CONSUMPTION: THIS IS THE BEGINNING, MIDDLE AND END OF THE PROBLEM!

;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 12:14pm

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread


Yes, but the problem is, the environmental side has just as big a political agenda....

Chick's posting isn't nonsense...the problem is, the Arctic ice thing is waaaay over blown, and largely irrelevant, just like most of the doom and gloom horror stories (i.e the glaciers melting).

The Arctic ice sheet has melted before, and will do so again....likewise the glaciers......none of this is 'indisputable proof' of anything very much...That's the problem that most skeptics have...not that the climate is warming (changing), but man's role in it...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 1st, 2011 at 12:35pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 12:14pm:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread


Yes, but the problem is, the environmental side has just as big a political agenda....

Chick's posting isn't nonsense...the problem is, the Arctic ice thing is waaaay over blown, and largely irrelevant, just like most of the doom and gloom horror stories (i.e the glaciers melting).

The Arctic ice sheet has melted before, and will do so again....likewise the glaciers......none of this is 'indisputable proof' of anything very much...That's the problem that most skeptics have...not that the climate is warming (changing), but man's role in it...

LIBS DON'T UNDERSTAND RATES OF CHANGE,.. WHEN IT'S CONVENIENT!  :o :o :o :o :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 1st, 2011 at 1:11pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 12:35pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 12:14pm:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread


Yes, but the problem is, the environmental side has just as big a political agenda....

Chick's posting isn't nonsense...the problem is, the Arctic ice thing is waaaay over blown, and largely irrelevant, just like most of the doom and gloom horror stories (i.e the glaciers melting).

The Arctic ice sheet has melted before, and will do so again....likewise the glaciers......none of this is 'indisputable proof' of anything very much...That's the problem that most skeptics have...not that the climate is warming (changing), but man's role in it...

LIBS DON'T UNDERSTAND RATES OF CHANGE,.. WHEN IT'S CONVENIENT!  :o :o :o :o :D


Perhaps they don't...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 1st, 2011 at 1:25pm

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 11:21am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:55am:

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 1st, 2011 at 10:46am:
Yes gizmo, much the same tactics are used in the smoking debate and also in the road toll. It's all marketing and the media wanting quick 10 second sound bytes.

Alarming and exaggerated claims about smoking dont change the fact that smoking is very bad for your health. You have to learn to separate the marketing and the media campaigns from the science itself.

So if you ignore the exaggerated and inaccurate claims made, the science still says that smoking is bad for your health and the science still says that human actions are changing the climate  


Yes but most people don't or won't ingnore the exaggerations, which is why there is such panic over 'huge' sea-level rises (which haven't happened) and increases in the power and frequency of cyclones (which is also a non-starter)....

So, it's good you agree that teaching small children that the world will end in their life times (possibly before they grow up) is alarmist and inaccurate...


But that is a completely different issue to the science of human induced global warming. It is actually a diversion.

If climate deniers were only attacking some of the more outrageous claims that are being made then I wouldn't have an issue. But they don't, they continually attack scientists and they continually misrepresent data because they have a political agenda. You just have to look at the unscientific nonsense that chicken_lipsforme has posted on this thread


Do you prefer your nonsense scientific then do you?
If so, you've come to the wrong place. :)
Or would you prefer that we all become like test crash dummies and just nod when being told the Pacific islands are sinking, the Arctic is melting, the seas are rising and a thousand years ago Australia didn't have as many cyclones etc without a scrap of proof whatsoever.
And how is it possible that data can be misrepresented when that same data is information that has been interpreted and then extrapolated from a guess?
Let me know when Magnetic Island starts to go under will you.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 4th, 2011 at 7:19am
^Of course we don't expect you to act like a crash test dummy. It would be much better if you investigated the scientific arguments yourself, something you have patently not done.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by pansi1951 on Dec 4th, 2011 at 7:28am

MOTR wrote on Dec 4th, 2011 at 7:19am:
^Of course we don't expect you to act like a crash test dummy. It would be much better if you investigated the scientific arguments yourself, something you have patently not done.



Something I have done, and I've had a complete change of mind and I'm not even embarrassed about it.

The evidence is overwhelming, we should have taken action 40 years ago, hence the urgency.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 4th, 2011 at 8:03am
What tires me is hearing the same flaccid arguments from people who claim to be skeptics, but accept fallacious arguments that don't even survive the most casual scrutiny. The problem is that the issue has become so politicised, people seem to be more worried about maintaining their political identity than rigorously exploring the truth.  

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Annie Anthrax on Dec 4th, 2011 at 8:09am

Quote:
The problem is that the issue has become so politicised, people seem to be more worried about maintaining their political identity than rigorously exploring the truth.



Have a proper read of this board and you'll find that is the case on almost every issue discussed.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 4th, 2011 at 8:45am
No doubt. I'm sure I've been and will continue to be guilty of this. I do, however, respect sound arguments based on solid premises and can with enough persuasion be jolted out of my sympathetic tendencies. Although what rational soul doesn't believe this about themselves.

What is interesting is the stance of the Australian on this issue. In an editorial statement it clearly articulated it's position on AGW.

"And so it is in keeping with this newspaper's rationalist pedigree that we have long accepted the peer-reviewed science on anthropogenic climate change and supported a market mechanism to reduce carbon emissions. This is not a matter of belief or philosophy; rather it is a sensible position based on a commonsense analysis of the facts and scientific projections
as they stand."

Yet as a whole the paper seems to be clearly biased against this exact position and many it's headlines, articles and op-ed pieces guide their readership to an entirely different position.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 4th, 2011 at 4:01pm

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Dec 4th, 2011 at 7:28am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 4th, 2011 at 7:19am:
^Of course we don't expect you to act like a crash test dummy. It would be much better if you investigated the scientific arguments yourself, something you have patently not done.



Something I have done, and I've had a complete change of mind and I'm not even embarrassed about it.

The evidence is overwhelming, we should have taken action 40 years ago, hence the urgency.

what about the quote from gizmo?

"Perhaps they don't...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C) "


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 4th, 2011 at 5:59pm
^ you are going to ave to help me out with the name of the paper that this comes from. As I understand internal variability can only account for abput 0.3°C change in average global surface air temperature at most over periods of several decades. Over longer stretches of time, transient warming and cooling influences tend to cancel each other out.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 12th, 2011 at 7:12pm
I'm not responsible for bringing the quote to the table: gizmo is!!  ;) ;) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by muso on Dec 13th, 2011 at 7:03am

MOTR wrote on Dec 4th, 2011 at 8:45am:
No doubt. I'm sure I've been and will continue to be guilty of this. I do, however, respect sound arguments based on solid premises and can with enough persuasion be jolted out of my sympathetic tendencies. Although what rational soul doesn't believe this about themselves.

What is interesting is the stance of the Australian on this issue. In an editorial statement it clearly articulated it's position on AGW.

"And so it is in keeping with this newspaper's rationalist pedigree that we have long accepted the peer-reviewed science on anthropogenic climate change and supported a market mechanism to reduce carbon emissions. This is not a matter of belief or philosophy; rather it is a sensible position based on a commonsense analysis of the facts and scientific projections
as they stand."

Yet as a whole the paper seems to be clearly biased against this exact position and many it's headlines, articles and op-ed pieces guide their readership to an entirely different position.


It's totally ridiculous, but not unprecedented. You just have to look at Fox in the US.

I don't think there is much hope left that we can avert  any serious consequences at this stage. Herding cats is probably an easier task.

The best we can do is to minimise the damage. Perhaps the solution will come with artificial photosynthesis. There might have to be a range of solutions though.

http://solarfuelshub.org/

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 13th, 2011 at 8:12am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 12th, 2011 at 7:12pm:
I'm not responsible for bringing the quote to the table: gizmo is!!  ;) ;) ;)


It's not from a paper, it's a synopis from various paelogeological and ice core sources

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm
Where is your reference? Just asking.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:00pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm:
Where is your reference? Just asking.



Ummm at least a dozen papers on the subject...

Search Robert Carter and Ian Plimer...for a start....AND a number of other highly qualified scientists...( although I will understand if you can't accept those guys..)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by it_is_the_light on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:18pm
yes all planets in the solar system warms

they pay no tax to reverse this as it is

the nature al way for it is so and so it is

as the transformational >>>shift<<< continues

to manifest in the physical on all levels

so be it

namaste

-:)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 15th, 2011 at 4:04am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:00pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm:
Where is your reference? Just asking.


Ummm at least a dozen papers on the subject...

Search Robert Carter and Ian Plimer...for a start....AND a number of other highly qualified scientists...( although I will understand if you can't accept those guys..)


Is that because
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:00pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm:
Where is your reference? Just asking.

Ummm at least a dozen papers on the subject...

Search Robert Carter and Ian Plimer...for a start....AND a number of other highly qualified scientists...( although I will understand if you can't accept those guys..)


Is that because Professor Plimer has never written a peer-reviewed paper on climate change in his life, and Carter has written just the one on the influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature betwwen 1958 and 2008.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 16th, 2011 at 9:29am

MOTR wrote on Dec 15th, 2011 at 4:04am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:00pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm:
Where is your reference? Just asking.


Ummm at least a dozen papers on the subject...

Search Robert Carter and Ian Plimer...for a start....AND a number of other highly qualified scientists...( although I will understand if you can't accept those guys..)


Is that because
gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 14th, 2011 at 6:00pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 13th, 2011 at 9:35pm:
Where is your reference? Just asking.

Ummm at least a dozen papers on the subject...

Search Robert Carter and Ian Plimer...for a start....AND a number of other highly qualified scientists...( although I will understand if you can't accept those guys..)


Is that because Professor Plimer has never written a peer-reviewed paper on climate change in his life, and Carter has written just the one on the influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature betwwen 1958 and 2008.


Actually that's untrue...Bob Carter has contributed to 7 papers involving climate....and over 100 peer reviewed papers, which puts him in front of Tim Flannery with contributions to 90 papers..

However, don't make the mistake of judging a scientists knowledge, based solely on peer reviewed papers....Not every one publishes, sure it looks good on your resume when you're looking for a job, but teaching professors, like Ian Plimer, aren't really expected or required to do so....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.

...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.

...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 16th, 2011 at 3:11pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.

...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...

= pts for accountability!!  ;) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:03am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.
...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...


Here Bob Carter claims that rate of temperature change per century over the last 5000 year lies somewhere between +/- 2.5C per century. I don't
believe he provides an average rate of temperature change or a standard deviation. The average rate of
change would be something like +0.1C per century, which has been the average rate of warming since the end of the last ice age. Our current rate of warming is 1.5C per century and rising. Which is well above average but well within Bob's "geological envelope of
change."

Bob's argument is that we have experienced this rate of change before and it is well within the natural envelope of change. If Bob is using Greenland ice cores as his proxy for global temperature, his envelope of change will be stretched, as regional changes can be more dramatic than global ones. He also ignores the huge body of scientific work that has been done identifying the drivers that have caused the increases in temperature that he identifies as being similar to our own. Currently the only driver that can satisfactorily explain our current period of global warming is the increase in atmospheric CO2. It is why 97% of climate scientists accept AGW.

I'm still interested in where your initial rate of change measure comes from. Bob may have quoted another study somewhere else? If it is a measure Bob has created, I'd be very worried of it's accuracy considering the flaws in his treatment of other data and the almost certain likelihood that it would not have been peer reviewed.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:29am

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:03am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.

...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...


Here Bob Carter claims that rate of temperature change per century over the last 5000 year lies somewhere between +/- 2.5C per century. I don't
believe he provides an average rate of temperature change or a standard deviation. The average rate of change would be something like +0.1C per century, which has been the average rate of warming since the end of the last ice age. Our current rate of warming is 1.5C per century and rising. Which is well above average but well within Bob's "geological envelope of change."

Bob's argument is that we have experienced this rate of change before and it is well within the natural envelope of change. He chooses to disconnect the facts that it is warmer than it has ever been in the Holocene period (our current interglacial period) and
the rate of change is statistically high. If Bob is using Greenland ice cores as his proxy for global temperature, his envelope of change will be stretched, as regional changes can be more dramatic than global ones. He also ignores the huge body of scientific work that has been done identifying the drivers that have caused the increases in temperature that he identifies as being similar to our own. Currently the only driver that can satisfactorily explain our current period of global warming is the increase in atmospheric CO2. It is why 97% of climate scientists accept AGW.

I'm still interested in where your initial rate of change measure comes from. Bob may have quoted another study somewhere else? If it is a measure Bob has created, I'd be very worried of it's accuracy considering the flaws in his treatment of other data and the almost certain likelihood that it would not have been peer reviewed.


He chooses to disconnect the facts that it is warmer than it has ever been in the Holocene period (our current interglacial period)

But it isn't warmer now than it's ever been in the Holocene...
Even within 'recent' history (the last 2000 years) there have been times when it was warmer than now...
And there've been at least 4 or 5 other periods when the temperature was above the current temperatures in the last 10,000 years...

Should I mention the Roman Warm Period, and the Medieval Warm Period (when the Vikings grew crops in Greenland, which was ice free???)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:44am
You're right about there being warmer times during the holocene period. I realized I'd made that mistake when I was reading over my post. I think you'll find I edited that bit out of my post before you replied.




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by bobbythebat1 on Dec 18th, 2011 at 12:08pm
Our only hope is that a giant volcanic eruption will occur
& the resulting dust will blot the sun out for 10 years.
That will cause temperatures to drop but it may cause
starvation as plants need sun to grow.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 18th, 2011 at 4:00pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:03am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.
...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...


Here Bob Carter claims that rate of temperature change per century over the last 5000 year lies somewhere between +/- 2.5C per century. I don't
believe he provides an average rate of temperature change or a standard deviation. The average rate of
change would be something like +0.1C per century, which has been the average rate of warming since the end of the last ice age. Our current rate of warming is 1.5C per century and rising. Which is well above average but well within Bob's "geological envelope of
change."

Bob's argument is that we have experienced this rate of change before and it is well within the natural envelope of change. If Bob is using Greenland ice cores as his proxy for global temperature, his envelope of change will be stretched, as regional changes can be more dramatic than global ones. He also ignores the huge body of scientific work that has been done identifying the drivers that have caused the increases in temperature that he identifies as being similar to our own. Currently the only driver that can satisfactorily explain our current period of global warming is the increase in atmospheric CO2. It is why 97% of climate scientists accept AGW.

I'm still interested in where your initial rate of change measure comes from. Bob may have quoted another study somewhere else? If it is a measure Bob has created, I'd be very worried of it's accuracy considering the flaws in his treatment of other data and the almost certain likelihood that it would not have been peer reviewed.

MOVING AVERAGES AY!???!

LOL, THERE'S LIES DAMNED LIES AND STATISTICS BUT WE'RE NOT TELLING THE FREE-MARKET LIARS ANYTHING THEY DON'T ALREADY KNOW!

  ;D ;D
















Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:52pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:03am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 12:09pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 16th, 2011 at 11:54am:
You are missing my point, gizmo. I am interested in checking a statement you quoted as fact.
...but it doesn't really change the fact that the rate of change is still well within the normal range that's been found in geological and ice core samplings......it's usually between 0.5C and 1.5C per century.....(+/- 0.2C)

I asked you where this was established and you referred me to Carter and Plimer. It obviously didnt come from Plimer and the only paper from Carter that relates to climate change, does not investigate ice core samples.


It came from a talk Bob Carter made several years ago....It's on video somewhere on the net.....I might have a link to it, but I'm not sure...

Ahh..I found it...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uh20cnLwCiw&feature=player_embedded#!

Look at about 11 minutes in...


Here Bob Carter claims that rate of temperature change per century over the last 5000 year lies somewhere between +/- 2.5C per century. I don't
believe he provides an average rate of temperature change or a standard deviation. The average rate of
change would be something like +0.1C per century, which has been the average rate of warming since the end of the last ice age. Our current rate of warming is 1.5C per century and rising. Which is well above average but well within Bob's "geological envelope of
change."

Bob's argument is that we have experienced this rate of change before and it is well within the natural envelope of change. If Bob is using Greenland ice cores as his proxy for global temperature, his envelope of change will be stretched, as regional changes can be more dramatic than global ones. He also ignores the huge body of scientific work that has been done identifying the drivers that have caused the increases in temperature that he identifies as being similar to our own. Currently the only driver that can satisfactorily explain our current period of global warming is the increase in atmospheric CO2. It is why 97% of climate scientists accept AGW.

I'm still interested in where your initial rate of change measure comes from. Bob may have quoted another study somewhere else? If it is a measure Bob has created, I'd be very worried of it's accuracy considering the flaws in his treatment of other data and the almost certain likelihood that it would not have been peer reviewed.


I'm still interested in where your initial rate of change measure comes from.

Our current rate of warming is 1.5C per century and rising

In answer to both questions.....From the IPCC's 4th Assessment Report...and incidently AR4 list the temperature increase in the last 100 years as 0.74 C...not 1.5C

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 19th, 2011 at 8:53pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

...how acurate was that thermometer? (Get ready for a very very big rabbit hole dood! JUST SAYING!!)  :-? :-?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:00pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 8:53pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

...how acurate was that thermometer? (Get ready for a very very big rabbit hole dood! JUST SAYING!!)  :-? :-?


And get ready for a BIIIIG glass of 'coolaid'...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:03pm
The increase in atmospheric CO2 has intensified over the century. Therefore the rate of change should have increased, which it has. To average out the impact over the whole century obviously pulls down the current rate of change. Don't disappoint me, Gizmo.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:27pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:00pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 8:53pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

...how acurate was that thermometer? (Get ready for a very very big rabbit hole dood! JUST SAYING!!)  :-? :-?


And get ready for a BIIIIG glass of 'coolaid'...

Does chickenlegs need your defense does he????  ;D ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:51pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:27pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:00pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 8:53pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

...how acurate was that thermometer? (Get ready for a very very big rabbit hole dood! JUST SAYING!!)  :-? :-?


And get ready for a BIIIIG glass of 'coolaid'...

Does chickenlegs need your defense does he????  ;D ;D


probably not...but I just felt like doing it anyway....

Cause it's FUN..
and an anti 'spam sandwich' thing...

And, given the incredibly stupid statements you guys come out with...like 'Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.'...it' almost necessary to put crap on you...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 20th, 2011 at 5:08am
Reconstuctions by Moberg et al. (2005) and Mann et al. (2008) and Ljungqvist (2010) tell us it is warmer today than anytime in the last two millennia.

“Since AD 1990, though, average temperatures in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere exceed those of any other warm decades the last two millennia, even the peak of the Medieval Warm Period” Ljugqvist 2010.

Why do you think climate scientists are so concerned about this recent warming.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:27am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 8:53pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:11pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:56pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 3:03pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:22am:
Further, the Medieval warm period was certainly not warmer than it is today. If you focus on limited data sets you could naively conclude that global temperatures were warmer during this period. This type of conclusion does not survive scientific scrutiny but seems to have been well established in denialist literature.

Mann(2009) Used more than 1000 tree-ring, ice core, coral, sediment and other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres to construct a global map of temperature change over the past 1500 years. If you were ever curious enough to look at the reconstructed surface temperature maps of the two periods you would see that the medieval warm period was not a global phenomenon like it is today. Global temperatures are higher today than any time in the last 1500 years.


Not here in North Queensland.
It's fine and 31c, and I don't need a proxy measurement to determine that.

HOW DO YOU KNOW IT'S 31C?

Did some authority tell you and you believed them?  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :o :D ;)


It's called a thermometer. :)

...how acurate was that thermometer? (Get ready for a very very big rabbit hole dood! JUST SAYING!!)  :-? :-?


That's a question for the B.O.M eh. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:31am

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


The problem with averaging out proxies is they are just so very average eh. :)
Damn lies and statistics.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:33am

MOTR wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 5:08am:
Reconstuctions by Moberg et al. (2005) and Mann et al. (2008) and Ljungqvist (2010) tell us it is warmer today than anytime in the last two millennia.

“Since AD 1990, though, average temperatures in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere exceed those of any other warm decades the last two millennia, even the peak of the Medieval Warm Period” Ljugqvist 2010.

Why do you think climate scientists are so concerned about this recent warming.


Because there's lots of research money around???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:49am

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University..

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:58pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:31am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


The problem with averaging out proxies is they are just so very average eh. :)
Damn lies and statistics.

Measurement is always the problem with science!

What exactly are you measuring with your whacko-the-diddlio tools...

In economics the same...

Complex systems are complex, WOW!!  ;D ;D


THAT'S WHY IT AINT VERY HARD FOR THE SILVER SPOONERS TO RAISE DOUBT AND GIVE THE TRYHARD UPPER-MIDDLECLASS MAS TIME TO REASSESS THEIR VARIOUS SCAMS AS REGARDS THE IMPENDING NEW REGULATED ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT!!

IT'S ALL QUITE NATURAL AND HARMLESS!!!
:D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 10:45am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:49am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University..


In 2008 Huang et al. published a paper that explains why the data from their 97 paper cannot be used for comparing MWP warmth to the 20th Century. They then integrate the datasets from their 97 and 2000 papers with 20th Century instrumental records into a reconstruction that is entirely consistent with the climate proxies summarized by the IPCC.

Their reconstruction shows "the maximum of the MWP at or slightly below the reference level, the minimum of the LIA about 1K below the reference level and end of 20th Century temperatures about 0.5K above the reference level." Huang et al. 2008.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 21st, 2011 at 10:47am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:58pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:31am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


The problem with averaging out proxies is they are just so very average eh. :)
Damn lies and statistics.

Measurement is always the problem with science!

What exactly are you measuring with your whacko-the-diddlio tools...

In economics the same...

Complex systems are complex, WOW!!  ;D ;D


THAT'S WHY IT AINT VERY HARD FOR THE SILVER SPOONERS TO RAISE DOUBT AND GIVE THE TRYHARD UPPER-MIDDLECLASS MAS TIME TO REASSESS THEIR VARIOUS SCAMS AS REGARDS THE IMPENDING NEW REGULATED ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT!!

IT'S ALL QUITE NATURAL AND HARMLESS!!!
:D :D


Particularly when you primarily base extrapolations on guesswork and call it a 'proxy' measurement.
Yes, it's all very problematic and complex particularly when the models don't pan out as initially forecast. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 11:24am

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 10:45am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 20th, 2011 at 7:49am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 19th, 2011 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 11:32pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 18th, 2011 at 10:56am:
The mid Holocene period, roughly 6,000 years ago, was generally warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the northern hemisphere. This astronomical climate forcing mechanism cannot be responsible for the warming over the last 100 years.


I'm sorry, but that's also not correct, both the MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University...


Did Huang and Pollack conclude that the MWP was worldwide. Averaging out the other proxies suggests an entirely different conclusion.


MWP and the LIA were found to be worldwide in effect way back in 1997...as the result of a (published and peer reviewed) study by Shaopeng Huang and Henry Pollack of Michigan University..


In 2008 Huang et al. published a paper that explains why the data from their 97 paper cannot be used for comparing MWP warmth to the 20th Century. They then integrate the datasets from their 97 and 2000 papers with 20th Century instrumental records into a reconstruction that is entirely consistent with the climate proxies summarized by the IPCC.

Their reconstruction shows "the maximum of the MWP at or slightly below the reference level, the minimum of the LIA about 1K below the reference level and end of 20th Century temperatures about 0.5K above the reference level." Huang et al. 2008.


And so???...It STILL shows that both the MWP and LIA existed and were worldwide in effect..

Which was the major reason I mentioned it in the first place...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 12:01pm
I'm not entirely sure what you are trying to argue. I accept that during the medieval period there were places in the Northern hemisphere that were as warm if not warmer than today. However, the global temperature was not as high as it is today. How is this possible if places elsewhere were not significantly cooler?


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 12:13pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 12:01pm:
I'm not entirely sure what you are trying to argue. I accept that during the medieval period there were places in the Northern hemisphere that were as warm if not warmer than today. However, the global temperature was not as high as it is today. How is this possible if places elsewhere were not significantly cooler?


Ok, I'll try again....
IF the world wide temperatures during the MWP were on average only 0.5 C cooler than now ( scientist use degrees K instead of degrees C but it means the same thing) and 'everyone' is talking about how much the temperatures have risen since the Industrial Revolution (you yourself claim +1.5C) then that means that at at least one point in history the temperatures where significantly higher than pre-Industrial levels....without human intervention...

And because of the way averaging works....while there may have been places cooler than today, there would have to have been places warmer, possible at lot warmer as well......ALL of this, without humans adding any Co2 (or any other CHG).

So, what caused it then, and why do you think Co2/CHG is causing it now????

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:02pm
There is some evidence that the medieval warming was caused by a strongly positive North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – the ocean current that drives winds from the Atlantic over Europe. The more positive the NAO is, the more warm air is blown towards the continent.

The impact of CO2 has been proven in atmospheric physics. Paleoclimatology is being used to verify the physics.

The amplitude of the MWP supports the climate sensitivity levels adopted by the IPCC. as Wally Broecker puts it, "the paleoclimate record shouts out to us that, far from being self-stabilising, the Earth's climate system is an ornery beast which overreacts to even small nudges."

The theory of AGW has been around for a long time, the physics has been proven and now this little test tube is heating up.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:08pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:02pm:
There is some evidence that the medieval warming was caused by a strongly positive North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – the ocean current that drives winds from the Atlantic over Europe. The more positive the NAO is, the more warm air is blown towards the continent.


Which doesn't hold up, since the geo-cores show that it was world wide...which is my point....

At the risk of sounding trite....If you hear hoof-beats in a national park...expect horses, not zebras....

Or if you prefer, Occam's Razor...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:13pm
What are you talking about "the geo-cores show it was worldwide".


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:16pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:02pm:
The theory of AGW has been around for a long time, the physics has been proven and now this little test tube is heating up.


Nope...I disagree..
Before the 1960's, AGW was very much a 'fringe' theory..Global Cooling was by far the more popular theory..

AGW didn't really start getting much support until the 'back to nature' philosphies of the flower child era in the mid to late 1960's and 1970's.....where everything wrong with the world became man's fault...

The physics haven't been proven....other than by the concept of 'something is happening, so let's assume it's mankinds fault'....

What we (man, and the science community) don't know about how the Universe and the Earth function would fill a football field, in very very small print....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:18pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:13pm:
What are you talking about "the geo-cores show it was worldwide".


Pollack and Huang et al....
You really aren't very quick on the uptake, are you????

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:24pm
We've been through this. Huang et al. Conclude global temperatures were cooler during the MWP than now. If  regions in the northern hemisphere were as warm as today the southern hemisphere must have been cooler.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 2:15pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:24pm:
We've been through this. Huang et al. Conclude global temperatures were cooler during the MWP than now. If  regions in the northern hemisphere were as warm as today the southern hemisphere must have been cooler.


Yes, but not as cool as you want to make out...and they also concluded that the rise in temperature was worldwide...

Huang and Pollack did NOT state (in the original paper) that only Northern Europe was the only place affected....no they state that ALL continents were affected...Even if the top temps were a little 'off', they weren't as low as Mann's Hockey Stick  claimed...

So, basically....the MWP AND the LIA did in fact exist, worldwide.....a 1/2 degree difference between 950AD-1250AD and 2008 is small potatoes on the scale of things...

It STILL contradicts the Mann assertion that the temperatures never varied for over 2000 years and the 'suddenly' skyrocketed after 1880 or 1900

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 2:20pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:24pm:
We've been through this. Huang et al. Conclude global temperatures were cooler during the MWP than now. If  regions in the northern hemisphere were as warm as today the southern hemisphere must have been cooler.


Again..no that's not quite what they concluded...they concluded that the MWP temps were at or slightly below the 'base-line' which at the time was the 1990 temps (hottest decade on record, up until then)...which translates as....of dear, the warming isn't as great as we've been saying....

Aside from that....it blew a hole right through the concept that 20th century warming was 'unprecedented'......It'd happened before, at least once (and probably twice) within written human history....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 2:34pm
Of course that's not the fun bit...
The 'fun' or ironic bit is listening to AGW supporters whine about Creationists refusing to accept 'scientific evidence' (like fossils, carbon dating, theoretical physics and the 'Big Bang' theory).....and then doing precisely the same thing (refusing to accept scientific theory) simply because it contradicts their belief structure.....

Now THAT is pure gold.....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 3:20pm
And further on the subject, allow me to explain..

I've seen some incredibly stupid and unscientific statements made by pro-warming bloggers (and a few made by anti-warming bloggers too)....

One of the best was by a 'warmist' who said he had to log off (after commiting libel against a sceptic) because in his words 'it takes a lot of training to raise a child who will need to live in a 'warming world'.....Which is a complete load of twaddle...after all the blogger's parents managed it, as did his grandparents...(without any whiney complaints about the causes, incidently).....

Despite all the over emotional BS that exists.....a 'warming' of 1 or 2 degress Celcius will make almost NO difference to human existence....our children or grandchildren will barely notice....it'd take an increase of 15 or 20 degrees before there's any significant impact on our (human) life....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:07pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 2:15pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 1:24pm:
We've been through this. Huang et al. Conclude global temperatures were cooler during the MWP than now. If  regions in the northern hemisphere were as warm as today the southern hemisphere must have been cooler.


Yes, but not as cool as you want to make out...and they also concluded that the rise in temperature was worldwide...

Huang and Pollack did NOT state (in the original paper) that only Northern Europe was the only place affected....no they state that ALL continents were affected...Even if the top temps were a little 'off', they weren't as low as Mann's Hockey Stick  claimed...

So, basically....the MWP AND the LIA did in fact exist, worldwide.....a 1/2 degree difference between 950AD-1250AD and 2008 is small potatoes on the scale of things...

It STILL contradicts the Mann assertion that the temperatures never varied for over 2000 years and the 'suddenly' skyrocketed after 1880 or 1900


Huang et al, is just one reconstruction using bore hole
proxies. There are numerous other proxies that show lower global temperatures during the MWP.

Since the hockey stick paper was published in 1998, there have been a number of proxy studies analysing a variety of different sources including corals, stalagmites, tree rings, boreholes and ice cores. They all confirm the original hockey stick conclusion: the 20th century is the warmest in the last 1000 years and that warming was most dramatic after 1920.

http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/ns/cms/dn11648/dn11648-2_726.jpg


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:41pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 3:20pm:
And further on the subject, allow me to explain..

I've seen some incredibly stupid and unscientific statements made by pro-warming bloggers (and a few made by anti-warming bloggers too)....

One of the best was by a 'warmist' who said he had to log off (after commiting libel against a sceptic) because in his words 'it takes a lot of training to raise a child who will need to live in a 'warming world'.....Which is a complete load of twaddle...after all the blogger's parents managed it, as did his grandparents...(without any whiney complaints about the causes, incidently).....

Despite all the over emotional BS that exists.....a 'warming' of 1 or 2 degress Celcius will make almost NO difference to human existence....our children or grandchildren will barely notice....it'd take an increase of 15 or 20 degrees before there's any significant impact on our (human) life....


We are pretty much committed to an increase of 2C. If it's business  as usual it's looking more like 4 to 6C. I'll take your last sentence as a joke. 2C is dangerous, 4C and we are definitely hitting tipping points.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:57pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:41pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 3:20pm:
And further on the subject, allow me to explain..

I've seen some incredibly stupid and unscientific statements made by pro-warming bloggers (and a few made by anti-warming bloggers too)....

One of the best was by a 'warmist' who said he had to log off (after commiting libel against a sceptic) because in his words 'it takes a lot of training to raise a child who will need to live in a 'warming world'.....Which is a complete load of twaddle...after all the blogger's parents managed it, as did his grandparents...(without any whiney complaints about the causes, incidently).....

Despite all the over emotional BS that exists.....a 'warming' of 1 or 2 degress Celcius will make almost NO difference to human existence....our children or grandchildren will barely notice....it'd take an increase of 15 or 20 degrees before there's any significant impact on our (human) life....


We are pretty much committed to an increase of 2C. If it's business  as usual it's looking more like 4 to 6C. I'll take your last sentence as a joke. 2C is dangerous, 4C and we are definitely hitting tipping points.


Horse poo....2C isn't even worth worrying about...it simply takes us back to the temp human's evolved in....even 4C isn't all that 'dangerous'.....all that it requires is less clothing and a minor 'relocation' of living areas....

THAT is the whole problem....we aren't all that unadaptable.......

In all seriousness...do YOU really think that the difference between 34C and 36C in summer, is really that 'bad'???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?

2C might not sound a lot to you, but scientific research points to some very costly outcomes.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:59pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm:
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?

2C might not sound a lot to you, but scientific research points to some very costly outcomes.



Aliens landing, and the Sun going out...dogs and cats living together...which other frightening things can we mention???...( Hint...there's no proof of any of the 'other' crap you mentioned...so why not panic about the stars going out???)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:11pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:57pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 4:41pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 3:20pm:
And further on the subject, allow me to explain..

I've seen some incredibly stupid and unscientific statements made by pro-warming bloggers (and a few made by anti-warming bloggers too)....

One of the best was by a 'warmist' who said he had to log off (after commiting libel against a sceptic) because in his words 'it takes a lot of training to raise a child who will need to live in a 'warming world'.....Which is a complete load of twaddle...after all the blogger's parents managed it, as did his grandparents...(without any whiney complaints about the causes, incidently).....

Despite all the over emotional BS that exists.....a 'warming' of 1 or 2 degress Celcius will make almost NO difference to human existence....our children or grandchildren will barely notice....it'd take an increase of 15 or 20 degrees before there's any significant impact on our (human) life....


We are pretty much committed to an increase of 2C. If it's business  as usual it's looking more like 4 to 6C. I'll take your last sentence as a joke. 2C is dangerous, 4C and we are definitely hitting tipping points.


Horse poo....2C isn't even worth worrying about...it simply takes us back to the temp human's evolved in....even 4C isn't all that 'dangerous'.....all that it requires is less clothing and a minor 'relocation' of living areas....

THAT is the whole problem....we aren't all that unadaptable.......

In all seriousness...do YOU really think that the difference between 34C and 36C in summer, is really that 'bad'???

Gizmo is full of shite: let's do endless circles around the phrase RATES OF CHANGE!!!
   :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o ;D ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:12pm
There has never been this sort of consensus within the scientific community. Back in the 1970s there were some scientists suggesting that we might be facing another ice age. This was not a consensus position. Peterson (2008) conducted a survey of 68 scientific studies on "global cooling" written between 1965 and 1979. 10% of these studies predicted cooling, 28% did not take a stance, while 62% predicted warming. 30 years on and with more reliable data, 97% of climate scientists support the concept of anthropogenic global warming.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:13pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm:
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK SO THAT IS WHY THERE IS NO INCENTIVE FOR YOU TO BELIEVE!!

IF YOU CARED FOR YOUR CHILDRENS CHILDRENS CHILDREN THEN SOMEONE ON THIS FORUM MIGHT CARE WHAT YOU THINK BUT, I DARE SAY, NOT UNTIL!

;) ;)  :D   :)     ::) :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-* :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 21st, 2011 at 9:29pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:13pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm:
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK SO THAT IS WHY THERE IS NO INCENTIVE FOR YOU TO BELIEVE!!

IF YOU CARED FOR YOUR CHILDRENS CHILDRENS CHILDREN THEN SOMEONE ON THIS FORUM MIGHT CARE WHAT YOU THINK BUT, I DARE SAY, NOT UNTIL!

;) ;)  :D   :)     ::) :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-* :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( ;D

Well I have children....and I'm pretty sure they, and their children can adapt to anything that comes up....
And if my children's grandchildren can't adapt to what ever is going to happen....then I'll disown them...for being as stupid as the current crop of warmists...(like YOU Horse...)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 9:54am

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm:
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?


You left out the return of Godzilla and the four horsemen of the apocalypse. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:12am
You are spectacularly ignorant.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:23am

MOTR wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:12am:
You are spectacularly ignorant.


Spectacularly not gullable actually. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:28am
Explain to me how you have come to the conclusion that rising global temperature is not a significant threat. Have you read any of the scientific literature?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:35am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 9:29pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:13pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm:
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK SO THAT IS WHY THERE IS NO INCENTIVE FOR YOU TO BELIEVE!!

IF YOU CARED FOR YOUR CHILDRENS CHILDRENS CHILDREN THEN SOMEONE ON THIS FORUM MIGHT CARE WHAT YOU THINK BUT, I DARE SAY, NOT UNTIL!

;) ;)  :D   :)     ::) :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-* :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( ;D

Well I have children....and I'm pretty sure they, and their children can adapt to anything that comes up....
And if my children's grandchildren can't adapt to what ever is going to happen....then I'll disown them...for being as stupid as the current crop of warmists...(like YOU Horse...)


Thats why you cant argue with people like Gizmo. They are quite prepared to disown their own children on a matter of principal.

Stubborn is stubborn ;D.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:15pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:35am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 9:29pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:13pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm:
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK SO THAT IS WHY THERE IS NO INCENTIVE FOR YOU TO BELIEVE!!

IF YOU CARED FOR YOUR CHILDRENS CHILDRENS CHILDREN THEN SOMEONE ON THIS FORUM MIGHT CARE WHAT YOU THINK BUT, I DARE SAY, NOT UNTIL!

;) ;)  :D   :)     ::) :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-* :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( ;D

Well I have children....and I'm pretty sure they, and their children can adapt to anything that comes up....
And if my children's grandchildren can't adapt to what ever is going to happen....then I'll disown them...for being as stupid as the current crop of warmists...(like YOU Horse...)


Thats why you cant argue with people like Gizmo. They are quite prepared to disown their own children on a matter of principal.

Stubborn is stubborn ;D.


Nope Doc...prepared to disown my children for being a waste of space.....

If my kids/grandkids can't manage something as simply as moving to higher elevations or further from the equator, then they'd be oxygen thieves....

I'm sorry Doc...but we 'only' disagree as to the causes of the current warming, not the fact that it IS warming....

So how would you 'describe' a person who stayed on the coast (during a sea level rise) or stayed in a 'tropical zone' (during an increase in tropical temperatures?)....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:17pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 9:54am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm:
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?


You left out the return of Godzilla and the four horsemen of the apocalypse. :)


(head slap)....damn, so I did....Sorry, must have been blinded by the decloaking starship fleet....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:21pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:17pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 9:54am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm:
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?


You left out the return of Godzilla and the four horsemen of the apocalypse. :)


(head slap)....damn, so I did....Sorry, must have been blinded by the decloaking starship fleet....


Ah, no Gizmo.
That's a de-cloaking Klingon or Romulan fleet.
I see you haven't been keeping up. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:42pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:21pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:17pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 9:54am:

MOTR wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 6:10pm:
Droughts, flooding, the spread of mosquitos-born diseases, desertification, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification, decline in rice yields, decline in global phytoplankton, declining fish populations, decreasing human water supplies. Why risk all these things?


