It might be fun to keep a running update on the latest odds for both parties.

It will be more fun for the Labor lovers of course. And if you're a Liberal lover, you'd better be a die-hard one to bet at the current odds.

Please do not accuse Centrebet as being a leftard betting agency.

Labor $1.22 Coalition $4.10

I said Howard was a shoe in at the last election so Im not putting any money on my predictions  :)

i think gillrudd is a shoe in.

voting is an emotional thing, many people will want to vote for our first female PM.
many people also vote for the hot favourite !!!!!!!

LOL...I'm sure that 'Action Man Abbo' thinks he's hot in his swim suit and strop hat...

Certainly a lot of bravado on the nightly news in his tailored suit...

Delusions of grandeur!?

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jul 9^th, 2010 at 7:00pm:

Labor $1.22 Coalition $4.10

As a matter of interest, what were they at the same time of week over the past month or so?

Equitist wrote on Jul 10^th, 2010 at 12:10am:

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jul 9th, 2010 at 7:00pm: Labor $1.22 Coalition $4.10 As a matter of interest, what were they at the same time of week over the past month or so?

I'm not sure thy. I just started posting them in the yahoo threads to stir the cheeky righties up a bit. They were $1.25 and $3.75 about a week ago. I'm not even sure if the betting odds give any real indication of the trend, but I'm supposing they do. I have heard that there has been two big bets placed on Labor, one for $100,000 and one for $80,000, so even that could make a difference and it could be closer than it looks.

Anyway, I'll see if I can get some odds on the greens getting a seat in the house of reps.

I bet Juile Bishop will stand behind Abbott when he is dumped....


heheheheh ;D ;D

I bet on a Labor win....and the Greens will surge .

I'm  betting that the  people are not as negative towards labor  as polls and media make out. Thats why the betting odds stay strong.

I'm hoping the Coalition wins this year.

I did promise to run naked down Rundle Mall if Howard got defeated at the last election (much to the distress of other yahoo posters at the time). I am yet to keep that promise but I have run naked along Maslins Beach in lieu of my election promise :o)

adelcrow wrote on Jul 10^th, 2010 at 9:49am:

I did promise to run naked down Rundle Mall if Howard got defeated at the last election (much to the distress of other yahoo posters at the time). I am yet to keep that promise but I have run naked along Maslins Beach in lieu of my election promise :o)

[smiley=shocked.gif]  [smiley=shocked.gif]  [smiley=shocked.gif] what time of day? or was it at midnight? ha ha  [smiley=shocked.gif] and was the beach deserted?  [smiley=shocked.gif]  [smiley=shocked.gif]

It's too early to call anything; because things change daily, and people change their minds right up to election day.
Watching the media is always a dead giveaway to how the community is viewing the candidates and parties, I think.
Lately, they (the media) seems to be neutral tending to the ominous about Julia Gillard. Watch how they portray her especially on television.
Lately they are panning in on the hairdos, and the way she walks and carries herself (she can't help it, no one can, but the media picks up on that stuff and delivers it via the screen.) If they don't like her, and/or if they think the public don't like her, she will not be a good look on the screen very soon, you can bet on it.
The media is picking up on a degree of cynicism in the community about this whole deal in my view.
Right now, my feeling is that labor is going to get done, but I don't think liberal is going to have a landslide, but they could, just too early to tell. At this stage, my gut feeling is that there is going to be a hung parliament in the Reps, and even stronger libs in the Senate; and I think that's a good thing.
I think the community thinks it's about trust, and there is not enough good faith there yet to justify trusting them (any of them at this stage, including labor). Sure, the feministas will vote Gillard, but I think that's going to be outweighed by the people who are angry about how the whole thing was done - it's just a question of who they will vote for and preference.
England is basically a hung parliament at the moment, I think it's going that way here too. (Heaven forbid that Australia doesn't follow England fairly regularly!)

Smiley  Smiley  Smiley what time of day? or was it at midnight? ha ha  Smiley and was the beach deserted?  Smiley  Smiley

Maslins is a nude beach in South Australia so doing a nuddie run along it in penance for wrongly predicting the outcome of the federal election was  a piece of cake.
;D

A couple of months back, on Yahoo, I wagered Longy a glass slipper for 2 crystal balls - and a public admission...

::)

Poor ol' Longy would be devastated - but I think he's privately insured! ;-)

A lot can change between now and polling day.

Quote:

Sunday, 20 June 2010:Will you vote for Julia Gillard in this year's election? Yes: 101739 (33%) No: 206748 (67%)

http://news.ninemsn.com.au/previousvote/

Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 12^th, 2010 at 3:35pm:

Quote: Sunday, 20 June 2010:Will you vote for Julia Gillard in this year's election? Yes: 101739 (33%) No: 206748 (67%) http://news.ninemsn.com.au/previousvote/

LOL, phone polls have no degree of acuracy,whatsoever.