You left out the return of Godzilla and the four horsemen of the apocalypse. :)


(head slap)....damn, so I did....Sorry, must have been blinded by the decloaking starship fleet....


Ah, no Gizmo.
That's a de-cloaking Klingon or Romulan fleet.
I see you haven't been keeping up. :)


Ahh sorry, my bad...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 2:27am
Sorry to interrupt this little love in, but I'm off on holidays. Thanks Gizmo for the debate, you've helped me delve a little deeper into the issue. Unfortunately, from your perspective, you've strengthen my belief that AGW is the greatest threat facing humankind. I'll try and get back and explain why, but access to the Internet will be limited.

Chicken_lipsforme, my advice to you is simple, dont separate your Internet presence from your own persona.

To the horse rider guy, being right means poo if you can't bring people with you.

To everyone, have a wonderful Christmas.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 2:30am
Seriously, we can't say poo.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 6:56am

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 2:27am:
Sorry to interrupt this little love in, but I'm off on holidays. Thanks Gizmo for the debate, you've helped me delve a little deeper into the issue. Unfortunately, from your perspective, you've strengthen my belief that AGW is the greatest threat facing humankind. I'll try and get back and explain why, but access to the Internet will be limited.

Chicken_lipsforme, my advice to you is simple, dont separate your Internet presence from your own persona.

To the horse rider guy, being right means poo if you can't bring people with you.

To everyone, have a wonderful Christmas.


It's hard to go past good advice, Merry Christmas to you too Motr. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm
Cheers, Chicken_lipsforme.

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:39pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:
Cheers, Chicken_lipsforme.

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


Bummer...Heading where???

And Merry Christmas incidently...

And in response to your post...I also believe GW (NOT Agw) is a serious problem for humans.....although I'd put it a little lower on the list, after starvation in Africa and the EU financial crisis....Both of these are somewhat more immediate than global warming..

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:54pm
Macksville, just south of Nambucca.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 2:00pm

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:54pm:
Macksville, just south of Nambucca.


Nice...My family holidayed at Nambucca Heads, long ago, and we spent most holidays in Forster (we had a 'kinda sorta' uncle in Forster)...And I had a timeshare in Port Mac...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 10:14pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 1:15pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 22nd, 2011 at 10:35am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 9:29pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 8:13pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 21st, 2011 at 7:14pm:
I'll make this fairly straight forward for you...

I'm nearly a half a century old..And I've heard most of the 'end of the world' scenarios.....
And pretty much the only thing they have in common is that NONE of them have ever come even close to being true....

So what's my incentive to believe this latest one (AGW)????

NO ONE CARES WHAT YOU THINK SO THAT IS WHY THERE IS NO INCENTIVE FOR YOU TO BELIEVE!!

IF YOU CARED FOR YOUR CHILDRENS CHILDRENS CHILDREN THEN SOMEONE ON THIS FORUM MIGHT CARE WHAT YOU THINK BUT, I DARE SAY, NOT UNTIL!

;) ;)  :D   :)     ::) :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-* :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( ;D

Well I have children....and I'm pretty sure they, and their children can adapt to anything that comes up....
And if my children's grandchildren can't adapt to what ever is going to happen....then I'll disown them...for being as stupid as the current crop of warmists...(like YOU Horse...)


Thats why you cant argue with people like Gizmo. They are quite prepared to disown their own children on a matter of principal.

Stubborn is stubborn ;D.


Nope Doc...prepared to disown my children for being a waste of space.....

If my kids/grandkids can't manage something as simply as moving to higher elevations or further from the equator, then they'd be oxygen thieves....

I'm sorry Doc...but we 'only' disagree as to the causes of the current warming, not the fact that it IS warming....

So how would you 'describe' a person who stayed on the coast (during a sea level rise) or stayed in a 'tropical zone' (during an increase in tropical temperatures?)....

geez, dood... you got some wicked compreshension problems!

EVERY ONE HATES MOVING,... LOL!

EVER HEARD OF LOGISTICS????

MY GAWWWWWWWWWD, THIS IS AN EMBARRASINGLY POOR PERFORMANCE IF YOU ARE REPRESENTATIVE OF ANYONE ELSES OPINION!!

LOL, ... JUST SO LOL!!!!  ::) ::) ::) :-[ :-[ :-/ :-/ :-/ :-/ :'(

THAT IS JUST WEAK WEAK WEAK STUFF, LOL!!  :o :o ::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 10:16pm
HEY GIZMO,(... BUDDY  ::) ::) ), JUST WHOS PANTS ARE YOU TRYING TO PUT YOUR HAND DOWN MATEY????
  :o :o :o ;D

LOL, JUST SOOOOOOOOOOOOOO LOLZALOT!  :-X ::) :-/ :'( :'(

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 26th, 2011 at 5:20pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:39pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:
Cheers, Chicken_lipsforme.

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


Bummer...Heading where???

And Merry Christmas incidently...

And in response to your post...I also believe GW (NOT Agw) is a serious problem for humans.....although I'd put it a little lower on the list, after starvation in Africa and the EU financial crisis....Both of these are somewhat more immediate than global warming..

yOU'VE WRITTEN A FEW THREADS ON STARVING KIDS HAVE YA????   :o :o :o

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 26th, 2011 at 6:02pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 26th, 2011 at 5:20pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:39pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:
Cheers, Chicken_lipsforme.

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


Bummer...Heading where???

And Merry Christmas incidently...

And in response to your post...I also believe GW (NOT Agw) is a serious problem for humans.....although I'd put it a little lower on the list, after starvation in Africa and the EU financial crisis....Both of these are somewhat more immediate than global warming..

yOU'VE WRITTEN A FEW THREADS ON STARVING KIDS HAVE YA????   :o :o :o


No, but then I havent written one line retarded threads about politicians either....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 27th, 2011 at 9:06pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 26th, 2011 at 6:02pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 26th, 2011 at 5:20pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:39pm:

MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:
Cheers, Chicken_lipsforme.

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


Bummer...Heading where???

And Merry Christmas incidently...

And in response to your post...I also believe GW (NOT Agw) is a serious problem for humans.....although I'd put it a little lower on the list, after starvation in Africa and the EU financial crisis....Both of these are somewhat more immediate than global warming..

yOU'VE WRITTEN A FEW THREADS ON STARVING KIDS HAVE YA????   :o :o :o


No, but then I havent written one line retarded threads about politicians either....

gizmo is playing pause button politics by trying to chew up the entire internet address space!!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 27th, 2011 at 10:12pm
It's very childish to whine about anyone who challenges you, you know....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 28th, 2011 at 1:28am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 27th, 2011 at 9:06pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


I've missed a train out of Sydney. !!  what a f'n shxtfight.  Heading north from Vic maybe.?  Thats what happened to me.

Travelling by train from Vic to Qld can be a real p.i.t.a.!!  -------They're late.. -The lines being repaired. -------Due to delays - 1/2 hr late , out of Shep. !!  There's a huge coal train going the other way.... There has been a difficult passenger. ... Police had to be called. .... A child became ill, an ambulance is coming..soon,!!......The train into Syd was late, and missed the train to Qld , so all pile on a bus to try and catch it at Kempsey..............  MY GOD.!! the horror stories I could tell you about travelling Nth/sth by train.

It's a scandal.!!!!

Nevertheless MOTR  - hope you got there. Happy New Year.!!!!!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 28th, 2011 at 2:14pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Dec 27th, 2011 at 10:12pm:
It's very childish to whine about anyone who challenges you, you know....

chew chew chew chew chew...

hey, giz, how much internet address space have you warmongering so called 'conservatives' got left to try and chew up?????  :D :D


::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Dec 29th, 2011 at 9:18am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)


Only just. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 29th, 2011 at 4:33pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)

LOL, chickenlips is in on the trying-to-chew-up-the-whole-of-the-internets-address-space plan!!!

  :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o ::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:18pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 9:18am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)


Only just. :)


Yes - back on topic- Thanks Doctor Jolly.......................

AND-as for twerps like Deathray and Gizmoid and Lipstosuk... shame on you for wasting  your efforts on this topic. To be sure someone somewhere might even appreciate what y'all seem to think so witty, rivetting.. whatever you imagine? .....
... yaw disrespect is wasteful and pathetic... ha ha ha   

-just 'cos you don't want to accept an obvious fact, doesn't give you and ur ilk a right to disrupt a topic.   I doubt anyone else but your own idiot selves will continue this if I shut up now.
But - if anyone does want to continue in spite of these ???hmm has to be something else to 'call' them..??

(How about  ....'voids'. !!!!  
Just thought of that. ;D :)

I LIKE IT. :) 8-))

yeah so if you want to go on with this topic  DO IT.

 

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Soren on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:41pm

Emma wrote on Dec 28th, 2011 at 1:28am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 27th, 2011 at 9:06pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 23rd, 2011 at 1:35pm:

I missed my train out of Sydney, it's not easy being green.


I've missed a train out of Sydney. !!  what a f'n shxtfight.  Heading north from Vic maybe.?  Thats what happened to me.

Travelling by train from Vic to Qld can be a real p.i.t.a.!!  -------They're late.. -The lines being repaired. -------Due to delays - 1/2 hr late , out of Shep. !!  There's a huge coal train going the other way.... There has been a difficult passenger. ... Police had to be called. .... A child became ill, an ambulance is coming..soon,!!......The train into Syd was late, and missed the train to Qld , so all pile on a bus to try and catch it at Kempsey..............  MY GOD.!! the horror stories I could tell you about travelling Nth/sth by train.

It's a scandal.!!!!

Nevertheless MOTR  - hope you got there. Happy New Year.!!!!!!!



Never mind all that, there is no money to fix the trains because we now need to urgently send billions of dollars to third world backkwaters to 'buy' permits to actually run our lives here.

SO be glad, you have ben doing your bit for the planet. I hope you are glowing.




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 29th, 2011 at 9:18pm
why TY Soren. :)

[i]Never mind all that, there is no money to fix the trains because we now need to urgently send billions of dollars to third world backkwaters to 'buy' permits to actually run our lives here.

SO be glad, you have ben doing your bit for the planet. I hope you are glowing.
[/i] - Soren

Wish I understood what you were saying though. :-? :-?




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 30th, 2011 at 8:20am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 4:33pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)

LOL, chickenlips is in on the trying-to-chew-up-the-whole-of-the-internets-address-space plan!!!

  :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o ::)


Don't worry Death, your reputation is still intact. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 30th, 2011 at 8:23am

Emma wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:18pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 9:18am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)


Only just. :)


Yes - back on topic- Thanks Doctor Jolly.......................

AND-as for twerps like Deathray and Gizmoid and Lipstosuk... shame on you for wasting  your efforts on this topic. To be sure someone somewhere might even appreciate what y'all seem to think so witty, rivetting.. whatever you imagine? .....
... yaw disrespect is wasteful and pathetic... ha ha ha   

-just 'cos you don't want to accept an obvious fact, doesn't give you and ur ilk a right to disrupt a topic.   I doubt anyone else but your own idiot selves will continue this if I shut up now.
But - if anyone does want to continue in spite of these ???hmm has to be something else to 'call' them..??

(How about  ....'voids'. !!!!  
Just thought of that. ;D :)

I LIKE IT. :) 8-))

yeah so if you want to go on with this topic  DO IT.

 


Sorry, lets get back on topic and discuss the shrinking Arctic that's still there. :)
At an inch a year, this is a thread my unborn great great great great great great grandchildren could contribute to eh if Ozpolitics lasts that long?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 30th, 2011 at 6:23pm
Sorry, lets get back on topic and discuss the shrinking Arctic that's still there.
At an inch a year, this is a thread my unborn great great great great great great grandchildren could contribute to eh if Ozpolitics lasts that long?

Hey void... ;)
had no idea you were such an unrealistic optimist.  Dream on Lips. 8-)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 30th, 2011 at 7:00pm

Emma wrote on Dec 30th, 2011 at 6:23pm:
Sorry, lets get back on topic and discuss the shrinking Arctic that's still there.
At an inch a year, this is a thread my unborn great great great great great great grandchildren could contribute to eh if Ozpolitics lasts that long?
Hey void... ;)
had no idea you were such an unrealistic optimist.  Dream on Lips. 8-)


In truth..ONLY if the Environmentalists are correct....
IF they aren't correct, then the Arctic Ice will recover....which is the entire point of the argument...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 30th, 2011 at 7:18pm
Given the cyclical nature of the Universe,  there is no real doubt that the 'Ice' will return.

Just when - is the question.  Likely long after our generation has gone to 'mud'. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 30th, 2011 at 9:59pm

Emma wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:18pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 9:18am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)


Only just. :)


Yes - back on topic- Thanks Doctor Jolly.......................

AND-as for twerps like Deathray and Gizmoid and Lipstosuk... shame on you for wasting  your efforts on this topic. To be sure someone somewhere might even appreciate what y'all seem to think so witty, rivetting.. whatever you imagine? .....
... yaw disrespect is wasteful and pathetic... ha ha ha   

-just 'cos you don't want to accept an obvious fact, doesn't give you and ur ilk a right to disrupt a topic.   I doubt anyone else but your own idiot selves will continue this if I shut up now.
But - if anyone does want to continue in spite of these ???hmm has to be something else to 'call' them..??

(How about  ....'voids'. !!!!  
Just thought of that. ;D :)

I LIKE IT. :) 8-))

yeah so if you want to go on with this topic  DO IT.

 

Trolls rule the world mate: what do else do you honestly think motivates societies to go to war!!??!

  :o :o :o

Get a grip,.. you can't roll over and let people just say what they want without a little backpressure!

You can avoid them, for sure,... but can you really!???!

Like i said: they're a part of life, like weeds growing through cracks in the pavement!

Call me a troll if you want... just words dood and you might realise you don't know all the answers to all the questions!

STRIVE TOWARDS THE LIGHT SIDE AND THE POWER OF THE FLOW KEEPS THEM IN HARMONY!

CHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERS!!  ;) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Dec 30th, 2011 at 10:02pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 30th, 2011 at 8:20am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 4:33pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 29th, 2011 at 8:56am:
I just got back.
Guess what?
The Arctic is still there. :)

LOL, chickenlips is in on the trying-to-chew-up-the-whole-of-the-internets-address-space plan!!!

  :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o ::)


Don't worry Death, your reputation is still intact. :)

YOU DON'T LIKE ME MUCH DO YA!!

WAIT, HOW CAN PROPAGANDA DISLIKE SOMEONE??


  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 30th, 2011 at 10:55pm
  [/quote]
Trolls rule the world mate: what do else do you honestly think motivates societies to go to war!!??!

  :o :o :o

Get a grip,.. you can't roll over and let people just say what they want without a little backpressure!

You can avoid them, for sure,... but can you really!???!

Like i said: they're a part of life, like weeds growing through cracks in the pavement!

Call me a troll if you want... just words dood and you might realise you don't know all the answers to all the questions!

STRIVE TOWARDS THE LIGHT SIDE AND THE POWER OF THE FLOW KEEPS THEM IN HARMONY!

CHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERS!!  ;) ;)[/quote]

ROLL OVER?? Hmmmph!!

You think I roll over?? Thats not how I see it.  (assuming you are talking to me)I'll give a bit of slack..., if it seems good, but...I
Don't think I call people trolls.. :-?.  trolls aren't people.  :)
People may be voids -- that is - empty space, wasted space.  I suspect we (people) often work at cross-purposes, ... because we don't realise...we are all on the same side.!!! :D

IE?   Pro-survival......Balance.   :)
Yeah :) -  Balance = on-going endless interruptions to stasis... continuous challenge to certainty,.... positive and negative actions reflecting positive and negative outcomes - no null void.
Strewth - it isn't even NY Eve !!

Cheers
heres bloody well hoping 2012 is better than 2011 was. :-/







Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!

But in the whole scheme of things, our presence is but a flicker of time....soon forgotten,.......  so who gaf.? .... Just a 'Mote in God's Eye'.   

  No plagiarism here, thats a title of a book, ...just can't remember if it was an old Larry Niven collaboration, or an old Piers Anthony, before his Xanth days. :-? :)

Cheeeeers


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Dec 31st, 2011 at 9:13am

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am:
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!

But in the whole scheme of things, our presence is but a flicker of time....soon forgotten,.......  so who gaf.? .... Just a 'Mote in God's Eye'.   

  No plagiarism here, thats a title of a book, ...just can't remember if it was an old Larry Niven collaboration, or an old Piers Anthony, before his Xanth days. :-? :)

Cheeeeers


Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle...

Although it's very interesting that you chose 'A Mote in God's Eye'....since a mote is a tiny. insiginificant speck...Which is really a good parallel to human impact on the planet...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Dec 31st, 2011 at 10:39am

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am:
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!



Mmmmmmmm, I'm sure I've seen this epic Hollywood blockbuster movie already.  :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 31st, 2011 at 7:37pm
Cant seem to reply to Gizmoid - the page will not come up - I get a net fail message everytime.  And had a great wee reply too.

Have to de-re-construct.!!

So thanks for that - Niven and Pournelle.

As you point out a mote is very tiny .  But get a small gritty bit in your eye, and you soon realise it affects most of the rest of your being as well.!!  Not so bad a comparison after all yeah??
Jeez cant remember what else- just my point is that long after we are gone Mother will remain, regardless of how insane we are, fouling our own beds, we are only really hurting ourselves, and the life that shares this earth with us NOW.  Life will continue,, just not our era's life.
Sad, stupid, insane,suicidal,,, says it all. :(

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Dec 31st, 2011 at 7:48pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 10:39am:

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am:
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!



Mmmmmmmm, I'm sure I've seen this epic Hollywood blockbuster movie already.  :)


Yeah a few times no doubt.  But .here a couple of real-life examples,  historically speaking. :) Look at  -  Easter Island... whose people destroyed their own habitat to make bigger and better statues to >>???

Look at -  the disappearance of the Anasazi - a rich culture all gone - no-one left, ... except perhaps a few survivors who managed to find a home somewhere else, and became part of their saviours culture.  And thats still debatable.



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:43am

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 7:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 10:39am:

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am:
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!



Mmmmmmmm, I'm sure I've seen this epic Hollywood blockbuster movie already.  :)


Yeah a few times no doubt.  But .here a couple of real-life examples,  historically speaking. :) Look at  -  Easter Island... whose people destroyed their own habitat to make bigger and better statues to >>???

Look at -  the disappearance of the Anasazi - a rich culture all gone - no-one left, ... except perhaps a few survivors who managed to find a home somewhere else, and became part of their saviours culture.  And thats still debatable.


Whos losses can be explained by war eh.
Not man made 'climate change' and deadly Co2.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Jan 4th, 2012 at 8:17am

Emma wrote on Dec 30th, 2011 at 7:18pm:
Given the cyclical nature of the Universe,  there is no real doubt that the 'Ice' will return.

Just when - is the question.  Likely long after our generation has gone to 'mud'. :)


Tell that to the martians.  They are still waiting for the climate change cycle to be over.

;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:26pm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:28pm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:32pm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:36pm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:39pm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane33 on Jan 4th, 2012 at 9:57pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:43am:

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 7:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 10:39am:

Emma wrote on Dec 31st, 2011 at 12:30am:
S'truth!

!!!!!!!!!

See  ::).. humans have such a powerful impact on the 'natural world' ... our actions are SO extreme with regard to 'balance' that  OUR EARTH is forced to drastic measures. Our overall behaviour is psychotic..unfit.!  Our ability and technology outstrip our ethics.!!

I simply suspect that if WE don't lift our game, BIG TIME, our mother , the Earth, will be forced to take measures... BIG TIME.!!  Recently, we have been shown just a small sample of her power.... but have we SEEN it?  Some have. Some have not.!!



Mmmmmmmm, I'm sure I've seen this epic Hollywood blockbuster movie already.  :)


Yeah a few times no doubt.  But .here a couple of real-life examples,  historically speaking. :) Look at  -  Easter Island... whose people destroyed their own habitat to make bigger and better statues to >>???

Look at -  the disappearance of the Anasazi - a rich culture all gone - no-one left, ... except perhaps a few survivors who managed to find a home somewhere else, and became part of their saviours culture.  And thats still debatable.


Whos losses can be explained by war eh.
Not man made 'climate change' and deadly Co2.




Au contraire!  ::) ::) ::)
P'haps 'religious war' on Easter Island added the last straw,  who can say,?  Not you.! ,
WAR does not EXPLAIN IT! War is the symptom ..not the disease.

I intended the examples to show what happens when humans forget they have to live 'within' their environment...with no  'options'..   Just a micro of the macro of the Earth TODAY.
We , you and me, are lucky to live NOW.
IMO :)



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 14th, 2012 at 7:42am
I just checked.
It's still there. ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 14th, 2012 at 8:07am

MOTR wrote on Jan 4th, 2012 at 7:39pm:


Motr, there is no point presenting facts to these people.

They deny global warming purely for political point scoring. Nothing to do with science.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 14th, 2012 at 8:16am
Deniers, just tick which box you want to use for you latest mis-information session....

Climate Myth      vs      What the Science Says
1      "Climate's changed before"      ..........Climate reacts to whatever forces it to change at the time; humans are now the dominant forcing.      
2      "It's the sun"      .........In the last 35 years of global warming, sun and climate have been going in opposite directions      
3      "It's not bad"      ..........Negative impacts of global warming on agriculture, health & environment far outweigh any positives.      
4      "There is no consensus"      ........97% of climate experts agree humans are causing global warming.      
5      "It's cooling"      .........The last decade 2000-2009 was the hottest on record.      
6      "Models are unreliable"      ........Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean.      
7      "Temp record is unreliable"       .........The warming trend is the same in rural and urban areas, measured by thermometers and satellites.      
8      "Animals and plants can adapt"      ............Global warming will cause mass extinctions of species that cannot adapt on short time scales.      
9      "It hasn't warmed since 1998"      ...........For global records, 2010 is the hottest year on record, tied with 2005.      
10      "Antarctica is gaining ice"      ...........Satellites measure Antarctica losing land ice at an accelerating rate.      
11      "Ice age predicted in the 70s"      ..........The vast majority of climate papers in the 1970s predicted warming.      

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:25pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


Just like you did with your earlier list, you mean???
;D ;D ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:46pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


Just like you did with your earlier list, you mean???


No, that list is from that skeptic site that muso often quotes.   The skeptic's skeptic.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 14th, 2012 at 9:58pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:46pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


Just like you did with your earlier list, you mean???


No, that list is from that skeptic site that muso often quotes.   The skeptic's skeptic.


Which doesn't mean it's not made up.....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?

And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:19am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


No I'm not actually.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:21am

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?

And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Going by your post, I'm not the one with a problem.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:56am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 9:58pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:46pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


Just like you did with your earlier list, you mean???


No, that list is from that skeptic site that muso often quotes.   The skeptic's skeptic.


Which doesn't mean it's not made up.....



Hmmm, Who to believe.  97% of scientists actively working in the field, or some anonymous internet poster called chicken something.

Tough choice.
;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 15th, 2012 at 8:02am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:56am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 9:58pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:46pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:48pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 14th, 2012 at 2:44pm:
I like myths.
Give us some more climate change myths Dr Jolly, as you seem to set store by such things.
One of my all time favourite myths was the one peddled by the UN in 2008 about the 50,000 climate change refugees due to arrive in Australia by 2010, from sinking Pacific islands.
That set the crash helmet brigade off then I remember.
I believe we are still waiting for even just one island to sink? ::)



Now you are just making stuff up.

;D


Just like you did with your earlier list, you mean???


No, that list is from that skeptic site that muso often quotes.   The skeptic's skeptic.


Which doesn't mean it's not made up.....



Hmmm, Who to believe.  97% of scientists actively working in the field, or some anonymous internet poster called chicken something.

Tough choice.
;D


Why a tough choice?
You would have demonstrated years ago a preference for believing doomsday tales, so you came to boards long ago with your mind made up on the subject.
You better get your red crash helmet ready, the skies falling. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 15th, 2012 at 9:04pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??


Well obviously I see thats your issue - 'cos it's in the post I made above.
Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??


BUT THE GRAPH shows, not seasonal declines and increases......but 30 yrs of ice mass reduction.Can't dismiss it as 'seasonal change.!! No way.
Were THAT the case.... the long sought-after  Northern Passage would have been traversed generations ago. :) :-?


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:59am

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 9:04pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??


Well obviously I see thats your issue - 'cos it's in the post I made above.
Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??


BUT THE GRAPH shows, not seasonal declines and increases......but 30 yrs of ice mass reduction.Can't dismiss it as 'seasonal change.!! No way.
Were THAT the case.... the long sought-after  Northern Passage would have been traversed generations ago. :) :-?


And a very similar reduction happened before, in about 900 AD to 1300 AD.....When the ice reltreated so far it was possible to farm in Greenland, and sail from Greenland to Newfoundland, and settle there...

If you mean the NorthWest Passage, then it's already been found....by the Vikings, and it was commonly travelled up until the Little Ice Age began and the ice sheets grew.....now, they are shrinking again....Still a cyclic thing, much like the variations in the normal seasonal shifts (which aren't always the same)...

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:09am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 9:04pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??


Well obviously I see thats your issue - 'cos it's in the post I made above.
Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??


BUT THE GRAPH shows, not seasonal declines and increases......but 30 yrs of ice mass reduction.Can't dismiss it as 'seasonal change.!! No way.
Were THAT the case.... the long sought-after  Northern Passage would have been traversed generations ago. :) :-?


And a very similar reduction happened before, in about 900 AD to 1300 AD.....When the ice reltreated so far it was possible to farm in Greenland, and sail from Greenland to Newfoundland, and settle there...


And I don't think Eric the Red and his crew of Norsemen sailed to Greenland in his dragon boat from Denmark, wearing a shiny red plastic crash helmet either.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:20am
Ok, time to own up,

Which ones of you deniers is on the take ?

And of those who arent, who is too stupid  not to be sending in requests for "funding" ?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 16th, 2012 at 6:01pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??

RATES OF CHANGE: HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO TELL YOU!

????????????????????????????

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 16th, 2012 at 9:39pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 9:04pm:
[quote author=343A293E3C0C61656666530 link=1316224166/211#211 date=1329256754][quote author=202B262B242F79797B7B0A332B22252564294A0 link=1316224166/207#207 date=1329235431]so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem?? 


And a very similar reduction happened before, in about 900 AD to 1300 AD.....When the ice reltreated so far it was possible to farm in Greenland, and sail from Greenland to Newfoundland, and settle there...

If you mean the NorthWest Passage, then it's already been found....by the Vikings, and it was commonly travelled up until the Little Ice Age began and the ice sheets grew.....now, they are shrinking again....Still a cyclic thing, much like the variations in the normal seasonal shifts (which aren't always the same)...



Like Deathray says   ::) the RATE of CHANGE.  Look at the time scale.!!! You are talking four centuries,  the graph STARTS in 1980.!!!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 16th, 2012 at 9:43pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 6:01pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 7:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 2:03am:
so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem??  Do you think YOU represent all humans, and you don't think you've done anything wrong??

Talk about being personally paranoid about global issues. ::) ::)

ITS OK  - we aren't blaming little ol' you.


Yes I do (mostly) 'believe' and understand the graph....

What does that have to do with my challenging Dr Jolly over HIS post???

The Ice caps grow and shrink on a seasonal basis.....my disbelieve has to do with mankind's input into the current changes in the ice sheets...You see??

RATES OF CHANGE: HOW MANY TIMES DO I HAVE TO TELL YOU!

????????????????????????????


You have to keep telling me UP UNTIL YOU SAY WHAT THE RATES IS NOW, COMPARED TO PREVIOUSLY.......Until you're prepared to do that, shut up and smoke some more crack with your mummy/auntie....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 16th, 2012 at 9:46pm

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 9:39pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 15th, 2012 at 9:04pm:
[quote author=343A293E3C0C61656666530 link=1316224166/211#211 date=1329256754][quote author=202B262B242F79797B7B0A332B22252564294A0 link=1316224166/207#207 date=1329235431]so gizvoid, you don't believe ??  or is it understand??? the graph supplied by MOTR?
And Lips- suck is at it again too.

What IS your problem?? 


And a very similar reduction happened before, in about 900 AD to 1300 AD.....When the ice reltreated so far it was possible to farm in Greenland, and sail from Greenland to Newfoundland, and settle there...

If you mean the NorthWest Passage, then it's already been found....by the Vikings, and it was commonly travelled up until the Little Ice Age began and the ice sheets grew.....now, they are shrinking again....Still a cyclic thing, much like the variations in the normal seasonal shifts (which aren't always the same)...



Like Deathray says   ::) the RATE of CHANGE.  Look at the time scale.!!! You are talking four centuries,  the graph STARTS in 1980.!!!!!


Actually I'm not talking about four centuries...four centuries is the period BETWEEN the shrinkage in the ice sheet and the regrowth of the ice sheet...not how long it took to shrink, so the rate of change is conjecture....

Tell me how long the ice sheet took to shrink in the 900's and prove to me that it was slower than the rate since the 1980's....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:12pm
Hey Gizvoid, you're the one denying it.  You and your conjecture of the time it took in 900-1300AD to shrink- AND REGROW is simply a nonsense.

There were not billions upon billions of people, animals, factories, airtravel ,,, and the list goes on... in THOSE DAYS.

YOUR argument is simply untenable.

There CAN BE NO valid comparison, as you'd like, because the facts are NOT the same.

You CANNOT in all honesty suggest this..if you grasp this.... so you are just a s..,..stirrer. Yeah. We know.!! :P

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Andrei.Hicks on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:23pm
Ah well such is life....

:)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:27pm

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 10:12pm:
Hey Gizvoid, you're the one denying it.  You and your conjecture of the time it took in 900-1300AD to shrink- AND REGROW is simply a nonsense.

There were not billions upon billions of people, animals, factories, airtravel ,,, and the list goes on... in THOSE DAYS.

YOUR argument is simply untenable.

There CAN BE NO valid comparison, as you'd like, because the facts are NOT the same.

You CANNOT in all honesty suggest this..if you grasp this.... so you are just a s..,..stirrer. Yeah. We know.!! :P


How is it nonsense??.....Don't you expect the Arctic to recover at some point in the future?? (either through natural means or by 'reduction of Anthropogenic C02).

However, in order to claim my points about the time line for previous Arctic melts are 'conjecture', you need to:
A) Prove that mankind alone is responsible (which you can't), or
B) Prove that the rate of change NOW is higher than it has been in the past (which, so far, none of you have been able/willing to do)...

You're are using the warmist argument as the basis for 'proving' warmist argument....That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)...

Try refuting my position that the Arctic ice lose is a natural and cyclic happening, without using 'because there's more people now' as the entire explanation...
Tell me how much greater the 'rate of change' is now, compared to 880 ad to 950 ad.....one times, two times, five times etc...(with comparative figures......maybe tonnes of ice lost per year/decade then and now?)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:01am

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)


You need to consult a global warming haruspex for this information.
Every bedwetter should have one.
These left wing scientists have the latest in tree rings and icy poles, and are even able to predict a thousand years into the future let alone 900AD.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:02am
Gizmo, like a large proportion of deniers, simply believe there are much larger forces at work on the planet than mankind.
They dont know what it is, but they know, absolutely, it exists.

Its a kind of god thing. The religious element will come right out and call it "god".   Those not so inclined sometimes clamor for vague concepts like "natural cycle", or "solar influences".
Maybe God only knows what exactly these are. ;)

Because these things sound "scientific", they believe it gives them more credibility and distances themselves from their god-bothering bretheran.

The question is, at what point does mankinds population and technology start to impact on the climate of a planet the size of ours.   Scientists are saying, "about now".   
Deniers think it sometime off, or maybe never.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:59am

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)


Nearly.....try instead "it's happened before WITHOUT human action, so why must it be human action this time???"....

The major point is....unless something is unique, you should look for common components, and warming events and ice sheet shrinkages are NOT unique, first time events....so what (or who) caused the previous happenings????   ( If you hear hoof beats in a local Sydney park, look for horses, not zebras)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 17th, 2012 at 9:48am

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)


Nearly.....try instead "it's happened before WITHOUT human action, so why must it be human action this time???"....

The major point is....unless something is unique, you should look for common components, and warming events and ice sheet shrinkages are NOT unique, first time events....so what (or who) caused the previous happenings????   ( If you hear hoof beats in a local Sydney park, look for horses, not zebras)


The handwringers will see what they wish to see, and the zealots from the Church of Global Warming will manipulate data to suit their arguement.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by toots on Feb 17th, 2012 at 3:53pm
An article on Wednesday entitled ‘Global Warmists throw in the towel”

[i]The IPCC report of 2007, which won the Nobel Prize for Peace, ironically is this crazy movement’s downfall. A laughable (in hindsight) claim that the Himalayas would be ice-free in 23 years showed that the report was thrown together and not vetted — much less properly peer-reviewed. Global warming charlatans such as Michael Mann and Phil Jones tried to hide their work from any scrutiny. Our gullible government kept the grants going as bureaucrats never questioned these frauds — and gullible reporters continued to carry water for them even after Climategate showed that this was a charade.  Now the jig is up. A very cold winter in Europe is now offered as proof of this cockamamie scheme.


http://digg.com/newsbar/topnews/global_warmists_throw_in_the_towel

[/i]

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 19th, 2012 at 12:36pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)


Nearly.....try instead "it's happened before WITHOUT human action, so why must it be human action this time???"....

The major point is....unless something is unique, you should look for common components, and warming events and ice sheet shrinkages are NOT unique, first time events....so what (or who) caused the previous happenings????   ( If you hear hoof beats in a local Sydney park, look for horses, not zebras)

rates of change, GIZMO,... rates of change you moron!!

Lol, IT IS "RATES OF CHANGE" that destroys every argument you deniers have!

  :D :D :D Have a nice day trying to explain that one!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 19th, 2012 at 12:39pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 9:48am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)


Nearly.....try instead "it's happened before WITHOUT human action, so why must it be human action this time???"....

The major point is....unless something is unique, you should look for common components, and warming events and ice sheet shrinkages are NOT unique, first time events....so what (or who) caused the previous happenings????   ( If you hear hoof beats in a local Sydney park, look for horses, not zebras)


The handwringers will see what they wish to see, and the zealots from the Church of Global Warming will manipulate data to suit their arguement.

Rates of change, Mr Chicken-head!!!

LOl, it gets the deniers everytime!!!!

Hey, I know,... you're going to ask me to explain it for you! Yeh we all know the silver spooner formula of trying to get everyone else to do your homework for ya !!!

  :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-*

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by perceptions_now on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:54pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

Gizmo, I hope you're not going to start with that "old Maqqa one", about the 3%, again?


Please say that you aren't going to be that silly?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 19th, 2012 at 4:46pm

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:54pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

Gizmo, I hope you're not going to start with that "old Maqqa one", about the 3%, again?


Please say that you aren't going to be that silly?


No, the "old Maqqa one" is the amount of Co2, not the rate of temp change....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Feb 20th, 2012 at 8:40am
Very good summary of the situation here:

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/columnist/vergano/story/2012-02-19/politics-climate-change-science/53137248/1

..."The science doesn't matter because the science isn't the real issue," Brulle adds. "It's about politics and money." All we have with climate change, he suggests, is politicians taking sides in an economic debate over whether we should spend money to address climate change, or not (with one side very strongly opposed), and hiding behind a smokescreen of debate about settled science to avoid making those issues clear.
"Take away the political divide between parties over the environment and all the debate about the science disappears," Brulle says. Every time you read a story claiming global warming science isn't real, he concludes, you are watching a sideshow, a magician's act designed to distract you while our political and industrial leaders put off any decisions about climate. ....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 20th, 2012 at 11:37am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 12:39pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 9:48am:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 17th, 2012 at 8:59am:

Emma wrote on Feb 16th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
:)
thanks for your confidence in my ability to answer the questions, but sorry, I don't have data from  900AD. :D

Maybe some scientist somewhere does. :) ;)

That's circular reasoning ( of the Biblical sort...i.e the Bible proves God exists, because the Bible says so)... -  GVOID

Oh? ah yes .. like your 'cyclical' argument,
it happened before, so it will happen again.  That's it in a short sentence isn't it? 
YOUR ARGUMENT.?  Nothing more nothing less. :) ;)


Nearly.....try instead "it's happened before WITHOUT human action, so why must it be human action this time???"....

The major point is....unless something is unique, you should look for common components, and warming events and ice sheet shrinkages are NOT unique, first time events....so what (or who) caused the previous happenings????   ( If you hear hoof beats in a local Sydney park, look for horses, not zebras)


The handwringers will see what they wish to see, and the zealots from the Church of Global Warming will manipulate data to suit their arguement.

Rates of change, Mr Chicken-head!!!

LOl, it gets the deniers everytime!!!!

Hey, I know,... you're going to ask me to explain it for you! Yeh we all know the silver spooner formula of trying to get everyone else to do your homework for ya !!!

  :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-*


Don't keep your red plastic crash helmet on for too long death.
Your brain will sweat. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:18pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

No you don't!

  ;D

Uncertainty principle says what???????????  ;D ;D

Admit it dood: You got nada!! You're only weapon is chewing up the entire internets address space to simply slow progress!!

  :D :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:22pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 20th, 2012 at 11:37am:
Don't keep your red plastic crash helmet on for too long death.
Your brain will sweat. :)

Chickenlips had nada!

Lol, I bet he used to hand out the cones to get people to listen to his Dads boring theories after school!

Still got those year 11 economics text books  buddy?

Yeh, you might get around to readin 'em one day ay!???!  :-* :-*

For now, just keep pressing that pause button on progress like a good automaton!!!  ;D ;D

Daddy loves yer ass!!!!  :o :o :o :o :o ..... HE JUST DON'T RESPECT IT!!!  :-X

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by gizmo_2655 on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:51pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

No you don't!

  ;D

Uncertainty principle says what???????????  ;D ;D

Admit it dood: You got nada!! You're only weapon is chewing up the entire internets address space to simply slow progress!!

  :D :D :D

And what exactly does a Quantum Mechanical principle about the motion of particles have to do with comparing a known rate of temperature increase to an unknown one???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Feb 23rd, 2012 at 11:30am

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:22pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 20th, 2012 at 11:37am:
Don't keep your red plastic crash helmet on for too long death.
Your brain will sweat. :)

Chickenlips had nada!

Lol, I bet he used to hand out the cones to get people to listen to his Dads boring theories after school!

Still got those year 11 economics text books  buddy?