Betting odds for this election are based on what people laying down in $. it is not based on what the bookies think will happen.  Personally this is a very hard election to tip as it is too close to call. perhaps the odds favour labor a little, but the electorate is very volatile and changeable meaning it is possible for either paty to win and to do so comfortably. If Rudd does a spoiling action then QLD is gone and so is the labor party. If Abbott slips up in a major way then the libs are gone. I think that this election - unlike last time - a LOT of voters are yet to make up their minds. I want the Libs to win but the one thing we DO know is that the Liberal slaighter that so many were predicting only 6 months ago WILL NOT HAPPEN. in fact it is highly unlikely that the Libs will lose any seats at all. the question is will they win enough to govern?

Latest odds: -

http://centrebet.com/cust?action=GoSports&ev_type_id=2608&flash_enabled=1&bir_only=N&flash_enabled=1&bir_only=N&flash_enabled=1&bir_only=N

AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY 1.23        

COALITION 3.90        


https://www.ozbet.com.au/UISecure/SportUI/SportBetPage.aspx?eventSeq=2428711&sportSeq=223

AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY       1.22

COALITION 3.85

like betting odds are a valued reference to the future??

Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 9^th, 2010 at 9:33pm:

i think gillrudd is a shoe in. voting is an emotional thing, many people will want to vote for our first female PM. many people also vote for the hot favourite !!!!!!!

I agree, and think for this to change, something drastic will have to leak, manifest in order to persuade the sea-saw voters.

I'm still not ruling out a Liberal (under-dog) victory however, with Rudd and the Labor party being loose cannons and all.

Rudds an unpredictable leaker, so you never know what may capture the media's attention closer to the election.


Too early to call.

:)

longweekend58 wrote on Jul 18^th, 2010 at 4:19pm:

like betting odds are a valued reference to the future??

Lighten up, Longy - an election was called only yesterday...

We can but hope that Election-Mode Abbott will prove to be even better-than-expected entertainment value than Action Man Abbo, eh!?

Equitist wrote on Jul 18^th, 2010 at 4:22pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Jul 18th, 2010 at 4:19pm: like betting odds are a valued reference to the future?? Lighten up, Longy - an election was called only yesterday... We can but hope that Election-Mode Abbott will prove to be even better-than-expected entertainment value than Action Man Abbo, eh!?

What I am saying is that betting odds that are already heavily weighted labors way due to the Coalitions parlous polls 6months ago are irrelelvant in any meaningful election debate now.

Labors polls in 2PP show them to be the likely winner, but their exceptionall poor primary vote makes them increasingly risky to loss in marginals - which is where the action is. QLD particularly could see labor defeated purely on this factor.

Howard won an election 49/51 on 2PP. Abbott could do the same.

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jul 9^th, 2010 at 7:00pm:

It might be fun to keep a running update on the latest odds for both parties. It will be more fun for the Labor lovers of course. And if you're a Liberal lover, you'd better be a die-hard one to bet at the current odds. Please do not accuse Centrebet as being a leftard betting agency. Labor $1.22 Coalition $4.10

$1.22 FMD  :D :D ;D

skippy. wrote on Jul 12^th, 2010 at 3:59pm:

Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 12th, 2010 at 3:35pm: Quote: Sunday, 20 June 2010:Will you vote for Julia Gillard in this year's election? Yes: 101739 (33%) No: 206748 (67%) http://news.ninemsn.com.au/previousvote/ LOL, phone polls have no degree of acuracy,whatsoever.

Fascists abound: all weak and hiding behind each nother!!   :-? :D ;D ;)

BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Jul 18^th, 2010 at 8:18pm:

skippy. wrote on Jul 12th, 2010 at 3:59pm: Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 12th, 2010 at 3:35pm: Quote: Sunday, 20 June 2010:Will you vote for Julia Gillard in this year's election? Yes: 101739 (33%) No: 206748 (67%) http://news.ninemsn.com.au/previousvote/ LOL, phone polls have no degree of acuracy,whatsoever. Fascists abound: all weak and hiding behind each nother!!   :-? :D ;D ;)

Interesting if rather stupid post.

As of today, labor is gone, greens big vote in reps.
libs maybe not majority seats but more than labor and form government.
possibly labor majority in senate.

nsw is the key, and labor is gone a million there at the moment.
when there is a nsw candidate for prime minister as opposed to somewhere else, especially where there is a mood for change, nsw is decisive.

Why does Julia Gillard always sound like she's reciting "my sunburnt country" or poetry in general when she's speaking to the media. Notice she's always talking *to* to you, not *with* you. OK?
Another talking head.
Union of Soviet Socialist Lawyers of Australia!