Yeh, you might get around to readin 'em one day ay!???!  :-* :-*

For now, just keep pressing that pause button on progress like a good automaton!!!  ;D ;D

Daddy loves yer ass!!!!  :o :o :o :o :o ..... HE JUST DON'T RESPECT IT!!!  :-X


As always, you make no sense.
Why do you even bother.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 27th, 2012 at 9:09pm

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:51pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:18pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 2:53pm:

gizmo_2655 wrote on Feb 19th, 2012 at 1:24pm:
I'll ask the 'scarey' question again....

How much IS the 'rate of change'???

Lol, GIZMO is all out of dodgy statistics all of a sudden!

  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

What's the matter Gizmo?

Don't like being watched perhaps?  :o :o :o :o :o


LOL nice try...
But I know what the rate is....I wanted to see if you did, which you obviously don't....

No you don't!

  ;D

Uncertainty principle says what???????????  ;D ;D

Admit it dood: You got nada!! You're only weapon is chewing up the entire internets address space to simply slow progress!!

  :D :D :D

And what exactly does a Quantum Mechanical principle about the motion of particles have to do with comparing a known rate of temperature increase to an unknown one???

Maybe you should think about what you just said!!  ;)  :-* :-*

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 27th, 2012 at 9:13pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 23rd, 2012 at 11:30am:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Feb 22nd, 2012 at 9:22pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Feb 20th, 2012 at 11:37am:
Don't keep your red plastic crash helmet on for too long death.
Your brain will sweat. :)

Chickenlips had nada!

Lol, I bet he used to hand out the cones to get people to listen to his Dads boring theories after school!

Still got those year 11 economics text books  buddy?

Yeh, you might get around to readin 'em one day ay!???!  :-* :-*

For now, just keep pressing that pause button on progress like a good automaton!!!  ;D ;D

Daddy loves yer ass!!!!  :o :o :o :o :o ..... HE JUST DON'T RESPECT IT!!!  :-X


As always, you make no sense.
Why do you even bother.

I knew too many Liberal voting crack heads in my day... i can't help whinging my hole out at high volume in sporadic burst!!

OOPS!!  :-[ :-[ :-[  ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 27th, 2012 at 9:14pm
get your drift deathray ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 27th, 2012 at 9:20pm
"DEATHRAY", ... I like that!  ;) ;)

I think I can spot a concentrated attack on Tony Abbott about to reach its full power!!  8-)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 27th, 2012 at 9:27pm
well overdue that.!
time to .. :) :) :) ;D 8-)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 29th, 2012 at 8:57pm
Just look at Gillards attack on Julie Bishop in QT today!!

They aint afraid of anything the Libs have got and it's that simple!!!

Tony "eyebrows" Abbott has nothing to give and his deputy wil not be surviving another leadership spill and that is PURE FACT!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 29th, 2012 at 9:09pm
Isn't it great to see Julia Gillard, finally get to perform as she is well capable of.   :) :) :) :)

I look forward to more. :)  Perhaps NOW she will be able to act as her conscience allows.!!
GOOD ONE PM.!!

Time to put the whining whingers in their place.!!!!!!!!!! [smiley=thumbsup.gif]

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 29th, 2012 at 9:12pm
Question Time will be mandatory viewing tonight.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 29th, 2012 at 9:27pm
It's all about momentum: the Libs have nothing and change of one sort or another will be needed and Julia Gillard is waiting for Abbott to dare try that front foot out...

She is a stunning fox when on fire that one!!  ;) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 29th, 2012 at 9:49pm
Yes - I admire courage, staunchness and conviction too :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Feb 29th, 2012 at 11:21pm
"Courage is rightly esteemed the first of human qualities, because it is the quality that guarantees all others"
- Sir Winston S. Churchill

8-)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=riLnufSqGow

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Feb 29th, 2012 at 11:46pm
I go along with the quote, no worries.
Don't know about the vid tho. 8-)

Kind of got over inspirational rock at least 20 yrs ago.
After Rocky, Chariots of Fire et al.  Appreciate the idea tho. :)

Deathray  =  DeathridesaYak. :)

"Courage is rightly esteemed the first of human qualities, because it is the quality that guarantees all others"
- Sir Winston S. Churchill




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 1st, 2012 at 1:36am
very interesting.
Have always liked Penny Wong, and her forthright approach, and she was in good form ....

Don't you just laugh at the way the opp q's are often based on a presumption , ..of what might happen, eg carbon tax - etc.  ::) Fearmongering  and sly... but not very smart IMO.

I don't expect perfection... after all,, it's not poss to have the perfect pollie... 'cos  people do make mistakes.
No-one is exempt from human fallibility.

Re Asylum seekers....  that's one area where the PM has disappointed me. Its absurd and wrong to refuse to take asylum seekers.!!   It is part of our responsibility as members of the world community. 
Thankfully the Australian High Court decision - ruling the "Malaysian" solution was not lawful has pointed the way.  That pollies still push 'off-shore processing' just stands as evidence that they do not understand law. They only understand their desires. Well, mostly anyway.
No way should Labor now even consider alternatives to taking these people !!!

NO WAY can we shove this issue off onto ANY of our nthn neighbours. That is craven, unethical, and simply not acceptable. The opposition  position is WORSE. :( >:(

This is one of the hard pills  decent people must sometimes swallow.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by it_is_the_light on Mar 1st, 2012 at 4:52am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NROVNZsAyQQ&feature=g-u-u&context=G2b2ce7cFUAAAAAAAAAA

Psycopath Geoengineers Artificially Warm Antarctic to Drill for Oil

It appears controlling the issuance of currency is not enough for our global parasite leaders. Now they are adding chemicals and toxins to the air they can control the weather like gods.

Global Geoengineering Governance: Currently the U.S. Government, our military, NASA, NOAA (other U.S. agencies), any city, county, state, private indivduals, corporations, foreign governments, and foreign corporations, can initiate any type of geoengineering experiments without public knowledge, consent, government restrictions or public debate.

Recent Research by the ADC has led to some interesting findings with regard to both Alaska and the Arctic areas. It appears that many government agencies and leaders in the United States have discussed how the natural resources of these areas could be exploited if these areas were artificially warmed.

http://www.infowars.com
http://www.infowarsnews.com
http://www.agriculturedefensecoalition.org/

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 1st, 2012 at 5:14pm

Emma wrote on Feb 29th, 2012 at 11:46pm:
I go along with the quote, no worries.
Don't know about the vid tho. 8-)

Kind of got over inspirational rock at least 20 yrs ago.
After Rocky, Chariots of Fire et al.  Appreciate the idea tho. :)

Deathray  =  DeathridesaYak. :)

"Courage is rightly esteemed the first of human qualities, because it is the quality that guarantees all others"
- Sir Winston S. Churchill

yEH, I was surprised how much THE ORIGINAL IRON MAIDEN SINGER sounded like
DRAGON in that band!??!

Yes, Paul Dianno is the original Iron Maiden singer which is the only reason I posted this for ya!

Now do you like it?

You don't have to say yes, but how about this...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GqJt4UQH8V0

..oh, and also it made sense with the quote: this one does not but I can't help but post it so you can see why I was listening to the first one.

(What, am I paranoid or sumthing??)  :D

Hopefully you will be cool with this last one, or...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tvK-j6T69qo

... I'm afraid I might have to say I can't help ya!!
  :o :o :o  ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 1st, 2012 at 5:16pm
..and I'm sticking with the shortened version!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 2nd, 2012 at 12:21am
sorry for your troubles..  I prefer the no-version. :)

I keep forgetting and then remembering, a comment made by one of the mods,.. FD I think, about not clicking on links 'cos you get nasty wee bugs and viruses.  :)

That probably explains why some silly bugger is sending me slightly amusing e-m's  -  usually to do with 'virility pills' & such. ::)

I gotta say I don't read them I delete them, but the subjects -  puerile.!! ::) :D :)

Iron Maiden missed me altogether. Were they around when ummmm  Hawkwind was putting out albums.?




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 4th, 2012 at 4:47pm

Emma wrote on Mar 2nd, 2012 at 12:21am:
sorry for your troubles..  I prefer the no-version. :)

I keep forgetting and then remembering, a comment made by one of the mods,.. FD I think, about not clicking on links 'cos you get nasty wee bugs and viruses.  :)

That probably explains why some silly bugger is sending me slightly amusing e-m's  -  usually to do with 'virility pills' & such. ::)

I gotta say I don't read them I delete them, but the subjects -  puerile.!! ::) :D :)

Iron Maiden missed me altogether. Were they around when ummmm  Hawkwind was putting out albums.?

The song 'Motorhead' was written in HAWKWIND!

That's as much as I know....

Motorhead had an album in '76 called OnParole(Brilliant!) so Hawkwind must have been before that. I think Iron Maiden started in the early 80s, so a little later but not much!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 4th, 2012 at 7:55pm
It's not that I never heard of Iron Maiden... everyone has.. :).. just i was listening to other stuff.

Hawkwind were a British band,  I'd call it heavy psychedelia -  pretty original I thought,  in the early days -  of Yes -  Jethro Tull - and obviously Pink Floyd!.

The renowned author  Michael Moorcock was a collaborator  of theirs. Or was that Phillip K Dick. ?? :-?  No pretty sure it was Moorcock.

Everything since has really seemed pretty derivative to me.  Then you get the derivatives of the derivatives.!! 

But hey - I don't some  heavy stuff.... gotta say AC/DC  evn Ramstein.!! Henry Rollins. [smiley=thumbsup.gif] [smiley=thumbsup.gif]

Think we're WAY OFF topic,....
but then again - a discussion such as this sort of demonstrates the way we humans get distracted from the main game. !!

AND THE ICE CONTINUES TO SHRINK.!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 5th, 2012 at 9:35pm
First, some thinking music....

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dMa3sLunFcI&feature=related

Now,...

The Merchants' Wheel

Now human means transcend
All human measure
And pile up wealth
To impoverish the heart,

Men trace the heights of fear
The depths of pleasure,
Now human means transcend all
Human measure,

Simply to channel this
Blind wave of treasure
Regardless what bonds
Its bright streams wrench apart.

Now human means
Transcend all human measure
And pile up wealth
To impoverish the heart.

(Les Murray, Australian Poet!)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 5th, 2012 at 9:47pm
liked that  -  :)

How did you know I'd love a wee scooter.?? :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 5th, 2012 at 9:49pm
and the poem was worth reading, too.!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 6th, 2012 at 12:41am
OK++
so the current flooding in NSW VIC and QLD can't be directly related to Ice melt, either Arctic, or Antarctic,...... but ....surely you deniers are getting worried.!!
If not, you are surely blind to anything you don't wish to see.

If YOU haven't experienced actual flooding of your home, you must either know someone who has, or at least empathise.!!
These floods in central Oz are unprecedented in our written history.

With more to come. 
OH right. thats right.. this happens all the time.!! ::)


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 6th, 2012 at 4:37am
What we don't know is how the warming of our oceans will impact on their convectional dynamics. What we do know is that an increase in GH gases will cause an imbalance between the amount of energy the Earth receives from the Sun, and the energy it looses to Space. More GH gases make it harder for the Earth to loose energy to space, so heat starts to build-up here. The physics behind this is indisputable.

What is not very well understood by the general public is that since 1961, 90% of this heat has been stored in our oceans. By comparison only 3% of this build up in heat has been stored in our atmosphere. This information can be found in the IPCCs 2007 report. 

Another interesting phenomenon is that in the last decade the lower layer of the ocean, between 700 & 2000 metres, has been warming much faster than the top layer. Is this impacting on our major ocean currents such as the southern oscillation which is responsible for our La Nina and El Nino events? The science is far from settled, but to exclude global warming as a cause of our recent peculiar weather patterns, would be just silly.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 6th, 2012 at 7:15am

Emma wrote on Mar 6th, 2012 at 12:41am:
OK++
so the current flooding in NSW VIC and QLD can't be directly related to Ice melt, either Arctic, or Antarctic,...... but ....surely you deniers are getting worried.!!
If not, you are surely blind to anything you don't wish to see.

If YOU haven't experienced actual flooding of your home, you must either know someone who has, or at least empathise.!!
These floods in central Oz are unprecedented in our written history.

With more to come. 
OH right. thats right.. this happens all the time.!! ::)


I was walking in floodwater up to my neck on the Gold Coast back in 1968.
Like these floods, that had nothing to do with melting ice and any other such rot either.
And yes, it does happen all the time funnily enough, just not in the same places all of the time.
And the only people who are worried actually are the handwringing doomsday brigade.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 6th, 2012 at 8:36am

Emma wrote on Mar 6th, 2012 at 12:41am:
OK++
so the current flooding in NSW VIC and QLD can't be directly related to Ice melt, either Arctic, or Antarctic,...... but ....surely you deniers are getting worried.!!
If not, you are surely blind to anything you don't wish to see.

If YOU haven't experienced actual flooding of your home, you must either know someone who has, or at least empathise.!!
These floods in central Oz are unprecedented in our written history.


Not quite unprecedented.
These floods are Wagga Wagga's worst since their previous flooding of 1853.
No melting arctic ice then, or Co2 crap either.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 6th, 2012 at 7:42pm
Automons like chicken_lipsforme will not worry until they are reprogrammed to do so.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 6th, 2012 at 8:37pm
true MOTR....   [smiley=thumbsup.gif]

and I thought they had already exceeded recorded maximums in many places. Certainly Wagga has had major floods in the past, being on the Murrumbidgee,( hence the levee banks already in place) - but perhaps that was the projection??

we will see.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:37am
hey I'm with you.
Climate change is upon us.

..........'hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.'  - topend geo.


::) Deathray might take you up on rates of change tho.

And besides that ... the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming??
interesting  :)  you'll have some feral opponents about that,.!! 

One poster in particular ( ::)) umm can't remember which one, will  get positively upset if you suggest humans have ANY ROLE AT ALL in current climate changes.! the vehemence of denial is quite fascinating, from an objective viewpoint. :)





Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Jasignature on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:53am
I just wish we had the Prehistoric atmosphere of a constant 30C degrees at the equator and a constant 10C degrees at the poles with a hazy sky and 3 times the amount of oxygen which allowed giant lizards to hold their immense weight up and glide high in the sky.

Ahhh. Them were the days indeed. ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:10am
well you know what they say here....it happened before, so it'll happen again.!! :) ;)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:38am
The reality is that our climate is changing very quickly. We have seen nothing like this for millenniums. If we line up the usual suspects, increasing atmospheric CO2 has its fingerprints all over this one. This climate change was predicted and has been proven by multiple lines of independent evidence. It is why 97% of climate scientists will tell you the origin of this change is anthropogenic.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:45am
There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.
- MOTR

Absolutely agree Motr.  I find that the deniers consider that humans are either;
- too unimportant to have such effects, or
- somehow are divorced from the earth,above it, like we don't REALLY live here, and therefore we can do anything we like, without consequences.!!.

Its like some holy belief.!!! I shake my head in amazement at the Folly.!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:17am
It is a very powerful argument in the US bible belt, where to accept AGW is akin to denying God or the equivalent of trying to build the tower of babel.



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:51am
I don't doubt it at all.

Some folk just deny it all together....... it really comes across as the basest stupidity.

It is as if we are exempt !! 'cos we believe in GOD.   ( not me tho) ;),  or the same old same old..... its happened before..ie it's not our fault. we are innocent.!!  (whine whine)

Its like these monster tornadoes wiping out much of the US heartlands.!! 
The reporters refer to the 'wrath of mother nature'.!  But they don't seem to wonder why?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 7th, 2012 at 6:52am
two separate issues,

1: climate change (we all agree, the climates changing)
2: What's causing it (here lies the rub....)

MOTR, you had to say that the rate of change is different didn't you?
Can you prove this??

I say again, What's the null hypothesis? if we remove Co2 forcing from the climate models what do the models suggest? A constant average annual temperate with variation...of what??

Jalane, in my experience it's the AGW supporters who look more like religious zealots than even the US bible bashers,
Ian plimer got it right...AGW is the new religion


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:05am

MOTR wrote on Mar 6th, 2012 at 7:42pm:
Automons like chicken_lipsforme will not worry until they are reprogrammed to do so.


I'm not the one who been programmed, nor am I gullible.
Now, don't be late again to sing hymns in the Church of Global Warming today.
Their counting on you.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:08am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


It also would be totally inconvenient to say so too eh. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:34am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


:D neither is there any logic in assuming that current warming MUST be the result of human co2 emissions!

Models are models, I generate computer models in my work too, however I do this to find an appoximate answer, I don't start with the answer then adjust the model until it reflects what I believe to be true.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:44am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:38am:
It is why 97% of climate scientists will tell you the origin of this change is anthropogenic.


And 2.9% of scientists are in the pay pocket of the heartland institute (oil barrons, Auto makers)

..and the remaining 0.1% are undecided.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:49am
Actually, the discipline of geology is full of people who have real doubts about AGW, but what would we know? we only study the Earth.. Oh and thats right..were in the pay of big Oil companies...lol, can you tell me where to send my invoice? I'm still waiting for my cheque

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:07pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:08am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


It also would be totally inconvenient to say so too eh. :)


No chicken_lipsforme not logical as in illogical. B caused A therefore C can not cause A. That is not a rational argument. Particularly when there is clear evidence that C has caused A in the past.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:31pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:34am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


:D neither is there any logic in assuming that current warming MUST be the result of human co2 emissions!

Models are models, I generate computer models in my work too, however I do this to find an appoximate answer, I don't start with the answer then adjust the model until it reflects what I believe to be true.


It is mischevious to suggest that proof of anthropogenic warming rests on computer models. There are numerous lines of independent evidence that do not rely on computer models. Computer models are used to test certain hypotheses and predict possible outcomes. The case for AGW does not stand or fall on the latest computer model. To suggest this shows a real lack of understanding of where other disciplines are at.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:56pm

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:07pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:08am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


It also would be totally inconvenient to say so too eh. :)


No chicken_lipsforme not logical as in illogical. B caused A therefore C can not cause A. That is not a rational argument. Particularly when there is clear evidence that C has caused A in the past.


Not my post MOTR. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:07pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:49am:
Actually, the discipline of geology is full of people who have real doubts about AGW, but what would we know? we only study the Earth.. Oh and thats right..were in the pay of big Oil companies...lol, can you tell me where to send my invoice? I'm still waiting for my cheque


Perhaps you could refer me to your peer reviewed paper or a few peer reviewed papers of your choice.

This extract is from a statement from the Geological Society of London. I'd say your poistion is contrary to the vast majority of geologists.


Quote:
In conclusion - what does the geological record tell us about the potential effect of continued emissions of CO2?

Over at least the last 200 million years the fossil and sedimentary record shows that the Earth has undergone many fluctuations in climate, from warmer than the present climate to much colder, on many different timescales. Several warming events can be associated with increases in the ‘greenhouse gas’ CO2. There is evidence for sudden major injections of carbon to the atmosphere occurring at 55, 120 and 183 million years ago, perhaps from the sudden breakdown of methane hydrates beneath the seabed. At those times the associated warming would have increased the evaporation of water vapour from the ocean, making CO2 the trigger rather than the sole agent for change.

During the Ice Age of the past two and a half million years or so, periodic warming of the Earth through changes in its position in relation to the sun also heated the oceans, releasing both CO2 and water vapour, which amplified the ongoing warming into warm interglacial periods. That process was magnified by the melting of sea ice and land ice, darkening the Earth’s surface and reducing the reflection of the sun’s energy back into space.

While these past climatic changes can be related to geological events, it is not possible to relate the Earth’s warming since 1970 to anything recognisable as having a geological cause (such as volcanic activity, continental displacement, or changes in the energy received from the sun). This recent warming is accompanied by an increase in CO2 and a decrease in Arctic sea ice, both of which – based on physical theory and geological analogues - would be expected to warm the climate. Various lines of evidence, reviewed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, clearly show that a large part of the modern increase in CO2 is the result of burning fossil fuels, with some contribution from cement manufacture and some from deforestation44. In total, human activities have emitted over 500 billion tonnes of carbon (hence over 1850 billion tons of CO2) to the atmosphere since around 1750, some 65% of that being from the burning of fossil fuels. Some of the carbon input to the atmosphere comes from volcanoes, but carbon from that source is equivalent to only about 1% of what human activities add annually and is not contributing to a net increase.

In the coming centuries, continued emissions of carbon from burning oil, gas and coal at close to or higher than today’s levels, and from related human activities, could increase the total to close to the amounts added during the 55 million year warming event – some 1500 to 2000 billion tonnes. Further contributions from ‘natural’ sources (wetlands, tundra, methane hydrates, etc.) may come as the Earth warms. The geological evidence from the 55 million year event and from earlier warming episodes suggests that such an addition is likely to raise average global temperatures by at least 5-6ºC, and possibly more, and that recovery of the Earth’s climate in the absence of any mitigation measures could take 100,000 years or more. Numerical models of the climate system support such an interpretation.

In the light of the evidence presented here it is reasonable to conclude that emitting further large amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere over time is likely to be unwise, uncomfortable though that fact may be.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:23pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:56pm:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:07pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:08am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


It also would be totally inconvenient to say so too eh. :)


No chicken_lipsforme not logical as in illogical. B caused A therefore C can not cause A. That is not a rational argument. Particularly when there is clear evidence that C has caused A in the past.


Not my post MOTR. :)


Suggesting a position is held as a matter of convenience has got nothing to do with logic. I'm assuming the highlighting was your handiwork.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:20pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")

Tell us about this burgess shale if you will...

It don't change a thing and you know it!

  :D :D

CUM GET SUM!!  :-* :-* :-* :-*  ::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:21pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 6:52am:
two separate issues,

1: climate change (we all agree, the climates changing)
2: What's causing it (here lies the rub....)

MOTR, you had to say that the rate of change is different didn't you?
Can you prove this??

I say again, What's the null hypothesis? if we remove Co2 forcing from the climate models what do the models suggest? A constant average annual temperate with variation...of what??

Jalane, in my experience it's the AGW supporters who look more like religious zealots than even the US bible bashers,
Ian plimer got it right...AGW is the new religion



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:26pm

Emma wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:45am:
There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.
- MOTR

Absolutely agree Motr.  I find that the deniers consider that humans are either;
- too unimportant to have such effects, or
- somehow are divorced from the earth,above it, like we don't REALLY live here, and therefore we can do anything we like, without consequences.!!.

Its like some holy belief.!!! I shake my head in amazement at the Folly.!!

THE DENIERS SIMPLY WANT BUSINESS CERTAINTY ONE WAY OR THE OTHER!

YOU CAN'T BLAME THEM- THEY ARE SIMPLY FORCING THE POLITICIANS TO DELIVER CERTAINTY IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER SO THAT BUSINESS CAN GET BACK TO SETTING LONG TERM GOALS WITH KNOWLEDGE OF FORESIGHT!!

IT'S ALL COMPLETELY ORGANIC!!!

TO MAKE THE DENIERS GO AWAY YOU HAVE TO COME UP WITH PERSUASIVE ARGUMENT. SOME AGREE IT IS ALREADY PERSUASIVE BUT THE DENIERS ARE SIMPLY TESTING THE THEORY THAT IT ISN'T PERSUASIVE ENOUGH.

BUSINES IS WHAT BUSINESS DOES....  :o

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 7th, 2012 at 10:41pm
wouldn't we all?  Like certainty??
If you look at that excellent graph, ..you can see precisely what 'business' has lead to! (To put it very basically.). :( :o 8-)

So I guess, like the rest of us,  THIS TIME,  the problem can't be paid off and made to go away.
For Business. Big business!! Still they expect a ready answer and solution.  Typical. ::)

we are all in this.. like it or not.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 9:21am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 1:31pm:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 7:34am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 2:22am:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 12:13am:
hmm...so...whats the Null hypothesis to Anthropocentric Global Warming? That weather events stay the same as in the past? That there is no change? that weather remains constant and the climate holds within 0.1 of a degree globally averaged for 100 years?

If any of these things ever did happen, it would be highly unusual! Climate changes, always did, always will.

(I won't bring up the burgess shale if you don't try the "rate of change argument!")


Of course climate changes, our ice ages are proof of this. Indeed it was through trying to understand these past changes that climate scientists worked out the critical role CO2 plays in these climate shifts. A slight temperature increase caused by an orbital forcing increases atmospheric CO2 which precipitates further temperature increases. It is why atmospheric CO2 generally lags temperature. There is no logic whatsoever to the argument that because climate changed in the past anthropogenic increases in atmospheric CO2 are not forcing current changes.


:D neither is there any logic in assuming that current warming MUST be the result of human co2 emissions!

Models are models, I generate computer models in my work too, however I do this to find an appoximate answer, I don't start with the answer then adjust the model until it reflects what I believe to be true.


It is mischevious to suggest that proof of anthropogenic warming rests on computer models. There are numerous lines of independent evidence that do not rely on computer models. Computer models are used to test certain hypotheses and predict possible outcomes. The case for AGW does not stand or fall on the latest computer model. To suggest this shows a real lack of understanding of where other disciplines are at.


Can you point out some papers that DO NOT rely on computer models that DO prove AGW and quantify the effects, timelines and tipping points?

Oh, nevermind...just pleasse tell me...

what is the null hypothesis? What evidence would you want to see to disprove the theory???

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 9:28am

Emma wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 10:41pm:
wouldn't we all?  Like certainty??
If you look at that excellent graph, ..you can see precisely what 'business' has lead to! (To put it very basically.). :( :o 8-)
.

So I guess, like the rest of us,  THIS TIME,  the problem can't be paid off and made to go away.
For Business. Big business!! Still they expect a ready answer and solution.  Typical. ::)

we are all in this.. like it or not.

Graphs do-not a fact make...http://tucsoncitizen.com/wryheat/2011/08/26/el-nino-incites-wars-and-the-post-office-controls-temperature/

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 9:31am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:21pm:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 6:52am:
two separate issues,

1: climate change (we all agree, the climates changing)
2: What's causing it (here lies the rub....)

MOTR, you had to say that the rate of change is different didn't you?
Can you prove this??

I say again, What's the null hypothesis? if we remove Co2 forcing from the climate models what do the models suggest? A constant average annual temperate with variation...of what??

Jalane, in my experience it's the AGW supporters who look more like religious zealots than even the US bible bashers,
Ian plimer got it right...AGW is the new religion



seriously!  :D you're kidding right? That graph details the last 1500 years of the earth...not much of a sample size for something that's been around for ~3.8 billion years eh?

Also nicely cut at the point where the temps started dropping!!.Man (lol or should I say Mann) and you accuse non believes of cherry picking :D

P.S stop using the discredited Mann hockey-stick.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 11:01am
The null hypothesis is natural variability. What is your point? If we look at the other forcings sans CO2 we should be going through a period of cooling.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 11:30am
Right! so what IS the natural temperature variation? One of Ice ages and interglacial warming? We're right smack bang in the middle of an interglacial right now.

Null Proven.

edit...Sorry i missed the bit where you said we should be going throufgh a period of cooling...

I haven't seen that in the (lol peer reviewed) literature, i'll have a look now.....


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 11:41am

topend geo wrote on Mar 8th, 2012 at 9:31am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 3:21pm:

topend geo wrote on Mar 7th, 2012 at 6:52am:
two separate issues,

1: climate change (we all agree, the climates changing)
2: What's causing it (here lies the rub....)

MOTR, you had to say that the rate of change is different didn't you?
Can you prove this??

I say again, What's the null hypothesis? if we remove Co2 forcing from the climate models what do the models suggest? A constant average annual temperate with variation...of what??

Jalane, in my experience it's the AGW supporters who look more like religious zealots than even the US bible bashers,
Ian plimer got it right...AGW is the new religion



seriously!  :D you're kidding right? That graph details the last 1500 years of the earth...not much of a sample size for something that's been around for ~3.8 billion years eh?

Also nicely cut at the point where the temps started dropping!!.Man (lol or should I say Mann) and you accuse non believes of cherry picking :D

P.S stop using the discredited Mann hockey-stick.


Again what is your point. There is enough evidence to suggest our climate is shifting at a rate not expected during an interglacial period.

The Mann hockey-stick is not discredited simply because enough deniers say it is so. An independent assessment of Mann's hockey stick was conducted by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (Wahl 2007). They confirmed the principal results of the original hockey stick.



Temperature reconstruction after temperature reconstruction whether it be boreholes, ice cores, coral, lake sediments, glaciers, boreholes or stalagmites have backed Mann's original study. Most recently Lungqvist 2010.



To suggest that the world is starting to cool requires you to ignore what is happening to our oceans. Lets look at what is happening to our atmosphere when 90% of the heat is accumulating in our oceans. It takes a fair chunk of ignorance to gain any succour from what has been happening to to our atmospheric temperatures over the last few years.



We have gone through three La Nina years in rapid succession, yet there has been no long term cooling. Each La Nina year is hotter than the next with 2010 being the hottest year on record. (NASA) Don't tell me the planet is not warming. Ask a physicist to expain it to you.





Open you eyes and have a look at what is happening to our planet. Have a look at the artic sea ice volume anomaly.



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 8th, 2012 at 12:26pm
True words.

The hockey stick is most definitely real and happening.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 1:29pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 8th, 2012 at 11:30am:
Right! so what IS the natural temperature variation? One of Ice ages and interglacial warming? We're right smack bang in the middle of an interglacial right now.

Null Proven.

edit...Sorry i missed the bit where you said we should be going throufgh a period of cooling...

I haven't seen that in the (lol peer reviewed) literature, i'll have a look now.....


Let me point you to Foster and Rahmstorf (2011)


Quote:
  "When the fluctuations in temperature over the last 32 years (which tend to obscure the continuation of the global warming trend) are accounted for, it becomes obvious that there has not been any cessation, or even any slowing, of global warming over the last decade (or at any time during this time span). In other words, any deviations from an unchanging linear warming trend are explained by the influence of ENSO, volcanoes and solar variability....It is worthy of note that for all five adjusted data sets, 2009 and 2010 are the two hottest years on record....All five data sets show statistically significant warming even for the time span from 2000 to the present."





Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 3:48pm
OK, best sources I could find predict interglacials between 10 and 30K, we're at ~ 12K now....so to say that we're due for another iceage is incorrect....do you have a better source?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 3:55pm
pretty pictures!
Come now, you seriously suggesting that cut+pasting measurements derived from differing sources, THEN omitting the last 10 years of data onto a graph generated by a multitude of different methods is scientifically valid??

I

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 4:03pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 8th, 2012 at 3:48pm:
OK, best sources I could find predict interglacials between 10 and 30K, we're at ~ 12K now....so to say that we're due for another iceage is incorrect....do you have a better source?


No one is predicting an ice age. I was talking about short term forcings, i.e. a La Nina event or a drop in solar activity

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 4:16pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 8th, 2012 at 3:55pm:
pretty pictures!
Come now, you seriously suggesting that cut+pasting measurements derived from differing sources, THEN omitting the last 10 years of data onto a graph generated by a multitude of different methods is scientifically valid??

I


So you are saying short term cooling debunks a long term warming trend. Global warming is not monotonic and you know it, climate scientists expect short term cooling trends from time to time. A drop in solar activity has a cooling effect and so too does a La Nina event. Climate scientists expect short term periods of cooling from time to time. Exclude these effects as Foster and Rahmstorf have done and you can see the the warming trend has not disappeared. Have a good look at their paper they are using data sets that include the past 10 years.

Notice how in the last 10 years each successive La Nina event is getting warming. Notice that NASA has tied 2010 with 2005 as the hottest years on record.

Notice how the arctic ice volume has declined over the last 10 years. Notice how the worlds oceans have trapped more heat over the last 10 years.

To hide behind short term cooling events is just stupid. Stupid and entirely predictable.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khikoh3sJg8

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 8th, 2012 at 4:30pm
Nope! never said that! I also agree wholeheartedly that the Earth is warming, I do argue however that there is no way to prove that these trends are alarming or in anyway different from what has happened in the past and certainly there is no way to test that Co2 IS the definitive cause of Global warming currently.

The hockey stick just annoys me because it's bad science, you know it, but you just can't help posting it up over and over again, I can understand that, it's certainly a highly alaming graph! (If you don't know what data was used to create it.)


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 8th, 2012 at 4:34pm
If it is bad science why has the result been confirmed reconstruction after reconstruction.

Have a look at the past 2 milleniums. It is abnormal for that timeframe and there are no other forcings that we have been able to identify. It is why insurance companies and the US Navy are planning for the consequences. It is why there is a dearth of climate scientists who deny anthropogenic global warming. To not listen to the experts would be irrational.

http://climatecrocks.com/2011/12/05/new-video-no-its-not-about-the-hockey-stick/

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 9th, 2012 at 2:21pm
"no other forcings that we have been able to identify."

how variation in the earths geomagnetic field?
http://psravenscroft.webs.com/bingo.htm

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 9th, 2012 at 6:18pm
You've gotta be joking. I bet you can't even explain why there might be correlation, which by the way there isn't.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by topend geo on Mar 10th, 2012 at 3:37am
did you read it?
do you know what generates the Earths magnetic fields?
do you know what effect they have on solar radiation?
do you know what causes thermal upwelling in the earths crust?
naw, that aint climate science, it's just some waffle about rocks n such.

I'm kinda disappointed you didn't pull the "that's not peer reviewed" on me, but in case you feel inclined, here's one that is:
http://www.viewzone.com/magnetic.weather.html

edit (repair hyperlink)


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 10th, 2012 at 9:12am

topend geo wrote on Mar 10th, 2012 at 3:37am:
did you read it?
do you know what generates the Earths magnetic fields?
do you know what effect they have on solar radiation?
do you know what causes thermal upwelling in the earths crust?
naw, that aint climate science, it's just some waffle about rocks n such.

I'm kinda disappointed you didn't pull the "that's not peer reviewed" on me, but in case you feel inclined, here's one that is:
http://www.viewzone.com/magnetic.weather.htm


Of course I read it. I'll post the offending paragraph.

Quote:
The African, Antarcrtic Peninsula and East Siberian verical magnetic shift and temperture matches are all shown on these two sets of maps and they all coincide beautifully. . The mag maps are the vertical component down intensity shifts for 1980, 1990 and 2000.  I have been struggling with old 1960's vertical intensity maps, but this lot, I think,  clinchs the argument.  that AGW is not driving climate change but geomagnetic shifts are


There is also a temperature anomaly map from 2005, from which we are meant to do some sort of visual correlation analysis. I didn't confuse it with a scientific paper which is why I didn't mention the review process.

I hope your next link has a little more meat on it.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 11th, 2012 at 11:14am

topend geo wrote on Mar 10th, 2012 at 3:37am:
did you read it?
do you know what generates the Earths magnetic fields?
do you know what effect they have on solar radiation?
do you know what causes thermal upwelling in the earths crust?
naw, that aint climate science, it's just some waffle about rocks n such.

I'm kinda disappointed you didn't pull the "that's not peer reviewed" on me, but in case you feel inclined, here's one that is:
http://www.viewzone.com/magnetic.weather.html


I'm still waiting for an explanation of your first link. Your second link makes a lot more sense. There is some evidence that galactic cosmic rays may play a role in low cloud formation and therefore climate. There is certainly plenty of noise in the system that scientists have not been able to attribute to a particular forcing. However, there seems little hope cosmic rays can explain recent warming when there has been no significant trend in the cosmic ray flux over the last 50 years.




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 12th, 2012 at 1:51pm

topend geo wrote on Mar 10th, 2012 at 3:37am:
did you read it?
do you know what generates the Earths magnetic fields?
do you know what effect they have on solar radiation?
do you know what causes thermal upwelling in the earths crust?
naw, that aint climate science, it's just some waffle about rocks n such.

I'm kinda disappointed you didn't pull the "that's not peer reviewed" on me, but in case you feel inclined, here's one that is:
http://www.viewzone.com/magnetic.weather.html

edit (repair hyperlink)

DOCUMENT SHOCK!

LOL, GO STRESS!! PANIC PANIC PANIC PANIC PANIC!!!!

  ;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:28pm
Don't lose sleep over it, it will come back (the ice), just wait and see.
Geez it's been raining a lot hasn't and after that BIG DRY SPELL huh?
Just as well they built that desalination plant.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:31pm

red baron wrote on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:28pm:
Don't lose sleep over it, it will come back (the ice), just wait and see.
Geez it's been raining a lot hasn't and after that BIG DRY SPELL huh?
Just as well they built that desalination plant.



You wont see ice like this again in your lifetime.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:37pm
Doctor Jolly, I couldn't afford the fare...care to shout me there Doc..Yet to meet a poor Doctor.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 12th, 2012 at 4:20pm

red baron wrote on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:28pm:
Don't lose sleep over it, it will come back (the ice), just wait and see.
Geez it's been raining a lot hasn't and after that BIG DRY SPELL huh?
Just as well they built that desalination plant.

The pretend nazi wants to explain the hydrologic cycle!  :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 13th, 2012 at 12:53am

red baron wrote on Mar 12th, 2012 at 3:28pm:
Don't lose sleep over it, it will come back (the ice), just wait and see.
Geez it's been raining a lot hasn't and after that BIG DRY SPELL huh?
Just as well they built that desalination plant.


What makes you so sure?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:31am
Why I'm losing sleep over this.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWInyaMWBY8&sns=em

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 13th, 2012 at 6:39am

MOTR wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:31am:
Why I'm losing sleep over this.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWInyaMWBY8&sns=em


Take pills.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:17am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.


Hmmm. Denier logic at work.  Maybe a trip to Darlington point is required.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:24am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:17am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.


Hmmm. Denier logic at work.  Maybe a trip to Darlington point is required.


No, can't go anywhere just yet.
I'm up here in tropical North Queensland still waiting for all those increased cyclone activity we are expecting, and the increased severity in those cyclones. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:27am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:24am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:17am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.


Hmmm. Denier logic at work.  Maybe a trip to Darlington point is required.


No, can't go anywhere just yet.
I'm up here in tropical North Queensland still waiting for all those increased cyclone activity we are expecting, and the increased severity in those cyclones. :)


The hot weather has fried your brain.    Typical of deniers you switch between localized weather and global climate when and where it suits your argument.
Consistently inconsistent.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:39am
After 35 judgements against Al Gore by the Trial Judge in the High Court of Great Britain; the Judge shut the case down and found Gore guilty of scientific fraud. These are a few of the Judgements regarding the Artic Ice etc that were part of the case.

ERROR 17

The sun "heats the Arctic ocean"


Gore says that ice-melt allows the Sun to heat the Arctic Ocean, and a diagram shows the Sun’s rays heating it directly. It does not. The ocean emits radiant energy at the moment of absorption, and would freeze if there were no atmosphere. It is the atmosphere, not the Sun that warms the ocean. Also, Gore’s diagram confuses the tropopause with the ionosphere, and he makes a number of other errors indicating that he does not understand the elementary physics of radiative transfer.



ERROR 18

Arctic "warming fastest"
   
Gore says the Arctic has been warming faster than the rest of the planet. It is not. While it is in general true that during periods of warming (whether natural or anthropogenic) the Arctic will warm faster than other regions, Gore does not mention that the Arctic has been cooling over the past 60 years, and is now one degree Celsius cooler than it was in the 1940s. There was a record amount of snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere in 2001. Several vessels were icebound in the Arctic in the spring of 2007, but few newspapers reported this. The newspapers reported that the North-West Passage was free of ice in 2007, and said that this was for the first time since records began: but the records, taken by satellites, had only begun 29 years previously. The North-West Passage had also been open for shipping in 1945, and, in 1903, the great Norwegian explorer Amundsen had passed through it in a sailing ship.
 

ERROR 19

Greenland ice sheet "unstable"


Gore says “global warming” is making the Greenland ice sheet unstable. It is not. Greenland ice grows 2in a year. The Greenland ice sheet survived each of the previous three interglacial periods, each of which was 5 degrees Celsius warmer than the present. It survived atmospheric CO2 concentrations of up to 1000 ppmv (compared with today’s 400 ppmv). It last melted 850,000 years ago, when humankind did not exist and could not have caused the melting. There is a close correlation between variations in Solar activity and temperature anomalies in Greenland, but there is no correlation between variations in CO2 concentration and temperature changes in Greenland. The IPCC (2001) says that to melt even half the Greenland ice sheet would require temperature to rise by 5.5 degrees C and remain that high for several thousand years.


AL GORE is now back with his old buddy from Goldman Sachs, David Blood, making barrowloads of money trading in, CARBON CREDITS.

He and his partner have formed the firm BLOOD AND GORE (Not a joke).

They will now make millionsfrom suckers like Australia once our Carbon Trading scheme gets going.

When will people realise this is the GREAT CON JOB of the Modern Age?
 

 

 

 

 



 
 

ERROR 20

Himalayan glacial melt waters "failing"


   


Gore says 40% of the world’s population get their water supply from Himalayan glacial melt waters that are failing because of “global warming.” They don’t and they are not. The water comes almost entirely from snow-melt, not from ice-melt. Over the past 40 years there has been no decline in the amount of snow-melt in Eurasia.


 



 
 

ERROR 21

Peruvian glaciers "disappearing"


   



Gore says that a Peruvian glacier is less extensive now than it was in the 1940s, implying that “global warming” is the cause. It is not. Except for the very highest peaks, the normal state of the Peruvian cordilleras has been ice-free throughout most of the past 10,000 years.

 

 



 
 

ERROR 22

Mountain glaciers worldwide "disappearing"


   


Gore says that “the ice has a story to tell, and it is worldwide.” He shows several before-and-after pictures of glaciers disappearing. However, the glacial melt began in the 1820s, long before humankind could have had any effect, and has continued at a uniform rate since, showing no acceleration since humankind began increasing the quantity of CO2 in the atmosphere. Total ice volumes in three of the last four Ice Ages were lower than they are today, and “global warming” had nothing to do with that.



 

 

 

 

 





 
 

ERROR 17

The sun "heats the Arctic ocean"


   


Gore says that ice-melt allows the Sun to heat the Arctic Ocean, and a diagram shows the Sun’s rays heating it directly. It does not. The ocean emits radiant energy at the moment of absorption, and would freeze if there were no atmosphere. It is the atmosphere, not the Sun that warms the ocean. Also, Gore’s diagram confuses the tropopause with the ionosphere, and he makes a number of other errors indicating that he does not understand the elementary physics of radiative transfer.


 



 
 

ERROR 18

Arctic "warming fastest"


   


Gore says the Arctic has been warming faster than the rest of the planet. It is not. While it is in general true that during periods of warming (whether natural or anthropogenic) the Arctic will warm faster than other regions, Gore does not mention that the Arctic has been cooling over the past 60 years, and is now one degree Celsius cooler than it was in the 1940s. There was a record amount of snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere in 2001. Several vessels were icebound in the Arctic in the spring of 2007, but few newspapers reported this. The newspapers reported that the North-West Passage was free of ice in 2007, and said that this was for the first time since records began: but the records, taken by satellites, had only begun 29 years previously. The North-West Passage had also been open for shipping in 1945, and, in 1903, the great Norwegian explorer Amundsen had passed through it in a sailing ship.


 



 
 

ERROR 19

Greenland ice sheet "unstable"


   


Gore says “global warming” is making the Greenland ice sheet unstable. It is not. Greenland ice grows 2in a year. The Greenland ice sheet survived each of the previous three interglacial periods, each of which was 5 degrees Celsius warmer than the present. It survived atmospheric CO2 concentrations of up to 1000 ppmv (compared with today’s 400 ppmv). It last melted 850,000 years ago, when humankind did not exist and could not have caused the melting. There is a close correlation between variations in Solar activity and temperature anomalies in Greenland, but there is no correlation between variations in CO2 concentration and temperature changes in Greenland. The IPCC (2001) says that to melt even half the Greenland ice sheet would require temperature to rise by 5.5 degrees C and remain that high for several thousand years.

 

 

 

 

  These FACTS were part of a High Court Decision in Great Britain in regard to Al gore's outrageous environmental fraud moive, An Inconvnient Truth which should, have been labelled An Inconvenient Bunch of Lies.

After 35 judgements the judge stopped counting, the Trial Judge shut the case down and found  in favour of Lord Monckton that Al Gore was guilty of scientific fraud..



 

 

 

 

 



 
 

ERROR 20

Himalayan glacial melt waters "failing"


   


Gore says 40% of the world’s population get their water supply from Himalayan glacial melt waters that are failing because of “global warming.” They don’t and they are not. The water comes almost entirely from snow-melt, not from ice-melt. Over the past 40 years there has been no decline in the amount of snow-melt in Eurasia.


 



 
 

ERROR 21

Peruvian glaciers "disappearing"


   



Gore says that a Peruvian glacier is less extensive now than it was in the 1940s, implying that “global warming” is the cause. It is not. Except for the very highest peaks, the normal state of the Peruvian cordilleras has been ice-free throughout most of the past 10,000 years.

 

 



 
 

ERROR 22

Mountain glaciers worldwide "disappearing"


   


Gore says that “the ice has a story to tell, and it is worldwide.” He shows several before-and-after pictures of glaciers disappearing. However, the glacial melt began in the 1820s, long before humankind could have had any effect, and has continued at a uniform rate since, showing no acceleration since humankind began increasing the quantity of CO2 in the atmosphere. Total ice volumes in three of the last four Ice Ages were lower than they are today, and “global warming” had nothing to do with that.



 

 

 

 

 

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:43am
Death Rides a Horse..

I see a man comin', comin with a gun and I just can't be beat...

I'm a long tall Texan, I ride a big white horse

He rides from Texas on a bg white horse.............



Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:44am
red baron: Got a link to your BS, or just making stuff up again. ?

Sounds exact like something from those dodgy skeptic blogs (funded by oil companies)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:51am
Yaketty yak, blah, blah, blah, blah, yaketty yak, blah, blah blah...all I hear all day is yaketty yak blah, blah, blah blah....
Got the message Doc?

Uhh care to comment on the landmark case against Gore in which he was found guilty on all counts of  scientific bullsh.t?

Like Barnum of Barnum and Bailey's Circus once said, "there's one born every minute". Each minute was yours Doc?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:53am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:27am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:24am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:17am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.


Hmmm. Denier logic at work.  Maybe a trip to Darlington point is required.


No, can't go anywhere just yet.
I'm up here in tropical North Queensland still waiting for all those increased cyclone activity we are expecting, and the increased severity in those cyclones. :)


The hot weather has fried your brain.    Typical of deniers you switch between localized weather and global climate when and where it suits your argument.
Consistently inconsistent.


No, you suggested I go to Darlington Point remember.
I just replied why I can't right now. :)
No doubt there are millions of people in North Queensland, Northern Terrritory and Northern West Australia all waiting for the soothsayers prediction of an increase in cyclone activity and all the cat 5 cyclones that will bring death and destruction to come true.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 13th, 2012 at 12:38pm
Doctor Jolley,  does your title of Doctor...stand for Doctor of Wankology with a Ph.d in bullsh.t?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Uncle Meat on Mar 13th, 2012 at 1:49pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?



"last decade" ?     ;D

Anything that has happened over the last decade is weather.

Do you know the difference between weather and climate?


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 2:58pm

Uncle Meat wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 1:49pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?



"last decade" ?     ;D

Anything that has happened over the last decade is weather.

Do you know the difference between weather and climate?



Since weather forecasting cant get next week right, a 10 year trend, I'm afraid, is climate.  On the short end, but still climate.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Uncle Meat on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:15pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 2:58pm:
Since weather forecasting cant get next week right, a 10 year trend, I'm afraid, is climate.  On the short end, but still climate.



Nope.  It's weather.

Once you hit 30 years you're getting into climate.
Although, in regards to climate change, talking about such short periods of time is an absolute joke.

That's the problem with AGW disciples: they don't know the difference between weather and climate, and they think 200 years is a long time when discussing climate change.    ::)


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:17pm

Uncle Meat wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:15pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 2:58pm:
Since weather forecasting cant get next week right, a 10 year trend, I'm afraid, is climate.  On the short end, but still climate.



Nope.  It's weather.

Once you hit 30 years you're getting into climate.
Although, in regards to climate change, talking about such short periods of time is an absolute joke.

That's the problem with AGW disciples: they don't know the difference between weather and climate, and they think 200 years is a long time when discussing climate change.    ::)


Ah no, it is you who does not know what he's talking about regarding Weather v Climate.




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:31pm
Herr Docktor Jolley

I am still waiting for your reply in regard to Al Gore being smashed by the High Court of Great Britain for Scientific Fraud, as I have outlined earlier in this post in relation to his movie ASn Inconvenient Truth's bullsh.t claims..


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Uncle Meat on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:32pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:17pm:

Uncle Meat wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:15pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 2:58pm:
Since weather forecasting cant get next week right, a 10 year trend, I'm afraid, is climate.  On the short end, but still climate.



Nope.  It's weather.

Once you hit 30 years you're getting into climate.Although, in regards to climate change, talking about such short periods of time is an absolute joke.

That's the problem with AGW disciples: they don't know the difference between weather and climate, and they think 200 years is a long time when discussing climate change.    ::)


Ah no, it is you who does not know what he's talking about regarding Weather v Climate.


"Climate is defined as statistical weather information that describes the variation of weather at a given place for a specified interval. In popular usage, it represents the synthesis of weather; more formally it is the weather of a locality averaged over some period (usually 30 years) plus statistics of weather extremes."

http://nsidc.org/arcticmet/basics/weather_vs_climate.html

"Scientists keep day-to-day weather statistics for 30 years in order to draw conclusions about local and regional climates. It is only when a location has 30 years of weather statistics that meteorologists can generalize and comment on the climate of a particular area."

http://weather.about.com/od/climatezones/f/weatherclimate.htm

"Climate is often defined as the average weather. It is usually described in terms of the mean and variability of temperature, precipitation and wind over a period ranging from months to millions of years, but the period is typically 30 years. "

http://www.climatechange.gov.au/climate-change/understanding-climate-change/difference-between-weather-climate.aspx

"Climate refers to the average weather conditions in a place over many years (usually at least 30 years)."

http://epa.gov/climatechange/kids/basics/concepts.html

"The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) requires the calculation of averages for consecutive periods of 30 years,"

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/averages/

"Climate in a narrow sense is usually defined as the "average weather," or more rigorously, as the statistical description in terms of the mean and variability of relevant quantities over a period of time ranging from months to thousands or millions of years. The classical period is 30 years, as defined by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). "

http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/ccl/faqs.html




::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:49pm

red baron wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 12:38pm:
Doctor Jolley,  does your title of Doctor...stand for Doctor of Wankology with a Ph.d in bullsh.t?

Tough guys never pick mike tyson!

Get back to sucking off your local sword boy mate!!

  :D  ::) ::) ::)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:51pm

Uncle Meat wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:15pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 2:58pm:
Since weather forecasting cant get next week right, a 10 year trend, I'm afraid, is climate.  On the short end, but still climate.



Nope.  It's weather.

Once you hit 30 years you're getting into climate.
Although, in regards to climate change, talking about such short periods of time is an absolute joke.

That's the problem with AGW disciples: they don't know the difference between weather and climate, and they think 200 years is a long time when discussing climate change.    ::)

It's about relevance!


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:55pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?

A measurable statistic (akin to an ecomic indicator) is snowlines!

That will make for an interesting set of numbers in the years to come!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 3:57pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:27am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:24am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:17am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:07am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:03am:
Telling quote at around 3:20 in that video:

testimony in the 1980s that global warming increases both extremes of the earths water cycle. Heat waves and droughts on one hand directly from the warming, but also because a warmer atmosphere holds more water vapour, rainfall will become in more extreme events. There will be stronger storms and greater flooding.

Does that not exactly describe Australia of the last decade ?


No.


Hmmm. Denier logic at work.  Maybe a trip to Darlington point is required.


No, can't go anywhere just yet.
I'm up here in tropical North Queensland still waiting for all those increased cyclone activity we are expecting, and the increased severity in those cyclones. :)


The hot weather has fried your brain.    Typical of deniers you switch between localized weather and global climate when and where it suits your argument.
Consistently inconsistent.

CONSISTENCY IS ABBOTTS ACHILLES HEEL, BTW!

NOT DERAILING THE THREAD, JUST SAYING!!  ;D :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 4:06pm

red baron wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:43am:
Death Rides a Horse..

I see a man comin', comin with a gun and I just can't be beat...

I'm a long tall Texan, I ride a big white horse

He rides from Texas on a bg white horse.............

?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 13th, 2012 at 4:08pm

red baron wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:43am:
Death Rides a Horse..

I see a man comin', comin with a gun and I just can't be beat...

I'm a long tall Texan, I ride a big white horse

He rides from Texas on a bg white horse.............

-->> rates of change!

GIVE US SOME NUMBERS TOUGH GUY!!

  ;) ;)

YOU CAN'T!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by falah on Mar 13th, 2012 at 6:46pm
Greenland melting faster

GREENLAND'S ice sheet is more sensitive to global warming than previously thought, according to Spanish and German researchers.

The ice sheet may lose its ability to grow once warming reaches 1.6 degrees, a study published in Nature Climate Change found.

That is below the previous best estimate of 3.1 degrees, scientists at Madrid's Complutense University and Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research found. ''We might already be approaching the critical threshold,'' said Alexander Robinson, the lead author and an academic affiliated with both institutions.
Advertisement: Story continues below

''The more we exceed the threshold, the faster it melts.''

The United Nations estimates Greenland's ice sheet holds enough water to raise global sea levels by seven metres, threatening coastal cities.

http://www.theage.com.au/world/greenland-melting-faster-20120312-1uwbk.html



Now tell me this: Does white relfect the sun's heat? If so,will less ice mean even higher tempratures (eg. less white stuff to repel the suns heat).

Anyone know anything about physics and colours and heat reflection?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 14th, 2012 at 3:44am
It's called the albedo effect. This is the amount of electromagnetic radiation that reflects away, compared to the amount that gets absorbed. A perfectly reflective surface would get an albedo score of 1, while a completely dark object would have an albedo of 0. Ice may reflect up to 90 percent of incoming solar radiation (albedo = 0.9), while ocean water may absorb up to 90 percent (albedo = 0.1).

As we lose ice we lose albedo and the thermostat goes up. It's one of those positive feedback effects that has the climate scientists concerned.





Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 14th, 2012 at 4:08am

It's called the albedo effect. This is the amount of electromagnetic radiation that reflects away, compared to the amount that gets absorbed. A perfectly reflective surface would get an albedo score of 1, while a completely dark object would have an albedo of 0. Ice has an albedo close to 1 while oceans are close to 0. 

It's called the albedo effect. This is the amount of electromagnetic radiation that reflects away, compared to the amount that gets absorbed. A perfectly reflective surface would get an albedo score of 1, while a completely dark object would have an albedo of 0. Ice may reflect up to 90 percent of incoming solar radiation (albedo = 0.9), while ocean water may absorb up to 90 percent (albedo = 0.1).

As we lose ice we lose albedo and the thermostat goes up. It's one of those positive feedback effects that has the climate scientists concerned.



red baron wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 8:51am:
Yaketty yak, blah, blah, blah, blah, yaketty yak, blah, blah blah...all I hear all day is yaketty yak blah, blah, blah blah....
Got the message Doc?

Uhh care to comment on the landmark case against Gore in which he was found guilty on all counts of  scientific bullsh.t?

Like Barnum of Barnum and Bailey's Circus once said, "there's one born every minute". Each minute was yours Doc?


Either you are incredibly gullible, red baron, or you are willfully and malevolently spreading false information. The UK High Court judge, Justice Burton, actually rejected the lawsuit by political activist Stuart Dimmock to stop the distribution of Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth to British schools. Justice Burton agreed that

"Al Gore's presentation of the causes and likely effects of climate change in the film was broadly accurate."

There were nine points where Burton decided that AIT differed from the IPCC and that this should be addressed in the Guidance Notes for teachers to be sent out with the movie.

Al Gore is not a scientist, he is an environmentalist who does a pretty good job informing the public about the science behind AGW. If Gore makes an "error" in his representation of the science this does not mean AGW is not happening. 

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 14th, 2012 at 4:13am
I'll just repeat that, red barron. Justice Burton found

"Al Gore's presentation of the causes and likely effects of climate change in the film was broadly accurate."

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 14th, 2012 at 7:10am

MOTR wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 4:13am:
I'll just repeat that, red barron. Justice Burton found

"Al Gore's presentation of the causes and likely effects of climate change in the film was broadly accurate."


Great.
A beancounter, an ex politician and now a judge.
Everyone's an expert in 2012.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 14th, 2012 at 7:12am

falah wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 6:46pm:
Greenland melting faster

GREENLAND'S ice sheet is more sensitive to global warming than previously thought, according to Spanish and German researchers.

The ice sheet may lose its ability to grow once warming reaches 1.6 degrees, a study published in Nature Climate Change found.

That is below the previous best estimate of 3.1 degrees, scientists at Madrid's Complutense University and Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research found. ''We might already be approaching the critical threshold,'' said Alexander Robinson, the lead author and an academic affiliated with both institutions.
Advertisement: Story continues below

''The more we exceed the threshold, the faster it melts.''

The United Nations estimates Greenland's ice sheet holds enough water to raise global sea levels by seven metres, threatening coastal cities.

http://www.theage.com.au/world/greenland-melting-faster-20120312-1uwbk.html



Now tell me this: Does white relfect the sun's heat? If so,will less ice mean even higher tempratures (eg. less white stuff to repel the suns heat).

Anyone know anything about physics and colours and heat reflection?


An increase of 1.6 degrees could theoretically release Godzilla from his icy tomb.
Look out Tokyo.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 8:46am

falah wrote on Mar 13th, 2012 at 6:46pm:
Now tell me this: Does white relfect the sun's heat? If so,will less ice mean even higher tempratures (eg. less white stuff to repel the suns heat).

Anyone know anything about physics and colours and heat reflection?


Yes, As stated in that video someone posted, the earth's cycles been ice-age and warm periods are exagerated from the underlying cause of the warming for this very reason.

eg, an outside influence cause the earth to warm by 1 degree. This causes ice to melt and methane to be released, and the oceans ability to hold co2 decreased, causing an amplifing warming of 3 to 4 degrees.
Conversely a cooling influence of 1 degree causes more ice to form, reflecting more head, oceans absorb more co2, an we cool 3 or 4 degrees.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 9:02am
Oh yes Herr Docktor and you were there through these times to confirm this were you?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 9:11am
Enjoy Herr Docktor Jolly
‘
The fingerprint of anthropogenic greenhouse warming predicted by computer models is absent from real-world, observed trends in atmospheric temperature change
’


THE FACT of warming tells us nothing of the cause. Yet the scientific consensus is that, though the rapid climatic warming from 1906 to 1940 was a natural recovery from the historically low temperatures of the Little Ice Age, it is we who are chiefly to blame for the equally rapid warming from 1975 to the present. Since some climatologists challenge this consensus, can we settle the debate by predicting with models and then detecting by observation a characteristic “signature” in the climate data that allows us definitively to distinguish between anthropogenic and natural warming of the Earth’s atmosphere? This paper answers that key question.

To identify the distinctive signature of anthropogenic warming caused by greenhouse-gas emissions, we begin with a little elementary atmospheric physics.

The surface of the Earth does not cool primarily by thermal radiation. The main greenhouse gas, water vapor, generally maximizes at the surface in the tropics and sharply decreases with both altitude and latitude. There is so much greenhouse opacity immediately above the ground that the surface cannot effectively cool by the emission of thermal radiation.

Instead, heat is carried away from the surface by fluid motions ranging from the cumulonimbus towers of the tropics to the weather and planetary scale waves of the extratropics. These motions carry the heat upward and poleward to the “characteristic emission level” one optical depth into the atmosphere, known as τ=1. From here emitted thermal radiation can escape to space. Crudely speaking, the emitted thermal radiation is proportional to the fourth power of the temperature at the characteristic emission level.



How the greenhouse effect changes global temperature

τ is infrared absorption measured from the top of the atmosphere looking down. Diagram (a): When the earth is in radiative balance with space, net incoming solar radiation (NISR) is balanced by outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) from the characteristic emission level, τ=1. Diagram (b): When greenhouse gases are added to the atmosphere, the characteristic emission level is raised in altitude. Since atmospheric temperature decreases with altitude at about 10 ºC per mile, the new characteristic emission level is colder than the previous level. Therefore outgoing longwave radiation no longer balances net incoming solar radiation. The Earth is no longer in thermal balance with space. This imbalance is called “radiative forcing”. To re-establish balance, the temperature at the new τ=1 level must increase to about the temperature that had existed at the initial τ=1 level, which is typically 7-8 km in the tropics and lower elsewhere. The warming at τ=1 is the fundamental warming associated with the greenhouse effect. How warming at the characteristic emission level τ=1 relates to warming at the surface is not altogether clear, but computer models can be helpful here. Source: Lindzen (2007).



Computer models are able to assist us in distinguishing between the warming caused by adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere and warming that is attributable to other causes.

The UN, in its 2007 climate assessment report, displays a series of plots of predicted rates of temperature change over the decades at altitudes from the Earth’s surface to 30 km, at latitudes from the South Pole via the Equator to the North Pole. Colors are used to illustrate the rates of change in temperature which the UN’s climate models predict, measured in degrees Celsius per decade. Each distinct cause of warming produces a visibly-distinct plot.

Six causes of atmospheric warming are considered. First, plots of natural warming caused by changes in total incoming solar radiation and changes in volcanic activity are shown, followed by plots of anthropogenic warming caused by emissions of greenhouse gases, changes in tropospheric and stratospheric ozone concentration, and the radiative forcing caused by sulphate aerosol particles (which actually cause cooling). Finally, the five plots of predicted warming are combined to create a single, sixth plot.

It is at once visible that the predicted warming caused by greenhouse-gas concentrations produces a pattern strongly distinct from other causes of warming. A “hot spot” appears between 8km and 12km of altitude in or near the tropics. At this computer-predicted “hot spot” high above the Earth, the UN’s models project that greenhouse warming will cause temperature to rise over the decades at a rate up to three times faster than at the surface.

Greenhouse warming is distinguishable from other forcings
hPa - Left hand side
km - Right hand side




Zonal mean simulated atmospheric temperature change (ºC per century, 1890-1999), from two natural causes, three anthropogenic causes and one combined cause, simulated by the UN’s PCM model. The “hot-spot” signature of greenhouse warming is visible in (c) and (f). (IPCC, 2007, p. 675, based on Santer et al, 2003. See also IPCC, 2007, Appendix 9C).


The UN’s diagram shows the pattern of zonal mean simulated atmospheric temperature change from 1890 to 1999, in °C per century from six causes –

‘
(a) natural radiative forcing from changes in solar activity;
(b) natural radiative forcing from changes in volcanic activity;
(c) anthropogenic radiative forcing from emissions of CO2 and other well-mixed greenhouse gases;
(d) anthropogenic radiative forcing from changes in tropospheric and stratospheric ozone;
(e) anthropogenic radiative forcing from pollutant sulphate aerosol particles emitted to the atmosphere; and
(f) all natural and anthropogenic forcings combined.
’

These six plots, from 1,000 hPa to 10 hPa barometric pressure (left scale), equivalent to 0-30 km (right scale), demonstrate that anthropogenic emission of well-mixed greenhouse gases, whether on its own (c) or combined with all other natural and anthropogenic forcings (f), is predicted to produce a signature distinct from that of other forcings alone. The reason why the combined-forcings plot (f) appears so similar to the greenhouse-gas forcing plot (c) is that the UN’s computer models predict that the impact of greenhouse-gas emissions on temperature is greater than that of all other forcings.

This instantly-recognizable “hot-spot” on the altitude-versus-latitude plot of predicted rates of temperature change is the unmistakable signature or characteristic fingerprint of greenhouse warming which we have been looking for. The warming which the computer models predict will arise from growing emissions of greenhouse gases is visibly distinct in its magnitude and in its altitudinal and latitudinal distribution from any other cause of natural or anthropogenic warming.

Following common meteorological practice, height is represented in these plots by atmospheric pressure level. Atmospheric pressure decreases approximately exponentially with height: 100 millibars corresponds roughly to 16 km; 200 mb to 12 km; 500 mb to 6 km; and 1000 mb to the surface. Predicted greenhouse-gas warming visibly peaks strongly in the tropical troposphere near the τ=1 characteristic emission level, which differs from one computer model another because the amount of water vapor differs among the models.

Within the tropical “hot-spot” at about 8 to 12 km altitude, the rate of increase in warming is more than twice and up to three times the rate of increase in warming at the Earth’s surface. This does not mean that absolute temperature in the mid-troposphere is greater than at the surface. Far from it: the temperature at altitude is very much colder than at the surface. But the rate at which temperature is predicted to increase in the “hot-spot” over the decades is two or three times the rate at which temperature is predicted to increase at the surface.

To put it another way, if we observe warming in the tropical upper troposphere, then the models predict that the contribution to warming at the surface that is caused by our greenhouse-gas emissions should be between less than half and one third of the warming seen in the upper troposphere. There is, of course, some greenhouse warming, indicated by the observed cooling of the stratosphere as less outgoing long-wave radiation reaches it. But the absence of the predicted “hot-spot” in the tropical mid-troposphere severely constrains the magnitude of the greenhouse warming.

It is worth noticing that if we considered only global temperatures, as many climatologists do, this signature of anthropogenic as distinct from natural warming would not become visible. Accordingly, the objections of Essex and McKitrick (2002) and Essex et al. (2007) to the use of globally averaged temperature are justifiable. Had we used globally averaged temperatures, it would have been almost impossible correctly to relate the underlying physics to the observations.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 9:32am
Red baron, too scared to post the link to your blogger source ?

;D

Ridicule follows you like a bad smell.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:10pm
For you Herr Docktor Jolly


•      Labor's Political Ads Compromise CSIRO
19/10/11
At the Senate Economics Legislation Committee today the Deputy Chief Executive, CSIRO Operations, Mr Mike Whelan disclosed that the CSIRO was recruited by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency to help with the Government’s carbon tax advertising campaign. As a result Dr Alex Wonhas* appeared in these political ads.
The Public Research Agency Charter with the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation states at point 6:
“….. They should not be asked by Government to defend or debate the merits of Government policy. As CSIRO employees, they should not advocate, defend or publicly debate the merits of government or opposition policies (including policies of previous Commonwealth governments, or state or local or foreign governments).”
Questions also need to asked of the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency’s contribution to Labor’s carbon tax ads. The Australian Public Service Values and Code of Conduct in Practice states:
“Key Values: Relationships with Government and Parliament
• The APS is apolitical, performing its functions in an impartial and professional manner (s. 10(1)(a)).”
The Department of Climate Change and energy Efficiency’s role in spruiking the carbon tax ‘Party line’ has compromised the apolitical principles of the Public Service and brings into question the independence of Government bodies who engage in such behavior.
•      Dr Wonhas is the Director, Energy Transformed Flagship


•      
•      Chief Scientist Not Happy With Labor's International Science Cuts
19/10/11
Science Minister Kim Carr has suffered another humiliation this morning – with his own Chief Scientist indicating his displeasure with the Government’s abolition of Australia’s main international science program.
At a Senate Estimates hearing this morning, Chief Scientist Professor Ian Chubb said he was “building up to it” when asked if he intended to express his concern directly to Mr Carr about the axing of the International Science Linkages Program.
Extraordinarily, Mr Carr intervened in the questioning to protest that he had not terminated the nine-year-long, $94 million program – even though he decided to end the program’s funding in June this year. Under further questioning, Mr Carr was also forced to admit that no replacement program had been introduced.
The cessation of the program has already attracted criticism from across the Australian science community, including from the Australian Academy of Science (AAS).
AAS Secretary for Science Policy, Professor Bob Williamson, said in May this year that “the scientific links that we make with colleagues in other countries are the glue that maintains Australia's connections and prestige in the rest of the world … without a linkage program … our scientists will not be as respected, will not be able to collaborate and will not win a place at research forums internationally.''

Oh and yes...Herr Docktor...that was a very lame response to my last post. It is fact or it isn't...In the case of the information I posted, IT IS FACT!
    




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:14pm
For you Herr Docktor Jolly




Claims CSIRO is compromised by forestry group ties

Simon Lauder reported this story on Friday, February 3, 2012 08:03:00

Listen to MP3 of this story ( minutes)
Alternate WMA version | MP3 download


TONY EASTLEY: The CSIRO has been forced to defend itself against claims of inappropriate links with the logging industry.

The CSIRO is a member of the industry's lobby group, the Australian Forest Products Association.

It's been taking the government to task over its climate change policies as well as lobbying for more resources for CSIRO researchers.

Environment groups say the CSIRO's credibility as an independent research organisation is damaged by its membership of the Forest Products Association.

Simon Lauder has this exclusive report.

SIMON LAUDER: The Australian Forest Products Association was set up last year with the objective of selling what it says is a carbon positive, renewable and environmentally friendly resource. The CSIRO stands out among the association's list of members, most of which are timber and forestry companies.

The CSIRO has told AM it paid $10,000 to be a member.

Jill Redwood is the coordinator of Environment East Gippsland.

JILL REDWOOD: I think this compromises the CSIRO terribly. They are supposed to be objective and unbiased.

SIMON LAUDER: Why should the CSIRO be held accountable for the actions and words of a lobby group? The CSIRO says the Forest Products Association doesn't necessarily speak for it.

JILL REDWOOD: Why are they a member of it then? I'll bet there'd be some screaming loud and long if the CSIRO were to join Greenpeace or the Wilderness Society, for example.

SIMON LAUDER: The CSIRO operates under the Public Research Agency Charter which states that the CSIRO should not "advocate, defend or publicly debate the merits of government or opposition policies".

The Australian Forest Products Association is heavily involved in policy debate. In its submission on the Renewable Energy Scheme the association accuses the Federal Government of being ignorant of the economics of commercial forest management.

In a submission on the Carbon Farming Initiative the government is accused of deliberately misleading the public and making policy which is not informed by science.

The association also wants to boost the CSIRO.

In its submission to the Federal Opposition's Review of Industries it points out that the CSIRO's forestry research capability has been significantly downgraded and makes this recommendation:

RECOMMENDATION FROM THE AFPA (Voiceover): Halt the decline in Australia's capacity in research, development and extension in the industry; restore lost capacity, particularly in CSIRO.

SIMON LAUDER: Jill Redwood wrote to the Federal Government last October, urging it to ask the CSIRO to cancel its membership of the association.

JILL REDWOOD: And that has been ignored for months and we have written a reminder and we are still being ignored so obviously this is an issue they just do not want to be having to deal with.

SIMON LAUDER: The Science Minister Chris Evans has not responded to AM's requests for a comment. The Opposition's industry and science spokeswoman Sophie Mirabella won't comment either.

The science spokesman for the Greens Adam Bandt says the CSIRO is blurring the line between politics and science and the minister should do something about it.

ADAM BANDT: Next time that the Government issues its statement of expectations it should be explicit that whilst collaboration with organisations should be something that is heartily encouraged, in its statement of expectations the minister should make it clear that it draws the line at being members of industry lobby groups.

SIMON LAUDER: A spokesman for the CSIRO says it's a member of a wide range of interest groups, but none of them speak for the CSIRO. He says the CSIRO doesn't comment on government or opposition policy and it is appropriate to maintain close links with all sides of a debate.

TONY EASTLEY: Simon Lauder reporting. And the Australian Forest Products Association has not returned AM's calls.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:17pm
For you Herr Docktor Jolly



But there isn't any conflict of interest, they protest, despite the fact that CSIRO provides a never-ending flow of alarmist predictions about climate change which will force Australia (and the world) to consider mitigation measures which might include, er, carbon sequestration:


THE head of the CSIRO is at the centre of conflict of interest claims over her role as a director of a Tasmanian company that purchases land for carbon sequestration.

It was revealed in Senate estimates today that the peak science body's chief executive Megan Clark is the director of Cradle Mountain Carbon Pty Ltd and is also on the board of Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Cradle Mountain Carbon Pty Ltd is a private family company that sets aside land to store carbon as part of efforts to combat climate change.

Liberal senator David Bushby said at the very least the public perception of Dr Clark's additional appointments “should raise conflict of interest concerns”.

CSIRO's acting chief executive Mike Whelan said Dr Clark, who was absent from today's hearing, was an officer of the highest integrity and the organisation's board believed there was no conflict of interest issue.

“She is driven on the basis of values and integrity,” Mr Whelan said.

“I don't see, on the face of it, any issues there and I have no doubt the board has assured itself of the fact there is no conflict of interest.”

Well that's OK then. Silly of me to even think such a heresy! Move along, nothing to see here. Just like there's nothing to see at the IPCC, packed to the rafters with environmental activists… But we're really unbiased - honest! Just trust us! Nothing can go wrong!

And look at Whelan's immediate reaction - to defend Clark, and dismiss criticism with an arrogant wave of the hand. Instead, perhaps he should think, yes, it doesn't look good does it? Perhaps Clark should consider whether her directorship of this company really sends the right message, which may compromise the impartiality of the organisation, whether there is any real conflict of interest or not. Ha - fat chance of that.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:21pm
Death Rides a Horse

A horse is a horse, a horse of course

And no one can talk to a horse of course

That is unless the horse is the famous Mr. Death Rides A Horse

That horse of course is full horse sh.it OF COURSE!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:33pm
Again, red baron refuses to post links.

What is he trying to hide I wonder.


For what its worth, a group of scientists like the CSIRO who distribute scientific findings will often sound similar to political movements which use scientific findings as a basis for decision making, and sound quite the opposite of political movements which wish to discredit all scientific studies because it could cost the money.

If the CSIRO was a lone voice you could argue local interference, but it is not. Its climate change  findings are all in-line with every other creditable scientific institution world wide.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:40pm
For Herr Docktor Jolly


Political interference will cripple climate debate

by: Michael Asten
From:The Australian
December 17, 201012:00AM

THE Gillard government must not repeat the errors committed when Rudd was PM.

THE Cancun climate change conference has come and gone. As expected, it began with a statement from climate scientists on the magnitude of the threat: a predicted sea-level rise of 0.5m to 2m by 2100.

Australia's Climate Change Minister Greg Combet spoke of Australia's commitment to spend $599 million on regional adaptation programs on climate change for poor countries. This may be a wise move since, based on the conference outcomes, few could be optimistic that the global community would succeed in reversing climate change by agreement on decreasing carbon emissions.

Less wise are the Gillard government's promises to introduce a price on Australian carbon emissions next year; we are entitled to ask first whether the government has learned from past mistakes, in particular its failure to countenance and consider a breadth of points of view on which mechanism, and indeed which scientific prediction we should believe.

The recent Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development report, which advocates putting a price on carbon, is notable in its absence of endorsement of Kevin Rudd's emissions trading scheme over a carbon tax or vice versa.

The preferred mechanism for a price on carbon was a matter of some debate - and bureaucratic abuse of process - last year when Clive Spash, then of the CSIRO, wrote a journal article advocating a response to climate change via changes in economic structure, institutions and behaviour, rather than by the introduction of an ETS.

The Spash paper should have been welcomed as an example of the CSIRO fulfilling its six-point charter, which includes agreement for open communication, encouragement of debate on research issues of public interest, the contestability of ideas and demonstration of independence and integrity. Unfortunately, the CSIRO failed both its employee and its employer (the nation). The author was subject to intense pressure from his employer to modify his conclusions after they had been accepted by external peer review, to align them with the policy of the government of the day.

In what will be seen by historians as an outstanding example of political interference in the academic process, Spash resisted the demands for alteration, had his professional reputation traduced by ill-considered claims by Science Minister Kim Carr and eventually resigned his position.

His paper appeared this year in the June issue of the journal New Political Economy, and it is relevant to the present debate in that it questions the cost-effectiveness of an ETS and warns of the "potential for manipulation to achieve financial gain while showing little regard for environmental or social consequences".

A particular irony of this case is that Spash accepts the scientific evidence for anthropogenic global warming but differed from the 2009 government views on the nature of economic management of such change. Spash now holds a professorial position in Norway, and his work has renewed credibility as the OECD and our parliament consider options for a carbon-pricing alternative or some other mechanism for managing climate change.

Has the government learned from its mistakes of last year? Probably not. The supposedly multi-party Climate Change Committee set up by Combet includes a proviso that members must commit to a carbon price; the opposition has understandably declined to participate under such loaded terms of reference.

I also fear that the quality of scientific advice to the government is likewise loaded so that ongoing studies on scientific parameters vital to the climate debate such as the magnitude of the CO2 and water vapour-related feedbacks in atmospheric warming, the role of solar-magnetic and cosmic influences on climate, and the geological-historical records of cyclic climate change are starved of funding in Australia relative to the munificence of grants available for Combet's regional adaptation programs, or various green energy projects.

And if scientists involved in the foregoing topics arrive at a conclusion inconvenient to government policy, Spash's experience gives us no confidence that they will receive a fair hearing.

Political interference against scientific objectivity is insidious and may ultimately deliver hideous outcomes. It is common in climate change debate for lesser intellects to label those who dare to question present climate science orthodoxy as deniers, making the implicit association between climate sceptics and Holocaust deniers.

Such accusers probably are unaware of the savage irony in this epithet, in that German academics and scientists compliant with government policy were intimately involved in the formulation and development of Nazi racial policy, and, as historians have commented, the Nazi regime brought boom-time conditions for scientists from racial anthropologists, biologists and economists who were able to contribute to this aspect of the regime's policies. Those academics who were outspoken were removed by the Gestapo.

I do not offer these thoughts as being analogous to present climate debate but by way of caution to politicians who may be unwilling to allow debate, and scientists who may be unduly influenced by funding sources.

As a geophysicist my reading and writing leads me to question the level of influence of human-related CO2 emissions on present versus past climate change, and it is of huge concern to our nation's future if we commit to a price on carbon without a parallel high-priority, objective and ongoing scientific effort to quantify uncertainties and natural factors also affecting climate change.

The Cancun predictions on sea-level rises contrast with recent satellite observations on the rate of sea-level change and provide a timely example on the need for scientific objectivity.

A recent peer-reviewed paper by Svetlana Jevrejeva from Britain's National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, provides a calculation of 0.6m-1.6m by 2100 using a range of climate models. However, these models also show predicted sea-level change rates of 4.2mm-5.4mm a year for the first decade of the 21st century.

I contrast these predictions with just published observations by Riccardo Riva from Delft in The Netherlands and international colleagues who use satellite technology to quantify actual global sea level rise attributable to ice-cap melting in this same decade to be in the order of 1mm a year.

Adding sea level rise due to thermal expansion of the oceans, which I calculate from CSIRO figures to be in the range 0.7 to 1.7 mm a year, we have a result which happens to be about the rate of sea-level increase that has been observed during the past century. In other words, the observational data suggests the problem as modelled may be overstated by a factor in the range 1.5 to 3.2.

Did scientists from the no-longer independent CSIRO (or other competent body in Australia) brief minister Combet and his team at Cancun on this discrepancy and its implications? Are they permitted to make such comment publicly? And how will such observations affect the targeting of our funds on offer for regional adaptation programs?

Until we have confidence scientists can address such issues without censorship or denigration, we cannot have confidence that a price on carbon will be scientifically justified or wisely spent.

Michael Asten is a professorial fellow in the school of geosciences, Monash University.

The above article as originally published on December 17, 2010, contained an error in the illustration of discrepancy between modelled and observed sea level rise associated with global warming. To Riva's observation-based data (quoted as 1mm a year) must be added a term for ocean expansion due to warming, which I calculate from CSIRO data, to be in the range 0.7 to 1.7mm a year. This gives an estimate of total sea level rise for the past decade to be in the range 1.7 to 2.7mm a year. The discrepancy between model and observation then becomes a factor in the range 1.5 to 3.2 as stated above (not 5 as stated in the original). - Michael Asten




.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:47pm
Red baron, please check your sources.

Heres a nice summary of the author of your last article (notice I have a link!)
http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2011/08/the_australians_war_on_science_72.php

When I contacted The Australian's opinion editor late last year to express dismay at their bias, I was given the example of Michael Asten, a part-time professorial fellow in the school of geosciences at Monash University, Melbourne, as someone who was well-qualified to comment. ...

So, Asten, with no expertise in the field, is using a paper published in Nature to argue the opposite of what the paper actually says.

He then spins this as "top scientists cast doubt" on the IPCC. ...

But once again, Asten misunderstands the science.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:49pm
A packet of dry ice for your consumption.

Southern Greenland—warm and ice free!
by Michael J. Oard

Evolutionary scientists have recently discovered evidence that southern Greenland was much warmer and ice-free during an interglacial between one of their dozens of glacial periods.1,2 According to the uniformitarian ice age paradigm, Greenland first developed an ice sheet around 2.5 Ma (million years) ago; at the same time the ice sheets supposedly developed on North America and Scandinavia. However, opinion on the timing of the Greenland Ice Sheet is changing. Some scientists believe the Greenland Ice Sheet developed 7 Ma ago,3 while even more recent research claims it was 30–38 Ma ago,4 or even as old as 44 Ma ago!5 These new results are based on the finding of what are believed to be ice-rafted debris in deep-sea cores in the northern North Atlantic.
A warm, ice-free southern Greenland
The basis of the claim of an ice-free southern Greenland comes from the basal silty ice of the 2 km thick southern Greenland Dye 3 core.6 (Figure 1 shows the location of the Dye 3 core on the Greenland Ice Sheet.) The Danish researchers discovered the DNA of a wide variety of plants and insects in the silty ice in the bottom of the core. They were able to positively identify DNA from alder, spruce, pine and yew, and DNA from yarrow, birch, chickweed, fescue, rush, plantain, saxifrage, snowberry and aspen, which could not be independently identified by different laboratories. They also collected DNA from beetles, flies, spiders, butterflies and moths. As a control on whether they could really measure DNA from the foot of a glacier, they successfully identified the DNA from all the plants recently overrun by a glacier on Ellesmere Island, northeastern Canada. They apparently also found DNA in the basal layers of the GRIP core drilled 3 km deep in central Greenland (figure 1), but they were unable to analyze it.
These plants and insects are indicative of warm temperatures, much warmer than is current for southern Greenland. The average July temperature must have exceeded 10°C, and winter temperatures never fell below –17°C, which is the coldest temperature that yew trees can survive.7 Furthermore, with little or no ice on Greenland, the land elevation may have been about 1 km above sea level due to isostatic compensation,8 making such relatively warm temperatures even more anomalous, since higher terrain is cooler than lower terrain.
Which interglacial was ice-free?

The oxygen isotope ratio to bedrock down the Dye 3, Greenland, ice core. The coarser change of scale below 1,500 m that results in less amplitude to the oxygen isotope ratios in the deeper layer. The top 1,700 m corresponds to the post-Ice Age ice, while the bottom 300 m represents the compressed Ice Age ice and a warmer period before glaciation near the bottom.21,22
The researchers had to determine which interglacial the DNA came from. They reasoned that the DNA had to originate from the last time southern Greenland was ice-free, because older DNA from previous ice-free interglacials would vanish with the establishment of a new ice-free ecosystem. The basal ice is mixed up, as it is in all basal sections of ice cores. So, glaciologists commonly claim that the basal several metres of dirt and ice can be very old. The researchers used four dating techniques, giving results between 450,000 and 800,000 years. According to the astronomical hypothesis ice ages should repeat every 100,000 years and should have been doing so for the past 900,000 years.9 So these dates would place the last melting of southern Greenland to sometime between the 4th and the 8th interglacial before the current interglacial, the Holocene.
The researchers admitted that there are many assumptions and uncertainties behind their conclusions and they cannot rule out the last interglacial as the ice-free time. Their results are contrary to what most researchers had previously concluded—that ice in southern Greenland had melted during the last interglacial.10–12 That would put the age of the DNA between 115,000 to 130,000 years.13 This interglacial was claimed to be 5°C warmer, with a sea level about 4–6 m higher than today. So, a substantial part of the Greenland Ice Sheet, as well as part of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, had to melt during the previous interglacial. Hence, many glaciologists have concluded that southern Greenland and probably most of northern Greenland was ice free in the previous interglacial. So, it is likely that these new dates are greatly exaggerated within the uniformitarian paradigm.
Global warming implication
It is interesting that the researchers relate their results to the current global warming.14 They reason that if the last warm interglacial never melted the ice in southern Greenland, then the current global warming, which so far has been only 0.7°C since 1880, will not melt much of Greenland. Andrew Curry states:
‘If southern Greenland remained ice-covered during the last interglacial period, it could mean global warming would have to get much worse before it completely melts away the Greenland ice sheet.’13
This of course depends upon whether the uniformitarian paradigm is correct, and whether the new, but admittedly flawed, dates are accepted.
Creationist interpretation
So much for the evolutionary, uniformitarian interpretation of the data. From a creationist point of view, I would interpret the evidence as showing that Greenland was ice-free for a while after the Flood. Previously I have argued:
‘Since the oxygen isotope ratio at the bottom of the Camp Century core, as well as other Greenland cores … , indicates warmer temperatures, it is possible that snow did not accumulate right away [after the Flood] on Greenland. Being surrounded by quite warm water at the beginning of the Ice Age, glaciation of Antarctica and Greenland likely started in the mountains right after the Flood. It would take some time for the ice sheets to develop over the lowlands.’15
Their results are contrary to what most researchers had previously concluded—that ice in southern Greenland had melted during the last interglacial.
This delay in glaciation would be even longer in southern Greenland, allowing early post-Flood colonization of plants and insects. Furthermore, such warm water at high latitudes surrounding Greenland would keep temperatures much warmer in winter than expected, thus accounting for Yew trees that cannot tolerate temperatures lower than –17°C. It is doubtful whether any uniformitarian scenario can account for such relatively warm winter temperatures during an interglacial in southern Greenland. Greenland truly was green at one time.
The straightforward reading of the Dye 3 ice core supports the creationist interpretation. Figure 2 shows the oxygen isotope profile as being generally proportional to temperature down the length of the Dye 3 ice core. The top 1,700 m, 85% of the ice, represents post-Ice Age ice. The Ice Age portion of the core is represented by the bottom compressed 300 m of ice with a low oxygen isotope ratio. The very bottom of the core at bedrock shows high oxygen isotope ratios. This would represent a warm period, which is where the DNA was found, before the cold period. Notice that there is only one cold period, corresponding to just one ice age after a relatively warm period. This same situation applies to all the deep Greenland ice cores.
In regard to the claim that the ice age cycle of glacials and interglacials started 2.5 Ma ago, Peter Klevberg, Rick Bandy and I analyzed one of those claimed glacial tills dated about 2.5 Ma just east of Glacier and Waterton National Parks in the northwest United States and Canada, respectively.16 The uniformitarian researchers had determined, by relying on a paleosol analysis, that there were about seven glacial till layers alternating with interglacial debris. We determined that the deposits were most likely a huge debris flow deposit that spread eastward from the Parks. We also concluded that the paleosol interpretation was based on questionable assumptions.17,18
Implications for ‘old’ DNA
I would interpret the evidence as showing that Greenland was ice-free for a while after the Flood.
Willersley et al.1 based their conclusions on finding the DNA of the organisms within organic matter in the silty ice. It is claimed that this DNA is the oldest intact DNA ever found.19 What about all the previous claims for ancient DNA found in many organisms, some dated as being millions of years old, clear back to the time of the dinosaurs? All this apparently has been dismissed; scientists have simply assumed such claims are due to contamination since DNA is destroyed within 100,000 years.13 Contamination is probably a rubber-stamp excuse, but I can believe that DNA would be destroyed within 100,000 years, and probably much sooner. But now the new results from Greenland are being hailed as a new record for the survival of DNA! Here we go again; contamination exists as and when required!
Of course, all that ancient DNA (provided there is no contamination) really is not that old. It originated only about 4,500 years ago, either during the Flood or the early post-Flood period.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:53pm
Red baron, please abide by forum rules.

1) Stop spaming us with pointless articles.  (If it supports you view, give a summary sentence)

2) Stop quoting the full article. Just the relevant bits.

3) Provide a link to confirm you didnt just make it up, or copy from a dodgy blogger on the take from heartland.

I will ignore your posts until compliance is reached.

Thank you.
The good Doctor

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:57pm
Hey Doc Hey Doc Hey Doc, don't like facts huh Doc. Getting tired Doc?...this is just round 2.

You are starting to sound like Julia GILLARD, someone that doesn't like a mirror being held up to her.

You wanted facts, you got facts stop whingeing like a little schoolgirl and hiding behind the Big Bad Site Owner huh?

What der yer say about that one Hey Doc?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:59pm

red baron wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:57pm:
Hey Doc Hey Doc Hey Doc, don't like facts huh Doc. Getting tired Doc?...this is just round 2.

You are starting to sound like Julia GILLARD, someone that doesn't like a mirror being held up to her.

You wanted facts, you got facts stop whingeing like a little schoolgirl and hiding behind the Big Bad Site Owner huh?

What der yer say about that one Hey Doc?


What are you talking about, you havent shown any facts ?

You believe Bolt over Science. You probably believe in the tooth fairy, roswell aliens, and the moon landing being a hoax.  No doubt 9/11 was an inside job as well.  Facts are your enermy.
;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:09pm
Porr old Doc, been out in the sun too long. Never mind Doc we all understand. But please....stop being such a cry baby...as the Godfather said, "you can act like a man!"

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:12pm
Doc Jolly,

Before you started crying unwantonly, I published undeniable articles regarding the  C.S.I.R.O. being compromised up to their armpits.

Would you care to comment?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:27pm

red baron wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:12pm:
Doc Jolly,

Before you started crying unwantonly, I published undeniable articles regarding the  C.S.I.R.O. being compromised up to their armpits.

Would you care to comment?


Provide links, and a 1 line summary of why on earth you think they support your argument and I will.

I not here to guess how you can misunderstand something.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:34pm
What? You can't read what is in front of you on the page. Several of those articles have name date and writer on them.

Do you want me to tuck you in and read it to you before you go beddie byes?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:50pm
The reason Doctor Jolly that you do no want to read the articles, IN PARTICULAR, those on the C.S.I.R.O. is because they completely destroy you argument that the C.S.I.R.O. is independent of Political interference.

AND THAT IS THE REAL REASON THAT YOU WON'T READ THEM.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:52pm

red baron wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:34pm:
What? You can't read what is in front of you on the page. Several of those articles have name date and writer on them.


You have demonstrated a personality which tends towards conspiracy over fact, so it would be far to risky for me to guess what you are trying to say, lest you specifically say it.

I didnt see anything in those articles that makes me doubt the accuracy of the latest CSIRO results.




Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 14th, 2012 at 3:22pm
Well Doc, you must have read them with your eyes closed because their own Chief Scientist has railed against Government interference.

The articles I published, was not whether the C.S.I.R.O. was pro or against any environmental issue but THE FACT that they are being directly interfered with BIGTIME by members of the Federal Labor Government.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 14th, 2012 at 6:19pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:59pm:

red baron wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 1:57pm:
Hey Doc Hey Doc Hey Doc, don't like facts huh Doc. Getting tired Doc?...this is just round 2.

You are starting to sound like Julia GILLARD, someone that doesn't like a mirror being held up to her.

You wanted facts, you got facts stop whingeing like a little schoolgirl and hiding behind the Big Bad Site Owner huh?

What der yer say about that one Hey Doc?


What are you talking about, you havent shown any facts ?

You believe Bolt over Science. You probably believe in the tooth fairy, roswell aliens, and the moon landing being a hoax.  No doubt 9/11 was an inside job as well.  Facts are your enermy.
;D

As a liberal voter the only thing he believes in is sticking his hand down someone elses pants!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 14th, 2012 at 6:21pm

red baron wrote on Mar 14th, 2012 at 2:50pm:
The reason Doctor Jolly that you do no want to read the articles, IN PARTICULAR, those on the C.S.I.R.O. is because they completely destroy you argument that the C.S.I.R.O. is independent of Political interference.

AND THAT IS THE REAL REASON THAT YOU WON'T READ THEM.

Whats the real reason you won't address rates of change?

  :D :D :D :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 14th, 2012 at 8:08pm
Michael J Oard, Red Barron's scientific champion of choice, also believes evolution cannot be a fact because it is contradicted in the Bible.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 14th, 2012 at 10:50pm
Michael J Oard, Red Barron's scientific champion of choice, also believes evolution cannot be a fact because it is contradicted in the Bible. [/quote] MOTR.

Hmm yes, that seems pretty likely from Herr's rhetoric.  Funny how people, who hear other people's opinions, often feel safe to promulgate said opinion, even tho totally bogus,  'cos THEY agree with it, ... and it 'sounds about right, not that I really care, about pollies.... they're all the same.'  I GET SICK OF HEARING IT.! - because clearly THEY are NOT all the same.  What a cop-out.!!

And they don't KNOW WHAT they are actually saying, but they keep on  speaking, almost in rote.  Never ceases to amaze me.  I hear Media opinions, expressed by any number of anti 's on TV - being repeated back to me almost ver batim.. !! Like some shock jock said it!! some other people heard it and agreed.. so it must be true.??? 
In attempting to get  them thinking, I find any challenge to this 'view' is met with more gross generalisations and parroting of those societal stirrers we all have to live with.  ::)

IT's TRUE.!!!
It's a sad state of affairs, and the general apathy of many, results in + numbers for the best show in town. :( ::)

This evidenced, if you think Polls PROVE anything, by latest opinion polls putting Prime Minister J Gillard AHEAD of Abbott.  ::) ::) ::) ::) Surprise surprise!!! NOT.!!!

Seems Oz citizens in this election, are viewed as similar to the spectators at gladatorial games in the ancient world.  Seems... we ARE just like them.!!!!!

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 15th, 2012 at 9:00am
Jalane - Amongst the people I quoted was the Chief Scientist of the C.S.I.R.O. who said unequivocally that the organisation had been compromised by Political pressure from The Federal Govt. - Labor.

Is he a nut case too.

(That's a pretty rough head you've got as your logo too! No good looking ones around or am I conversing with the hairy armpit brigade?))

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 15th, 2012 at 9:48am

red baron wrote on Mar 15th, 2012 at 9:00am:
Jalane - Amongst the people I quoted was the Chief Scientist of the C.S.I.R.O. who said unequivocally that the organisation had been compromised by Political pressure from The Federal Govt. - Labor.

Is he a nut case too.

(That's a pretty rough head you've got as your logo too! No good looking ones around or am I conversing with the hairy armpit brigade?))


Can you show me that quote and article.  I see no evidence that the labor nazi's (your word) are forcing the CSIRO to confirm the world is warming.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 15th, 2012 at 11:22am
Sure Doc Jolly, post your address and I'll pop them over to you.


The articles are already posted you twit. You know...when you went running like a schoolgirl to the Headmaster because I had the temerity to post what you were asking for i.e. PROOF.

Trouble is Doc....you ask for proof then when it is provided you change tack and throw a hand grenade into the mix, thus avoiding answering the questions raised.

We know exactly what you are up to Doc.

Been reading 'The Art of War' have we?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 15th, 2012 at 12:41pm

red baron wrote on Mar 15th, 2012 at 11:22am:
The articles are already posted you twit.



The articles dont say what you claim.
Fact.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 15th, 2012 at 1:44pm
Doctor Jolly I could post 'The Greatest Story Ever Told' and you would still be asking for 'proof'.

If you were at the Last Supper you would undoubtedly be Doubting Thomas.

I'm over providing you with anything, basically because I've already done it but you continue to cry like a 5 years schoolgirl who has had her lollipop taken off her by the teacher..

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 15th, 2012 at 1:51pm

red baron wrote on Mar 15th, 2012 at 1:44pm:
Doctor Jolly I could post 'The Greatest Story Ever Told' and you would still be asking for 'proof'.


Red baron, stop blame shifting. It is not my fault you cant read or comprehend.

Time to take some responsibility for your sorry life.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 15th, 2012 at 1:58pm
You know who you sound like Doc? You sound like the entire German Nation after the Second World War.

What Jewish problem?

What Concentration Camps?

Doc...do you bear any resemblance to Himmler?

You should apply for a job in Juliar Gillard's Ministry of Truth because you would fit like a glove.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 15th, 2012 at 2:07pm

red baron wrote on Mar 15th, 2012 at 1:58pm:
You know who you sound like Doc? You sound like the entire German Nation after the Second World War.

What Jewish problem?

What Concentration Camps?

Doc...do you bear any resemblance to Himmler?

You should apply for a job in Juliar Gillard's Ministry of Truth because you would fit like a glove.



So I'm a nazi now ?   I suppose Julia and I goosestep every morning in our hitler costumes. Because I ask you to simply show me in a quote some line, any line, that equates with your believe that the CSIRO fabricate climate change data. ?

Youve wasted a day trying to avoid it, so I shant waste anymore of my time asking for it.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 15th, 2012 at 2:28pm
If I can cop a little heat so can you Herr Docktor...I've been called everything on this post from a Jew in Disguise to a Nazi....but you don't hear me crying like you.

Now The Ministry of Truth needs you urgently to edit out some material about Global Warming from the deniers so you better hurry along now.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by jalane on Mar 15th, 2012 at 4:30pm
waddaya mean???  thats XENA - Warrior Queen!!!!
:)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 16th, 2012 at 5:15am
Is this what the red barron is on about.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTWl2O1VSNg&sns=em


Quote:
At the Senate Economics Legislation Committee today the Deputy Chief Executive, CSIRO Operations, Mr Mike Whelan disclosed that the CSIRO was recruited by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency to help with the Government’s carbon tax advertising campaign. As a result Dr Alex Wonhas appeared in these political ads.

A valid point when talking about an impartial public service, but hardly what the red barron implies it to be.


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 16th, 2012 at 6:37am
Hey Doc...Hey Hey Doc....where are you?

Hey Doc, Hey Doc, gone fishin' instead of justa wishin'

Sung by Bing Crosby and Louis Armstrong

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 16th, 2012 at 6:39am
Jalane - I love Xena too but whoever did that animation  should be hung, drawn and quartered...what an insult to Xena!! Find a better image Jalane, come on you can do better than that for Xena.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 16th, 2012 at 8:36pm
Ignatius Rigor, who studies Arctic ice and climate at the University of Washington, has created an animation showing how the oldest thickest sea ice has been progressively flushed from the Arctic Ocean over the last two decades.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Co68_tod0dQ&sns=em

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 20th, 2012 at 5:00pm

MOTR wrote on Mar 16th, 2012 at 8:36pm:
Ignatius Rigor, who studies Arctic ice and climate at the University of Washington, has created an animation showing how the oldest thickest sea ice has been progressively flushed from the Arctic Ocean over the last two decades.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Co68_tod0dQ&sns=em

Um, that doesn't look healthy!

:o :o :o :o  :'(

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:06pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Now, what did Ronald Reagan say again??????????????????

::) ::) ::) ::)  :-*

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:07pm

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?

um,... stop digging!????!  :D :D :D :D  :o

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:12pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:06pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Now, what did Ronald Reagan say again??????????????????

::) ::) ::) ::)  :-*


Was it "Dead or alive, your coming with me"?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:21pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:12pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:06pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Now, what did Ronald Reagan say again??????????????????

::) ::) ::) ::)  :-*


Was it "Dead or alive, your coming with me"?

TAX IT/ REGULATE IT/ SUBSIDISE IT!!!  :D :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 21st, 2012 at 2:39pm

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:21pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:12pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:06pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Now, what did Ronald Reagan say again??????????????????

::) ::) ::) ::)  :-*


Was it "Dead or alive, your coming with me"?

TAX IT/ REGULATE IT/ SUBSIDISE IT!!!  :D :D :D


I must have missed that movie death.
I thought Ronald Reagan just made Westerns. :)

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by red baron on Mar 21st, 2012 at 3:46pm
The single highest emitter of carbon in the world is rotting vegetation, by a country mile.

Perhaps Julia Gillard should put a Carbon Tax on the rotting vegetation in this Country, just not sure how she is going to collect it.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 21st, 2012 at 6:49pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 2:39pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:21pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:12pm:

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 12:06pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 7:40am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 20th, 2012 at 7:20pm:
It's not, Horse.

What do we do about it?


Tax the crap out of big business.
It will make the ice grow. :)

Now, what did Ronald Reagan say again??????????????????

::) ::) ::) ::)  :-*


Was it "Dead or alive, your coming with me"?

TAX IT/ REGULATE IT/ SUBSIDISE IT!!!  :D :D :D


I must have missed that movie death.
I thought Ronald Reagan just made Westerns. :)

...yeh,  absolute wall-tearers I hear!!  :D :D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 21st, 2012 at 6:50pm

red baron wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 3:46pm:
The single highest emitter of carbon in the world is rotting vegetation, by a country mile.

Perhaps Julia Gillard should put a Carbon Tax on the rotting vegetation in this Country, just not sure how she is going to collect it.

hate, and America, are dead!
NEXT!!!!!!!!!  :o :o

:-*

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 22nd, 2012 at 5:07am

red baron wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 3:46pm:
The single highest emitter of carbon in the world is rotting vegetation, by a country mile.

Perhaps Julia Gillard should put a Carbon Tax on the rotting vegetation in this Country, just not sure how she is going to collect it.


And your point here is what? Rotting vegetation certainly does release more greenhouse gases (methane and carbon dioxide) than human activity. This has been happening since vegetation appeared on earth, and for just as long those emissions have been absorbed by growing vegetation and oceans. By the time we arrived nature had worked out it's own equilibrium. It has been the extra carbon that we have been removing from underground coal, oil and gas deposits, that has created the runaway growth in atmospheric CO2.

Time after time it has been shown to you that the arguments that sustain your skepticism are nothing more than propagandistic canards. Yet your faith doesn't appear to waiver. Are you actually putting any thought into this?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Oh_Yeah on Mar 22nd, 2012 at 9:38am

Quote:
Time after time it has been shown to you that the arguments that sustain your skepticism are nothing more than propagandistic canards. Yet your faith doesn't appear to waiver. Are you actually putting any thought into this?


You are wasting your time MOTR. These people don't understand the carbon cycle no matter how many times it is explained to them.

The skeptics aren't interested in the science, it is all about scoring political points for them.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 23rd, 2012 at 5:24pm

MOTR wrote on Mar 22nd, 2012 at 5:07am:

red baron wrote on Mar 21st, 2012 at 3:46pm:
The single highest emitter of carbon in the world is rotting vegetation, by a country mile.

Perhaps Julia Gillard should put a Carbon Tax on the rotting vegetation in this Country, just not sure how she is going to collect it.


And your point here is what? Rotting vegetation certainly does release more greenhouse gases (methane and carbon dioxide) than human activity. This has been happening since vegetation appeared on earth, and for just as long those emissions have been absorbed by growing vegetation and oceans. By the time we arrived nature had worked out it's own equilibrium. It has been the extra carbon that we have been removing from underground coal, oil and gas deposits, that has created the runaway growth in atmospheric CO2.

Time after time it has been shown to you that the arguments that sustain your skepticism are nothing more than propagandistic canards. Yet your faith doesn't appear to waiver. Are you actually putting any thought into this?

I'm sure he's spending oodles of time on the crack pipe with his hardcore mates if that's what you mean....

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 27th, 2012 at 9:04am

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.


Are you serious ?

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 27th, 2012 at 10:45am

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 9:04am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.


Are you serious ?


Sure, why not?
No NASA, no IPCC, no weather bureau's, no planes, no UN, nothing.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chimera on Mar 27th, 2012 at 12:38pm
The yearly melt pattern is predictable. They wouldn't need to survey the entire polar cap, a few dated reference points would give an indication:
[In 1884 Johannesen sailed the Gjøa to the Kara Sea and thereafter he made annual voyages in arctic waters. In 1897 the Gjøa was off the east coast of Greenland, before she sailed east to Virgohamna bay in Svalbard where Swedish S.A. Andrée was preparing to set off for the North Pole with his hydrogen balloon “The Eagle” (Örnen). The following year Johannesen sailed the Gjøa past Novaya Zemlya and returned to Tromsø via Franz Josef Land and Kvitøya in northeast Svalbard. ]


Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 27th, 2012 at 12:45pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 10:45am:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 9:04am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.


Are you serious ?


Sure, why not?
No NASA, no IPCC, no weather bureau's, no planes, no UN, nothing.


"why not?" 

;D

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:43pm

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.


The sad thing is he thinks he's being clever. Are you honestly denying our ability to interpret scientific evidence from the past. Or are you just trolling for a reaction.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am

MOTR wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:43pm:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

Quote:
US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
Gotta love extrapolation.


The sad thing is he thinks he's being clever. Are you honestly denying our ability to interpret scientific evidence from the past. Or are you just trolling for a reaction.


I cant be bothered about a reaction.
I don't troll.
And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.
What if a polar bear pissed on the ice where the icy pole was to be sampled from.
Think on it.
And I don't believe in world average temperatures being taken from a time before international weather stations were being used, or even before white man arrived in the Pacific.
If I want good science fiction, I'll watch Star Trek.
And if I hear crap, it's crap.

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by MOTR on Mar 28th, 2012 at 6:00pm

I'll allow Richard Alley to expose the flaccidity of your argument, and touch on the exasperation many of us feel.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHhLcoPT9KM&sns=em

Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 29th, 2012 at 11:33am

Science continues to push the point....

http://www.news.com.au/technology/sci-tech/climate-change-panel-warns-of-severe-storms-droughts-heatwaves/story-fn5fsgyc-1226313109225

[list bull-greenball]
  • Global warming leading to deadly weather disasters
  • No corner of the globe immune - scientists say
  • Decision about whether to relocate to become central



    Campbell Newman and Tony Abbott may be patting themselves on the back about how they are scuttling plans to combat this, but unfortunetly it aint solved by denial.



  • Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on Mar 29th, 2012 at 11:47am

    Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 29th, 2012 at 11:33am:
    Science continues to push the point....

    http://www.news.com.au/technology/sci-tech/climate-change-panel-warns-of-severe-storms-droughts-heatwaves/story-fn5fsgyc-1226313109225

    [list bull-greenball]
  • Global warming leading to deadly weather disasters
  • No corner of the globe immune - scientists say
  • Decision about whether to relocate to become central



    Campbell Newman and Tony Abbott may be patting themselves on the back about how they are scuttling plans to combat this, but unfortunetly it aint solved by denial.


  • Wake me up when Godzilla appears will ya.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Doctor Jolly on Mar 29th, 2012 at 2:46pm
    Seems the liberal state governments are using the carbon tax as an excuse to not spend any of their own money on fighting global warming.

    Fair enough.

    but to then go and campain against the carbon tax ????

    hypocrites...


    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/playing-politics-with-climate-20120328-1vyly.html

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Mar 30th, 2012 at 5:33am

    Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 29th, 2012 at 2:46pm:
    Seems the liberal state governments are using the carbon tax as an excuse to not spend any of their own money on fighting global warming.

    Fair enough.

    but to then go and campain against the carbon tax ????

    hypocrites...


    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/playing-politics-with-climate-20120328-1vyly.html


    The good news is that the La Nina has dissipated. With any luck the trend will emerge and those on the right will be pressed a little harder to defend their idiotic position.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Mar 30th, 2012 at 5:48am

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 29th, 2012 at 11:47am:

    Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 29th, 2012 at 11:33am:
    Science continues to push the point....

    http://www.news.com.au/technology/sci-tech/climate-change-panel-warns-of-severe-storms-droughts-heatwaves/story-fn5fsgyc-1226313109225

    [list bull-greenball]
  • Global warming leading to deadly weather disasters
  • No corner of the globe immune - scientists say
  • Decision about whether to relocate to become central



    Campbell Newman and Tony Abbott may be patting themselves on the back about how they are scuttling plans to combat this, but unfortunetly it aint solved by denial.


  • Wake me up when Godzilla appears will ya.


    We're trying chickenlips.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 4:40pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:

    MOTR wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:43pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

    MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

    Quote:
    US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

    Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


    Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
    Gotta love extrapolation.


    The sad thing is he thinks he's being clever. Are you honestly denying our ability to interpret scientific evidence from the past. Or are you just trolling for a reaction.


    I cant be bothered about a reaction.
    I don't troll.
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.
    What if a polar bear pissed on the ice where the icy pole was to be sampled from.
    Think on it.
    And I don't believe in world average temperatures being taken from a time before international weather stations were being used, or even before white man arrived in the Pacific.
    If I want good science fiction, I'll watch Star Trek.
    And if I hear crap, it's crap.

    CHICKEN LIPS SIMPLY HAS A DIFFERENT DEFITINITON OF TROLL ....

    ... and so we have a never-ending conversation about nada!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Oh_Yeah on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 8:01pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.


    How about the worlds retreating glaciers? Is this photo simple enough for you to understand?

    This is a photo of the honeycomb glacier and its retreat. In fact over 95% of the worlds glaciers are retreating.

    While the climate skeptics love to cherry pick their stats and misrepresent scientists the undeniable proof that the Earth is warming is in these photos of retreating glaciers.

    honeycomb-glacier-1977-2006.jpg (113 KB | 23 )

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by gizmo_2655 on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:25pm

    The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 8:01pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.


    How about the worlds retreating glaciers? Is this photo simple enough for you to understand?

    This is a photo of the honeycomb glacier and its retreat. In fact over 95% of the worlds glaciers are retreating.

    While the climate skeptics love to cherry pick their stats and misrepresent scientists the undeniable proof that the Earth is warming is in these photos of retreating glaciers.


    What about them?? Why do climate change 'believers' think that mankind is the ONLY reason that climate change is happening???

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by it_is_the_light on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:28pm

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:46pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:25pm:

    The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 8:01pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.


    How about the worlds retreating glaciers? Is this photo simple enough for you to understand?

    This is a photo of the honeycomb glacier and its retreat. In fact over 95% of the worlds glaciers are retreating.

    While the climate skeptics love to cherry pick their stats and misrepresent scientists the undeniable proof that the Earth is warming is in these photos of retreating glaciers.


    What about them?? Why do climate change 'believers' think that mankind is the ONLY reason that climate change is happening???


    It's what the science is telling us. Can you nominate another credible forcing.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:49pm

    MOTR wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:46pm:

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:25pm:

    The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 8:01pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.


    How about the worlds retreating glaciers? Is this photo simple enough for you to understand?

    This is a photo of the honeycomb glacier and its retreat. In fact over 95% of the worlds glaciers are retreating.

    While the climate skeptics love to cherry pick their stats and misrepresent scientists the undeniable proof that the Earth is warming is in these photos of retreating glaciers.


    What about them?? Why do climate change 'believers' think that mankind is the ONLY reason that climate change is happening???


    It's what the science is telling us. Can you nominate another credible forcing.



    It's what the AGW hypothesis suggests. Nothing more.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 7:30pm
    I couldn't help but notice you weren't prepared to nominate an alternative hypothesis.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Oh_Yeah on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 7:46pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 6:25pm:
    What about them?? Why do climate change 'believers' think that mankind is the ONLY reason that climate change is happening???


    We don't. That is just a straw man created by the climate change deniers.

    The Earths climate has changed many times due to changes in the atmosphere, changes in the earths orbit, changes in the sun and changes in continental drift.
    The current change however is due to changes in the atmosphere, not surprising when 7 billion people are burning fossil fuels and deforesting the planet.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Apr 4th, 2012 at 6:27am
    Propaganda drones. 97% of climate scientist accept anthropogenic global warming yet drones like gizmo and uncle meat are quite happy to form an opinion without putting any thought into it.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 7:45pm
    http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/gl1208/2012GL051094/


    Quote:
    Observations reveal external driver for Arctic sea-ice retreat

    Dirk Notz and Jochem Marotzke
    Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
    Hamburg, Germany
    Abstract

    [1]   The very low summer extent of Arctic sea ice that has been observed in recent years is often casually interpreted as an early-warning sign of anthropogenic global warming. For examining the validity of this claim, previously IPCC model simulations have been used. Here, we focus on the available observational record to examine if this record allows us to identify either internal variability, self-acceleration, or a specific external forcing as the main driver for the observed sea-ice retreat. We find that the available observations are sufficient to virtually exclude internal variability and self-acceleration as an explanation for the observed long-term trend, clustering, and magnitude of recent sea-ice minima. Instead, the recent retreat is well described by the superposition of an externally forced linear trend and internal variability. For the externally forced trend, we find a physically plausible strong correlation only with increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. Our results hence show that the observed evolution of Arctic sea-ice extent is consistent with the claim that virtually certainly the impact of an anthropogenic climate change is observable in Arctic sea ice already today.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 6th, 2012 at 9:34pm

    MOTR wrote on Apr 4th, 2012 at 6:27am:
    Propaganda drones. 97% of climate scientist accept anthropogenic global warming yet drones like gizmo and uncle meat are quite happy to form an opinion without putting any thought into it.



    You couldn't be more wrong.  I'd suggest you do some research on the topic before making assumptions about people you've never met.

    I've put an awful lot of thought into AGW.  More than you, and more than the average person on this forum.  I can assure you.

    AGW, at best, is a dubious hypothesis.




    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 6th, 2012 at 9:43pm

    MOTR wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 7:30pm:
    I couldn't help but notice you weren't prepared to nominate an alternative hypothesis.



    Non-anthropogenic.  i.e. natural causes.

    Climate change was happening long before human civilization developed.

    ::)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:43pm:

    MOTR wrote on Apr 3rd, 2012 at 7:30pm:
    I couldn't help but notice you weren't prepared to nominate an alternative hypothesis.



    Non-anthropogenic.  i.e. natural causes.

    Climate change was happening long before human civilization developed.

    ::)


    An indeterminate natural cause other than CO2, right. BTW, CO2 has driven climate change long before human civilization.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 9:53pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:34pm:

    MOTR wrote on Apr 4th, 2012 at 6:27am:
    Propaganda drones. 97% of climate scientist accept anthropogenic global warming yet drones like gizmo and uncle meat are quite happy to form an opinion without putting any thought into it.



    You couldn't be more wrong.  I'd suggest you do some research on the topic before making assumptions about people you've never met.

    I've put an awful lot of thought into AGW.  More than you, and more than the average person on this forum.  I can assure you.

    AGW, at best, is a dubious hypothesis.


    If you have put so much thought into it, outline why it is such a dubious hypothesis.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 6th, 2012 at 9:53pm

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:
    BTW, CO2 has driven climate change long before human civilization.



    LOL

    That doesn't help your dubious AGW hypothesis much, does it?

    ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 9:56pm
    Yes it does. Nature doesn't care where the CO2 comes from, it just responds.

    In fact the climates sensitivity to CO2 is one of the premises of AGW. I thought you'd spent time on this.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 6th, 2012 at 10:05pm

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:53pm:
    If you have put so much thought into it, outline why it is such a dubious hypothesis.



    Tree rings, ice cores, and multiproxy models.

    It's even funnier when you say it out loud   ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 6th, 2012 at 10:07pm

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:56pm:
    Yes it does. Nature doesn't care where the CO2 comes from, it just responds.

    In fact the climates sensitivity to CO2 is one of the premises of AGW. I thought you'd spent time on this.



    I'm not disputing the role of CO2.

    I'm disputing the role of humans.

    Don't you know what "anthropogenic" means?


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm
    What about the physical properties of CO2 and the satellite measurements that show a drop in outgoing radiation at the wavelength bands that greenhouse gases such as CO2 and methane absorb energy. There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW. Temperature reconstructions from ice cores, tree rings, corals, lake and ocean sediments and bore holes verify the other lines of evidence.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 10:17pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:07pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:56pm:
    Yes it does. Nature doesn't care where the CO2 comes from, it just responds.

    In fact the climates sensitivity to CO2 is one of the premises of AGW. I thought you'd spent time on this.



    I'm not disputing the role of CO2.

    I'm disputing the role of humans.

    Don't you know what "anthropogenic" means?


    Who do you think is responsible for the current rapid rise in atmospheric CO2.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm

    Quote:
    Another common argument is that climate is always changing, and that Earth has had higher levels of CO2 in the past... and was much warmer. Richard Alley in the National Ice Core Lab in Denver CO, shows the hard (and very cold!) evidence that today's levels of CO2 are unlike anything seen in the whole of human civilization, for much more than 400,000 years.


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O4BJDwI8zSk&sns=em

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 7th, 2012 at 2:58pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:07pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:56pm:
    Yes it does. Nature doesn't care where the CO2 comes from, it just responds.

    In fact the climates sensitivity to CO2 is one of the premises of AGW. I thought you'd spent time on this.



    I'm not disputing the role of CO2.

    I'm disputing the role of humans.

    Don't you know what "anthropogenic" means?

    yOU DON'T KNOW WHAT YOU'RE DISPUTING: YOU'RE JUST MAKING NOISE!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 7th, 2012 at 3:01pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:53pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:
    BTW, CO2 has driven climate change long before human civilization.



    LOL

    That doesn't help your dubious AGW hypothesis much, does it?

    ;D

    yES IT DOES, BECAUSE RATES OF CHANGE MATTER!

    We should just call you maqqa or Chicken lips or some-other-closet-nbn-loving-freak!!   :D :D :D :D :D :D :D  ;)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.




    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Doctor Jolly on May 7th, 2012 at 3:28pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.


    if by open minded, you mean wind blowing between your ears, then yes.

    Please answer MOTR's question about where all the co2 is coming from, if not man digging up and burning fossil fuels. ?


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 7th, 2012 at 3:29pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.

    Science is about disproving the/a null-hypothesis thus adding up the evidential proof towards a conclusive result!!

    Meat has no idea!!  :D  ;)  :-*

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 7th, 2012 at 8:11pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.


    Scientists are skeptics. It is the nature of science. You want to stare down science with your semantics and pretend you are open-minded, give me a break.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 8th, 2012 at 1:18pm

    MOTR wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 8:11pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.


    Scientists are skeptics. It is the nature of science. You want to stare down science with your semantics and pretend you are open-minded, give me a break.

    hE'S NOT STARING DOWN SCIENCE.... HE'S STARING DOWN THE INTERNET DOOD!

      :D :D :D :D  :-? :-?  :o  8-)  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D  :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on May 8th, 2012 at 2:03pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 2nd, 2012 at 4:40pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:

    MOTR wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:43pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 27th, 2012 at 8:58am:

    MOTR wrote on Mar 25th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

    Quote:
    US National Snow and Ice Data Centre director Mark Serreze has said that reports and aircraft reconnaissance indicated the recent summer sea ice levels were the lowest since 1900.

    Analyses of ancient material have suggested it was likely to be at the lowest level since the end of the last glacial period about 8000 years ago.


    Somehow I don't think they were checking sea ice levels around in 1900 eh.
    Gotta love extrapolation.


    The sad thing is he thinks he's being clever. Are you honestly denying our ability to interpret scientific evidence from the past. Or are you just trolling for a reaction.


    I cant be bothered about a reaction.
    I don't troll.
    And I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words beloved by the Church of Climate Change.
    I don't believe tree rings thousands of miles from the arctic circle can be used to measure temperatures in the distant past, or even the accuracy of arctic icy poles.
    What if a polar bear pissed on the ice where the icy pole was to be sampled from.
    Think on it.
    And I don't believe in world average temperatures being taken from a time before international weather stations were being used, or even before white man arrived in the Pacific.
    If I want good science fiction, I'll watch Star Trek.
    And if I hear crap, it's crap.

    CHICKEN LIPS SIMPLY HAS A DIFFERENT DEFITINITON OF TROLL ....

    ... and so we have a never-ending conversation about nada!!


    And here's some crap now straight from death funnily enough.
    The one who says alot, but says nothing all at the same time.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 8th, 2012 at 2:12pm

    MOTR wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 8:11pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.


    Scientists are skeptics. It is the nature of science.


    The good ones are , yes.

    AGW disciples, however, are closed-minded zealots.

    You, and others on here, have repeatedly demonstrated that fact.

    Open your mind and accept new possibilities.  You might actually learn something that way.   ;)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 8th, 2012 at 2:34pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 28th, 2012 at 7:18am:
    ... I can't be bothered with scientific guesswork, extrapolations, dodgy hockey sticks and defective computer models which use words like suggested, possible, probable and other airy fairy might be perhaps words ...


    Well, you'll never be accepted as an AGW disciple then.

    The things you've mentioned are pretty much all they have to support their ... well, let's call it an "argument".

    Unfortunately, open-mindedness is not a desirable quality in the Church of AGW.    :-/

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 2:12pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 8:11pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 7th, 2012 at 3:25pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 6th, 2012 at 10:14pm:
    There are multiple lines of independent evidence that confirm AGW.


    They "confirm" nothing.

    Science isn't about "confirming", or providing "proof".

    This is one of the problems with AGW disciples: they insist that the hypothesis has been "proven".  Thus, they remain closed-minded.

    Sceptics, on the other hand, remain open-minded.


    Scientists are skeptics. It is the nature of science.


    The good ones are , yes.

    AGW disciples, however, are closed-minded zealots.

    You, and others on here, have repeatedly demonstrated that fact.

    Open your mind and accept new possibilities.  You might actually learn something that way.   ;)


    You are projecting, Uncle Meat. You are offering nothing substantive at the moment and you are refusing to answer a direct question. Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 9th, 2012 at 7:31pm
    You've gone awfully quiet, Uncle Meat. I understand that there are numerous people on both sides of the debate that have taken a faith based position. I've spent hundreds of hours researching the issues so I've done what I can to subvert my own subconscious tendencies. You've made your position clear, but I've yet to get anything from you to suggest it's based on rational thought. If you choose to debate this you'll find I'm a very open minded person.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 9th, 2012 at 10:01pm

    MOTR wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm:
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?



    A combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    Furthermore, there is no credible, reliable evidence that shows this rise is responsible for climate change, let alone global warming.

    Next question.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years. Pre-industrial Holocene levels (~280 ppmv) are found during all interglacials, with the highest values (~300 ppmv) found approximately 323,000 years ago. Good agreement is found with other ice core data which goes back 30,000 to 40,000 years, all show low CO2 values [~260-280 parts per million] during the pre-industrial Holocene.

    http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/co2/vostok.html

    Over the last 400,000 years atmospheric CO2 has oscillated somewhere between 180ppm and 280ppm. Today, atmospheric CO2 stands at just under 400ppm.  http://co2now.org/) Not surprisingly this recent dramatic rise in CO2 has tracked our industrial development since the industrial revolution. 

    The odds of nature dropping out of a well worn 400,000 year groove just as we start releasing billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere would have to be infinitesimally small, but not impossible. There may be a natural emitter of CO2. Besides humans the next most likely suspect is the largest natural reservoir, our oceans. We know, however, that the CO2 increase is not coming from our oceans, because of ocean acidification. A decrease in ocean pH indicates they are absorbing more carbon not releasing it.

    http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/What+is+Ocean+Acidification%3F

    http://ocean.nationalgeographic.com/ocean/critical-issues-ocean-acidification/

    We can also look at the isotopic signature of our atmosphere to provide clues to it's source. Fossil fuels have a carbon-13 to 12 ratio about 2% lower than that of the atmosphere. As CO2 from burning fossil fuel is released into, and mixes with, the atmosphere, the average carbon-13 to 12 ratio of the atmosphere decreases. Reconstructions of atmospheric carbon isotope ratios from various proxy sources show us that at no time in the last 10,000 years are the carbon-13 to 12 ratios in the atmosphere as low as they are today. And guess when the carbon-13 to 12 ratios began to decline  — around 1850 AD.

    As the planet warms natural stores of CO2 will be released into the atmosphere creating positive feed back effects that will accelerate the warming process. For now, the overwhelming scientific evidence tells us the increase in our atmospheric CO2 is anthropogenic in nature.

    Uncle Meat, what are the natural causes that you believe have helped to take our atmospheric CO2 from ~280ppm to ~400ppm. Do you accept that it is human activity that is overwhelmingly driving the recent dramatic increase in CO2.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 11th, 2012 at 3:04pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 9th, 2012 at 10:01pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm:
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?



    A combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    Furthermore, there is no credible, reliable evidence that shows this rise is responsible for climate change, let alone global warming.

    Next question.

    uM, THERE ARE NO OTHER QUESTIONS!!

      :o :o :o  ;)

    You have dismissed the obligation of our generation to the next and you'l have to live with that!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 11th, 2012 at 3:14pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Uncle Meat had nada,..... he thinks it's "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic."

    TALK ABOUT MEALY MOUTHED!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 11th, 2012 at 3:24pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:14pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Uncle Meat had nada,..... he thinks it's "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic."

    TALK ABOUT MEALY MOUTHED!!



    Of course it's a combination.

    Are you really suggesting that the only thing creating CO2 is human activity?

    Surely you can't be serious.

    ::)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 11th, 2012 at 3:30pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:24pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:14pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Uncle Meat had nada,..... he thinks it's "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic."

    TALK ABOUT MEALY MOUTHED!!



    Of course it's a combination.

    Are you really suggesting that the only thing creating CO2 is human activity?

    Surely you can't be serious.

    ::)

    No one ever suggestet it was: you are simply trying to chew up the whole of the internets address space pretending to not understand the question!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 11th, 2012 at 3:35pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:30pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:24pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:14pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Uncle Meat had nada,..... he thinks it's "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic."

    TALK ABOUT MEALY MOUTHED!!



    Of course it's a combination.

    Are you really suggesting that the only thing creating CO2 is human activity?

    Surely you can't be serious.

    ::)

    No one ever suggestet it was: you are simply trying to chew up the whole of the internets address space pretending to not understand the question!



    I understood the question, and I answered it.

    Furthermore, you've just confirmed that my answer is correct (which everyone knew anyway).

    ;)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 11th, 2012 at 4:18pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:35pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:30pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:24pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:14pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 

    Uncle Meat had nada,..... he thinks it's "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic."

    TALK ABOUT MEALY MOUTHED!!



    Of course it's a combination.

    Are you really suggesting that the only thing creating CO2 is human activity?

    Surely you can't be serious.

    ::)

    No one ever suggestet it was: you are simply trying to chew up the whole of the internets address space pretending to not understand the question!



    I understood the question, and I answered it.

    Furthermore, you've just confirmed that my answer is correct (which everyone knew anyway).

    ;)

    Yeh, okeley dokeley! ("WHICH EVERYONE KNEW ANYWAY", LOL!)

      ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D  ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D   ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D  ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D ::)  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

      :-* :-* :-*  8-)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 11th, 2012 at 4:19pm

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    Over the last 400,000 years atmospheric CO2 has oscillated somewhere between 180ppm and 280ppm.


    Merely a guesstimate.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 11th, 2012 at 4:23pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 4:18pm:
    Yeh, okeley dokeley! ("WHICH EVERYONE KNEW ANYWAY", LOL!)


    Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic".

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not? 

    Simple question.  Let's see if you're capable of providing a simple answer, without smileys or insults.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by it_is_the_light on May 11th, 2012 at 5:43pm
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-11/anu-releases-abusive-emails-sent-to-climate-scientists/4005132?section=act

    FOI emails reveal threats to climate scientists

    By Clarissa Thorpe and Ben Atherton
    Updated May 11, 2012 10:59:02

    RELATED STORY: Scientists hit back amid fresh death threatsRELATED STORY: Death threats fail to shake climate scientistsRELATED STORY: Death threats sent to top climate scientists
    MAP: ACT
    The Australian National University has released a series of abusive and threatening emails which were sent to its climate change scientists.

    The 11 emails to members of the university's Climate Change Institute have been made public after a Freedom of Information request.

    ANU management initially turned down the FOI request to release them, fearing it would lead to increased harassment.

    But they have now been released with the names and email addresses removed after an intervention by the privacy commissioner.

    One email, dated June 2, 2010, describes a threat to use a gun against an academic because a conference participant reportedly disagreed with the climate change research.

    "Looks like we've had our first serious threat of physical violence," it says.

    "It has come from a participant in [DELETED] deliberative democracy project last weekend. One of the participants left early after he too [sic] exception to my talk about climate science. [DELETED] exact words were: 'Moreover, before he left, he came to the Fri dinner and showed other participants his gun licence and explained to them how good a sniper he is'."

    The email notes that "I will be notifying security in case he turns up and causes a problem" and says the university's head of security will be asked to determine whether the case should be referred to the Australian Federal Police.

    It concludes: "But in the meantime, we should be careful about anyone we don't know who approaches our offices."

    Another email, dated May 24, 2011, says: "How do you people sleep at night, you and that old idiot . They pay you thousands to feed us ordinary hard working normal folk bullshit. You come from well to do families who have never earned or done an honest days work in your life. You overpaid over educated parasite. Get a real job and pay your dues you leech."

    In a statement, the ANU said: "ANU has a duty of care to its staff and students and we note the finding of the Privacy Commissioner: 'In my view there is a risk that the release of the documents could lead to further insulting or offensive communication being directed at ANU personnel...'

    "However we have chosen not to appeal the decision of the Commissioner and are releasing the documents with information removed that would identify those sending or receiving the emails, as per the Commissioner’s decision."

    ANU vice-chancellor Ian Young said the Climate Change Institute scientists were moved to more secure offices on campus in the wake of the threats.

    "The individual people were concerned about their safety, and the university as an employer decided we needed to respond to that," he said.

    "My view is the more we discuss these things in public - these are emotive issues - the more you tend to beat the whole issue up.

    "We had issues, we dealt with them we believe in an appropriate way, and we don't want to make more of it than that."

    Topics: university-and-further-education, climate-change, act, canberra-2600

    First posted May 11, 2012 09:06:07

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by it_is_the_light on May 11th, 2012 at 5:45pm
    Another email, dated May 24, 2011, says: "How do you people sleep at night, you and that old idiot . They pay you thousands to feed us ordinary hard working normal folk bullshit. You come from well to do families who have never earned or done an honest days work in your life. You overpaid over educated parasite. Get a real job and pay your dues you leech."

    _________

    many freemasons ran the show as it were

    not any longer it would seem as truth comes out

    enjoy

    namaste

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 11:37am

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 


    Measuring the CO2 content in air bubbles trapped in the past is actually a very direct method of measuring past levels of atmospheric CO2.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 6:39pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 9th, 2012 at 10:01pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm:
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?



    A combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    Furthermore, there is no credible, reliable evidence that shows this rise is responsible for climate change, let alone global warming.

    Next question.


    Uncle Meat, we humans are emitting 30billion tons/year of CO2 into the atmosphere, yet atmospheric CO2 is only increasing by 2ppm a year, or approximately 15 billion tons/year. Simple algebra tells us that nature must be a net absorber of atmospheric CO2, otherwise atmospheric CO2 would be rising at a rate closer to 4ppm/year. Are you really going to argue this point.







    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by it_is_the_light on May 12th, 2012 at 6:46pm
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?

    ________

    corporations

    and the natural order within nature

    cyclical

    ice age and the polar opposite of this yes

    throughout this solar system and beyond

    namaste

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by it_is_the_light on May 12th, 2012 at 6:49pm
    Uncle Meat, we humans are emitting 30billion tons/year of CO2 into the atmosphere

    ________

    wrong

    insert corporations where human is would be closer

    to the truth

    namaste

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 12th, 2012 at 7:16pm

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 11:37am:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 3:06pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 10th, 2012 at 5:42am:
    The Vostok CO2 record shows the present-day levels of CO2 are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.



    It suggests. 


    Measuring the CO2 content in air bubbles trapped in the past is actually a very direct method of measuring past levels of atmospheric CO2.


    Not very accurate though.



    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 7:18pm
    According to who?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 12th, 2012 at 7:23pm

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:18pm:
    According to who?



    Whom.

    Your gullibility obviously knows no bounds.

    ::)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm
    According to whom?

    Uncle Meat, just because you've heard somewhere that CO2 measurements from ice cores are not accurate doesn't mean I'm gullible. You don't think I might have spent a bit of time tracking down the claims and testing their validity.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 7:34pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 9th, 2012 at 10:01pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm:
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?



    A combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    Furthermore, there is no credible, reliable evidence that shows this rise is responsible for climate change, let alone global warming.

    Next question.


    Uncle Meat, we humans are emitting 30billion tons/year of CO2 into the atmosphere, yet atmospheric CO2 is only increasing by 2ppm a year, or approximately 15 billion tons/year. Simple algebra tells us that nature must be a net absorber of atmospheric CO2, otherwise atmospheric CO2 would be rising at a rate closer to 4ppm/year. Are you really going to argue this point.

    Are you still sticking to your premise that nature is currently a net emitter of CO2.




    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?



    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 12th, 2012 at 7:41pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?



    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.


    Why wouldn't they be accurate?


    Quote:
    Gases. Trapped gases in ice-core bubbles are highly reliable records of atmospheric composition, as shown by intercomparisons among cores from different ice sheets and intercomparison with instrumental records and the air in firn above the bubble-trapping depth (19, 20). The slight differences between bubble and air composition caused by gravitational and thermal effects are well understood and recognizable (8). Chemical reactions in impure ice can produce anomalous compositions for some gases (21). However, the ice chemistry warns of trouble, and the close association of the gas and ice-chemistry anomalies, rather than being offset by the age difference between gas records and ice records of a climate change, is a clear indicator (5, 21).


    http://www.pnas.org/content/97/4/1331.long

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on May 13th, 2012 at 12:37am

    it_is_the_light wrote on May 11th, 2012 at 5:43pm:
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-05-11/anu-releases-abusive-emails-sent-to-climate-scientists/4005132?section=act

    FOI emails reveal threats to climate scientists

    By Clarissa Thorpe and Ben Atherton
    Updated May 11, 2012 10:59:02

    RELATED STORY: Scientists hit back amid fresh death threatsRELATED STORY: Death threats fail to shake climate scientistsRELATED STORY: Death threats sent to top climate scientists
    MAP: ACT
    The Australian National University has released a series of abusive and threatening emails which were sent to its climate change scientists.

    The 11 emails to members of the university's Climate Change Institute have been made public after a Freedom of Information request.

    ANU management initially turned down the FOI request to release them, fearing it would lead to increased harassment.

    But they have now been released with the names and email addresses removed after an intervention by the privacy commissioner.

    One email, dated June 2, 2010, describes a threat to use a gun against an academic because a conference participant reportedly disagreed with the climate change research.

    "Looks like we've had our first serious threat of physical violence," it says.

    "It has come from a participant in [DELETED] deliberative democracy project last weekend. One of the participants left early after he too [sic] exception to my talk about climate science. [DELETED] exact words were: 'Moreover, before he left, he came to the Fri dinner and showed other participants his gun licence and explained to them how good a sniper he is'."

    The email notes that "I will be notifying security in case he turns up and causes a problem" and says the university's head of security will be asked to determine whether the case should be referred to the Australian Federal Police.

    It concludes: "But in the meantime, we should be careful about anyone we don't know who approaches our offices."

    Another email, dated May 24, 2011, says: "How do you people sleep at night, you and that old idiot . They pay you thousands to feed us ordinary hard working normal folk bullshit. You come from well to do families who have never earned or done an honest days work in your life. You overpaid over educated parasite. Get a real job and pay your dues you leech."

    In a statement, the ANU said: "ANU has a duty of care to its staff and students and we note the finding of the Privacy Commissioner: 'In my view there is a risk that the release of the documents could lead to further insulting or offensive communication being directed at ANU personnel...'

    "However we have chosen not to appeal the decision of the Commissioner and are releasing the documents with information removed that would identify those sending or receiving the emails, as per the Commissioner’s decision."

    ANU vice-chancellor Ian Young said the Climate Change Institute scientists were moved to more secure offices on campus in the wake of the threats.

    "The individual people were concerned about their safety, and the university as an employer decided we needed to respond to that," he said.

    "My view is the more we discuss these things in public - these are emotive issues - the more you tend to beat the whole issue up.

    "We had issues, we dealt with them we believe in an appropriate way, and we don't want to make more of it than that."

    Topics: university-and-further-education, climate-change, act, canberra-2600

    First posted May 11, 2012 09:06:07

    The dog ate my death threats II

    John Coochey says:

    May 11, 2012 at 10:58 pm


    I feel I can now throw some light on the matter. The document viewed as most “threatening” referred to an alleged Deliberation at the ANU about climate change in the Canberra region at which one person “made a death threat” (sic) by showing his gun licence and boasting about his skill as a sniper.. Only two people dropped out of the conference only one of those who did so attended the even meal. Me. I am certainly the one who is alleged to show someone their gun licence. That is not true while at the evening meal (of poor quality) comments moved to eating game meat and I was approached by the Commissioner for the Environment ACT, Dr Maxine Cooper who recognized me as someone involved in the kangaroo culling program in the ACT. She politely asked if she could sit at the vacant seat next to me and asked if I had past the recent licence test – not easy. I replied yes and showed her my current licence. I also impressed on any one interested the high standard of marksmanship necessary to allay any cruelty concerns. I might add that earlier in the day I had challenged two speakers to comment on a letter in the Canberra Times that claimed that temperatures had not increased in the Canberra area for decades. They were unable to do so, having not apparently checked the record despite the the “Deliberation” (conference) supposed to be about rising temperatures in the Canberra region. As all daytime conversations were recorded (we all signed waivers to allow this) this can easily be checked.

    I note Readfearn has commented on the “death threat at the conference” in Crikey ,com. He got one thing right I did leave of my own accord. When meal had finished and a piss poor meal it was.

    http://catallaxyfiles.com/2012/05/10/the-dog-ate-my-death-threats-ii/

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 13th, 2012 at 8:31am
    Don't worry Earth, Captain Lolly, has just proved that CO2 is not warming our planet. Well done, Captain!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 12:50pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?




    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.

    Meat spends his days trying to stick his hand down the next generations pants!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 12:55pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:50pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?




    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.

    Meat spends his days trying to stick his hand down the next generations pants!


    Childish insults instead of answers.  Typical.

    Was the question too difficult for you?

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic".

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not? 

    Simple question.  Let's see if you're capable of providing a simple answer, without smileys or insults."


    ::)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:55pm:
    Childish insults instead of answers.  Typical.

    Was the question too difficult for you?

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic".

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not? 

    Simple question.  Let's see if you're capable of providing a simple answer, without smileys or insults."


    ::)

    You're saying that there is man made warming!

    You simply won't admit that it may be problematic!!

    You don't understand the method of science: attack the problem!!!

    You're attacking the problem by raising questions but not seeking answers to those questions!!!!

    THUS I CAN ONLY CONCLUDE YOU SPEND YOUR DAYS TRYING TO STICK YOUR HAND DOWN THE PANTS OF THE NEXT GENERATION!!!!!

    I AM SATISFIED THAT IS THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER!!!!!!


    ;) ;) ;)  ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 1:13pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:55pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:50pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?




    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.

    Meat spends his days trying to stick his hand down the next generations pants!


    Childish insults instead of answers.  Typical.

    Was the question too difficult for you?

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic".

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not? 

    Simple question.  Let's see if you're capable of providing a simple answer, without smileys or insults."


    ::)

    You're saying that there is man made warming!

    You simply won't admit that it may be problematic!!

    You don't understand the method of science: attack the problem!!!

    You're attacking the problem by raising questions but not seeking answers to those questions!!!!

    THUS I CAN ONLY CONCLUDE YOU SPEND YOUR DAYS TRYING TO STICK YOUR HAND DOWN THE PANTS OF THE NEXT GENERATION!!!!!

    I AM SATISFIED THAT IS THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER!!!!!!



    Was the question too difficult for you?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 1:16pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm:
    You're saying that there is man made warming!



    I'm saying no such thing.

    I don't suscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Now, would you like to answer the question?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 1:18pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:13pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:55pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 12:50pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 7:26pm:
    According to whom?




    Everybody but you, it would seem.

    Nobody believes that it is accurate going back 420,000 years.

    To suggest such a thing really is quite naive.

    Meat spends his days trying to stick his hand down the next generations pants!


    Childish insults instead of answers.  Typical.

    Was the question too difficult for you?

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed "a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic".

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not? 

    Simple question.  Let's see if you're capable of providing a simple answer, without smileys or insults."


    ::)

    You're saying that there is man made warming!

    You simply won't admit that it may be problematic!!

    You don't understand the method of science: attack the problem!!!

    You're attacking the problem by raising questions but not seeking answers to those questions!!!!

    THUS I CAN ONLY CONCLUDE YOU SPEND YOUR DAYS TRYING TO STICK YOUR HAND DOWN THE PANTS OF THE NEXT GENERATION!!!!!

    I AM SATISFIED THAT IS THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER!!!!!!



    Was the question too difficult for you?

    I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming yet won't admit that it may be problematic!

      :D :D :D

    I stand by my conclusion that you spend your days trying to put your hand down the pants of the unborn by asking questions and not trying to find the answers!

    I hope you sleep well tonight buddy!! :D :D :D  :-[  :-* :-* :-* :'(

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 1:20pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm:
    You're saying that there is man made warming!

    You simply won't admit that it may be problematic!!




    No, you've got it back to front.

    I admit that global warming may be problematic.

    However, I don't subscribe to the AGW hypothesis.

    So, back to the question you keep avoiding:

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not?"


    Still can't make up your mind?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ... [/quote]


    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 1:29pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:20pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:06pm:
    You're saying that there is man made warming!

    You simply won't admit that it may be problematic!!




    No, you've got it back to front.

    I admit that global warming may be problematic.

    However, I don't subscribe to the AGW hypothesis.

    So, back to the question you keep avoiding:

    "Yes.  Everyone understands that it is indeed a combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    It seems you , however, can't make up your mind.

    So, is it a combination, or not?"


    Still can't make up your mind?

    LOL, you can't make up your mind what you're admitting!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 1:31pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm:
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ...



    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...[/quote]
    Lol, you can't hold an argument dood!

      :o :o  :-[  :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(  :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 1:47pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:31pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm:
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ...



    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...

    Lol, you can't hold an argument dood!

      :o :o  :-[  :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(  :D[/quote]

    My argument is consistent.

    Just like your childish rants.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 2:20pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:47pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:31pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm:
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ...



    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...

    Lol, you can't hold an argument dood!

      :o :o  :-[  :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(  :D


    My argument is consistent.

    Just like your childish rants.

    [/quote]
    TIME WASTER

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 2:22pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 2:20pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:47pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:31pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm:
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ...



    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...

    Lol, you can't hold an argument dood!

      :o :o  :-[  :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(  :D


    My argument is consistent.

    Just like your childish rants.

    TIME WASTER[/quote]


    Yes, you're a time waster too.

    Thanks for pointing that out.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 4:02pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 2:22pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 2:20pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:47pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:31pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 1:22pm:
    [quote author=58797D68746E7578796F7D74736E6F791C0 link=1316224166/483#483 date=1336965535]I'm satisified that you admit there is man-made warming  ...



    Source?  Thread?

    I do not subscribe to the current AGW hypothesis.

    Do you have a problem with reading, comprehension, or both?

    And, how about answering the previous question ...

    Lol, you can't hold an argument dood!

      :o :o  :-[  :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'( :'(  :D


    My argument is consistent.

    Just like your childish rants.

    TIME WASTER



    Yes, you're a time waster too.

    Thanks for pointing that out.[/quote]
    Okeley Dokeley!!  ;D ;D ;D ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by red baron on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 6:51pm

    red baron wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)



    Medication time, I think.

    :-/

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by gizmo_2655 on May 14th, 2012 at 6:58pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:51pm:

    red baron wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)



    Medication time, I think.

    :-/


    Too much medication me thinks...

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 7:28pm

    red baron wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)

    Voyeurism is bad, OK!  ::) ::)  :-*

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 14th, 2012 at 7:29pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:51pm:

    red baron wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)



    Medication time, I think.

    :-/

    You can't hold an argument dood!!  :-* :-* :-* :-* :-*  ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 14th, 2012 at 8:41pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:58pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:51pm:

    red baron wrote on May 14th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    G'day Death...G'day Uncle Meat....High Noon at the O.K. Corral huh? 8-)



    Medication time, I think.

    :-/


    Too much medication me thinks...



    Yes, possibly.

    He updated his facebook picture this morning ...



    ... and I think he got a little over excited by the whole ordeal.

    With a slight adjustment to his medication this evening, and a good sleep later tonight the little fella should be OK tomorrow.

    Fingers crossed.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 15th, 2012 at 2:54am

    MOTR wrote on May 12th, 2012 at 6:39pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 9th, 2012 at 10:01pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 8th, 2012 at 8:00pm:
    Who is responsible for the recent dramatic rise in atmospheric CO2?



    A combination of natural causes, and anthropogenic.

    Furthermore, there is no credible, reliable evidence that shows this rise is responsible for climate change, let alone global warming.

    Next question.


    Uncle Meat, we humans are emitting 30billion tons/year of CO2 into the atmosphere, yet atmospheric CO2 is only increasing by 2ppm a year, or approximately 15 billion tons/year. Simple algebra tells us that nature must be a net absorber of atmospheric CO2, otherwise atmospheric CO2 would be rising at a rate closer to 4ppm/year. Are you really going to argue this point.



    You still haven't replied to this point, Uncle Meat.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 15th, 2012 at 5:12pm
    Uncle Meat is so out of his tree he thinks the internet can have its bits fondled!!

    :D :D :D :D :D

    The internet is the unborn future generations: Uncle Meat just don't get that after 9-11 people just aint got the time to entertain the fiddlers amongst us anymore yet he still reckons his mates enjoy his stories of allegedly putting his hand down so many unsuspecting peoples pants........  ::)  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D



    ... THE WORLD TURNS DOOD!!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 15th, 2012 at 6:10pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 5:12pm:
    Uncle Meat is so out of his tree he thinks the internet can have its bits fondled!!

    :D :D :D :D :D

    The internet is the unborn future generations: Uncle Meat just don't get that after 9-11 people just aint got the time to entertain the fiddlers amongst us anymore yet he still reckons his mates enjoy his stories of allegedly putting his hand down so many unsuspecting peoples pants........  ::)  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

    ... THE WORLD TURNS DOOD!!!



    http://au.reachout.com/find/articles/psychiatric-crisis-teams

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 15th, 2012 at 6:15pm

    MOTR wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 2:54am:
    You still haven't replied to this point, Uncle Meat.



    It's all speculative.

    Your closed mind is preventing you from seeing things from a scientific perspective.





    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 15th, 2012 at 6:31pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:15pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 2:54am:
    You still haven't replied to this point, Uncle Meat.




    It's all speculative.

    Your closed mind is preventing you from seeing things from a scientific perspective.

    Still trying to rub all those unborn are ya mate?

      :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-?  :-*

    -->>SLEEP WELL TONIGHT BUDDY WON'T YA!!  :D :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 15th, 2012 at 6:32pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    Still trying to rub all those unborn are ya mate?

      :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-?  :-*

    -->>SLEEP WELL TONIGHT BUDDY WON'T YA!!  :D :D




    http://www.health.vic.gov.au/mentalhealthadvice/

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 15th, 2012 at 6:36pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:32pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    Still trying to rub all those unborn are ya mate?

      :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-?  :-*

    -->>SLEEP WELL TONIGHT BUDDY WON'T YA!!  :D :D




    http://www.health.vic.gov.au/mentalhealthadvice/

    uNCLE mEAT CAN'T HANDLE BEING CAUGHT OUT AS A NASTY PIECE OF WORK!!!  :D :D :D

    THE CAT HAS GOT HIS TONGUE, LOL!!!!!  :-[ :-[ :-[  ;)  :D :D  :-*

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Uncle Meat on May 15th, 2012 at 6:54pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:36pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:32pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:31pm:
    Still trying to rub all those unborn are ya mate?

      :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[  :-?  :-*

    -->>SLEEP WELL TONIGHT BUDDY WON'T YA!!  :D :D




    http://www.health.vic.gov.au/mentalhealthadvice/

    uNCLE mEAT CAN'T HANDLE BEING CAUGHT OUT AS A NASTY PIECE OF WORK!!!  :D :D :D

    THE CAT HAS GOT HIS TONGUE, LOL!!!!!  :-[ :-[ :-[  ;)  :D :D  :-*



    http://www.mhcc.org.au/getting-help/default.aspx

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 15th, 2012 at 7:32pm
    Uncle Meat is admitting he hates all life!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 15th, 2012 at 8:26pm

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:15pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 2:54am:
    You still haven't replied to this point, Uncle Meat.



    It's all speculative.

    Your closed mind is preventing you from seeing things from a scientific perspective.


    I'll take that as a white flag. Either you can debate the point or you can't.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on May 15th, 2012 at 8:42pm

    MOTR wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 8:26pm:

    Uncle Meat wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 6:15pm:

    MOTR wrote on May 15th, 2012 at 2:54am:
    You still haven't replied to this point, Uncle Meat.



    It's all speculative.

    Your closed mind is preventing you from seeing things from a scientific perspective.


    I'll take that as a white flag. Either you can debate the point or you can't.

    Uncle Meat don't like you cos you won't play the game where you turn and he shoves his hand down your pants and you both pretend nothing happened!

      :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ :-[

    He just don't get that after 9-11 people realised that game was a luxury no one could any longer afford otherwise real doom may settle down upon the lands!

      ;) ;)  :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on May 19th, 2012 at 3:07pm

    Shrinking Arctic ice that reflects less sunlight revs up climate change

    http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/shrinking-arctic-ice-reflects-less-sunlight-revs-climate-change

    The multi-year ice floes that once dominated the Arctic Ocean have been shrinking fast over the past decade, replaced by pans that form anew each winter and melt away each spring. The increase in the extent of this seasonal ice has the potential to dramatically accelerate the warming of the planet’s far northern sea, according to a new four-year study published this week in Geophysical Research Letters.

    The dazzling white and rugged surface of old, thick ice has the potential to reflect gobs of sunlight all summer. But the more fragile and flatter seasonal floes behave differently as the weeks pass — morphing from melting snow to standing ponds to the roiling green-gray of actual open water. As the ocean surface dominated by seasonal ice becomes less reflective, it absorbs more and more energy.

    “Once surface ice melt begins, seasonal ice albedos are consistently less than albedos for multi-year ice, resulting in more solar heat absorbed in the ice and transmitted to the ocean," wrote Perovich

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jun 15th, 2012 at 4:49am

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jun 20th, 2012 at 4:07am

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jun 30th, 2012 at 7:57pm
    Sea ice in the Arctic has melted faster this year than ever recorded before, according to the US government's National Snow and Ice Data Centre (NSIDC).

    Satellite observations show the extent of the floating ice that melts and refreezes every year was 318,000 square miles less last week than the same day period in 2007, the year of record low extent, and the lowest observed at this time of year since records began in 1979. Separate observations by University of Washington researchers suggest that the volume of Arctic sea ice is also the smallest ever calculated for this time of year.

    http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/maps_and_graphs/2012/6/27/1340802431699/arctic-sea-ice-001.png

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 2nd, 2012 at 1:39am
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wi6lYmfVavk&feature=related

    time for a kit-kat fellas..............  8-)  :-? :-? :-? :-?  :)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jul 28th, 2012 at 6:47am

    Quote:



    National Snow and Ice Data Center:

    Arctic sea ice continued to track at levels far below average through the middle of July, with open water in the Kara and Barents seas reaching as far north as typically seen during September. Melt onset began earlier than normal throughout most of the Arctic.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on Jul 28th, 2012 at 8:04am
    Mmmmm.
    35 pages on melting ice.
    Me thinks some have way too much time on their hands.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:26pm

    MOTR wrote on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm:
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.


    True, but no-where near as insightful at your usual selective cut & pastefest eh.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:31pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:26pm:

    MOTR wrote on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm:
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.


    True, but no-where near as insightful at your usual selective cut & pastefest eh.


    You mean like the graphs which show Arctic ice is continuing to shrink.

    You're more than welcome to provide your own evidence.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 29th, 2012 at 11:31pm

    MOTR wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:31pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:26pm:

    MOTR wrote on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm:
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.


    True, but no-where near as insightful at your usual selective cut & pastefest eh.


    You mean like the graphs which show Arctic ice is continuing to shrink.

    You're more than welcome to provide your own evidence.

    chickenlips can't look his kids in the eye!! :D :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on Jul 30th, 2012 at 9:09pm

    MOTR wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:31pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:26pm:

    MOTR wrote on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm:
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.


    True, but no-where near as insightful at your usual selective cut & pastefest eh.


    You mean like the graphs which show Arctic ice is continuing to shrink.

    You're more than welcome to provide your own evidence.


    Personally I prefer those graphs from the entire Antarctic ice sheet rather that those cheap selective ones eh.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Jul 30th, 2012 at 9:58pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 26th, 2011 at 1:38pm:
    Humans are emitting carbon into the atmosphere, but carbon as a whole still only makes up 3% of the total, with human caused emissions being a fraction of that 3%.


    If you had a fountain that pumped 3% of the total capacity of the reservoir into the air and back into the reservoir, then somebody stuck a hose in that was trickling in at a fraction of the rate of the actual fountain and caused the reservoir to overflow then it wouldn't matter that the hose was only trickling, it's still what caused the overflow.

    It's the same with the carbon cycle, there is a relatively fixed amount of Co2 that cycles through the system over a short term, the problem is the excess CO2 - which was originally absorbed from the atmosphere during a very high CO2 phase by plants and microbes then stored safely underground as coal or oil - that we are reintroducing into the system that is throwing things out of a balance that has been maintained for about 5 million years.

    We are adding more CO2 to the system than the system can naturally remove via the natural cycle, in fact the planet is managing to absorb about half of what we emit, but it is the other 50% of that fraction of 3% that is accumulating in the atmosphere and causing concentrations to increase by about 40% to date.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Jul 30th, 2012 at 11:09pm
    1923 article

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Jul 30th, 2012 at 11:16pm

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 8:22am

    MOTR wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:31pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Jul 29th, 2012 at 8:26pm:

    MOTR wrote on Jul 28th, 2012 at 12:13pm:
    And not surprising your latest contribution is just as insightful as your earlier contributions.


    True, but no-where near as insightful at your usual selective cut & pastefest eh.


    You mean like the graphs which show Arctic ice is continuing to shrink.

    You're more than welcome to provide your own evidence.


    Looks much more dramatic when your graph goes from winter to the end of summer too...hats off for the creativity.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:21pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    rates of change: bye bye, thanx for playing!!

      :D :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:21pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    rates of change: bye bye, thanx for playing!!

      :D :D


    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:56pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:21pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    rates of change: bye bye, thanx for playing!!

      :D :D


    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.

    you don't understand change: change causes panic and panic causes death!!!
      :D :D :D :D :D :D

    Why else is yelling 'FIRE' in a crowded room so dangerous??  :o :o :o :o  ;)  :-*  :-*  ;)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 4:04pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:56pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:21pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    rates of change: bye bye, thanx for playing!!

      :D :D


    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.

    you don't understand change: change causes panic and panic causes death!!!
      :D :D :D :D :D :D

    Why else is yelling 'FIRE' in a crowded room so dangerous??  :o :o :o :o  ;)  :-*  :-*  ;)


    I don't know how you manage to type in that straight-jacket?
    But go take your medication and have a little lay down.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 31st, 2012 at 4:36pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 4:04pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:56pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm:

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:21pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    What would you know of statistical probability?
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.

    rates of change: bye bye, thanx for playing!!

      :D :D


    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.

    you don't understand change: change causes panic and panic causes death!!!
      :D :D :D :D :D :D

    Why else is yelling 'FIRE' in a crowded room so dangerous??  :o :o :o :o  ;)  :-*  :-*  ;)


    I don't know how you manage to type in that straight-jacket?
    But go take your medication and have a little lay down.

    tonegunman has nothing!!

      ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Jul 31st, 2012 at 5:36pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:
    What would you know of statistical probability?


    Probably a bit more than you, from what I can gather from the quality of your replies.


    Quote:
    The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.


    Straw man. No one has said higher CO2 levels can't coexist with life. However, it is highly doubtful that human civilisation as it has evolved (i.e. growing cereal crops in the temperate latitudes) could coexist with the world the dinosaurs lived in. I don't think wheat, for example, does particularly well growing in the tropics, as the Cuban annual wheat harvest will testify.

    I think the main problem you have is that you have never bothered to actually understand climate science nor the projections it makes.

    If you honestly believe that any one has ever claimed high CO2 can't coexist with life then you are one very confused individual and I'm not at all surprised you think climate science is "alarmist".

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Jul 31st, 2012 at 5:39pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm:
    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.


    I'm struggling to understand the point you are trying to make here. Do you want to have a crack at rephrasing your statement in something even vaguely approaching a more coherent fashion?

    Start with explaing what you mean by CO2 being "full"? Full of what exactly?  :o

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 6:24pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 5:39pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 3:53pm:
    Levels consistent with life existing and indeed flourishing and what means "full" in relation to CO2, the atmosphere and that life have nothing to do with rates of change.
    So you comment is irrelevant...but sadly consistent and nothing new.


    I'm struggling to understand the point you are trying to make here. Do you want to have a crack at rephrasing your statement in something even vaguely approaching a more coherent fashion?

    Start with explaing what you mean by CO2 being "full"? Full of what exactly?  :o


    What you wrote yesterday you ignorant, fuktard of a twat. Get an education or at least a bit of paper and a blunt pencil, because you have not the sharpest of minds.

    "If you had a fountain that pumped 3% of the total capacity of the reservoir into the air and back into the reservoir, then somebody stuck a hose in that was trickling in at a fraction of the rate of the actual fountain and caused the reservoir to overflow then it wouldn't matter that the hose was only trickling, it's still what caused the overflow."

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by tonegunman1 on Jul 31st, 2012 at 6:43pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 5:36pm:

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:43pm:
    What would you know of statistical probability?


    Probably a bit more than you, from what I can gather from the quality of your replies.


    I don't know you upyours but I seriously doubt it.


    Quote:
    [QUOTE]The average of atmospheric CO2 coexistent with life on this planet is about 5 times what it is now. Your idea of "full" is crap.


    Straw man. No one has said higher CO2 levels can't coexist with life. However, it is highly doubtful that human civilisation as it has evolved (i.e. growing cereal crops in the temperate latitudes) could coexist with the world the dinosaurs lived in. I don't think wheat, for example, does particularly well growing in the tropics, as the Cuban annual wheat harvest will testify.[/quote]

    "Highly doubtful" that would fall into
     
    "Can you please quantify what you mean by "highly doubtful"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability." (Upyours Fatair)



    Quote:
    I think the main problem you have is that you have never bothered to actually understand climate science nor the projections it makes.

    If you honestly believe that any one has ever claimed high CO2 can't coexist with life then you are one very confused individual and I'm not at all surprised you think climate science is "alarmist".


    You talk utter, unsubstantiated, self-serving shyte. 

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Jul 31st, 2012 at 8:28pm

    tonegunman1 wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 6:24pm:
    What you wrote yesterday you ignorant, fuktard of a twat. Get an education or at least a bit of paper and a blunt pencil, because you have not the sharpest of minds.

    "If you had a fountain that pumped 3% of the total capacity of the reservoir into the air and back into the reservoir, then somebody stuck a hose in that was trickling in at a fraction of the rate of the actual fountain and caused the reservoir to overflow then it wouldn't matter that the hose was only trickling, it's still what caused the overflow."


    It's a metaphor, dude. The point, which is evidently lost on you, is that when you introduce an external source into a closed system then it doesn't matter if it's only a fraction of what's being circulated through the whole system, its' the the component which has been introduced that's "over flowing", i.e. in the same way that water over flowing from a fountain is not being pumped back through the system it's not being circulated through the natural carbon cycle but rather accumulating in the atmosphere.

    But even now you've explained what you meant by full the sentence still doesn't make any sense. It's hard to be convinced of the strength of your arguments when you can't form coherent sentences.


    Quote:
    "Highly doubtful" that would fall into
     
    "Can you please quantify what you mean by "highly doubtful"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability."


    LOL, that was actually quite a good call. Consider me served ;D

    So, while I concede my "highly doubtful" is not based on any kind of statistical evaluation whatsoever, I would still be personally prepared to bet big money that you wouldn't be able to grow wheat in the tropics.

    Because the point has never been that climate change will make like uninhabitable for life rather that conditions won't suit the civilisation that our species has come to rely on, the hallmarks of which (like agriculture) all evolved within a narrow window of relative climatic stability.

    So, by all means, dismiss all of this with your abuse and your insults, all it does is belie the intellectual shallowness of your ideology.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Jul 31st, 2012 at 8:38pm
    They, the bean-counters, simply don't care what you say.

    THEY SIMPLY DON'T CARE ABOUT THEIR KIDS FUTURE, ONLY THEIRS!!

    'BEG, BORROW, STEAL,....' THAT IS ALL THEY KNOW AS THAT IS ALL THEY WERE EVER TAUGHT TO ASPIRE TO!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 1st, 2012 at 5:14pm

    BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    They, the bean-counters, simply don't care what you say.

    THEY SIMPLY DON'T CARE ABOUT THEIR KIDS FUTURE, ONLY THEIRS!!

    'BEG, BORROW, STEAL,....' THAT IS ALL THEY KNOW AS THAT IS ALL THEY WERE EVER TAUGHT TO ASPIRE TO!!


    So it's rates of change that are more important?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by chicken_lipsforme on Aug 1st, 2012 at 9:32pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    True.
    They have as much chance of being right as an ancient Druid reading animals intestines and throwing bones to read the future.
    Your presise statistical probability remains a 50/50 proposition at best.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 2nd, 2012 at 3:48am

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Aug 1st, 2012 at 9:32pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 31st, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    chicken_lipsforme wrote on Sep 23rd, 2011 at 7:00am:
    And it is quite likely that if proper studies were carried out on this subject 100+ years ago, we would have found the same result.



    Can you please quantify what you mean by "quite likely"? Unlike yours, scientific "guesses" can be ascribed a precise statistical probability.


    True.
    They have as much chance of being right as an ancient Druid reading animals intestines and throwing bones to read the future.
    Your presise statistical probability remains a 50/50 proposition at best.


    Statistics can certainly fool a fool. You're certainly entitled to be wary.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 5th, 2012 at 5:37pm





    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 5th, 2012 at 8:26pm
    Interesting graph from NASA

    Make of it what you will.

    Last 10 yrs
    flat.

    1930's warmer.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 5th, 2012 at 9:29pm

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 8:26pm:
    Interesting graph from NASA

    Make of it what you will.

    Last 10 yrs
    flat.

    1930's warmer.



    Last 10 years flat? Not according to NASA.




    Quote:
    Above: The surface temperature anomaly for the region extending from 64oN to 90oN, from 1880 through 2011, in degrees Centigrade above or below the temperature during the 1951-1980 base period.  The figures shows that temperatures have risen substantially since 1880 and that the rate of increase has been especially rapid since the late 1970s. Source: WWF, using data from NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Combined Land-Surface Air and Sea-Surface Water Temperature Anomalies, Zonal annual means.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 5th, 2012 at 10:26pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 9:29pm:

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 8:26pm:
    Interesting graph from NASA

    Make of it what you will.

    Last 10 yrs
    flat.

    1930's warmer.



    Last 10 years flat? Not according to NASA.




    Quote:
    Above: The surface temperature anomaly for the region extending from 64oN to 90oN, from 1880 through 2011, in degrees Centigrade above or below the temperature during the 1951-1980 base period.  The figures shows that temperatures have risen substantially since 1880 and that the rate of increase has been especially rapid since the late 1970s. Source: WWF, using data from NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Combined Land-Surface Air and Sea-Surface Water Temperature Anomalies, Zonal annual means.

    Well isnt that strange. They have 1930's warmer in their graph I provided, but yet the anomaly warmer now in the graph you provided.

    No wonder they didnt pick the 1930's. Its warmer and has less to do with CO2. No, they wouldnt do that would they lol.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 6th, 2012 at 7:36am
    The graph you provided is from a 2003 paper. You'd have to look at what data they used and what biases have been identified in the interim, before you start building on your whacko conspiracy theory.

    Besides one graph is yearly while the other is 5 year running average. The graph you provided also does not include the last decade of rapid warming.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 6th, 2012 at 7:42am

    MOTR wrote on Aug 6th, 2012 at 7:36am:
    The graph you provided is from a 2003 paper. You'd have to look at what data they used and what biases have been identified in the interim, before you start building on your whacko conspiracy theory.

    Besides one graph is yearly while the other is 5 year running average. The graph you provided also does not include the last decade of rapid warming.

    There has been no warming since 98, so what the hell are you on about.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 7th, 2012 at 5:46am
    Got a more recent graph of arctic temperatures you'd like to share with us.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Doctor Jolly on Aug 7th, 2012 at 9:21am
    Here comes the sun: chilling verdict on a climate going to extremes

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/society-and-culture/here-comes-the-sun-chilling-verdict-on-a-climate-going-to-extremes-20120806-23q5o.html#ixzz22oMCz1sT



    The IPCC was actually very conservative in its predictions. The future looks much worse.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Aug 9th, 2012 at 3:43pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    NAM ALSO CAN'T LOOK HIS KIDS IN THE EYE!!  :D :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:54pm

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 8:26pm:
    Interesting graph from NASA

    Make of it what you will.

    Last 10 yrs
    flat.

    1930's warmer.


    Last 10 years?

    Do you realise it is 2012?  Look at the x-axis.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 9th, 2012 at 8:11pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:
    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    Magic.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 9th, 2012 at 8:42pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:54pm:

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 8:26pm:
    Interesting graph from NASA

    Make of it what you will.

    Last 10 yrs
    flat.

    1930's warmer.


    Last 10 years?

    Do you realise it is 2012?  Look at the x-axis.

    I did say last 10 years. Do you have an issue with seeing the last 10 years on the graph?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:56pm
    Why not provide a more recent graph, progs?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:59pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?


    I think that means no.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:03pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:59pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?


    I think that means no.


    You first.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:05pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:03pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:59pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?


    I think that means no.


    You first.


    And still an F.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm
    Just to clarify where we are at. You're not sure why Arctic ice is shrinking, but you're quite certain it has nothing to do with the atmospheric CO2.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:35pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm:
    Just to clarify where we are at. You're not sure why Arctic ice is shrinking, but you're quite certain it has nothing to do with the atmospheric CO2.


    You put up the hypothesis, you have to make your case, you can possibly convince me, but you have to do a tad more than nothing, along the lines of why is it CO2 and nothing else? What is it with you guys you expect everyone else to do your work for you? Do you have so little work ethic? If it was me putting up a hypothesis you would be asking me to justify it.
    BTW are you saying it shrinks in summer because of CO2?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:07pm
    Are you seriously going to pretend that the AGW hypothesis hasn't been well and truely outlined in this forum.

    I'm not sure what you are getting at with that last question. The summer melt is due to orbital factors. The increase is summer melt is due to warmer temperatures driven by an amplified greenhouse effect. Obviously the melt is affected by numerous other factors, however, the trend is driven by anthropogenic warming.

    That is my causation hypothesis. Care to share yours.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:43pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Is it magic?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:47pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm:
    Just to clarify where we are at. You're not sure why Arctic ice is shrinking, but you're quite certain it has nothing to do with the atmospheric CO2.


    You put up the hypothesis, you have to make your case, you can possibly convince me, but you have to do a tad more than nothing, along the lines of why is it CO2 and nothing else? What is it with you guys you expect everyone else to do your work for you? Do you have so little work ethic? If it was me putting up a hypothesis you would be asking me to justify it.
    BTW are you saying it shrinks in summer because of CO2?

    There is an observation - arctic ice is shrinking.

    there is a hypothesis - it is shrinking because of global warming from anthropogenic emissions.

    this hypothesis is acceptede by virtually the entire scientific community on the planet.

    What do you know that they don't?

    What is your hypothesis?

    is God doing it?

    Fairies?

    What?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:51pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:07pm:
    Are you seriously going to pretend that the AGW hypothesis hasn't been well and truely outlined in this forum.

    I'm not sure what you are getting at with that last question. The summer melt is due to orbital factors. The increase is summer melt is due to warmer temperatures driven by an amplified greenhouse effect. Obviously the melt is affected by numerous other factors, however, the trend is driven by anthropogenic warming.

    That is my causation hypothesis. Care to share yours.


    No you have said over and over again it is CO2 as a stand alone hypothesis to the exclusion of any other possible causation as a driver of possible climate change including natural variability. You have not given even superficial attention to other possible causation. You continually adopt methodology and reasoning, if you can call it that, that disregards data that does not agree with your hypothesis. The ice core data that shows an association between CO2 and temperature but does not do so over the rest of the climate record shows CO2 being driven by temperature not the other way around. CO2 at the moment is still historically very low, and certainly lower than the 7000ppm of the Cambrian and the average of about 2000ppm since then. Three times it has been hotter that it is now in about the last 500k years all without us and the average over this period is about 4 degrees cooler than it is now. We are in fact very fortunate to live in a warm era. You say this is due to orbital forcings and yet there is considerable disagreement even between followers of Milankovitch showing them to have a purely interpretive application like reading palms. The only forcings that are taking place now are with data. And then you accuse others of cherry picking.
    For the shrinking of the arctic ice you put up graphs for a couple of decades and that is supposed to be the end of it? Is it your hypothesis that the earth is unchanging?
    Do you know what type of rock is on the top of Mt Everest?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:55pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:43pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Is it magic?


    It shrinks every summer too funnily enough.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:58pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm:
    Just to clarify where we are at. You're not sure why Arctic ice is shrinking, but you're quite certain it has nothing to do with the atmospheric CO2.


    You put up the hypothesis, you have to make your case, you can possibly convince me, but you have to do a tad more than nothing, along the lines of why is it CO2 and nothing else? What is it with you guys you expect everyone else to do your work for you? Do you have so little work ethic? If it was me putting up a hypothesis you would be asking me to justify it.
    BTW are you saying it shrinks in summer because of CO2?

    There is an observation - arctic ice is shrinking.

    there is a hypothesis - it is shrinking because of global warming from anthropogenic emissions.

    this hypothesis is acceptede by virtually the entire scientific community on the planet.

    What do you know that they don't?

    What is your hypothesis?

    is God doing it?

    Fairies?

    What?


    Oh good you don't have to put up any proof at all for hypotheses now...well that is religion...it's certainly not science.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:08am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:58pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 10:19pm:
    Just to clarify where we are at. You're not sure why Arctic ice is shrinking, but you're quite certain it has nothing to do with the atmospheric CO2.


    You put up the hypothesis, you have to make your case, you can possibly convince me, but you have to do a tad more than nothing, along the lines of why is it CO2 and nothing else? What is it with you guys you expect everyone else to do your work for you? Do you have so little work ethic? If it was me putting up a hypothesis you would be asking me to justify it.
    BTW are you saying it shrinks in summer because of CO2?

    There is an observation - arctic ice is shrinking.

    there is a hypothesis - it is shrinking because of global warming from anthropogenic emissions.

    this hypothesis is acceptede by virtually the entire scientific community on the planet.

    What do you know that they don't?

    What is your hypothesis?

    is God doing it?

    Fairies?

    What?


    Oh good you don't have to put up any proof at all for hypotheses now...well that is religion...it's certainly not science.

    We are waiting.

    Why is arctic ice shrinking if it is not because of global warming due to anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gasses?

    What do you know that the world's scientists have missed?

    Please tell us?

    There is probably a Nobel Prize in it for you.

    Please tell us.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:12am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:55pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:43pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Is it magic?


    It shrinks every summer too funnily enough.

    It is shrinking summer and winter.

    Please tell us why all of the world's scientists are wrong but you and Alan Jones are right.

    What is your secret?


    Arctic sea ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record, behind 2011.

    (- National Snow and Ice Data Centre)

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:24am

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:12am:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:55pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:43pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Is it magic?


    It shrinks every summer too funnily enough.

    It is shrinking summer and winter.

    Please tell us why all of the world's scientists are wrong but you and Alan Jones are right.

    What is your secret?


    Arctic sea ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record, behind 2011.

    (- National Snow and Ice Data Centre)


    Satellite records...my...I guess that goes back a way.
    When your talking about the world's scientists you might like to go and have a look the survey they took and the methods they employed to come up with that particular pile of horse nuggets.

    On another subject I know the bunnies are going to choke come the finals...because deep down they know they're not good enough.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:48am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:24am:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 12:12am:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:55pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:43pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 9:50pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 7:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 5th, 2012 at 6:43pm:
    Very pretty graphs...I don't have any on me but you get a lovely star and smiley face.

    Alas what they don't show is causation so I'm going to have to give you an F.

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?


    I'm supposed to draw a line between the dots of arctic ice shrinkage and increasing CO2 and according to Upton this is further limited to anthropogenic CO2. Even though ice core data supports that CO2 tended to lag temperature rise showing that in the past temperature drove up CO2 rather than the other way around. CO2 was still rising after temperature began to fall. This makes sense because the oceans have about 50 times the CO2 as the atmosphere and an increase of water temperature means that oceans become emitters. Upton will tell you there is a close correlation between CO2 and temperature however this fails to explain temperature for the majority of time life has been present in large quantities on the planet, 7000ppm during the Cambrian and an average of about 2000ppm from then over about the last 550 million years. The permafrost also emits large amounts of CO2 and methane when it thaws. The graphs provided they are accurate prove nothing other than there is less ice. There are any number of things operating at the same time that have the tendency to both deplete and aggregate the mass of ice. To think otherwise is applying a simple cause and effect senario to extremely complex systems. Levels of salinity, changes in currents and prevailing winds as well as climatic variation can all have effects. It is not up to me to provide alternative hypotheses for someone who posts a couple of graphs covering a geological fraction of an eyeblink when they have not made any sort of a case for causation themselves. The earth has never been static before us and no doubt will not be after us so why should it be so while we are here?

    So what is your explanation for why arctic ice is shrinking?

    Care to share your "causation" hypothesis?

    Is it magic?


    It shrinks every summer too funnily enough.

    It is shrinking summer and winter.

    Please tell us why all of the world's scientists are wrong but you and Alan Jones are right.

    What is your secret?


    Arctic sea ice extent for July 2012 was the second lowest in the satellite record, behind 2011.

    (- National Snow and Ice Data Centre)


    Satellite records...my...I guess that goes back a way.
    When your talking about the world's scientists you might like to go and have a look the survey they took and the methods they employed to come up with that particular pile of horse nuggets.

    On another subject I know the bunnies are going to choke come the finals...because deep down they know they're not good enough.

    That is the concensus, therefore its true. The question asked for the concensus was about all the other teams bar the rabbitohs, therefore the rabittohs could not be the winner, or to put it like another concensus we know of, the question asked was of Cronulla and all other teams ignored, therefore Cronulla have already won the grand final.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 10th, 2012 at 5:24am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:51pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:07pm:
    Are you seriously going to pretend that the AGW hypothesis hasn't been well and truely outlined in this forum.

    I'm not sure what you are getting at with that last question. The summer melt is due to orbital factors. The increase is summer melt is due to warmer temperatures driven by an amplified greenhouse effect. Obviously the melt is affected by numerous other factors, however, the trend is driven by anthropogenic warming.

    That is my causation hypothesis. Care to share yours.


    No you have said over and over again it is CO2 as a stand alone hypothesis to the exclusion of any other possible causation as a driver of possible climate change including natural variability. You have not given even superficial attention to other possible causation. You continually adopt methodology and reasoning, if you can call it that, that disregards data that does not agree with your hypothesis. The ice core data that shows an association between CO2 and temperature but does not do so over the rest of the climate record shows CO2 being driven by temperature not the other way around. CO2 at the moment is still historically very low, and certainly lower than the 7000ppm of the Cambrian and the average of about 2000ppm since then. Three times it has been hotter that it is now in about the last 500k years all without us and the average over this period is about 4 degrees cooler than it is now. We are in fact very fortunate to live in a warm era. You say this is due to orbital forcings and yet there is considerable disagreement even between followers of Milankovitch showing them to have a purely interpretive application like reading palms. The only forcings that are taking place now are with data. And then you accuse others of cherry picking.
    For the shrinking of the arctic ice you put up graphs for a couple of decades and that is supposed to be the end of it? Is it your hypothesis that the earth is unchanging?
    Do you know what type of rock is on the top of Mt Everest?


    Another no wrapped up in a rambling Gish gallop. At the top you have accused me of ignoring other possible causations. I'm quite happy to explore other plausible causations. What is the most likely one outside anthropogenic warming?

    You also accuse me of believing that a lack of another plausible causation proves the AGW hypothesis. I certainly don't accept this as absolute proof. I do, however, believe the evidence for AGW is overwhelming and in the absence of a credible alternative it becomes rational to act on the assumption that our actions are driving climate change.

    Now let's get to the crux of the problem. I believe you are not prepared to offer an alternative hypothesis for the melt because any remotely plausible hypothesis would have to involve some sort of warming. Warming that you are not prepared to concede.




    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 10th, 2012 at 8:36am

    MOTR wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 5:24am:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:51pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 9th, 2012 at 11:07pm:
    Are you seriously going to pretend that the AGW hypothesis hasn't been well and truely outlined in this forum.

    I'm not sure what you are getting at with that last question. The summer melt is due to orbital factors. The increase is summer melt is due to warmer temperatures driven by an amplified greenhouse effect. Obviously the melt is affected by numerous other factors, however, the trend is driven by anthropogenic warming.

    That is my causation hypothesis. Care to share yours.


    No you have said over and over again it is CO2 as a stand alone hypothesis to the exclusion of any other possible causation as a driver of possible climate change including natural variability. You have not given even superficial attention to other possible causation. You continually adopt methodology and reasoning, if you can call it that, that disregards data that does not agree with your hypothesis. The ice core data that shows an association between CO2 and temperature but does not do so over the rest of the climate record shows CO2 being driven by temperature not the other way around. CO2 at the moment is still historically very low, and certainly lower than the 7000ppm of the Cambrian and the average of about 2000ppm since then. Three times it has been hotter that it is now in about the last 500k years all without us and the average over this period is about 4 degrees cooler than it is now. We are in fact very fortunate to live in a warm era. You say this is due to orbital forcings and yet there is considerable disagreement even between followers of Milankovitch showing them to have a purely interpretive application like reading palms. The only forcings that are taking place now are with data. And then you accuse others of cherry picking.
    For the shrinking of the arctic ice you put up graphs for a couple of decades and that is supposed to be the end of it? Is it your hypothesis that the earth is unchanging?
    Do you know what type of rock is on the top of Mt Everest?


    Another no wrapped up in a rambling Gish gallop. At the top you have accused me of ignoring other possible causations. I'm quite happy to explore other plausible causations. What is the most likely one outside anthropogenic warming?

    You also accuse me of believing that a lack of another plausible causation proves the AGW hypothesis. I certainly don't accept this as absolute proof. I do, however, believe the evidence for AGW is overwhelming and in the absence of a credible alternative it becomes rational to act on the assumption that our actions are driving climate change.

    Now let's get to the crux of the problem. I believe you are not prepared to offer an alternative hypothesis for the melt because any remotely plausible hypothesis would have to involve some sort of warming. Warming that you are not prepared to concede.


    Again you answered nothing. You never answer anything, I just want you to put up that overwhelming evidence. I'm the uneducated one remember? So educate me. Note I can already cut and paste.
    You claim CO2 and temperature are closely coorrelated and that there are no negative feedbacks for increased CO2.

    So what was the ballpark figure for temperature for the Cambrian at 7000ppm and for the average since then of around 2000ppm consistent with your claims?


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 10th, 2012 at 8:34pm
    At last, something that makes sense.

    Firstly, I'd love to explore plausable alternative hypotheses with you, but it seems neither of us can find one.

    Secondly, you accuse me of claiming that CO2 driven temperature increases have no negative feedbacks. I know there are negative feedbacks so I'm not expecting you to find a quote where I said otherwise.

    Thirdly, you claim the Cambrian period is inconsistent with the AGW hypothesis because "higher CO2 in the past disproves CO2 warming" is essentially a straw man argument. It pretends the AGW hypothesis assumes CO2 is the only driver of climate. Anyone who has delved even a little bit into the science knows this is a complete misrepresentation of the scientific consensus.

    Tragically, your sarcastic presentation of yourself as an uneducated simpleton is apt and deep down you know it.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 10th, 2012 at 10:42pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 8:34pm:
    At last, something that makes sense.

    Firstly, I'd love to explore plausable alternative hypotheses with you, but it seems neither of us can find one.

    Secondly, you accuse me of claiming that CO2 driven temperature increases have no negative feedbacks. I know there are negative feedbacks so I'm not expecting you to find a quote where I said otherwise.

    Thirdly, you claim the Cambrian period is inconsistent with the AGW hypothesis because "higher CO2 in the past disproves CO2 warming" is essentially a straw man argument. It pretends the AGW hypothesis assumes CO2 is the only driver of climate. Anyone who has delved even a little bit into the science knows this is a complete misrepresentation of the scientific consensus.

    Tragically, your sarcastic presentation of yourself as an uneducated simpleton is apt and deep down you know it.


    I have alternative plausible explanations but again you have to stump up with something of you own and stop being a lazy p*k leaching the intellect of others. Show me one post where you have seriously considered any other factor in the current context of warming. Show me one post where you have seriously explored negative feedbacks.
    And still you don't answer the little thing I ask as what was the temperature at 7000ppm and 2000ppm. Which is as expected because that would show conclusively that temperatures were not that much higher and this takes away somewhat from your hysterical, unscientific, exaggerated and fear-mongering claims.
    You also say that there are other drivers of climate and yet all we hear is CO2 from you. You show shrinking ice, big deal.
    It is not a misrepresentation of the scientific consensus it is the defining tenor of the AGW "scientific" consensus.
    And like I care what a dogma driven steaming fat little pile thinks. The very fact that you have answered nothing is vindication enough for me.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 10th, 2012 at 11:21pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 10:42pm:
    Show me one post where you have seriously considered any other factor in the current context of warming. Show me one post where you have seriously explored negative feedbacks.


    Show me one post where a denier has come up with anything close to an alternative hypothesis to explain even a fraction of the observed phenomena that confirm AGW:



    My breath is bated in anticipation of your considered response.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 10:42pm:
    Show me one post where you have seriously considered any other factor in the current context of warming. Show me one post where you have seriously explored negative feedbacks.


    Show me one post where a denier has come up with anything close to an alternative hypothesis to explain even a fraction of the observed phenomena that confirm AGW:



    My breath is bated in anticipation of your considered response.


    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 11th, 2012 at 7:04am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 10:42pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 10th, 2012 at 8:34pm:
    At last, something that makes sense.

    Firstly, I'd love to explore plausable alternative hypotheses with you, but it seems neither of us can find one.

    Secondly, you accuse me of claiming that CO2 driven temperature increases have no negative feedbacks. I know there are negative feedbacks so I'm not expecting you to find a quote where I said otherwise.

    Thirdly, you claim the Cambrian period is inconsistent with the AGW hypothesis because "higher CO2 in the past disproves CO2 warming" is essentially a straw man argument. It pretends the AGW hypothesis assumes CO2 is the only driver of climate. Anyone who has delved even a little bit into the science knows this is a complete misrepresentation of the scientific consensus.

    Tragically, your sarcastic presentation of yourself as an uneducated simpleton is apt and deep down you know it.


    I have alternative plausible explanations but again you have to stump up with something of you own and stop being a lazy p*k leaching the intellect of others. Show me one post where you have seriously considered any other factor in the current context of warming. Show me one post where you have seriously explored negative feedbacks.
    And still you don't answer the little thing I ask as what was the temperature at 7000ppm and 2000ppm. Which is as expected because that would show conclusively that temperatures were not that much higher and this takes away somewhat from your hysterical, unscientific, exaggerated and fear-mongering claims.
    You also say that there are other drivers of climate and yet all we hear is CO2 from you. You show shrinking ice, big deal.
    It is not a misrepresentation of the scientific consensus it is the defining tenor of the AGW "scientific" consensus.
    And like I care what a dogma driven steaming fat little pile thinks. The very fact that you have answered nothing is vindication enough for me.


    Mate, what's wrong with listening to what the scientists are saying. They obviously know a lot more about this than either of us. You really have a chip on your shoulder, don't you.

    Just in this thread alone I've discussed orbital forcings, the NAO, cosmic rays and natural emitters of CO2. Now if you think I haven't considered other causes for the melt deeply enough, how about you nominate one that we can discuss. You just tell me what you think is the most likely reason for the intensification of the melt and I'll outline my thinking. If my thinking is muddled I'd appreciate it being cleared up.

    As for the Cambrian period, I'm really struggling to see how you can draw such strong conclusions from this period of time. Firstly there was no continental land mass located at the north pole so the feedback effects are going to be significantly different. Do you want to assume that the effect of continental drift on ocean currents and global temperatures is insignificant.  Even without this difficulty how much do we actually know about the climate of this period.

    Was CO2 as high as 7000ppm, what temperature proxies do we have and how accurate are they? What influence were orbital forcings having at the time? If you're happy to explore these things why not take a trip back to the Cambrian period and see if there is anything that we can take from it to inform our understanding of today's climate.





    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 11th, 2012 at 11:44am

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    It doesn't quite work that way. You're talking hundreds of millions of years ago.  During most of the Mesozoic, for one thing there was significantly more  vegetation than there is today. The carbon  sinks were larger.  For another thing, the sun's irradiance has also changed significantly. Estimates show that the sun only had 70% of its current output during the Pre Cambrian.

    To determine climatical variations during that period is far from exact and estimates vary by several magnitudes.

    It's quite illuminating that you would  base your assumptions on such tenuous and tentative  paleoclimate considerations when you don't accept basic atmospheric science.

    Apart from that, you're comparing chalk and cheese.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    It doesn't quite work that way. You're talking hundreds of millions of years ago.  During most of the Mesozoic, for one thing there was significantly more  vegetation than there is today. The carbon  sinks were larger.  For another thing, the sun's irradiance has also changed significantly. Estimates show that the sun only had 70% of its current output during the Pre Cambrian.

    To determine climatical variations during that period is far from exact and estimates vary by several magnitudes.

    It's quite illuminating that you would  base your assumptions on such tenuous and tentative  paleoclimate considerations when you don't accept basic atmospheric science.

    Apart from that, you're comparing chalk and cheese.


    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science. You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend. It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself. To then in the circumstances point at a dimunition of arctic ice as the burning bush and say behold is the equivalent of cheap parlour tricks when there is natural variability within a number of timescales. I also dispute some of the body of work that proports to underline a warming where this is not supported by the data. To follow science you must be led by the data and not the other way around.
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2. I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet. Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.
    Interesting analogy with chalk and cheese. One is a product of natural processes and lasts almost indefinitely whereas cheese is hand fashioned with a limited life before it become smelly and less than appetizing and then you are forced to go off and make a new one and repeat the cycle. I put the geological (long) record in the first category and anthropogenic AGW in the latter.
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by gizmo_2655 on Aug 11th, 2012 at 4:09pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm:

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    It doesn't quite work that way. You're talking hundreds of millions of years ago.  During most of the Mesozoic, for one thing there was significantly more  vegetation than there is today. The carbon  sinks were larger.  For another thing, the sun's irradiance has also changed significantly. Estimates show that the sun only had 70% of its current output during the Pre Cambrian.

    To determine climatical variations during that period is far from exact and estimates vary by several magnitudes.

    It's quite illuminating that you would  base your assumptions on such tenuous and tentative  paleoclimate considerations when you don't accept basic atmospheric science.

    Apart from that, you're comparing chalk and cheese.


    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science. You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend. It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself. To then in the circumstances point at a dimunition of arctic ice as the burning bush and say behold is the equivalent of cheap parlour tricks when there is natural variability within a number of timescales. I also dispute some of the body of work that proports to underline a warming where this is not supported by the data. To follow science you must be led by the data and not the other way around.
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2. I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet. Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.
    Interesting analogy with chalk and cheese. One is a product of natural processes and lasts almost indefinitely whereas cheese is hand fashioned with a limited life before it become smelly and less than appetizing and then you are forced to go off and make a new one and repeat the cycle. I put the geological (long) record in the first category and anthropogenic AGW in the latter.
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.



    What he said....

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 11th, 2012 at 4:57pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm:

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    It doesn't quite work that way. You're talking hundreds of millions of years ago.  During most of the Mesozoic, for one thing there was significantly more  vegetation than there is today. The carbon  sinks were larger.  For another thing, the sun's irradiance has also changed significantly. Estimates show that the sun only had 70% of its current output during the Pre Cambrian.

    To determine climatical variations during that period is far from exact and estimates vary by several magnitudes.

    It's quite illuminating that you would  base your assumptions on such tenuous and tentative  paleoclimate considerations when you don't accept basic atmospheric science.

    Apart from that, you're comparing chalk and cheese.


    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science. You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend. It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself. To then in the circumstances point at a dimunition of arctic ice as the burning bush and say behold is the equivalent of cheap parlour tricks when there is natural variability within a number of timescales. I also dispute some of the body of work that proports to underline a warming where this is not supported by the data. To follow science you must be led by the data and not the other way around.
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2. I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet. Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.
    Interesting analogy with chalk and cheese. One is a product of natural processes and lasts almost indefinitely whereas cheese is hand fashioned with a limited life before it become smelly and less than appetizing and then you are forced to go off and make a new one and repeat the cycle. I put the geological (long) record in the first category and anthropogenic AGW in the latter.
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.


    As close to a faith based position as you can find on this issue.

    Got an alternative hypothesis yet, or are you still dodging that one.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Aug 11th, 2012 at 6:31pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm:

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:
    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science.


    So explain your understanding of  how carbon dioxide acts as a greenhouse gas. That's starting with basic atmospheric physics. I want to find out  exactly where (and why) you depart from the science that is taught in every physics department in the world. 



    Quote:
    You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend.

    Not really. The observations are just confirmation of the consequences of the physical science. Don't get me wrong. The observations are certainly useful confirmations but they confirm the initial hypothesis which comes from the physical properties of the Carbon dioxide molecule, as well as the water molecule, methane, ozone, nitrous oxide etc..   

    [quote]
    It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself.

    Incorrect. It was actually a cooling trend prior to industrialisation, but that's probably irrelevent anyway given that there is a physical basis to the science. 


    Quote:
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2.{/quote]
    I didn't actually say that if you read my post. We can actually learn quite a bit from the paleoclimate without going back 150 million years plus in geological time, which is where the elevated levels of CO2 that you mention come in to play. 

    [quote]
    I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet.


    Of course it did, but there are many other factors apart from CO2. MOTR touched on the distribution of continents and the effects of ocean currents. I brought up the subject of solar output. There are many other factors that come into play, including the fact that there is less vegetation and less carbon sink, and the fact that we don't quite understand the orbital characteristics of the Earth say 150 million years ago and that a lot of the finer detail is missing in the older paleoclimate data. Many more proxies are available for the Quaternary period, such as lacustrine varve deposits, isotope analysis of ocean sediments and less reliable proxies such as tree ring data for even more recent data.    


    Quote:
    Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.

    You've jumped several hundred million years ahead when talking about ice cores. They are only good for the last million years or so.


    Quote:
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.


    The conservation of energy is a good start to understanding the implications of increased atmospheric CO2.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:07pm

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 6:31pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm:

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:
    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science.


    So explain your understanding of  how carbon dioxide acts as a greenhouse gas. That's starting with basic atmospheric physics. I want to find out  exactly where (and why) you depart from the science that is taught in every physics department in the world. 



    Quote:
    You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend.

    Not really. The observations are just confirmation of the consequences of the physical science. Don't get me wrong. The observations are certainly useful confirmations but they confirm the initial hypothesis which comes from the physical properties of the Carbon dioxide molecule, as well as the water molecule, methane, ozone, nitrous oxide etc..   

    [quote]
    It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself.

    Incorrect. It was actually a cooling trend prior to industrialisation, but that's probably irrelevent anyway given that there is a physical basis to the science. 

    [quote]
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2.{/quote]
    I didn't actually say that if you read my post. We can actually learn quite a bit from the paleoclimate without going back 150 million years plus in geological time, which is where the elevated levels of CO2 that you mention come in to play. 

    [quote]
    I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet.


    Of course it did, but there are many other factors apart from CO2. MOTR touched on the distribution of continents and the effects of ocean currents. I brought up the subject of solar output. There are many other factors that come into play, including the fact that there is less vegetation and less carbon sink, and the fact that we don't quite understand the orbital characteristics of the Earth say 150 million years ago and that a lot of the finer detail is missing in the older paleoclimate data. Many more proxies are available for the Quaternary period, such as lacustrine varve deposits, isotope analysis of ocean sediments and less reliable proxies such as tree ring data for even more recent data.    


    Quote:
    Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.

    You've jumped several hundred million years ahead when talking about ice cores. They are only good for the last million years or so.


    Quote:
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.


    The conservation of energy is a good start to understanding the implications of increased atmospheric CO2. [/quote]

    So the sun was only 70% of it's luminosity during the Cambrian? I think your timeline of the sun is missing a zero the true date holding that output was at 70% was 4.5 billion years ago not a tenth of that. Interestingly this periond is associated with the faint sun paradox for which various explanations have been proposed including greenhouse but still nothing conclusive.

    When I mentioned the ice core data I had jumped ahead and these are coextensive with other data for the period, I think the oldest of the ice cores are put at less than 800k.

    Well you say it was cooling pre-industrial I say it was warming albeit not as quickly as part of the overall trend. Long term trends are not that easy to pick at the start when there is always movement back and forth.

    Conservation of energy the theory ridiculed by leading physicists of the day when proposed by Julius Mayer and now held as self-evidently true. Just shows that you can be in the majority and still incorrect. What I was actually talking about at this point was something different in any case, but no matter.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:21pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped! [/QUOTE[

    Great response. Really highlights the fact that you don't have anything even approaching an alternative hypothesis for these observed changes.

    [QUOTE]You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    You haven't come up with a credible source for your claims. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, mon ami

    Plimer's stated value of 4000 ppmv or greater is taken from Robert Berner's GEOCARB, a well-known geochemical model of ancient CO2. As the Ordovician was so long ago, there are huge uncertainties for that time period (according to the model, CO2 was between an incredible 2400 and 9000 ppmv.) Crucially, GEOCARB has a 10 million year timestep, leading Berner to explicitly advise against using his model to estimate Late Ordovician CO2 levels due its inability to account for short-term CO2 fluctuations. He noted that "exact values of CO2... should not be taken literally."

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-higher-in-past.htm

    You could do well to go and bone up on the logarithmic relationship between CO2 and warming too.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:32pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:21pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped! [/QUOTE[

    Great response. Really highlights the fact that you don't have anything even approaching an alternative hypothesis for these observed changes.

    [QUOTE]You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    You haven't come up with a credible source for your claims. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, mon ami

    Plimer's stated value of 4000 ppmv or greater is taken from Robert Berner's GEOCARB, a well-known geochemical model of ancient CO2. As the Ordovician was so long ago, there are huge uncertainties for that time period (according to the model, CO2 was between an incredible 2400 and 9000 ppmv.) Crucially, GEOCARB has a 10 million year timestep, leading Berner to explicitly advise against using his model to estimate Late Ordovician CO2 levels due its inability to account for short-term CO2 fluctuations. He noted that "exact values of CO2... should not be taken literally."

    http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-higher-in-past.htm

    You could do well to go and bone up on the logarithmic relationship between CO2 and warming too.


    Who knocked on your coffin?



    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:44pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:07pm:
    So the sun was only 70% of it's luminosity during the Cambrian? I think your timeline of the sun is missing a zero the true date holding that output was at 70% was 4.5 billion years ago not a tenth of that. Interestingly this periond is associated with the faint sun paradox for which various explanations have been proposed including greenhouse but still nothing conclusive.


    My whole point was that there is nothing much conclusive about the dim and distant past - including CO2 levels in the atmosphere. You can't really base any arguments on wooly data. By the way, I notice that you didn't volunteer an answer as to where you depart from Physics 101. 


    Quote:
    When I mentioned the ice core data I had jumped ahead and these are coextensive with other data for the period, I think the oldest of the ice cores are put at less than 800k.


    That's probably close enough. The Vostok station bores would approach that age. What other more reliable proxies are you referring to? I don't know of any.


    Quote:
    Well you say it was cooling pre-industrial I say it was warming albeit not as quickly as part of the overall trend. Long term trends are not that easy to pick at the start when there is always movement back and forth.




    The data looks for all the world to show a decreasing trend between about 1000AD and the beginnings of industrialisation.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 12th, 2012 at 12:51pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 4:57pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 3:45pm:

    muso wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 2:03pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 11th, 2012 at 12:17am:
    But your mountain is still snow capped!
    You still havn't come up with a temperature for 7000ppm and 2000ppm either grandpa.


    It doesn't quite work that way. You're talking hundreds of millions of years ago.  During most of the Mesozoic, for one thing there was significantly more  vegetation than there is today. The carbon  sinks were larger.  For another thing, the sun's irradiance has also changed significantly. Estimates show that the sun only had 70% of its current output during the Pre Cambrian.

    To determine climatical variations during that period is far from exact and estimates vary by several magnitudes.

    It's quite illuminating that you would  base your assumptions on such tenuous and tentative  paleoclimate considerations when you don't accept basic atmospheric science.

    Apart from that, you're comparing chalk and cheese.


    I reject your assumption I do not accept basic atmospheric science. What I reject is that AGW, as it put into practice, is actual science. You see the beauty of AGW as a subject is that it is such a movable feast. It is an evolution of hypothesis and a selective and interpretive application of data to suit the observation that the earth is in a warming trend. It has been doing so for about the last 18k years and is not controversial or disputed by myself. To then in the circumstances point at a dimunition of arctic ice as the burning bush and say behold is the equivalent of cheap parlour tricks when there is natural variability within a number of timescales. I also dispute some of the body of work that proports to underline a warming where this is not supported by the data. To follow science you must be led by the data and not the other way around.
    I also reject your view that the paleoclimate has nothing to offer science in illuminating the role of CO2. I will however be on fairly solid ground in saying ancient CO2 obeyed the same physical laws as modern CO2. There is also I think general scientific agreement that CO2 was much higher, although as with all proxies this is far from exact, over most of the course of time that life has been reasonably widespread over the planet. Even ice cores have been considered to have underestimated the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere by looking at other proxies.
    Interesting analogy with chalk and cheese. One is a product of natural processes and lasts almost indefinitely whereas cheese is hand fashioned with a limited life before it become smelly and less than appetizing and then you are forced to go off and make a new one and repeat the cycle. I put the geological (long) record in the first category and anthropogenic AGW in the latter.
    However there is no monopoly on truth here and in the long run it is irrelevant.


    As close to a faith based position as you can find on this issue.

    Got an alternative hypothesis yet, or are you still dodging that one.


    Mmmm...you know in keeping with scientific best practice in actual fact I don't have to even put up any alternative...it is sufficient for me to show that yours is flawed, utilises poor or inappropriate methodologies, has been found to reach conclusions unsupported by the data or in some cases has been flat out fabricated. 

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:08pm
    So you don't have an alternative hypothesis. What's your problem with disclosing that.

    So you believe that the high levels of CO2 in the past refute The AGW hypothesis. How exactly, when you don't know the orbital forcings of the time, the workings of the ocean currents, the effect of less solar radiation, or even the temperature of the time.

    Could you outline exactly how this refutes the AGW hypothesis. I'm absolutely gob smacked you think this kite will fly.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:09pm
    By the way, I found this useful summary graph showing a reconstruction of Paleoclimate:
    (The scale is logarithmic of course)




    Here is a link to the data source (Physics Forums). You can also find discussion of paleoclimate reconstructions there. 

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:11pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Feb 18th, 2396 at 9:39am:
    You could do well to go and bone up on the logarithmic relationship between CO2 and warming too.


    I was waiting to see if he brought up that particular chestnut.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:36pm
    Keeping aside the belief of greenhouse gases working as descrbed by scienctists, it boils down to the following


    Quote:
    What most people don't realize, partly because the media never explains it, is that there is no dispute over whether CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and all else being equal would result in a warming of the climate. The fundamental dispute is about water in the atmosphere, either in the form of water vapour (a gas) or clouds (water in liquid form). It is generally accepted that a warmer climate will result in more water evaporating from the land and sea and therefore resulting in a higher level of water in the atmosphere, partly because the warmer the air is the more water it can hold. All of the models used by the IPCC assume that this increase in water vapour will result in a positive feedback in the order of 3-4 times the increase in temperature that would be caused by the increase in CO2 alone.

    Many scientists do not agree with this, or do not agree that we know enough about the impact of increased water to predict the outcome. Some scientists believe increased water will have a negative feedback instead, due to increased cloud cover. It all depends on how much, and a t what altitudes, latitudes and times of day that water is in the form of a gas (vapour) or a liquid (clouds). So if  a certain increase in CO2 would theoretically cause a 1.0C increase in temperature, then if water caused a 3-4 times positive feedback the temperature would actually increase by 3-4C. This is why the warming predicted by the models is so large. Whereas if there was a negative feedback of 0.5 times then the temperature would only rise 0.5C.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:38pm

    Cofgod wrote on Sep 24th, 2011 at 11:37pm:
    Now, what caused that period of Global Warming that ended the last ice age?  I doubt that it was human activity and pollution considering that the earth's human population at the time numbered in just thousands, or maybe 1 or 2 million at the most.  



    A slight change in the way the Earth orbits the sun, known as the Milankovitch Cycle:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles


    Quote:
    It must have been NATURAL global warming which caused the ice sheets to retreat 10,000 years ago and there is every reason to assume that the current retreat in ice sheets, should it actually be happening, is also as a result of natural warming and not human activity.


    There's no need to assume anything. We know what caused the ice-ages to retreat, slight warming from changes in the Earth's orbit and the release of CO2 and other GHG's that amplify that warming. It's knowing about this relationship between CO2 and temperature that instructs our current understanding of the Earth's climate.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:48am

    MOTR wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:08pm:
    So you don't have an alternative hypothesis. What's your problem with disclosing that.

    So you believe that the high levels of CO2 in the past refute The AGW hypothesis. How exactly, when you don't know the orbital forcings of the time, the workings of the ocean currents, the effect of less solar radiation, or even the temperature of the time.

    Could you outline exactly how this refutes the AGW hypothesis. I'm absolutely gob smacked you think this kite will fly.


    I have other hypotheses that has nothing to do with the validity of yours. Even if there was a total absence of proof against anthropogenic AGW, (which there's not), that does not prove your hypothesis. You can't cherry pick what suits you.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:50am

    muso wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:09pm:
    By the way, I found this useful summary graph showing a reconstruction of Paleoclimate:
    (The scale is logarithmic of course)




    Here is a link to the data source (Physics Forums). You can also find discussion of paleoclimate reconstructions there. 


    N ow there's a graph that's doesn't distort the true picture...not.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 13th, 2012 at 9:36am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:50am:

    muso wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:09pm:
    By the way, I found this useful summary graph showing a reconstruction of Paleoclimate:
    (The scale is logarithmic of course)




    Here is a link to the data source (Physics Forums). You can also find discussion of paleoclimate reconstructions there. 


    N ow there's a graph that's doesn't distort the true picture...not.


    I mean you can't be serious...your just embarrassing yourself now.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Aug 13th, 2012 at 1:33pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:50am:
    N ow there's a graph that's doesn't distort the true picture...not.


    So THIS is why people like you get called deniers. You are shown evidence and you deny it. Nothing to see here folks!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Aug 13th, 2012 at 3:07pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 1:33pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:50am:
    N ow there's a graph that's doesn't distort the true picture...not.


    So THIS is why people like you get called deniers. You are shown evidence and you deny it. Nothing to see here folks!


    Evidence?...it's cringeworthy even by your standards.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Aug 13th, 2012 at 4:51pm

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 3:07pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 1:33pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:50am:
    N ow there's a graph that's doesn't distort the true picture...not.


    So THIS is why people like you get called deniers. You are shown evidence and you deny it. Nothing to see here folks!


    Evidence?...it's cringeworthy even by your standards.

    NAM CAN'T LOOK HIS KIDS IN THE EYE!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am

    namnugenot wrote on Aug 13th, 2012 at 8:48am:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 12th, 2012 at 1:08pm:
    So you don't have an alternative hypothesis. What's your problem with disclosing that.

    So you believe that the high levels of CO2 in the past refute The AGW hypothesis. How exactly, when you don't know the orbital forcings of the time, the workings of the ocean currents, the effect of less solar radiation, or even the temperature of the time.

    Could you outline exactly how this refutes the AGW hypothesis. I'm absolutely gob smacked you think this kite will fly.


    I have other hypotheses that has nothing to do with the validity of yours. Even if there was a total absence of proof against anthropogenic AGW, (which there's not), that does not prove your hypothesis. You can't cherry pick what suits you.


    You have nada.

    We've just shown you why high concentrations of atmospheric CO2 in the past does not disprove the AGW hypothesis. So what else you got?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 18th, 2012 at 9:19pm

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 21st, 2012 at 6:13pm


    Who forgot to send the Arctic the memo that warming is all due to anthropogenic adjustments.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by gizmo_2655 on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:28pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case

    gizmo, lol!

    Not below the belt,... show some honour!!  :D :D :D :D :D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 21st, 2012 at 10:57pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case


    I'm still waiting for an alternative hypothesis, gizmo. Got one?



    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 21st, 2012 at 11:34pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 10:57pm:

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case


    I'm still waiting for an alternative hypothesis, gizmo. Got one?

    Here is one right on cue

    A new paper just published in the Journal of Climate finds that global cloudiness has decreased over the past 39 years from between 0.9 to 2.8% by continent as shown in the figure below:



    The period of the study is from 1971 to 2009. The authors say that:


    “Global average trends of cloud cover suggest a small decline in total cloud cover, on the order of 0.4% per decade.”

    Taken together, global cloud cover decreased and average of 1.56% over this 39 year period.  WUWT readers may recall that Dr. Roy Spencer points out the issue of a slight change in cloud cover in his 2010 book intro of The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World’s Top Climate Scientists. He writes:


    “The most obvious way for warming to be caused naturally is for small, natural fluctuations in the circulation patterns of the atmosphere and ocean to result in a 1% or 2% decrease in global cloud cover. Clouds are the Earth’s sunshade, and if cloud cover changes for any reason, you have global warming — or global cooling.”


    So there you have it, by the work of independent scientists, it is suggested that Dr. Spencer’s hypothesis of just a small change (1-2%) of cloud cover has been observed in their study. This can account for the global warming changes observed. Cloud cover has decreased over the past 39 years globally, and temperatures have risen during that time. This global decrease in cloud cover alone could account for all surface warming observed since the 1970′s. Interestingly, some types of clouds have been on the increase, while others have been on the decrease. Figure 2 shows this:



    Now, a cause needs to be identified as to why some clouds increase and others decrease. One of the obvious ones to examine is Svensmark’s cosmic ray hypothesis, which says that as solar (magnetic) activity decreases, cosmic ray insolation intensity increases, and cloud cover increases due to more cosmic ray seeding. Aerosols and ENSO may also figure greatly in cloud formation changes. It will be a tough puzzle to fully disentangle given that there have been a number of stations lost that record cloud cover type and the move has been towards automated systems (like ASOS) which only record cloud height and not type. The data in this study is mostly from human observers noting cloud type and height for aviation purposes. Perhaps there will be a way to get this information as the number of observers decrease from satellite image processing.

    Here’s the paper:
    http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00280.1

    Ryan Eastman and Stephen G. Warren
    Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 Journal of Climate 2012:

    Abstract

    An archive of land-based, surface-observed cloud reports has been updated and now spans 39 years from 1971 through 2009. Cloud-type information at weather stations is available in individual reports or in long-term, seasonal, and monthly averages. A shift to a new data source and the automation of cloud reporting in some countries has reduced the number of available stations; however this dataset still represents most of the global land area.
    Global average trends of cloud cover suggest a small decline in total cloud cover, on the order of 0.4% per decade. Declining clouds in middle latitudes at high and middle levels appear responsible for this trend. An analysis of zonal cloud cover changes suggests poleward shifts of the jet streams in both hemispheres. The observed displacement agrees with other studies.

    Changes seen in cloud types associated with the Indian monsoon are consistent with previous work suggesting that increased pollution (black carbon) may be affecting monsoonal precipitation, causing drought in North India. A similar analysis over northern China does not show an obvious aerosol connection.

    Past reports claiming a shift from stratiform to cumuliform cloud types over Russia were apparently partially based on spurious data. When the faulty stations are removed, a tradeoff of stratiform and cumuliform cloud cover is still observed, but muted, over much of northern Eurasia.


    The full paper is available on the author’s website:
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~rmeast/Full_Text_D1.pdf

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/20/spencers-cloud-hypothesis-confirmed/

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 22nd, 2012 at 5:51am

    Quote:
    So there you have it, by the work of independent scientists, it is suggested that Dr. Spencer’s hypothesis of just a small change (1-2%) of cloud cover has been observed in their study. This can account for the global warming changes observed. Cloud cover has decreased over the past 39 years globally, and temperatures have risen during that time.


    O.K. that's one step forward. It now seems Watts, and by extension progs, now accepts the planet is warming.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 22nd, 2012 at 6:11am
    From the same paper.


    Quote:
    Climate observations and models suggest that cloud properties have changed and will continue to change in a warming climate. Changes are likely to be seen in cloud amount, height, thickness, geographical distribution, and morphology. Widening tropical belts and warming polar regions may be causing a poleward displacement of Earth's jet streams (Bengtsson et al., 2006; Yin, 2005) and cloud- cover distributions are likely to change with a shift in the location of the mean storm track. Greenhouse gases and aerosols, can act to alter the lapse rate in the troposphere by either absorbing or scattering radiation (Bollasina et al., 2011; Ramanathan et al., 2005; Menon et al., 2002). Changes in tropospheric stability will also affect cloud amount and type. These and other influences on clouds are investigated here for the land areas of the Earth using an updated dataset of visual cloud observations.

    Cloud climatologies can be derived from both surface (visual) and satellite observations, and each has its advantages and drawbacks. Some advantages of the surface observations are a long period of record and the ability to identify clouds by type; a disadvantage is in complete geographical coverage of the globe.


    Progs might be happy to put the cart before the horse, but that is not true of the scientists who wrote the paper he quotes. Besides, progs doesn't even believe in the horse.


    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 23rd, 2012 at 5:22am


    IPCC, 1990: "The areas of warming are generally greater at high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere than at low latitudes"



    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Chrislee on Aug 27th, 2012 at 7:27pm
    That's serious problem.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 28th, 2012 at 4:47am

    Chrislee wrote on Aug 27th, 2012 at 7:27pm:
    That's serious problem.




    Indeed.


    Quote:
    NSIDC scientist Walt Meier said, "By itself it's just a number, and occasionally records are going to get set. But in the context of what's happened in the last several years and throughout the satellite record, it's an indication that the Arctic sea ice cover is fundamentally changing."

    According to NSIDC Director Mark Serreze, "The previous record, set in 2007, occurred because of near perfect summer weather for melting ice. Apart from one big storm in early August, weather patterns this year were unremarkable. The ice is so thin and weak now, it doesn't matter how the winds blow."

    "The Arctic used to be dominated by multiyear ice, or ice that stayed around for several years," Meier said. "Now it's becoming more of a seasonal ice cover and large areas are now prone to melting out in summer."

    With two to three weeks left in the melt season, NSIDC scientists anticipate that the minimum ice extent could fall even lower.

    In 2007, Arctic sea ice extent reached an all-time low in the satellite record that began in 1979. Arctic sea ice follows an annual cycle of melting through the warm summer months and refreezing in the winter. While Arctic sea ice extent varies from year to year because of changeable weather conditions, ice extent has shown a dramatic overall decline over the past thirty years. The pronounced decline in summer Arctic sea ice over the last decade is considered a strong signal of long-term climate warming.

    NSIDC will release a full analysis of the melt season in early October, once monthly data are available for September.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by gizmo_2655 on Aug 28th, 2012 at 5:20am

    MOTR wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 10:57pm:

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case


    I'm still waiting for an alternative hypothesis, gizmo. Got one?



    Yeah, lots...but you'd never accept them.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 28th, 2012 at 5:37am
    Away you go.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:08am
    No record from IMS




    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Aug 28th, 2012 at 3:34pm

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 5:20am:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 10:57pm:

    gizmo_2655 wrote on Aug 21st, 2012 at 8:10pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 14th, 2012 at 6:48am:
    You have nada.


    Channeling DTH doesn't help your case


    I'm still waiting for an alternative hypothesis, gizmo. Got one?



    Yeah, lots...but you'd never accept them.

    gizmo cant look his kids in the eye!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:26pm

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:08am:
    No record from IMS





    What does this measure, progs?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:30pm

    MOTR wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:08am:
    No record from IMS





    What does this measure, progs?

    That would be something for you to tell me when you make your point.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:45pm

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Aug 29th, 2012 at 3:47am

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:36am

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:30pm:

    MOTR wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:08am:
    No record from IMS





    What does this measure, progs?

    That would be something for you to tell me when you make your point.

    Values represent the entire area of ice covered water bodies over the entire Northern Hemisphere and are calculated in Lambert Azimuthal Equal Area Projection with a WGS84 Datum. The daily total ice extents are calculated from a 3-day running mean to eliminate daily variability and provide a clear trend line
    http://www.natice.noaa.gov/ims/ims_ice_extent_explanation.html

    And the graph shows that for Aug 2012 the ice extent is the lowest ever recorded for the corresponding time of year.  THis seems pretty consistent with the observed fact that arctic sea ice melt has just reached its highest extent ever recorded


    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:01pm

    progressiveslol wrote on Aug 28th, 2012 at 9:08am:
    No record from IMS


    What do you mean "no record"? The sea ice graph shows exactly that, a record low, with a month still to go in the melt season. It's funny but not surprising that a denier can't read a graph. Certainly goes a long way to explaining why you believe the ridiculous conspiracy theories that you do.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:07pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.


    And what do you know it's a record high as well at the other end in March...it's called variability.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 3rd, 2012 at 5:30pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:07pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.


    And what do you know it's a record high as well at the other end in March...it's called variability.

    Yes.  Extreme variability.  It's called climate change due to anthropogenic global warming.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 3rd, 2012 at 5:30pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:07pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.


    And what do you know it's a record high as well at the other end in March...it's called variability.

    Yes.  Extreme variability.  It's called climate change due to anthropogenic global warming.


    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 4th, 2012 at 2:26pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 3rd, 2012 at 5:30pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:07pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.


    And what do you know it's a record high as well at the other end in March...it's called variability.

    Yes.  Extreme variability.  It's called climate change due to anthropogenic global warming.


    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    Lucky people like you are in the minority.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:02pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:
    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    And I suppose you believe that it's gotten hotter/colder by magic, right? Or maybe you have an alternative explanation that explains all of the observed phenomenon relating to the changing climate including the rapid and otherwise inexplicable late 20th century warming?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:29pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 2:26pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 3rd, 2012 at 5:30pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:07pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 1:09pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 2nd, 2012 at 7:44am:
    Perhaps you could tell us what your point is?


    I'd imagine he has picked a graph from WUWT that looks like it suits his purpose and posts it thinking that IMS is some independent data source that contradicts the alarmist narrative - when in fact IMS is just a measuring instrument on a a satellite operated by NOAA, the people responsible for all the other graphs in this thread. The idiocy is compounded by the fact that he clearly can't read a graph if he thinks it doesn't show a record low.


    And what do you know it's a record high as well at the other end in March...it's called variability.

    Yes.  Extreme variability.  It's called climate change due to anthropogenic global warming.


    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    Lucky people like you are in the minority.

    Yeh, ....but they aren't!
      :o :o :o :o :o :o

    :-? :-? :-?

    People get home from work and haven't got time to think about the words that aren't there such as rates of change.

    Eventually people can come to a correct understanding but in the face of propganda it is always going to be difficult to convince a majority of a truth vested interests don't want to be known... especially if those results are physically a long way into the future!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:31pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:02pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:
    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    And I suppose you believe that it's gotten hotter/colder by magic, right? Or maybe you have an alternative explanation that explains all of the observed phenomenon relating to the changing climate including the rapid and otherwise inexplicable late 20th century warming?

    Nam has to ski-daddle and go and look the youth in the eye so please excuse his absence!!  :o  :-?  :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D  ;D ;D

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by progressiveslol on Sep 5th, 2012 at 1:32am

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:02pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:
    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    And I suppose you believe that it's gotten hotter/colder by magic, right? Or maybe you have an alternative explanation that explains all of the observed phenomenon relating to the changing climate including the rapid and otherwise inexplicable late 20th century warming?

    You would have to believe CO2 is doing the cooling warming to believe in magic. Only CO2 is able to follow temperature change and make the temperature change ahead of itself.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 8:02pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 4th, 2012 at 12:40pm:
    Crap...it's been hotter in the past and much colder in the past...the world was not designed for our comfort.


    And I suppose you believe that it's gotten hotter/colder by magic, right? Or maybe you have an alternative explanation that explains all of the observed phenomenon relating to the changing climate including the rapid and otherwise inexplicable late 20th century warming?


    I suppose past changes were magic also.

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:48pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.


    That's just embarrassing. It's offensive to not even provide an argument.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:37pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:48pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.


    That's just embarrassing. It's offensive to not even provide an argument.


    Can you read?
    A ten degrees fluctuation in as little as a couple of decades as opposed to "the unprecedented increase" of the last few...whatever that may actually be. The fact that you cannot answer the argument is the embarrassing part.
    You lot constantly put up half-arsed inaccurate and speculative slop and expect ooohhhhs and aarrrrs and for others to spoon feed you what your too lazy or dim-witted to look up.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 7th, 2012 at 11:41am

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.


    Well Uppitty must have found it seeing as he was who the answer was addressed to and he has not been back. Still you lot never seem to step up and say you were wrong like mature and decent adults. So your contention is that rapid climate change has never happened in the past? Or at least never faster than what you say is happening now?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 7th, 2012 at 12:23pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 11:41am:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.


    Well Uppitty must have found it seeing as he was who the answer was addressed to and he has not been back. Still you lot never seem to step up and say you were wrong like mature and decent adults. So your contention is that rapid climate change has never happened in the past? Or at least never faster than what you say is happening now?

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 7th, 2012 at 1:17pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 12:23pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 11:41am:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.


    Well Uppitty must have found it seeing as he was who the answer was addressed to and he has not been back. Still you lot never seem to step up and say you were wrong like mature and decent adults. So your contention is that rapid climate change has never happened in the past? Or at least never faster than what you say is happening now?

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    How's those bunnies winning 2 from their last 4 and both wins against lower rungers, well parra would have to be the tuck-shop ladies of the comp. Must be terrible for you getting to the finals and watching it all just evaporate.
    Is that why your so angry? Or were your parents cold and remote, you got bullied at school, didn't do so well in class, can't seem to maintain a stable relationship with any of your boyfriends...

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 7th, 2012 at 4:48pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 1:17pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 12:23pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 11:41am:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.


    Well Uppitty must have found it seeing as he was who the answer was addressed to and he has not been back. Still you lot never seem to step up and say you were wrong like mature and decent adults. So your contention is that rapid climate change has never happened in the past? Or at least never faster than what you say is happening now?

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    How's those bunnies winning 2 from their last 4 and both wins against lower rungers, well parra would have to be the tuck-shop ladies of the comp. Must be terrible for you getting to the finals and watching it all just evaporate.
    Is that why your so angry? Or were your parents cold and remote, you got bullied at school, didn't do so well in class, can't seem to maintain a stable relationship with any of your boyfriends...

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.

    We are STILL waiting for the reference.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 7th, 2012 at 7:45pm

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 4:48pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 1:17pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 12:23pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 11:41am:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:25pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 11:21pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:47pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 10:39pm:

    rabbitoh07 wrote on Sep 6th, 2012 at 9:51pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 9:26pm:

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 6:37pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 5th, 2012 at 11:11am:
    I suppose past changes were magic also.


    Of course not. We know what has caused past climate changes and we know the role that CO2 played in those changes. Well, when I say 'we' I mean those of us who have taken the time to understand the science, not people like you who reject it without ever bothering to understand the issue.


    Quote:
    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please.


    You know jack/s. I reject crap dished up as science comprising almost complete myopic speculation.
    Do your own legwork. It won't be hard to find even with your  obvious limitations.

    Ahhh..the time honoured bleat of someone caught making stuff up!


    The only ones here making stuff up is you lot.

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    And that's pretty much all you do...like I said not hard to find...you have to earn your treat...you can do it you special little guy!!!

    It must be embarrassing being caught red-handed making stuff up like this.


    Well Uppitty must have found it seeing as he was who the answer was addressed to and he has not been back. Still you lot never seem to step up and say you were wrong like mature and decent adults. So your contention is that rapid climate change has never happened in the past? Or at least never faster than what you say is happening now?

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.


    We are waiting for the reference.


    How's those bunnies winning 2 from their last 4 and both wins against lower rungers, well parra would have to be the tuck-shop ladies of the comp. Must be terrible for you getting to the finals and watching it all just evaporate.
    Is that why your so angry? Or were your parents cold and remote, you got bullied at school, didn't do so well in class, can't seem to maintain a stable relationship with any of your boyfriends...

    You wrote:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?
    It's only inexplicable to you because you can't image a senario where you don't know everything.

    We are STILL waiting for the reference.


    Tapping your foot no doubt...

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 7th, 2012 at 10:17pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.


    Oh your back...I missed you.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17am

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 10:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.


    Oh your back...I missed you.

    Oh - so now you will be posting your evidence to support your statement:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented. Or are we underestimating the CO2 production of cave dwellers campfires?


    ??

    Or will you just post more diversions and effectively confirm you were making things up?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 8th, 2012 at 2:07am

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 10:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.


    Oh your back...I missed you.


    Not only have you bought Lord Monckton's snake oil, you've got the same heart for honest debate.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCoi94n0aJg&sns=em

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 8:43am

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 2:07am:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 10:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.


    Oh your back...I missed you.


    Not only have you bought Lord Monckton's snake oil, you've got the same heart for honest debate.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCoi94n0aJg&sns=em


    From the person who continually brings no proof of his own to the table....ever. You know you guys are probably onto something because whenever you do put what you have on the block it gets smashed...so probably best to stick to the tactic of just sitting back in your coward's castle and getting others to put up evidence to a standard that you cannot even hope to get. Oh things were different back then you bleat...the continents were different, the currents were different, it was the Milankovich cycles (which even the proponents of cannot agree on as to actual effects or when or what they mean) and my very own favourite the sun was only 75% as luminous back then (well Muso was only a piffling 4 billion years out on that one...laughed so I hard I nearly ruptured myself).
    Well the Younger dryas there were no different as to continental configuration, currents, luminosity, anthropogenic factors...so all these are all off the table.

    So no evidence of abrupt climate change here ya reckon?...

    I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 8th, 2012 at 8:51am

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 8:43am:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 2:07am:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 10:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 7th, 2012 at 8:38pm:
    What are you scared about, citing a paper that contradicts your position.


    Oh your back...I missed you.


    Not only have you bought Lord Monckton's snake oil, you've got the same heart for honest debate.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCoi94n0aJg&sns=em


    From the person who continually brings no proof of his own to the table....ever. You know you guys are probably onto something because whenever you do put what you have on the block it gets smashed...so probably best to stick to the tactic of just sitting back in your coward's castle and getting others to put up evidence to a standard that you cannot even hope to get. Oh things were different back then you bleat...the continents were different, the currents were different, it was the Milankovich cycles (which even the proponents of cannot agree on as to actual effects or when or what they mean) and my very own favourite the sun was only 75% as luminous back then (well Muso was only a piffling 4 billion years out on that one...laughed so I hard I nearly ruptured myself).
    Well the Younger dryas there were no different as to continental configuration, currents, luminosity, anthropogenic factors...so all these are all off the table.

    So no evidence of abrupt climate change here ya reckon?...

    I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented.

    So do you do this a lot?  Make up stupid stuff to post on websites - then when asked to provide evidence, carry on like a sook?

    Why don't you just post evidence for you statement:

    Ice core data supports warming occurring much more rapidly at times than previously thought.
    Like the plus 10C + 4C over a couple of decades or less during the Younger Dryas. So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented.


    or apologise for making stuff up.  OK?

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by aquascoot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:01am
    i heard david attenborrough saying its melting.
    david seems like a smart and trustworthy guy
    i'll defer to his opinion

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:32pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.


    Stop talking in riddles, namnugenot. If I misrepresented your position all you need to do is restate your true position. That's what people do when they are asked to clarify their position.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:39pm
    They also provide their sources when called to account for what they present as facts.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Upton Sinclair on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:16pm
    I think we can all safely conclude that namnugenot was just repeating a lie he's seen on the internet and can't actually back the claim up with anything. We can safely ignore namnugenot as a kook.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:31pm

    Upton Sinclair wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:16pm:
    I think we can all safely conclude that namnugenot was just repeating a lie he's seen on the internet and can't actually back the claim up with anything. We can safely ignore namnugenot as a kook.


    That's what you always do just fill in the "facts" to suit yourself.
    "Unprecedented" you say... boy you're just dumber than a bag of hammers.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:35pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.


    Stop talking in riddles, namnugenot. If I misrepresented your position all you need to do is restate your true position. That's what people do when they are asked to clarify their position.


    You constantly misrepresent because you are basically dishonest...but you make me laugh...
    "I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 (now 3) ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented."

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 8th, 2012 at 4:45pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.


    Stop talking in riddles, namnugenot. If I misrepresented your position all you need to do is restate your true position. That's what people do when they are asked to clarify their position.


    You constantly misrepresent because you are basically dishonest...but you make me laugh...
    "I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 (now 3) ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented."


    You're confused, namnugenot, no one has said that a warming of 0.8C in a century is unprecedented. You've been asked on several occasions to source your claim that there was abrupt warming during the Younger Dryas period. A time when our climate was transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period. So rapid change is unlikely to be inconsistent with our current understanding of climate change. How about you quote your source rather than playing some sort of childish game. Until you do, why shouldnt the default assumption be that you are making it up.

    I'm sure your numbers come from somewhere and I for one would like to know the proxies used and how localised the evidence might be.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by namnugenot on Sep 8th, 2012 at 8:29pm

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 4:45pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.


    Stop talking in riddles, namnugenot. If I misrepresented your position all you need to do is restate your true position. That's what people do when they are asked to clarify their position.


    You constantly misrepresent because you are basically dishonest...but you make me laugh...
    "I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 (now 3) ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented."


    You're confused, namnugenot, no one has said that a warming of 0.8C in a century is unprecedented. You've been asked on several occasions to source your claim that there was abrupt warming during the Younger Dryas period. A time when our climate was transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period. So rapid change is unlikely to be inconsistent with our current understanding of climate change. How about you quote your source rather than playing some sort of childish game. Until you do, why shouldnt the default assumption be that you are making it up.

    I'm sure your numbers come from somewhere and I for one would like to know the proxies used and how localised the evidence might be.


    Me: "So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented..."

    Uppitty: "Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please."

    That sounds like saying it's unprecedented to me. So no confusion on my end.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Sep 8th, 2012 at 10:29pm

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 8:29pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 4:45pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 1:35pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:32pm:

    namnugenot wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

    MOTR wrote on Sep 8th, 2012 at 9:11am:
    So let's get this clear, because there was abrupt climate change in the past when we were transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period this current climate change cannot be driven by anthropogenic factors. That's a non sequitur, namnugenot.



    Is your answer to the position you wanted me to take rather than what was stated easier for you?...it just shows how dishonest you are.


    Stop talking in riddles, namnugenot. If I misrepresented your position all you need to do is restate your true position. That's what people do when they are asked to clarify their position.


    You constantly misrepresent because you are basically dishonest...but you make me laugh...
    "I said 10 + 4 in < a couple of decades and I'm happy to stick by that...now how about either of you 2 (now 3) ladies nailing your nuts to the mast and going with Uppity's statement (that I said was crap) that warming of a magnitude 0.8C in a century is unprecedented."


    You're confused, namnugenot, no one has said that a warming of 0.8C in a century is unprecedented. You've been asked on several occasions to source your claim that there was abrupt warming during the Younger Dryas period. A time when our climate was transitioning from an ice age to an interglacial period. So rapid change is unlikely to be inconsistent with our current understanding of climate change. How about you quote your source rather than playing some sort of childish game. Until you do, why shouldnt the default assumption be that you are making it up.

    I'm sure your numbers come from somewhere and I for one would like to know the proxies used and how localised the evidence might be.


    Me: "So even if accurate 1C over a couple of decades is hardly unprecedented..."

    Uppitty: "Oh yeah? Which data? Citations please."

    That sounds like saying it's unprecedented to me. So no confusion on my end.

    Still waiting for your reference champ.

    Just making stuff up doesn't count

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Sep 9th, 2012 at 3:37am

    Quote:
    Isotope data from the GISP2 Greenland ice core suggests that Greenland was more than~10°C colder during the Younger Dryas and that the sudden warming of 10° ±4°C that ended the Younger Dryas occurred in only about 40 to 50. years.


    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/06/19/the-intriguing-problem-of-the-younger-dryaswhat-does-it-mean-and-what-caused-it/

    It seems that namnugenot got his information from WUWT and an article from Easterbrook.

    I'm guessing this is the source of his information.


    Quote:
    Cuffey, K.M., and G.D. Clow, "Temperature, accumulation, and ice sheet elevation in central Greenland throughout the last deglacial transition", Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 383-396, 1997.


    Or from here.

    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pubs/alley2000/alley2000.html

    Well let's hear Dr. Richard Alley has to say about the GISP2 data.


    Quote:
    First off, no single temperature record from anywhere can prove or disprove global warming, because the temperature is a local record, and one site is not the whole world. One of the lessons drawn from comparing Greenland to Antarctica and many other places is that some of the temperature changes (the ice-age cycling) are very widespread and shared among most records, but other of the temperature changes (sometimes called millennial, or abrupt, or Younger-Dryas-type) are antiphased between Greenland and the south, and still other temperature changes may be unrelated between different places (one anomalously cold year in Greenland does not tell you the temperature anomaly in Australia or Peru).



    Quote:
    So, using GISP2 data to argue against global warming is, well, stupid, or misguided, or misled, or something, but surely not scientifically sensible. And, using GISP2 data within the larger picture of climate science demonstrates that our scientific understanding is good, supports our expectation of global warming, but raises the small-chance-of-big-problem issue that in turn influences the discussion of optimal human response.


    http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/08/richard-alley-on-old-ice-climate-and-co2/

    The scary part is that we have had abrupt climate change in the past and there are no guarantees us mucking around with the thermostat won't set off another one.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c90nab5i-TQ&feature=youtube_gdata_player

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by MOTR on Feb 27th, 2013 at 3:41am
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GetB-xs9D_A&sns=em

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 1st, 2013 at 1:18pm

    MOTR wrote on Feb 27th, 2013 at 3:41am:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GetB-xs9D_A&sns=em

    HEAT CONTENT!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by muso on Mar 1st, 2013 at 7:02pm
    I'm surprised that the undersea volcanoes haven't been raised yet. It's always good for a laugh.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by rabbitoh07 on Mar 1st, 2013 at 7:24pm

    muso wrote on Mar 1st, 2013 at 7:02pm:
    I'm surprised that the undersea volcanoes haven't been raised yet. It's always good for a laugh.

    Yes.  Whatever happened to Gold Medal?

    That was one of his favourite insane rantings.

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Deathridesahorse on Mar 3rd, 2013 at 1:09am
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVP0byyVHzw

    an nbn referendum scares abbott silyways!!

    Title: Re: Arctic Ice continues to shrink
    Post by Emma Peel on Mar 3rd, 2013 at 1:19am
    we will see it will we not?/

    it is unfolding before us  ..... 

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